29 Oct 2026 at 03:08:21 hyperliquid

Short Trade on TIA (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 426.2 TIA at 0.517$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4699 (9.08 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5356 (3.64 %)

TIA SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 29 Oct 2026 03:08 → 06:50 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 0.5168$

Qty 426.1991 TIA

Size 220.2682$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.4699 (+9.08%)

TP $ 19.99$

SL 0.5356 (-3.64%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 2.49

Status loss PnL -3.64% / -8.01$ MAE -7.17% MFE +0.57% 0.2R expires 29 Oct 15:08

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 231973)
#11 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 03:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.4746

Quality Score
0.515
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#11 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.64 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#11 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.64 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.52×ATR
4h near -0.09×ATR
1d clear 1.50×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 03:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

27/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

28/10 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/10 01:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7220
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_bound
Strategic range

0.25

compression

0

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro bear

0.55

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.73
Transition risk : 0.27
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 43.3%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h bullish Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.100
Δ 4h
▲+0.367
Δ 12h
→-0.006
Δ 24h
▼-0.063

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 54.0%
1h 14.0%
4h 62.0%
24h 10.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 48.0% +0.02%
4h 56.0% +0.24%
24h 20.0% -2.59%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.23
Tail ↓
+0.28
Dispersion : 0.090
Universe : 50 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.84
Snapshot évalué : 29/10 03:01 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4838
Score SMA
0.4296
Rank
#9 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8769
Rank Norm SMA
0.7715
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6221 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 3.00% · r3d: 3.96% · ema21_slope: 0.1510% · dist_ema21: 0.215%
Force Relative 25% 0.6314 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 2.47% · rs_3d: 2.45% · beta_24h: 1.418
Volume 20% 0.1888 rvol_20: 0.29× · zscore_50: -0.367 · trend: -40.04%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6771 ADX: 31.8 (trend) · Chop: 49.1 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 10.101% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.5152
Score SMA
0.4734
Rank
#11 / 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4746
Rank Norm SMA
0.2943
Calculé le
29/10/2026 03:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3399 r1h: -1.823% · r4h: -1.526% · r1d: -2.84% · r3d: -1.32% · ema21_slope: 0.0067% · dist_ema21: -3.444%
Force Relative 25% 0.3746 rs_1h: -1.493% · rs_4h: -1.536% · rs_1d: -1.73% · rs_3d: -1.14% · beta_24h: 1.794
Volume 20% 0.6242 rvol_20: 1.83× · zscore_50: 1.611 · trend: 27.74%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6315 ADX: 15.8 (weak) · Chop: 31.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.942% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.4022
Score SMA
0.3781
Rank
#56 / 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5014
Rank Norm SMA
0.1346
Calculé le
29/10/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2939 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -4.494% · r1d: -1.21% · r3d: -0.37% · ema21_slope: -0.0372% · dist_ema21: -2.143%
Force Relative 25% 0.4097 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.673% · rs_1d: 0.35% · rs_3d: -0.71% · beta_24h: 1.723
Volume 20% 0.3024 rvol_20: 1.05× · zscore_50: -0.369 · trend: -20.97%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4529 ADX: 15.2 (weak) · Chop: 59.7 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.8317 ATR%: 3.505% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -3.638% (0.0188)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.567% 0.2R -0.333% 0.1R 1.7× 12
2h +0.567% 0.2R -2.514% 0.7R 0.2× 24
4h +0.567% 0.2R -3.750% 1.0R 0.2× 48
8h +0.567% 0.2R -6.277% 1.7R 0.1× 96
12h ★ +0.567% 0.2R -7.165% 2.0R 0.1× 144
24h +14.938% 4.1R -7.165% 2.0R 2.1× 288
36h +14.938% 4.1R -7.165% 2.0R 2.1× 432
48h +14.938% 4.1R -7.165% 2.0R 2.1× 576
72h +14.938% 4.1R -7.165% 2.0R 2.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 1031 min MAE in 566 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.28
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading expansion bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 36% early — — 0.58 bull_high +4.55% +0.77 27/10 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading expansion bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 36% early near -0.1ATR — 0.49 bear_high -2.15% -0.04 28/10 20:00
1h ↔ neutral range range strong balanced volatile_reversal bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 43% early — — 0.29 range_medium -0.60% -0.05 29/10 01:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 46% late — — 0.50 bear_low -0.85% -0.24 29/10 02:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#444669
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading 0.563 expansion bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 36% early 11b 0.0ATR — — 0.29 81% ↓ -0.69 value +2.36 — #211856 0.58 bull_high +4.55% +0.77
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:22
4h
#446095
↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading 0.644 expansion bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 36% early 1b -0.7ATR near -0.1ATR — 1.05 48% ↔ +0.01 value -0.50 — #212470 0.49 bear_high -2.15% -0.04
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 00:14
1h anchor
#446871
↔ neutral range range strong balanced 0.654 volatile_reversal bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 43% early 3b -0.9ATR — — 0.67 50% ↑ +0.33 value -0.67 — #212825 0.29 range_medium -0.60% -0.05
29/10 01:00
upd 29/10 02:11
15m
#447168
↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.392 compression bear_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 46% late 6b -2.5ATR — — 6.21 100% ↑ +0.17 value -0.67 — #212825 0.50 bear_low -0.85% -0.24
29/10 02:45
upd 29/10 03:01
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 11b — 3.823×ATR p44 +0.019×ATR p1
4h ↓ down early 1b — 2.201×ATR p8 -0.662×ATR p35
1h ↑ up early 3b — 0.573×ATR p0 -0.909×ATR p57
15m ↓ down late 6b — 4.286×ATR p84 -2.535×ATR p95

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.7866
  3. reason: down_bo width=2.41×ATR dur=46b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 0.53559057
  5. tp_price: 0.46989358
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.78656045881769
  8. exit_rules:
  9. expires_at: 2026-10-29T19:08:13.228029
  10. max_bars: 12
  11. max_bars_tf: 1h
  12. confidence_pre_ob: 0.78656045881769
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : -0.0384
  14. obi_top10 : -0.0317
  15. micro_price : 0.51711674
  16. spread_pct : 0.038677
  17. mid_price : 0.5172
  18. bid_wall_price : 0.512
  19. bid_wall_size : 348105.66
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 0.52
  22. ask_wall_size : 369611.06
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : -0.0551
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0154
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 6884
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    0.546
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.5233
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.53465
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1793095200
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1793257200
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.4134
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    46
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.7866
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1793253600
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.5233
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.8261
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    1
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.6889
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    4
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    10
  59. regime : bear_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.00940569
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
46
inside_close_ratio
0.8261
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.6889

Signaux confirmants (12)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 03:08 0.51682000 +0.004%
2 03:18 0.51682000 +0.004%
3 03:27 0.51682000 +0.004%
4 03:38 0.51608000 -0.139%
5 03:47 0.51608000 -0.139%
6 03:56 0.51608000 -0.139%
7 04:09 0.51744000 +0.124%
8 04:20 0.51744000 +0.124%
9 04:30 0.51744000 +0.124%
10 04:40 0.52006000 +0.631%
11 04:49 0.52006000 +0.631%
12 04:59 0.52006000 +0.631%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6884ms Confidence avant OB : 79% → 79%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.038
avg -0.055 ± 0.015
OBI Top 10 -0.032

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.5172
Micro Price
0.5171
Spread
0.0387%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.5120
Size
348,105.66

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.5200
Size
369,611.06

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.5168 0.5356 0.4699 2.49 0.3416
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.5168
  • Stop Loss: 0.5356
  • Take Profit: 0.4699

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.5356 - 0.5168 = 0.0188

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.5168 - 0.4699 = 0.0469

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0469 / 0.0188 = 2.4947

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
220.2682 100 426.1991 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0188

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0188 = 425.53

Taille de position USD = 425.53 x 0.5168 = 219.91

Donc, tu peux acheter 425.53 avec un stoploss a 0.5356

Avec un position size USD de 219.91$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 425.53 x 0.0188 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 425.53 x 0.0469 = 19.96

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.96$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 425.53
  • Taille de position USD 219.91
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 19.96
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4947

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
9.08 % 19.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.64 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-8.01 $ -3.64
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.75 % 103.08 % 7
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.5168 0.5356 0.4699 2.49 0.3416
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.5168
  • Stop Loss: 0.5356
  • Take Profit: 0.4699

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.5356 - 0.5168 = 0.0188

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.5168 - 0.4699 = 0.0469

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0469 / 0.0188 = 2.4947

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.4699
            [entry_price] => 0.5168
            [stop_loss] => 0.53748
            [rr_ratio] => 2.27
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 12:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.4699
            [entry_price] => 0.5168
            [stop_loss] => 0.53936
            [rr_ratio] => 2.08
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 12:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.4699
            [entry_price] => 0.5168
            [stop_loss] => 0.54124
            [rr_ratio] => 1.92
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 12:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.4699
            [entry_price] => 0.5168
            [stop_loss] => 0.545
            [rr_ratio] => 1.66
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 13:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -3.638% (0.0188)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.567% 0.2R -0.333% 0.1R 1.7× 12
2h +0.567% 0.2R -2.514% 0.7R 0.2× 24
4h +0.567% 0.2R -3.750% 1.0R 0.2× 48
8h +0.567% 0.2R -6.277% 1.7R 0.1× 96
12h ★ +0.567% 0.2R -7.165% 2.0R 0.1× 144
24h +14.938% 4.1R -7.165% 2.0R 2.1× 288
36h +14.938% 4.1R -7.165% 2.0R 2.1× 432
48h +14.938% 4.1R -7.165% 2.0R 2.1× 576
72h +14.938% 4.1R -7.165% 2.0R 2.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 1031 min MAE in 566 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.