Short Trade on NEAR (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 38.21 NEAR at 4.335$ per unit. Take profit: 4.2261 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 4.5439 (4.83 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 03:15:06
hyperliquid
NEAR
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 03:15
→ 09:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 4.3345$
Qty 38.211 NEAR
Size 165.6258$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 4.2261 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.14$
SL 4.5439 (-4.83%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.52
Status
loss
PnL
-3.67%
/ -6.08$
MAE -4.22%
MFE +1.03%
0.2R
expires
29 Oct 09:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 231977)
#8 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 03:00
score du 29/10/2026 03:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5864
Quality Score
0.522
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#8 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#8 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.24×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.24×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.81×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.24
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
124.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 03:00
29/10 03:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 29/10 02:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7220
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
43.3%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.100
Δ 4h
▲+0.367
Δ 12h
→-0.006
Δ 24h
▼-0.063
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 54.0% |
| 1h | 14.0% |
| 4h | 62.0% |
| 24h | 10.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 48.0% | +0.02% |
| 4h | 56.0% | +0.24% |
| 24h | 20.0% | -2.59% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.23
Tail ↓
+0.28
Dispersion :
0.090
Universe :
50
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.84
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 03:01
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3564
Score SMA
0.3744
Rank
#29
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5692
Rank Norm SMA
0.6250
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4600 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.15% · r3d: 3.13% · ema21_slope: -0.1820% · dist_ema21: -1.089% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4823 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.62% · rs_3d: 1.62% · beta_24h: 3.070 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1564 | rvol_20: 0.44× · zscore_50: -1.048 · trend: -30.32% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4435 | ADX: 23.7 (weak) · Chop: 69.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.160% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.5222
Score SMA
0.5005
Rank
#8
/ 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5864
Rank Norm SMA
0.4053
Calculé le
29/10/2026 03:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2496 | r1h: -3.224% · r4h: -2.808% · r1d: -7.44% · r3d: -2.81% · ema21_slope: -0.1241% · dist_ema21: -5.068% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2197 | rs_1h: -2.894% · rs_4h: -2.818% · rs_1d: -6.33% · rs_3d: -2.63% · beta_24h: 2.420 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9088 | rvol_20: 2.67× · zscore_50: 2.891 · trend: 76.26% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7377 | ADX: 28.5 (trend) · Chop: 26.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.032% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.3841
Score SMA
0.4314
Rank
#60
/ 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2340
Rank Norm SMA
0.2895
Calculé le
29/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2755 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -6.616% · r1d: -5.97% · r3d: -0.74% · ema21_slope: 0.0693% · dist_ema21: -4.138% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2738 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -4.795% · rs_1d: -4.40% · rs_3d: -1.08% · beta_24h: 2.680 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3943 | rvol_20: 1.45× · zscore_50: 0.003 · trend: -17.96% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4939 | ADX: 19.5 (weak) · Chop: 59.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8002 | ATR%: 3.599% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.831%
(0.2094)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.031% | 0.2R | -0.275% | 0.1R | 3.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.031% | 0.2R | -1.280% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.031% | 0.2R | -2.427% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.031% | 0.2R | -4.217% | 0.9R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.031% | 0.2R | -6.315% | 1.3R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.031% | 0.2R | -8.264% | 1.7R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +9.886% | 2.1R | -8.264% | 1.7R | 1.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +9.886% | 2.1R | -8.264% | 1.7R | 1.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.886% | 2.1R | -8.264% | 1.7R | 1.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1034 min
MAE in 529 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.8
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.51 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.57 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.52 | bear_high | -2.15% | -0.24 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
45%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.73 | bear_medium | -0.91% | -0.55 | 29/10 02:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.74 | bear_low | -0.85% | -0.31 | 29/10 02:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444686
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.535 | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early 16b -0.1ATR | — | — | 0.44 | 73% | ↓ -0.39 | value | +3.77 | — | #211860 | 0.51 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.57 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:22
|
|
4h
#446103
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.451 | expansion | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 1b -1.3ATR | near 0.2ATR | — | 1.45 | 42% | ↔ -0.05 | above_value | -0.39 | — | #212474 | 0.52 | bear_high | -2.15% | -0.24 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 00:14
|
|
1h
anchor #447244
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.583 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
45%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late 10b -2.4ATR | near -0.2ATR | — | 2.67 | 92% | ↑ +0.50 | below_value | -1.28 | inside | #212971 | 0.73 | bear_medium | -0.91% | -0.55 |
29/10 02:00
upd 29/10 03:10
|
|
15m
#447172
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.394 | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late 7b -3.4ATR | — | — | 4.31 | 100% | ↔ -0.03 | above_value | +0.41 | — | #212829 | 0.74 | bear_low | -0.85% | -0.31 |
29/10 02:45
upd 29/10 03:02
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 16b | — | 2.653×ATR | p9 | -0.116×ATR | p8 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 2.494×ATR | p13 | -1.287×ATR | p73 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 10b | — | 5.405×ATR | p91 | -2.402×ATR | p97 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 3.979×ATR | p77 | -3.372×ATR | p95 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 4.54386356
- tp_price: 4.2261375
- atr: 0.08374542
- expires_at: 2026-10-29T13:15:06+00:00
Details
- rank: 68
- total: 70
- score: 0.2496
- delta_2h: -0.1043
- extension_atr: -2.56
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.59
- confidence: 0.971
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:15 | 4.33450000 | 0% |
| 2 | 04:15 | 4.32140000 | -0.302% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.3345 | 4.5439 | 4.2261 | 0.52 | 3.06 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 4.3345
- Stop Loss: 4.5439
- Take Profit: 4.2261
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.5439 - 4.3345 = 0.2094
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4.3345 - 4.2261 = 0.1084
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1084 / 0.2094 = 0.5177
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 165.6258 | 100 | 38.211 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.2094
Taille de position = 8 / 0.2094 = 38.2
Taille de position USD = 38.2 x 4.3345 = 165.58
Donc, tu peux acheter 38.2 avec un stoploss a 4.5439
Avec un position size USD de 165.58$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 38.2 x 0.2094 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 38.2 x 0.1084 = 4.14
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.14$
Résumé
- Taille de position 38.2
- Taille de position USD 165.58
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.14
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5177
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.14 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.83 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -6.08 $ | -3.67 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.2173 % | 87.3 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.3345 | 4.5439 | 4.2261 | 0.52 | 3.06 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 4.3345
- Stop Loss: 4.5439
- Take Profit: 4.2261
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.5439 - 4.3345 = 0.2094
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4.3345 - 4.2261 = 0.1084
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1084 / 0.2094 = 0.5177
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.831%
(0.2094)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.031% | 0.2R | -0.275% | 0.1R | 3.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.031% | 0.2R | -1.280% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.031% | 0.2R | -2.427% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.031% | 0.2R | -4.217% | 0.9R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.031% | 0.2R | -6.315% | 1.3R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.031% | 0.2R | -8.264% | 1.7R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +9.886% | 2.1R | -8.264% | 1.7R | 1.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +9.886% | 2.1R | -8.264% | 1.7R | 1.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.886% | 2.1R | -8.264% | 1.7R | 1.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1034 min
MAE in 529 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.