Short Trade on PYTH (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 3199.97 PYTH at 0.0704$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06419 (8.87 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07294 (3.55 %)
Short Trade on PYTH (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 3199.97 PYTH at 0.0704$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06419 (8.87 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07294 (3.55 %)
Position
Entry 0.07044$
Qty 3199.9744 PYTH
Size 225.4062$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.06419 (+8.87%)
TP $ 20$
SL 0.07294 (-3.55%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2210
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.81×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.59×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.08×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/10 06:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 45.8% |
| 1h | 25.0% |
| 4h | 91.7% |
| 24h | 14.6% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 45.8% | -0.00% |
| 4h | 83.3% | +1.80% |
| 24h | 29.2% | -2.04% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3962 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.93% · r3d: -1.77% · ema21_slope: -0.3319% · dist_ema21: -2.699% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4293 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.40% · rs_3d: -3.28% · beta_24h: -0.168 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2006 | rvol_20: 0.47× · zscore_50: -0.246 · trend: -37.25% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6879 | ADX: 29.0 (trend) · Chop: 44.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.322% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4567 | r1h: 1.150% · r4h: 0.573% · r1d: -2.70% · r3d: -5.93% · ema21_slope: -0.1417% · dist_ema21: -0.927% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4827 | rs_1h: 1.043% · rs_4h: 0.158% · rs_1d: -1.22% · rs_3d: -5.85% · beta_24h: 1.914 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1888 | rvol_20: 0.27× · zscore_50: -0.169 · trend: -59.05% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6624 | ADX: 21.3 (weak) · Chop: 40.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.584% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3271 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.195% · r1d: -2.75% · r3d: -3.80% · ema21_slope: -0.1108% · dist_ema21: -3.340% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4273 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.180% · rs_1d: -1.24% · rs_3d: -3.58% · beta_24h: 2.142 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2423 | rvol_20: 0.38× · zscore_50: -0.632 · trend: 13.36% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4252 | ADX: 15.0 (weak) · Chop: 62.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9261 | ATR%: 3.222% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.698% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.789% | 0.5R | -7.310% | 2.1R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.789% | 0.5R | -8.434% | 2.4R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.526% | 1.0R | -8.434% | 2.4R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +10.355% | 2.9R | -8.434% | 2.4R | 1.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +16.772% | 4.7R | -8.434% | 2.4R | 2.0× | 288 |
| 36h | +16.772% | 4.7R | -8.434% | 2.4R | 2.0× | 432 |
| 48h | +16.772% | 4.7R | -8.434% | 2.4R | 2.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +16.772% | 4.7R | -8.434% | 2.4R | 2.0× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near -1.1ATR | — | 0.57 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.73 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.52 | bear_high | -2.12% | -0.57 | 29/10 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.59 | range_medium | -0.44% | -0.09 | 29/10 06:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | weak | grind | normal | bear_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.64 | range_low | -0.25% | -0.06 | 29/10 06:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444694
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.702 | normal | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid 13b -0.3ATR | near -1.1ATR | — | 0.47 | 83% | ↓ -0.55 | above_value | -0.67 | — | #211862 | 0.57 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.73 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:23
|
|
4h
#447645
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.411 | normal | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid 2b -1.2ATR | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.38 | 20% | ↓ -0.16 | below_value | -3.80 | — | #213115 | 0.52 | bear_high | -2.12% | -0.57 |
29/10 00:00
upd 29/10 04:14
|
|
1h
anchor #448763
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.484 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 5b -0.5ATR | — | — | 0.27 | 50% | ↔ +0.08 | below_value | -3.29 | — | #213604 | 0.59 | range_medium | -0.44% | -0.09 |
29/10 06:00
upd 29/10 07:10
|
|
15m
#448693
|
↓ down | range | range | weak | grind | 0.452 | normal | bear_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early 2b 0.9ATR | — | near 0.3ATR | 3.74 | 91% | ↔ +0.11 | below_value | -4.11 | — | #213466 | 0.64 | range_low | -0.25% | -0.06 |
29/10 06:45
upd 29/10 07:02
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 13b | — | 3.974×ATR | p50 | -0.268×ATR | p15 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 2.056×ATR | p3 | -1.188×ATR | p67 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 0.663×ATR | p2 | -0.528×ATR | p27 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 2.525×ATR | p46 | +0.926×ATR | p50 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.073981
0.071687
0.072834
1793070000
1793271600
2.1638
57
0.7574
1793235600
0.071687
0.6667
10
1.1762
0
7
8
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:16 | 0.07044000 | 0% |
| 2 | 07:25 | 0.07044000 | 0% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07044 | 0.07294 | 0.06419 | 2.5 | 0.05658 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07294 - 0.07044 = 0.0025
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07044 - 0.06419 = 0.00625
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00625 / 0.0025 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 225.4062 | 100 | 3199.9744 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0025 = 3200
Taille de position USD = 3200 x 0.07044 = 225.41
Donc, tu peux acheter 3200 avec un stoploss a 0.07294
Avec un position size USD de 225.41$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 3200 x 0.0025 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 3200 x 0.00625 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.87 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.55 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -3.55 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -7.3098 % | 205.96 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07044 | 0.07294 | 0.06419 | 2.5 | 0.05658 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07294 - 0.07044 = 0.0025
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07044 - 0.06419 = 0.00625
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00625 / 0.0025 = 2.5
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.06419
[entry_price] => 0.07044
[stop_loss] => 0.07319
[rr_ratio] => 2.27
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-10-29 13:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.06419
[entry_price] => 0.07044
[stop_loss] => 0.07344
[rr_ratio] => 2.08
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-29 13:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.06419
[entry_price] => 0.07044
[stop_loss] => 0.07369
[rr_ratio] => 1.92
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-10-29 13:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.06419
[entry_price] => 0.07044
[stop_loss] => 0.07419
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-29 13:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.698% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.789% | 0.5R | -7.310% | 2.1R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.789% | 0.5R | -8.434% | 2.4R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.526% | 1.0R | -8.434% | 2.4R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +10.355% | 2.9R | -8.434% | 2.4R | 1.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +16.772% | 4.7R | -8.434% | 2.4R | 2.0× | 288 |
| 36h | +16.772% | 4.7R | -8.434% | 2.4R | 2.0× | 432 |
| 48h | +16.772% | 4.7R | -8.434% | 2.4R | 2.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +16.772% | 4.7R | -8.434% | 2.4R | 2.0× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
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