29 Oct 2026 at 07:16:58 hyperliquid

Short Trade on PYTH (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 3199.97 PYTH at 0.0704$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06419 (8.87 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07294 (3.55 %)

PYTH SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 29 Oct 2026 07:16 → 09:15 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.07044$

Qty 3199.9744 PYTH

Size 225.4062$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.06419 (+8.87%)

TP $ 20$

SL 0.07294 (-3.55%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -3.55% / -8$ MAE -8.43% MFE +10.35% 2.9R expires 29 Oct 19:16

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 232327)
#47 / 68
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 07:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2210

Quality Score
0.495
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#47 / 68
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.55 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#47 / 68
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.55 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.81×ATR
4h near -0.59×ATR
1d near -1.08×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 07:16
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

27/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

29/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/10 06:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7237
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

compression

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.73
Transition risk : 0.27
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 71.5%
Macro alt_rotation
Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state expanding
Δ 15m
▲+0.104
Δ 1h
▲+0.130
Δ 4h
▲+0.215
Δ 12h
▲+0.290
Δ 24h
▲+0.126

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 45.8%
1h 25.0%
4h 91.7%
24h 14.6%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 45.8% -0.00%
4h 83.3% +1.80%
24h 29.2% -2.04%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
8.3%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
8.3%
Tail ↑
+0.29
Tail ↓
+0.48
Dispersion : 0.189
Universe : 48 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.59
Snapshot évalué : 29/10 07:16 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3695
Score SMA
0.4704
Rank
#26 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6154
Rank Norm SMA
0.7673
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3962 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.93% · r3d: -1.77% · ema21_slope: -0.3319% · dist_ema21: -2.699%
Force Relative 25% 0.4293 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.40% · rs_3d: -3.28% · beta_24h: -0.168
Volume 20% 0.2006 rvol_20: 0.47× · zscore_50: -0.246 · trend: -37.25%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6879 ADX: 29.0 (trend) · Chop: 44.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.322% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.4948
Score SMA
0.5208
Rank
#47 / 68
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2210
Rank Norm SMA
0.4547
Calculé le
29/10/2026 07:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4567 r1h: 1.150% · r4h: 0.573% · r1d: -2.70% · r3d: -5.93% · ema21_slope: -0.1417% · dist_ema21: -0.927%
Force Relative 25% 0.4827 rs_1h: 1.043% · rs_4h: 0.158% · rs_1d: -1.22% · rs_3d: -5.85% · beta_24h: 1.914
Volume 20% 0.1888 rvol_20: 0.27× · zscore_50: -0.169 · trend: -59.05%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6624 ADX: 21.3 (weak) · Chop: 40.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.584% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4098
Score SMA
0.4270
Rank
#54 / 71
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3388
Rank Norm SMA
0.3252
Calculé le
29/10/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3271 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.195% · r1d: -2.75% · r3d: -3.80% · ema21_slope: -0.1108% · dist_ema21: -3.340%
Force Relative 25% 0.4273 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.180% · rs_1d: -1.24% · rs_3d: -3.58% · beta_24h: 2.142
Volume 20% 0.2423 rvol_20: 0.38× · zscore_50: -0.632 · trend: 13.36%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4252 ADX: 15.0 (weak) · Chop: 62.9 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.9261 ATR%: 3.222% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -3.549% (0.0025)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.698% 0.5R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +1.789% 0.5R -7.310% 2.1R 0.2× 24
4h +1.789% 0.5R -8.434% 2.4R 0.2× 48
8h +3.526% 1.0R -8.434% 2.4R 0.4× 96
12h ★ +10.355% 2.9R -8.434% 2.4R 1.2× 144
24h +16.772% 4.7R -8.434% 2.4R 2.0× 288
36h +16.772% 4.7R -8.434% 2.4R 2.0× 432
48h +16.772% 4.7R -8.434% 2.4R 2.0× 576
72h +16.772% 4.7R -8.434% 2.4R 2.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 803 min MAE in 123 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.53
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind normal bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 37% mid near -1.1ATR — 0.57 bull_high +4.55% -0.73 27/10 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive normal bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 38% mid near -0.6ATR — 0.52 bear_high -2.12% -0.57 29/10 00:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 38% early — — 0.59 range_medium -0.44% -0.09 29/10 06:00
15m ↓ down range range weak grind normal bear_medium
58%
noisy_chop 43% early — near 0.3ATR 0.64 range_low -0.25% -0.06 29/10 06:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#444694
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.702 normal bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 37% mid 13b -0.3ATR near -1.1ATR — 0.47 83% ↓ -0.55 above_value -0.67 — #211862 0.57 bull_high +4.55% -0.73
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:23
4h
#447645
↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive 0.411 normal bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 38% mid 2b -1.2ATR near -0.6ATR — 0.38 20% ↓ -0.16 below_value -3.80 — #213115 0.52 bear_high -2.12% -0.57
29/10 00:00
upd 29/10 04:14
1h anchor
#448763
↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.484 volatile_reversal bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 38% early 5b -0.5ATR — — 0.27 50% ↔ +0.08 below_value -3.29 — #213604 0.59 range_medium -0.44% -0.09
29/10 06:00
upd 29/10 07:10
15m
#448693
↓ down range range weak grind 0.452 normal bear_medium
58%
noisy_chop 43% early 2b 0.9ATR — near 0.3ATR 3.74 91% ↔ +0.11 below_value -4.11 — #213466 0.64 range_low -0.25% -0.06
29/10 06:45
upd 29/10 07:02
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 13b — 3.974×ATR p50 -0.268×ATR p15
4h ↓ down mid 2b — 2.056×ATR p3 -1.188×ATR p67
1h ↓ down early 5b — 0.663×ATR p2 -0.528×ATR p27
15m ↑ up early 2b — 2.525×ATR p46 +0.926×ATR p50

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.7574
  3. reason: down_bo width=2.16×ATR dur=57b phase=extending
  4. stop_price: 0.07294002
  5. tp_price: 0.06418996
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.75743644683739
  8. exit_rules:
  9. expires_at: 2026-10-29T23:16:50.736656
  10. max_bars: 12
  11. max_bars_tf: 1h
  12. confidence_pre_ob: 0.75743644683739
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.0194
  14. obi_top10 : -0.1541
  15. micro_price : 0.07016179
  16. spread_pct : 0.057013
  17. mid_price : 0.07018
  18. bid_wall_price : 0.07
  19. bid_wall_size : 1480349.6
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 0.0704
  22. ask_wall_size : 1946695
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : -0.0031
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0141
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 6850
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.0001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    0.073981
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.071687
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.072834
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1793070000
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1793271600
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.1638
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    57
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.7574
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1793235600
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.071687
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.6667
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    10
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    1.1762
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    7
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    8
  59. regime : bear_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.00106018
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
57
inside_close_ratio
0.6667
bars_since_breakout
10
distance_to_edge_atr
1.1762

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 07:16 0.07044000 0%
2 07:25 0.07044000 0%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6850ms Confidence avant OB : 76% → 76%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.019
avg -0.003 ± 0.014
OBI Top 10 -0.154

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.0702
Micro Price
0.0702
Spread
0.0570%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.0700
Size
1,480,349.60

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.0704
Size
1,946,695.00

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.07044 0.07294 0.06419 2.5 0.05658
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.07044
  • Stop Loss: 0.07294
  • Take Profit: 0.06419

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.07294 - 0.07044 = 0.0025

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.07044 - 0.06419 = 0.00625

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00625 / 0.0025 = 2.5

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
225.4062 100 3199.9744 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0025

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0025 = 3200

Taille de position USD = 3200 x 0.07044 = 225.41

Donc, tu peux acheter 3200 avec un stoploss a 0.07294

Avec un position size USD de 225.41$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 3200 x 0.0025 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 3200 x 0.00625 = 20

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 3200
  • Taille de position USD 225.41
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
8.87 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.55 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -3.55
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-7.3098 % 205.96 % 1
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.07044 0.07294 0.06419 2.5 0.05658
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.07044
  • Stop Loss: 0.07294
  • Take Profit: 0.06419

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.07294 - 0.07044 = 0.0025

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.07044 - 0.06419 = 0.00625

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00625 / 0.0025 = 2.5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.06419
            [entry_price] => 0.07044
            [stop_loss] => 0.07319
            [rr_ratio] => 2.27
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 13:15:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.06419
            [entry_price] => 0.07044
            [stop_loss] => 0.07344
            [rr_ratio] => 2.08
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 13:15:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.06419
            [entry_price] => 0.07044
            [stop_loss] => 0.07369
            [rr_ratio] => 1.92
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 13:15:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.06419
            [entry_price] => 0.07044
            [stop_loss] => 0.07419
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 13:15:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -3.549% (0.0025)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.698% 0.5R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +1.789% 0.5R -7.310% 2.1R 0.2× 24
4h +1.789% 0.5R -8.434% 2.4R 0.2× 48
8h +3.526% 1.0R -8.434% 2.4R 0.4× 96
12h ★ +10.355% 2.9R -8.434% 2.4R 1.2× 144
24h +16.772% 4.7R -8.434% 2.4R 2.0× 288
36h +16.772% 4.7R -8.434% 2.4R 2.0× 432
48h +16.772% 4.7R -8.434% 2.4R 2.0× 576
72h +16.772% 4.7R -8.434% 2.4R 2.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 803 min MAE in 123 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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