Short Trade on WLD (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 502.8 WLD at 0.417$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3775 (9.54 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4332 (3.81 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 05:09:21
hyperliquid
WLD
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 05:09
→ 11:40
· 6 hours
Position
Entry 0.4173$
Qty 502.8034 WLD
Size 209.8148$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3775 (+9.54%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 0.4332 (-3.81%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-3.81%
/ -7.99$
MAE -6.36%
MFE +9.83%
2.6R
expires
29 Oct 17:09
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 232178)
#59 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 05:00
score du 29/10/2026 05:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1176
Quality Score
0.469
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#59 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#59 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.34×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.01×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
20.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 05:00
29/10 05:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/10 03:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7228
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
transition
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
24.5%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→-0.048
Δ 4h
▲+0.152
Δ 12h
▼-0.538
Δ 24h
▼-0.429
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 63.3% |
| 1h | 91.8% |
| 4h | 26.5% |
| 24h | 4.1% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 63.3% | +0.04% |
| 4h | 44.9% | -0.31% |
| 24h | 14.3% | -3.11% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.39
Tail ↓
+0.29
Dispersion :
0.091
Universe :
49
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.59
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 05:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2860
Score SMA
0.3726
Rank
#59
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1077
Rank Norm SMA
0.5094
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3087 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.33% · r3d: -2.76% · ema21_slope: -0.2795% · dist_ema21: -11.189% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2936 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.86% · rs_3d: -4.27% · beta_24h: 2.795 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2083 | rvol_20: 0.50× · zscore_50: -0.637 · trend: -11.94% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5225 | ADX: 17.5 (weak) · Chop: 53.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 11.033% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 05:00
Score brut
0.4687
Score SMA
0.4490
Rank
#59
/ 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1176
Rank Norm SMA
0.1904
Calculé le
29/10/2026 05:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3954 | r1h: 1.092% · r4h: 0.043% · r1d: -4.56% · r3d: -5.44% · ema21_slope: -0.1887% · dist_ema21: -1.946% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4618 | rs_1h: 0.829% · rs_4h: 0.284% · rs_1d: -2.80% · rs_3d: -5.23% · beta_24h: 2.241 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1766 | rvol_20: 0.46× · zscore_50: -0.836 · trend: -25.76% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6618 | ADX: 19.4 (weak) · Chop: 34.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.731% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.3402
Score SMA
0.3935
Rank
#67
/ 71
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0431
Rank Norm SMA
0.1887
Calculé le
29/10/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1657 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.629% · r1d: -5.37% · r3d: -5.35% · ema21_slope: -0.3768% · dist_ema21: -6.471% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2713 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.614% · rs_1d: -3.85% · rs_3d: -5.13% · beta_24h: 2.107 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2093 | rvol_20: 0.75× · zscore_50: -0.652 · trend: -40.76% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6831 | ADX: 41.5 (trend) · Chop: 58.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7834 | ATR%: 3.650% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.810%
(0.0159)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.235% | 0.1R | -0.966% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.235% | 0.1R | -2.123% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.235% | 0.1R | -2.123% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.235% | 0.1R | -6.362% | 1.7R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +9.828% | 2.6R | -6.362% | 1.7R | 1.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +13.666% | 3.6R | -6.362% | 1.7R | 2.2× | 288 |
| 36h | +13.666% | 3.6R | -6.362% | 1.7R | 2.2× | 432 |
| 48h | +13.666% | 3.6R | -6.362% | 1.7R | 2.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +13.666% | 3.6R | -6.362% | 1.7R | 2.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 910 min
MAE in 415 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.14
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.46 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.70 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | normal | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -2.12% | -0.69 | 29/10 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | — | 0.57 | bear_medium | -1.03% | -0.36 | 29/10 03:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.69 | range_low | -0.61% | +0.02 | 29/10 04:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444644
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.622 | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid 7b -1.1ATR | — | — | 0.50 | 59% | ↑ +0.16 | above_value | +0.12 | — | #211850 | 0.46 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.70 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:20
|
|
4h
#447619
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | 0.727 | normal | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late 2b -2.1ATR | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.75 | 22% | ↔ -0.11 | above_value | -3.57 | — | #213102 | 0.49 | bear_high | -2.12% | -0.69 |
29/10 00:00
upd 29/10 04:13
|
|
1h
anchor #447618
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | 0.590 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid 2b -1.6ATR | — | — | 1.11 | 49% | ↓ -0.28 | above_value | -3.57 | inside | #213102 | 0.57 | bear_medium | -1.03% | -0.36 |
29/10 03:00
upd 29/10 04:13
|
|
15m
#447960
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.409 | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid 6b 0.3ATR | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.33 | 17% | ↔ -0.00 | above_value | -3.57 | — | #213102 | 0.69 | range_low | -0.61% | +0.02 |
29/10 04:45
upd 29/10 05:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 3.326×ATR | p21 | -1.124×ATR | p60 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 2.651×ATR | p32 | -2.146×ATR | p88 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 1.469×ATR | p0 | -1.621×ATR | p73 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 2.629×ATR | p50 | +0.266×ATR | p17 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7874
- reason: down_bo width=2.25×ATR dur=46b phase=extending
- stop_price: 0.43320079
- tp_price: 0.37751301
- atr:
- score: 0.78738261648135
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-10-29T21:09:13.632444
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.78738261648135
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0461
- obi_top10 : 0.053
- micro_price : 0.4207491
- spread_pct : 0.02377
- mid_price : 0.42075
- bid_wall_price : 0.42
- bid_wall_size : 1281120.4
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.426
- ask_wall_size : 1557135
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0254
- obi_top5_std : 0.04
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6959
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.4402
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.424835
- balance_zone_mid:
0.4325175
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793102400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793264400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.2487
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
46
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7874
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793235600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.424835
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6739
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
8
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.1042
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
16
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00683294 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
46
inside_close_ratio
0.6739
bars_since_breakout
8
distance_to_edge_atr
1.1042
Signaux confirmants (12)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:09 | 0.41729000 | -0.002% |
| 2 | 05:18 | 0.41729000 | -0.002% |
| 3 | 05:27 | 0.41729000 | -0.002% |
| 4 | 05:37 | 0.41684000 | -0.11% |
| 5 | 05:46 | 0.41684000 | -0.11% |
| 6 | 05:55 | 0.41684000 | -0.11% |
| 7 | 06:08 | 0.41844000 | +0.273% |
| 8 | 06:18 | 0.41844000 | +0.273% |
| 9 | 06:27 | 0.41844000 | +0.273% |
| 10 | 06:37 | 0.41996000 | +0.637% |
| 11 | 06:46 | 0.41996000 | +0.637% |
| 12 | 06:55 | 0.41996000 | +0.637% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6959ms
Confidence avant OB :
79%
→
79%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.046
avg 0.025
± 0.040
OBI Top 10
0.053
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.4208
Micro Price
0.4207
Spread
0.0238%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.4200
Size
1,281,120.40
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.4260
Size
1,557,135.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4173 | 0.4332 | 0.3775 | 2.5 | 0.2519 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.4173
- Stop Loss: 0.4332
- Take Profit: 0.3775
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4332 - 0.4173 = 0.0159
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4173 - 0.3775 = 0.0398
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0398 / 0.0159 = 2.5031
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 209.8148 | 100 | 502.8034 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0159
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0159 = 503.14
Taille de position USD = 503.14 x 0.4173 = 209.96
Donc, tu peux acheter 503.14 avec un stoploss a 0.4332
Avec un position size USD de 209.96$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 503.14 x 0.0159 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 503.14 x 0.0398 = 20.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.02$
Résumé
- Taille de position 503.14
- Taille de position USD 209.96
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.02
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5031
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 9.54 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.81 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -3.81 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.8605 % | 101.32 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4173 | 0.4332 | 0.3775 | 2.5 | 0.2519 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.4173
- Stop Loss: 0.4332
- Take Profit: 0.3775
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4332 - 0.4173 = 0.0159
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4173 - 0.3775 = 0.0398
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0398 / 0.0159 = 2.5031
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.810%
(0.0159)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.235% | 0.1R | -0.966% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.235% | 0.1R | -2.123% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.235% | 0.1R | -2.123% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.235% | 0.1R | -6.362% | 1.7R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +9.828% | 2.6R | -6.362% | 1.7R | 1.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +13.666% | 3.6R | -6.362% | 1.7R | 2.2× | 288 |
| 36h | +13.666% | 3.6R | -6.362% | 1.7R | 2.2× | 432 |
| 48h | +13.666% | 3.6R | -6.362% | 1.7R | 2.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +13.666% | 3.6R | -6.362% | 1.7R | 2.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 910 min
MAE in 415 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.