Short Trade on MON (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 10254.04 MON at 0.0202$ per unit. Take profit: 0.01967 (2.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02095 (3.87 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 04:15:08
hyperliquid
MON
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 04:15
→ 06:45
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.02017$
Qty 10254.0439 MON
Size 206.8548$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.01967 (+2.48%)
TP $ 5.13$
SL 0.02095 (-3.87%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.64
Status
loss
PnL
-3.87%
/ -8$
MAE -4.44%
MFE +0.17%
0.0R
expires
29 Oct 10:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 232073)
#65 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 04:00
score du 29/10/2026 04:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1453
Quality Score
0.427
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#65 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#65 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.89×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.15×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.46×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.00
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 04:03
29/10 04:03
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/10 02:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7224
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
transition
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
29.3%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.140
Δ 4h
▲+0.220
Δ 12h
▼-0.500
Δ 24h
▼-0.063
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 76.0% |
| 1h | 12.0% |
| 4h | 48.0% |
| 24h | 10.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 86.0% | +0.02% |
| 4h | 36.0% | -0.00% |
| 24h | 16.0% | -3.37% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.26
Tail ↓
+0.22
Dispersion :
0.060
Universe :
50
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.59
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 04:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2366
Score SMA
0.2759
Rank
#64
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0308
Rank Norm SMA
0.1733
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2249 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.91% · r3d: -1.82% · ema21_slope: -0.9114% · dist_ema21: -7.761% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3512 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.44% · rs_3d: -3.34% · beta_24h: 2.335 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1343 | rvol_20: 0.23× · zscore_50: -0.985 · trend: -66.72% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3632 | ADX: 20.1 (weak) · Chop: 75.8 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.825% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4273
Score SMA
0.5178
Rank
#65
/ 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1453
Rank Norm SMA
0.5149
Calculé le
29/10/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3204 | r1h: -0.656% · r4h: -1.148% · r1d: -6.52% · r3d: -5.58% · ema21_slope: -0.2003% · dist_ema21: -3.683% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3480 | rs_1h: -0.511% · rs_4h: -1.133% · rs_1d: -5.00% · rs_3d: -5.36% · beta_24h: 2.502 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2137 | rvol_20: 0.53× · zscore_50: -0.263 · trend: -29.76% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6673 | ADX: 20.1 (weak) · Chop: 31.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.646% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.3707
Score SMA
0.4695
Rank
#64
/ 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0864
Rank Norm SMA
0.4872
Calculé le
29/10/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2747 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.148% · r1d: -6.52% · r3d: -5.58% · ema21_slope: -0.0833% · dist_ema21: -5.436% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3483 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.133% · rs_1d: -5.00% · rs_3d: -5.36% · beta_24h: 2.378 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1855 | rvol_20: 0.52× · zscore_50: -0.539 · trend: -36.15% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4817 | ADX: 14.2 (weak) · Chop: 55.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8578 | ATR%: 3.427% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.867%
(0.0008)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.174% | 0.0R | -1.274% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.174% | 0.0R | -1.473% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.174% | 0.0R | -4.299% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.174% | 0.0R | -4.442% | 1.2R | 0.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.174% | 0.0R | -7.243% | 1.9R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.734% | 0.2R | -7.243% | 1.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +10.922% | 2.8R | -7.243% | 1.9R | 1.5× | 288 |
| 48h | +10.922% | 2.8R | -7.243% | 1.9R | 1.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.922% | 2.8R | -7.243% | 1.9R | 1.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 964 min
MAE in 474 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.12
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.59 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.81 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 33% | mid | near -1.2ATR | — | 0.59 | bear_high | -2.15% | -0.35 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
48%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.69 | bear_medium | -0.91% | -0.46 | 29/10 02:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_medium |
56%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.71 | bear_low | -0.92% | -0.14 | 29/10 03:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444749
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.530 | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late 26b -1.1ATR | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.32 | 19% | ↓ -0.61 | value | -0.59 | — | #211884 | 0.59 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.81 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:26
|
|
4h
#446178
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.574 | expansion | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 33% | mid 1b -1.6ATR | near -1.2ATR | — | 0.89 | 28% | ↓ -0.19 | below_value | -3.67 | inside | #212501 | 0.59 | bear_high | -2.15% | -0.35 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 00:18
|
|
1h
anchor #447271
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | 0.594 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
48%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late 1b -1.8ATR | — | — | 0.75 | 43% | ↔ -0.08 | below_value | -3.57 | — | #212998 | 0.69 | bear_medium | -0.91% | -0.46 |
29/10 02:00
upd 29/10 03:11
|
|
15m
#447565
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.465 | compression | bear_medium |
56%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late 9b -2.3ATR | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.60 | 39% | ↑ +0.24 | below_value | -3.57 | — | #212998 | 0.71 | bear_low | -0.92% | -0.14 |
29/10 03:45
upd 29/10 04:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 26b | — | 7.736×ATR | p96 | -1.051×ATR | p62 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 2.599×ATR | p27 | -1.604×ATR | p77 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 1.501×ATR | p2 | -1.794×ATR | p87 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 5.076×ATR | p91 | -2.282×ATR | p86 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.02095318
- tp_price: 0.01966868
- atr: 0.00031207
- expires_at: 2026-10-29T14:15:08+00:00
Details
- rank: 64
- total: 70
- score: 0.3296
- delta_2h: -0.0561
- extension_atr: -2.1
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.149
- confidence: 0.913
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02017 | 0.02095 | 0.01967 | 0.64 | 0.01462 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.02017
- Stop Loss: 0.02095
- Take Profit: 0.01967
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02095 - 0.02017 = 0.00078
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02017 - 0.01967 = 0.0005
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0005 / 0.00078 = 0.641
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 206.8548 | 100 | 10254.0439 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00078
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00078 = 10256.41
Taille de position USD = 10256.41 x 0.02017 = 206.87
Donc, tu peux acheter 10256.41 avec un stoploss a 0.02095
Avec un position size USD de 206.87$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 10256.41 x 0.00078 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 10256.41 x 0.0005 = 5.13
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.13$
Résumé
- Taille de position 10256.41
- Taille de position USD 206.87
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.13
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.641
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.48 % | 5.13 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.87 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -3.87 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.0307 % | 104.23 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02017 | 0.02095 | 0.01967 | 0.64 | 0.01462 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.02017
- Stop Loss: 0.02095
- Take Profit: 0.01967
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02095 - 0.02017 = 0.00078
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02017 - 0.01967 = 0.0005
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0005 / 0.00078 = 0.641
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01967
[entry_price] => 0.02017
[stop_loss] => 0.021028
[rr_ratio] => 0.58
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-10-29 10:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.867%
(0.0008)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.174% | 0.0R | -1.274% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.174% | 0.0R | -1.473% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.174% | 0.0R | -4.299% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.174% | 0.0R | -4.442% | 1.2R | 0.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.174% | 0.0R | -7.243% | 1.9R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.734% | 0.2R | -7.243% | 1.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +10.922% | 2.8R | -7.243% | 1.9R | 1.5× | 288 |
| 48h | +10.922% | 2.8R | -7.243% | 1.9R | 1.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.922% | 2.8R | -7.243% | 1.9R | 1.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 964 min
MAE in 474 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.