Short Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 62.23 LIT at 2.845$ per unit. Take profit: 2.7736 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 2.9733 (4.52 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 04:15:07
hyperliquid
LIT
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 04:15
→ 06:30
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 2.8447$
Qty 62.2286 LIT
Size 177.0217$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 2.7736 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.42$
SL 2.9733 (-4.52%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.55
Status
loss
PnL
-4.52%
/ -8$
MAE -13.97%
MFE +0.32%
0.1R
expires
29 Oct 10:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 232078)
#66 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 04:00
score du 29/10/2026 04:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1598
Quality Score
0.420
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#66 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.52 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#66 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.52 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -1.62×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.00
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
22.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 04:03
29/10 04:03
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 28/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/10 02:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7224
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
transition
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
29.3%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.140
Δ 4h
▲+0.220
Δ 12h
▼-0.500
Δ 24h
▼-0.063
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 76.0% |
| 1h | 12.0% |
| 4h | 48.0% |
| 24h | 10.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 86.0% | +0.02% |
| 4h | 36.0% | -0.00% |
| 24h | 16.0% | -3.37% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.26
Tail ↓
+0.22
Dispersion :
0.060
Universe :
50
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.59
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 04:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.1512
Score SMA
0.2627
Rank
#66
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.1920
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.0652 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.75% · r3d: -7.36% · ema21_slope: -0.6839% · dist_ema21: -11.818% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1308 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.28% · rs_3d: -8.88% · beta_24h: 2.599 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1244 | rvol_20: 0.37× · zscore_50: -1.135 · trend: -52.21% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4939 | ADX: 16.8 (weak) · Chop: 56.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 11.309% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4199
Score SMA
0.4786
Rank
#66
/ 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1598
Rank Norm SMA
0.3181
Calculé le
29/10/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3211 | r1h: -0.890% · r4h: 0.734% · r1d: -6.30% · r3d: -7.80% · ema21_slope: -0.2691% · dist_ema21: -2.687% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3616 | rs_1h: -0.745% · rs_4h: 0.749% · rs_1d: -4.79% · rs_3d: -7.58% · beta_24h: 2.617 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2007 | rvol_20: 0.31× · zscore_50: -0.510 · trend: -23.99% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6780 | ADX: 21.4 (weak) · Chop: 30.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.888% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.3465
Score SMA
0.4254
Rank
#66
/ 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0794
Rank Norm SMA
0.2905
Calculé le
29/10/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2217 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.734% · r1d: -6.30% · r3d: -7.80% · ema21_slope: -0.3233% · dist_ema21: -6.369% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2676 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.749% · rs_1d: -4.79% · rs_3d: -7.58% · beta_24h: 2.765 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2392 | rvol_20: 0.46× · zscore_50: -0.542 · trend: 6.48% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5534 | ADX: 15.2 (weak) · Chop: 47.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6850 | ATR%: 3.945% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.521%
(0.1286)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.320% | 0.1R | -1.912% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.320% | 0.1R | -2.492% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.320% | 0.1R | -7.913% | 1.8R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.320% | 0.1R | -13.966% | 3.1R | 0.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.320% | 0.1R | -17.974% | 4.0R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.320% | 0.1R | -17.974% | 4.0R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +9.794% | 2.2R | -17.974% | 4.0R | 0.5× | 288 |
| 48h | +9.794% | 2.2R | -17.974% | 4.0R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.794% | 2.2R | -17.974% | 4.0R | 0.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 964 min
MAE in 474 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.14
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near -1.6ATR | — | 0.42 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.96 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.46 | bear_high | -2.15% | -0.84 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 47% | early | — | — | 0.56 | bear_medium | -0.91% | -0.46 | 29/10 02:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.69 | bear_low | -0.92% | +0.02 | 29/10 03:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444759
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.505 | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 7b -1.3ATR | near -1.6ATR | — | 0.60 | 33% | ↔ -0.06 | value | -2.70 | — | #211889 | 0.42 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.96 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:27
|
|
4h
#446193
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | 0.732 | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late 24b -2.3ATR | — | — | 3.04 | 88% | ↑ +0.28 | below_value | -4.54 | inside | #212506 | 0.46 | bear_high | -2.15% | -0.84 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 00:19
|
|
1h
anchor #447276
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.398 | expansion | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 47% | early 4b -1.0ATR | — | — | 0.50 | 42% | ↑ +0.16 | below_value | -4.15 | inside | #213003 | 0.56 | bear_medium | -0.91% | -0.46 |
29/10 02:00
upd 29/10 03:11
|
|
15m
#447570
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.537 | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 5b -0.5ATR | — | — | 0.57 | 35% | ↓ -0.38 | below_value | -4.15 | — | #213003 | 0.69 | bear_low | -0.92% | +0.02 |
29/10 03:45
upd 29/10 04:04
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 3.141×ATR | p30 | -1.257×ATR | p68 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 24b | — | 4.306×ATR | p64 | -2.269×ATR | p95 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.943×ATR | p14 | -0.956×ATR | p48 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.91×ATR | p17 | -0.517×ATR | p31 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 2.97325827
- tp_price: 2.7735825
- atr: 0.05142331
- expires_at: 2026-10-29T14:15:07+00:00
Details
- rank: 66
- total: 70
- score: 0.3167
- delta_2h: -0.0384
- extension_atr: -1.02
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1599
- confidence: 0.942
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.8447 | 2.9733 | 2.7736 | 0.55 | 2.7502 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.8447
- Stop Loss: 2.9733
- Take Profit: 2.7736
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.9733 - 2.8447 = 0.1286
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.8447 - 2.7736 = 0.0711
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0711 / 0.1286 = 0.5529
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 177.0217 | 100 | 62.2286 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.1286
Taille de position = 8 / 0.1286 = 62.21
Taille de position USD = 62.21 x 2.8447 = 176.97
Donc, tu peux acheter 62.21 avec un stoploss a 2.9733
Avec un position size USD de 176.97$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 62.21 x 0.1286 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 62.21 x 0.0711 = 4.42
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.42$
Résumé
- Taille de position 62.21
- Taille de position USD 176.97
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.42
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5529
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.42 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.52 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -4.52 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.5488 % | 100.62 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.8447 | 2.9733 | 2.7736 | 0.55 | 2.7502 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.8447
- Stop Loss: 2.9733
- Take Profit: 2.7736
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.9733 - 2.8447 = 0.1286
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.8447 - 2.7736 = 0.0711
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0711 / 0.1286 = 0.5529
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.7736
[entry_price] => 2.8447
[stop_loss] => 2.98616
[rr_ratio] => 0.5
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-10-29 10:30:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.7736
[entry_price] => 2.8447
[stop_loss] => 2.99902
[rr_ratio] => 0.46
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-29 10:30:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.7736
[entry_price] => 2.8447
[stop_loss] => 3.01188
[rr_ratio] => 0.43
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-10-29 10:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.7736
[entry_price] => 2.8447
[stop_loss] => 3.0376
[rr_ratio] => 0.37
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-29 10:45:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.521%
(0.1286)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.320% | 0.1R | -1.912% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.320% | 0.1R | -2.492% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.320% | 0.1R | -7.913% | 1.8R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.320% | 0.1R | -13.966% | 3.1R | 0.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.320% | 0.1R | -17.974% | 4.0R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.320% | 0.1R | -17.974% | 4.0R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +9.794% | 2.2R | -17.974% | 4.0R | 0.5× | 288 |
| 48h | +9.794% | 2.2R | -17.974% | 4.0R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.794% | 2.2R | -17.974% | 4.0R | 0.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 964 min
MAE in 474 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.