Short Trade on DOT (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 343.04 DOT at 0.972$ per unit. Take profit: 0.9141 (6 %) & Stop Loss: 0.9957 (2.4 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 04:20:15
hyperliquid
DOT
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 04:20
→ 06:50
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.9724$
Qty 343.0377 DOT
Size 333.5733$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.9141 (+6%)
TP $ 20$
SL 0.9957 (-2.4%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-2.40%
/ -7.99$
MAE -5.21%
MFE +1.69%
0.7R
expires
29 Oct 16:20
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 232041)
#45 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 04:00
score du 29/10/2026 04:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4556
Quality Score
0.477
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#45 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.40 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#45 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.40 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 1.13×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.64×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 04:16
29/10 04:16
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/10 03:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7225
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
transition
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
22.7%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
▼-0.067
Δ 1h
▼-0.273
Δ 4h
▲+0.153
Δ 12h
▼-0.652
Δ 24h
▼-0.378
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 52.0% |
| 1h | 70.0% |
| 4h | 20.0% |
| 24h | 2.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 54.0% | +0.02% |
| 4h | 44.0% | -0.52% |
| 24h | 16.0% | -3.46% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.25
Tail ↓
+0.31
Dispersion :
0.097
Universe :
50
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.59
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 04:16
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2929
Score SMA
0.3009
Rank
#54
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1846
Rank Norm SMA
0.2932
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2943 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.02% · r3d: -1.67% · ema21_slope: -0.5392% · dist_ema21: -7.964% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3783 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.49% · rs_3d: -3.19% · beta_24h: 1.433 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2124 | rvol_20: 0.64× · zscore_50: -0.627 · trend: -26.35% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4504 | ADX: 16.8 (weak) · Chop: 61.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.456% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4767
Score SMA
0.4971
Rank
#45
/ 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4556
Rank Norm SMA
0.3729
Calculé le
29/10/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4340 | r1h: -0.153% · r4h: 0.358% · r1d: -3.05% · r3d: -3.55% · ema21_slope: -0.1060% · dist_ema21: -1.955% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4605 | rs_1h: -0.008% · rs_4h: 0.373% · rs_1d: -1.54% · rs_3d: -3.33% · beta_24h: 2.066 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1580 | rvol_20: 0.09× · zscore_50: -1.171 · trend: -22.98% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6697 | ADX: 20.4 (weak) · Chop: 32.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.357% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4258
Score SMA
0.4420
Rank
#47
/ 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3526
Rank Norm SMA
0.3252
Calculé le
29/10/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2751 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.358% · r1d: -3.05% · r3d: -3.55% · ema21_slope: -0.2165% · dist_ema21: -3.701% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4023 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.373% · rs_1d: -1.54% · rs_3d: -3.33% · beta_24h: 1.938 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2672 | rvol_20: 0.80× · zscore_50: -0.554 · trend: -7.46% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5908 | ADX: 26.7 (trend) · Chop: 54.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.687% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.396%
(0.0233)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.296% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.714% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.418% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.214% | 2.2R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.686% | 0.7R | -5.214% | 2.2R | 0.3× | 143 |
| 24h | +10.453% | 4.4R | -5.214% | 2.2R | 2.0× | 288 |
| 36h | +10.453% | 4.4R | -5.214% | 2.2R | 2.0× | 432 |
| 48h | +10.453% | 4.4R | -5.214% | 2.2R | 2.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.453% | 4.4R | -5.214% | 2.2R | 2.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 959 min
MAE in 464 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.28
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.61 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.61 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.55 | bear_high | -2.12% | -0.47 | 29/10 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | — | 0.57 | bear_medium | -1.03% | -0.28 | 29/10 03:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 50% | mid | — | — | 0.72 | range_low | -0.70% | +0.06 | 29/10 04:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444660
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | 0.606 | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid 18b -1.2ATR | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.64 | 73% | ↓ -0.37 | value | +0.39 | — | #211854 | 0.61 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.61 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:21
|
|
4h
#447629
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.639 | normal | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid 2b -1.5ATR | — | — | 0.80 | 32% | ↑ +0.27 | above_value | -2.26 | inside | #213107 | 0.55 | bear_high | -2.12% | -0.47 |
29/10 00:00
upd 29/10 04:14
|
|
1h
anchor #447628
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.408 | expansion | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid 4b -1.3ATR | — | — | 0.09 | 2% | ↓ -0.16 | above_value | -2.26 | inside | #213107 | 0.57 | bear_medium | -1.03% | -0.28 |
29/10 03:00
upd 29/10 04:14
|
|
15m
#447727
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.512 | compression | bear_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 50% | mid 10b -0.8ATR | — | — | 1.65 | 78% | ↓ -0.80 | above_value | -2.26 | — | #213107 | 0.72 | range_low | -0.70% | +0.06 |
29/10 04:00
upd 29/10 04:19
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 18b | — | 3.786×ATR | p40 | -1.196×ATR | p62 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 2.633×ATR | p14 | -1.516×ATR | p75 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 0.827×ATR | p0 | -1.252×ATR | p61 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 3.08×ATR | p54 | -0.755×ATR | p46 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8026
- reason: down_bo width=2.69×ATR dur=47b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.99573105
- tp_price: 0.91410738
- atr:
- score: 0.80262901363272
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-10-29T20:20:07.660574
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.80262901363272
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1053
- obi_top10 : 0.1517
- micro_price : 0.9786735
- spread_pct : 0.102249
- mid_price : 0.9785
- bid_wall_price : 0.976
- bid_wall_size : 400720.4
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.992
- ask_wall_size : 744953
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0943
- obi_top5_std : 0.0146
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6967
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
1.0112
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.977775
- balance_zone_mid:
0.9944875
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793095200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793260800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.6879
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
47
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8026
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793253600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.977775
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6809
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
2
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.4314
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
8
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
7
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.01243549 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
47
inside_close_ratio
0.6809
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
0.4314
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:20 | 0.97241000 | +0.001% |
| 2 | 04:29 | 0.97241000 | +0.001% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6967ms
Confidence avant OB :
80%
→
80%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.105
avg 0.094
± 0.015
OBI Top 10
0.152
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.9785
Micro Price
0.9787
Spread
0.1022%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.9760
Size
400,720.40
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.9920
Size
744,953.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.9724 | 0.9957 | 0.9141 | 2.5 | 0.6941 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.9724
- Stop Loss: 0.9957
- Take Profit: 0.9141
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.9957 - 0.9724 = 0.0233
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.9724 - 0.9141 = 0.0583
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0583 / 0.0233 = 2.5021
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 333.5733 | 100 | 343.0377 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0233
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0233 = 343.35
Taille de position USD = 343.35 x 0.9724 = 333.87
Donc, tu peux acheter 343.35 avec un stoploss a 0.9957
Avec un position size USD de 333.87$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 343.35 x 0.0233 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 343.35 x 0.0583 = 20.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.02$
Résumé
- Taille de position 343.35
- Taille de position USD 333.87
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.02
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5021
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.4 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -2.40 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.4064 % | 100.43 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.9724 | 0.9957 | 0.9141 | 2.5 | 0.6941 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.9724
- Stop Loss: 0.9957
- Take Profit: 0.9141
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.9957 - 0.9724 = 0.0233
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.9724 - 0.9141 = 0.0583
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0583 / 0.0233 = 2.5021
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.9141
[entry_price] => 0.9724
[stop_loss] => 0.99803
[rr_ratio] => 2.27
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-10-29 13:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.396%
(0.0233)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.296% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.714% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.418% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.214% | 2.2R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.686% | 0.7R | -5.214% | 2.2R | 0.3× | 143 |
| 24h | +10.453% | 4.4R | -5.214% | 2.2R | 2.0× | 288 |
| 36h | +10.453% | 4.4R | -5.214% | 2.2R | 2.0× | 432 |
| 48h | +10.453% | 4.4R | -5.214% | 2.2R | 2.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.453% | 4.4R | -5.214% | 2.2R | 2.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 959 min
MAE in 464 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.