Short Trade on CRV (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 698.06 CRV at 0.326$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2978 (8.79 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3379 (3.49 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 07:50:19
hyperliquid
CRV
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 07:50
→ 12:05
· 4 hours
Position
Entry 0.3265$
Qty 698.0553 CRV
Size 227.8871$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2978 (+8.79%)
TP $ 20.03$
SL 0.3379 (-3.49%)
SL $ 7.96$
RR 2.52
Status
loss
PnL
-3.49%
/ -7.96$
MAE -3.52%
MFE +8.39%
2.4R
expires
29 Oct 19:50
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 232309)
#58 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 07:00
score du 29/10/2026 07:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4035
Quality Score
0.492
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#58 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.49 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#58 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.49 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.18×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.68×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.01×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
5.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 07:45
29/10 07:45
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/10 06:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7239
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
66.0%
Macro
alt_rotation
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
▼-0.056
Δ 1h
→+0.049
Δ 4h
▲+0.366
Δ 12h
▲+0.264
Δ 24h
▲+0.102
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 58.3% |
| 1h | 16.7% |
| 4h | 91.7% |
| 24h | 12.5% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 58.3% | +0.05% |
| 4h | 81.3% | +1.68% |
| 24h | 33.3% | -2.05% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
4.2%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
4.2%
Tail ↑
+0.28
Tail ↓
+0.45
Dispersion :
0.185
Universe :
48
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.59
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 07:46
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2987
Score SMA
0.3738
Rank
#52
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2154
Rank Norm SMA
0.6035
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3848 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.78% · r3d: -1.94% · ema21_slope: 0.0052% · dist_ema21: -4.961% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3377 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.31% · rs_3d: -3.45% · beta_24h: 2.106 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1414 | rvol_20: 0.53× · zscore_50: -1.089 · trend: -43.15% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4706 | ADX: 11.7 (weak) · Chop: 53.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.738% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.4919
Score SMA
0.4821
Rank
#58
/ 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4035
Rank Norm SMA
0.3320
Calculé le
29/10/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4453 | r1h: 0.554% · r4h: 0.758% · r1d: -2.75% · r3d: -5.72% · ema21_slope: -0.1741% · dist_ema21: -0.780% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4629 | rs_1h: 0.447% · rs_4h: 0.344% · rs_1d: -1.27% · rs_3d: -5.64% · beta_24h: 1.614 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1990 | rvol_20: 0.49× · zscore_50: -0.432 · trend: -29.13% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6849 | ADX: 22.2 (weak) · Chop: 34.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.322% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4410
Score SMA
0.4590
Rank
#39
/ 71
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3952
Rank Norm SMA
0.4335
Calculé le
29/10/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3411 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.249% · r1d: -3.17% · r3d: -4.26% · ema21_slope: -0.2119% · dist_ema21: -3.385% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4181 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.264% · rs_1d: -1.66% · rs_3d: -4.03% · beta_24h: 1.893 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2601 | rvol_20: 0.77× · zscore_50: -0.588 · trend: -8.26% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5476 | ADX: 26.1 (trend) · Chop: 59.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.536% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.492%
(0.0114)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.616% | 0.2R | -0.303% | 0.1R | 2.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.616% | 0.2R | -0.946% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.616% | 0.2R | -3.063% | 0.9R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.528% | 0.4R | -3.522% | 1.0R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +8.386% | 2.4R | -3.522% | 1.0R | 2.4× | 143 |
| 24h | +19.804% | 5.7R | -3.522% | 1.0R | 5.6× | 288 |
| 36h | +19.804% | 5.7R | -3.522% | 1.0R | 5.6× | 432 |
| 48h | +19.804% | 5.7R | -3.522% | 1.0R | 5.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +19.804% | 5.7R | -3.522% | 1.0R | 5.6× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 854 min
MAE in 254 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.65
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near 0.0ATR | near 0.4ATR | 0.64 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.10 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.50 | bear_high | -2.12% | -0.43 | 29/10 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.49 | range_medium | -0.44% | -0.11 | 29/10 06:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | normal | bear_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.68 | range_low | -0.35% | -0.03 | 29/10 07:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444620
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.540 | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early 6b -0.7ATR | near 0.0ATR | near 0.4ATR | 0.53 | 52% | ↓ -0.27 | above_value | -0.99 | — | #211844 | 0.64 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.10 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:19
|
|
4h
#447607
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.622 | normal | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late 43b -1.5ATR | — | — | 0.77 | 14% | ↔ +0.03 | below_value | -3.24 | — | #213096 | 0.50 | bear_high | -2.12% | -0.43 |
29/10 00:00
upd 29/10 04:13
|
|
1h
anchor #448745
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.504 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early 1b -0.6ATR | — | — | 0.49 | 33% | ↔ +0.02 | below_value | -2.86 | inside | #213586 | 0.49 | range_medium | -0.44% | -0.11 |
29/10 06:00
upd 29/10 07:09
|
|
15m
#448960
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.481 | normal | bear_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early 3b -0.2ATR | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.23 | 9% | ↔ -0.06 | below_value | -2.86 | — | #213586 | 0.68 | range_low | -0.35% | -0.03 |
29/10 07:30
upd 29/10 07:45
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 2.777×ATR | p15 | -0.679×ATR | p48 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 43b | — | 9.928×ATR | p100 | -1.523×ATR | p87 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 0.797×ATR | p0 | -0.553×ATR | p27 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.42×ATR | p3 | -0.217×ATR | p14 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8046
- reason: down_bo width=2.99×ATR dur=60b phase=extending
- stop_price: 0.33792041
- tp_price: 0.29780897
- atr:
- score: 0.80457159745679
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-10-29T23:50:11.334015
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.80457159745679
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0125
- obi_top10 : 0.0173
- micro_price : 0.32700267
- spread_pct : 0.030581
- mid_price : 0.32705
- bid_wall_price : 0.324
- bid_wall_size : 1199429.4
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.328
- ask_wall_size : 1227589.4
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.016
- obi_top5_std : 0.0023
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7155
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.34379
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.33121
- balance_zone_mid:
0.3375
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793059200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793271600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.9923
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
60
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8046
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793235600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.33121
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
10
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.1298
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
4
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
6
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00420412 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
60
inside_close_ratio
0.8
bars_since_breakout
10
distance_to_edge_atr
1.1298
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:50 | 0.32646000 | -0.012% |
| 2 | 07:58 | 0.32646000 | -0.012% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7155ms
Confidence avant OB :
80%
→
80%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.013
avg -0.016
± 0.002
OBI Top 10
0.017
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.3271
Micro Price
0.3270
Spread
0.0306%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.3240
Size
1,199,429.40
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.3280
Size
1,227,589.40
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3265 | 0.3379 | 0.2978 | 2.52 | 0.212 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3265
- Stop Loss: 0.3379
- Take Profit: 0.2978
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3379 - 0.3265 = 0.0114
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3265 - 0.2978 = 0.0287
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0287 / 0.0114 = 2.5175
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 227.8871 | 100 | 698.0553 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0114
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0114 = 701.75
Taille de position USD = 701.75 x 0.3265 = 229.12
Donc, tu peux acheter 701.75 avec un stoploss a 0.3379
Avec un position size USD de 229.12$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 701.75 x 0.0114 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 701.75 x 0.0287 = 20.14
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.14$
Résumé
- Taille de position 701.75
- Taille de position USD 229.12
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.14
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5175
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.79 % | 20.03 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.49 % | 7.96 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.96 $ | -3.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5222 % | 100.88 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3265 | 0.3379 | 0.2978 | 2.52 | 0.212 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3265
- Stop Loss: 0.3379
- Take Profit: 0.2978
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3379 - 0.3265 = 0.0114
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3265 - 0.2978 = 0.0287
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0287 / 0.0114 = 2.5175
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.492%
(0.0114)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.616% | 0.2R | -0.303% | 0.1R | 2.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.616% | 0.2R | -0.946% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.616% | 0.2R | -3.063% | 0.9R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.528% | 0.4R | -3.522% | 1.0R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +8.386% | 2.4R | -3.522% | 1.0R | 2.4× | 143 |
| 24h | +19.804% | 5.7R | -3.522% | 1.0R | 5.6× | 288 |
| 36h | +19.804% | 5.7R | -3.522% | 1.0R | 5.6× | 432 |
| 48h | +19.804% | 5.7R | -3.522% | 1.0R | 5.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +19.804% | 5.7R | -3.522% | 1.0R | 5.6× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 854 min
MAE in 254 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.