29 Oct 2026 at 07:26:47 hyperliquid

Long Trade on HYPE (PavLongMomentum4h)

With 1.52 HYPE at 86.251$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 86.3068 (0.065 %)

HYPE LONG PavLongMomentum4h hyperliquid 29 Oct 2026 07:26 → 07:30 · 3 minutes

Position

Entry 86.251$

Qty 1.5236 HYPE

Size 131.4078$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 131.41$

SL 86.3068 (-0.065%)

SL $ 0.085$

RR

Status loss PnL +0.06% / +0.085$ MAE -0.28% MFE +9.73% 150.4R

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 232338)
#1 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 07:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6963

Quality Score
0.772
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#1 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.06 %
TIGHT
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#1 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.06 %
TIGHT
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear 1.26×ATR
1d clear 4.25×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie PavLongMomentum4h. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie PavLongMomentum4h. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
632.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 07:16
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

27/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2)

29/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

29/10 06:00

Score : +2 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7237
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

compression

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.73
Transition risk : 0.27
Score contribution (this trade) -1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 71.5%
Macro alt_rotation
Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state expanding
Δ 15m
▲+0.104
Δ 1h
▲+0.130
Δ 4h
▲+0.215
Δ 12h
▲+0.290
Δ 24h
▲+0.126

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 45.8%
1h 25.0%
4h 91.7%
24h 14.6%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 45.8% -0.00%
4h 83.3% +1.80%
24h 29.2% -2.04%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
8.3%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
8.3%
Tail ↑
+0.29
Tail ↓
+0.48
Dispersion : 0.189
Universe : 48 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.59
Snapshot évalué : 29/10 07:16 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3907
Score SMA
0.3673
Rank
#20 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7077
Rank Norm SMA
0.6028
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3656 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.79% · r3d: 5.69% · ema21_slope: -0.3885% · dist_ema21: -0.337%
Force Relative 25% 0.5162 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.32% · rs_3d: 4.18% · beta_24h: 1.404
Volume 20% 0.2712 rvol_20: 0.93× · zscore_50: -0.649 · trend: -16.01%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4047 ADX: 23.2 (weak) · Chop: 73.9 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.3702 ATR%: 4.889% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.7717
Score SMA
0.5385
Rank
#1 / 68
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6963
Rank Norm SMA
0.6243
Calculé le
29/10/2026 07:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6924 r1h: 7.891% · r4h: 8.305% · r1d: 4.52% · r3d: 11.17% · ema21_slope: -0.0561% · dist_ema21: 6.657%
Force Relative 25% 0.9188 rs_1h: 7.783% · rs_4h: 7.891% · rs_1d: 6.00% · rs_3d: 11.26% · beta_24h: 1.693
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 9.05× · zscore_50: 6.498 · trend: 251.12%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7013 ADX: 24.2 (weak) · Chop: 11.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.365% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.5178
Score SMA
0.5194
Rank
#11 / 71
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8416
Rank Norm SMA
0.6939
Calculé le
29/10/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5244 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.591% · r1d: -2.83% · r3d: 3.03% · ema21_slope: 0.2032% · dist_ema21: -0.594%
Force Relative 25% 0.5443 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.606% · rs_1d: -1.31% · rs_3d: 3.25% · beta_24h: 1.841
Volume 20% 0.1971 rvol_20: 0.44× · zscore_50: -0.904 · trend: -6.97%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5663 ADX: 22.0 (weak) · Chop: 52.6 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.009% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: PavLongMomentum4h (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -0.065% (0.0558)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +3.175% 49.1R -0.284% 4.4R 11.2× 12
2h +6.823% 105.5R -0.284% 4.4R 24.0× 24
4h ★ +9.731% 150.4R -0.284% 4.4R 34.3× 48
8h +12.590% 194.6R -0.284% 4.4R 44.3× 96
12h +12.590% 194.6R -0.284% 4.4R 44.3× 144
24h +12.590% 194.6R -0.284% 4.4R 44.3× 288
48h +12.590% 194.6R -0.284% 4.4R 44.3× 576
72h +12.590% 194.6R -0.284% 4.4R 44.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 303 min MAE in 3 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 8
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 35% mid near -1.0ATR — 0.48 bull_high +4.55% -0.37 27/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced expansion bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 36% early near 0.0ATR — 0.66 bear_high -2.12% +0.35 29/10 00:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
56%
noisy_chop 51% late — — 0.60 range_medium -0.44% +0.63 29/10 06:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate fading volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
55%
choppy 55% late — — 0.42 range_low -0.34% +0.72 29/10 07:00
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#444719
↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.553 compression bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 35% mid 35b -0.1ATR near -1.0ATR — 0.93 45% ↔ +0.10 above_value +3.87 — #211870 0.48 bull_high +4.55% -0.37
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:24
4h
#447672
↔ neutral range range moderate balanced 0.599 expansion bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 36% early 5b -0.3ATR near 0.0ATR — 0.44 20% ↔ -0.12 value +1.30 — #213125 0.66 bear_high -2.12% +0.35
29/10 00:00
upd 29/10 04:16
1h anchor
#448774
↔ neutral range range moderate explosive 0.654 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
56%
noisy_chop 51% late 7b 4.8ATR — — 9.05 100% ↔ -0.04 above_value +6.72 inside #213615 0.60 range_medium -0.44% +0.63
29/10 06:00
upd 29/10 07:10
15m
#448844
↔ neutral range range moderate fading 0.335 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
55%
choppy 55% late 14b 7.0ATR — — 4.41 99% ↑ +0.85 above_value +6.72 — #213615 0.42 range_low -0.34% +0.72
29/10 07:00
upd 29/10 07:17
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 35b — 4.427×ATR p57 -0.074×ATR p5
4h ↓ down early 5b — 2.282×ATR p10 -0.306×ATR p18
1h ↑ up late 7b — 6.382×ATR p98 +4.768×ATR p100
15m ↑ up late 14b — 10.115×ATR p100 +7.006×ATR p99

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

PavLongMomentum4h - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.9
  3. reason: breakout|ob:ask_pressure(-0.10)
  4. stop_price: 81.00011111
  5. tp_price:
  6. atr:
  7. score: 1
  8. exit_rules: [{"type":"trailing_ma","params":{"period":9,"timeframe":"4h","on":"Close"}},{"type":"time_expiry","params":{"max_bars":20,"timeframe":"4h"}}]
  9. confidence_pre_ob: 1
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : -0.3308
  14. obi_top10 : -0.228
  15. micro_price : 86.55989648
  16. spread_pct : 0.001155
  17. mid_price : 86.5595
  18. bid_wall_price :
  19. bid_wall_size :
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price :
  22. ask_wall_size :
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : -0.1681
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.1213
  27. pressure_side : ask
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 7153
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.1
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : pav_long_momentum
  35. timeframe : 4h
  36. breakout_period : 42
  37. ma_exit_period : 9
  38. breakout_high : 82.385
  39. breakout_high_time : 2026-10-28T08:00:00
  40. ma_exit_at_entry : 81.00011111
  41. entry_price : 86.251
  42. ¸

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 07:26 86.25100000 0%
2 08:04 86.25100000 0%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

↓ ask ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7153ms Confidence avant OB : 100% → 90%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.331
avg -0.168 ± 0.121
OBI Top 10 -0.228

Microstructure

Mid Price
86.5595
Micro Price
86.5599
Spread
0.0012%

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
86.251 86.3068 65.634
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 86.251
  • Stop Loss: 86.3068
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 86.3068 - 86.251 = 0.055799999999991

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 86.251 - = 86.251

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 86.251 / 0.055799999999991 = 1545.7168

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
131.4078 100 1.5236 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.055799999999991

Taille de position = 8 / 0.055799999999991 = 143.37

Taille de position USD = 143.37 x 86.251 = 12365.81

Donc, tu peux acheter 143.37 avec un stoploss a 86.3068

Avec un position size USD de 12365.81$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 143.37 x 0.055799999999991 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 143.37 x 86.251 = 12365.81

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 12365.81$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 143.37
  • Taille de position USD 12365.81
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 12365.81
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1545.7168

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 131.41 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.065 % 0.085 $
PNL PNL %
0.085 $ 0.06
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2841 % 439.1 % 1
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
86.251 86.3068 65.634
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 86.251
  • Stop Loss: 86.3068
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 86.3068 - 86.251 = 0.055799999999991

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 86.251 - = 86.251

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 86.251 / 0.055799999999991 = 1545.7168

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 86.251
            [stop_loss] => 86.18962
            [rr_ratio] => 1405.2
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 11:30:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 86.251
            [stop_loss] => 86.18404
            [rr_ratio] => 1288.1
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 11:30:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 86.251
            [stop_loss] => 86.17846
            [rr_ratio] => 1189.01
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 11:30:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 86.251
            [stop_loss] => 86.1673
            [rr_ratio] => 1030.48
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 11:30:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: PavLongMomentum4h (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -0.065% (0.0558)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +3.175% 49.1R -0.284% 4.4R 11.2× 12
2h +6.823% 105.5R -0.284% 4.4R 24.0× 24
4h ★ +9.731% 150.4R -0.284% 4.4R 34.3× 48
8h +12.590% 194.6R -0.284% 4.4R 44.3× 96
12h +12.590% 194.6R -0.284% 4.4R 44.3× 144
24h +12.590% 194.6R -0.284% 4.4R 44.3× 288
48h +12.590% 194.6R -0.284% 4.4R 44.3× 576
72h +12.590% 194.6R -0.284% 4.4R 44.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 303 min MAE in 3 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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