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Short Trade on NIL

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29 Oct 2026 at 03:15:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 1548.32 NIL at 0.0719$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07013 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07709 (7.17 %)

NIL SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Oct 2026 03:15 → 09:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.07193$

Qty 1548.3202 NIL

Size 111.366$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.07013 (+2.5%)

TP $ 2.79$

SL 0.07709 (-7.17%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.35

Status loss PnL -1.70% / -1.89$ MAE -4.29% MFE +0.57% 0.1R expires 29 Oct 09:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 231996)
#70 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 03:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0000

Quality Score
0.329
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#70 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.17 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#70 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.17 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.09×ATR
4h near 0.49×ATR
1d near -1.25×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.24
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 03:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

27/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

28/10 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/10 02:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7220
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_bound
Strategic range

0.25

compression

0

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro bear

0.55

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.73
Transition risk : 0.27
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 43.3%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h bullish Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.100
Δ 4h
▲+0.367
Δ 12h
→-0.006
Δ 24h
▼-0.063

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 54.0%
1h 14.0%
4h 62.0%
24h 10.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 48.0% +0.02%
4h 56.0% +0.24%
24h 20.0% -2.59%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.23
Tail ↓
+0.28
Dispersion : 0.090
Universe : 50 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.84
Snapshot évalué : 29/10 03:01 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3564
Score SMA
0.4320
Rank
#28 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5846
Rank Norm SMA
0.6848
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4928 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -14.37% · r3d: -12.63% · ema21_slope: 0.1405% · dist_ema21: -7.217%
Force Relative 25% 0.1963 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -14.90% · rs_3d: -14.14% · beta_24h: 0.961
Volume 20% 0.2261 rvol_20: 0.51× · zscore_50: -0.447 · trend: -8.98%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7616 ADX: 34.1 (trend) · Chop: 41.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 18.010% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.3291
Score SMA
0.5263
Rank
#70 / 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.5431
Calculé le
29/10/2026 03:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0558 r1h: -1.910% · r4h: -0.611% · r1d: -12.63% · r3d: -21.02% · ema21_slope: -0.5245% · dist_ema21: -6.446%
Force Relative 25% 0.1713 rs_1h: -1.579% · rs_4h: -0.621% · rs_1d: -11.52% · rs_3d: -20.84% · beta_24h: 2.006
Volume 20% 0.2472 rvol_20: 0.90× · zscore_50: -0.256 · trend: -53.06%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6563 ADX: 20.7 (weak) · Chop: 40.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.616% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.2361
Score SMA
0.4789
Rank
#70 / 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.4997
Calculé le
29/10/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1905 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -6.198% · r1d: -12.02% · r3d: -17.81% · ema21_slope: -0.2197% · dist_ema21: -13.808%
Force Relative 25% 0.1149 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -4.377% · rs_1d: -10.46% · rs_3d: -18.15% · beta_24h: 1.341
Volume 20% 0.1734 rvol_20: 0.34× · zscore_50: -0.491 · trend: -45.36%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7704 ADX: 32.4 (trend) · Chop: 16.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.357% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -7.174% (0.0052)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.573% 0.1R -1.805% 0.3R 0.3× 12
2h +0.573% 0.1R -4.286% 0.6R 0.1× 24
4h +0.573% 0.1R -4.286% 0.6R 0.1× 48
6h ★ +0.573% 0.1R -4.286% 0.6R 0.1× 72
8h +0.573% 0.1R -4.286% 0.6R 0.1× 96
12h +0.573% 0.1R -7.954% 1.1R 0.1× 144
24h +11.973% 1.7R -7.954% 1.1R 1.5× 288
48h +11.973% 1.7R -13.802% 1.9R 0.9× 576
72h +11.973% 1.7R -13.802% 1.9R 0.9× 864
⏱ MFE in 1124 min MAE in 569 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.19
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate fading expansion_after_compression bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 38% mid near -1.2ATR — 0.29 bull_high +4.55% -0.63 27/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong balanced volatile_reversal bear_high
42%
noisy_chop 38% late near 0.5ATR — 0.18 bear_high -2.15% -0.94 28/10 20:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading normal bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 54% late near -0.1ATR — 0.31 bear_medium -0.91% -0.78 29/10 02:00
15m ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind expansion bear_high
64%
noisy_chop 41% mid near -0.6ATR — 0.09 bear_low -0.85% -0.19 29/10 02:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#444735
 ↑ up range range moderate fading 0.546 expansion_after_compression bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 38% mid 1b -0.5ATR near -1.2ATR — 0.51 75% ↔ -0.08 above_value +0.10 — #211877 0.29 bull_high +4.55% -0.63
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:25
4h
#446154
 ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong balanced 0.637 volatile_reversal bear_high
42%
noisy_chop 38% late 11b -1.5ATR near 0.5ATR — 0.34 25% ↓ -0.30 below_value -2.53 — #212493 0.18 bear_high -2.15% -0.94
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 00:17
1h anchor
#447263
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading 0.724 normal bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 54% late 10b -2.8ATR near -0.1ATR — 0.90 53% ↔ -0.07 below_value -2.85 — #212990 0.31 bear_medium -0.91% -0.78
29/10 02:00
upd 29/10 03:11
15m
#447191
 ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind 0.527 expansion bear_high
64%
noisy_chop 41% mid 7b -1.6ATR near -0.6ATR — 2.78 75% ↑ +0.20 below_value -2.14 — #212848 0.09 bear_low -0.85% -0.19
29/10 02:45
upd 29/10 03:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 1b — 3.91×ATR p50 -0.458×ATR p37
4h ↓ down late 11b — 9.774×ATR p100 -1.455×ATR p73
1h ↓ down late 10b — 4.82×ATR p85 -2.8×ATR p96
15m ↓ down mid 7b — 2.698×ATR p21 -1.638×ATR p66

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.07709389
  2. tp_price: 0.07012883
  3. atr: 0.00206676
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-29T13:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 70
  2. total: 70
  3. score: 0.1118
  4. delta_2h: -0.0379
  5. extension_atr: -2.77
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 03:15 0.07192700 -0.004%
2 04:15 0.07202700 +0.135%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.07193 0.07709 0.07013 0.35 0.0494
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.07193
  • Stop Loss: 0.07709
  • Take Profit: 0.07013

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.07709 - 0.07193 = 0.00516

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.07193 - 0.07013 = 0.0018

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0018 / 0.00516 = 0.3488

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
111.366 100 1548.3202 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00516

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00516 = 1550.39

Taille de position USD = 1550.39 x 0.07193 = 111.52

Donc, tu peux acheter 1550.39 avec un stoploss a 0.07709

Avec un position size USD de 111.52$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1550.39 x 0.00516 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1550.39 x 0.0018 = 2.79

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.79$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1550.39
  • Taille de position USD 111.52
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.79
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3488

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 2.79 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
7.17 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
-1.89 $ -1.70
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.2861 % 59.75 % 8
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.07193 0.07709 0.07013 0.35 0.0494
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.07193
  • Stop Loss: 0.07709
  • Take Profit: 0.07013

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.07709 - 0.07193 = 0.00516

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.07193 - 0.07013 = 0.0018

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0018 / 0.00516 = 0.3488

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -7.174% (0.0052)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.573% 0.1R -1.805% 0.3R 0.3× 12
2h +0.573% 0.1R -4.286% 0.6R 0.1× 24
4h +0.573% 0.1R -4.286% 0.6R 0.1× 48
6h ★ +0.573% 0.1R -4.286% 0.6R 0.1× 72
8h +0.573% 0.1R -4.286% 0.6R 0.1× 96
12h +0.573% 0.1R -7.954% 1.1R 0.1× 144
24h +11.973% 1.7R -7.954% 1.1R 1.5× 288
48h +11.973% 1.7R -13.802% 1.9R 0.9× 576
72h +11.973% 1.7R -13.802% 1.9R 0.9× 864
⏱ MFE in 1124 min MAE in 569 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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