29 Oct 2026 at 09:15:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on GRASS (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 274.12 GRASS at 0.66$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6433 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.689 (4.43 %)

GRASS SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Oct 2026 09:15 → 13:45 · 4 hours

Position

Entry 0.6598$

Qty 274.119 GRASS

Size 180.8665$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.6433 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.52$

SL 0.689 (-4.43%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.57

Status win PnL +2.50% / +4.52$ MAE -2.00% MFE +3.66% 0.8R expires 29 Oct 15:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 232540)
#67 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 09:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1097

Quality Score
0.409
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#67 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.43 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#67 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.43 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 2.71×ATR
4h near -0.03×ATR
1d near 0.02×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.90
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 09:01
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

27/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

29/10 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/10 08:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7244
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

compression

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.73
Transition risk : 0.27
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 68.1%
Macro alt_rotation
Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→+0.021
Δ 4h
▲+0.436
Δ 12h
▲+0.299
Δ 24h
▲+0.425

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 68.8%
1h 47.9%
4h 81.3%
24h 29.2%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 64.6% +0.09%
4h 81.3% +0.90%
24h 52.1% -0.85%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
6.3%
Down ≥1σ
2.1%
Expansion
8.3%
Tail ↑
+0.34
Tail ↓
+0.53
Dispersion : 0.160
Universe : 48 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.59
Snapshot évalué : 29/10 09:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4202
Score SMA
0.5370
Rank
#14 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8000
Rank Norm SMA
0.8956
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6349 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -9.27% · r3d: -5.15% · ema21_slope: 0.4174% · dist_ema21: 2.793%
Force Relative 25% 0.4061 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -9.80% · rs_3d: -6.66% · beta_24h: 2.983
Volume 20% 0.2358 rvol_20: 0.59× · zscore_50: -0.398 · trend: -13.92%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5406 ADX: 30.1 (trend) · Chop: 64.1 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 12.205% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 09:00
Score brut
0.4092
Score SMA
0.5538
Rank
#67 / 68
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1097
Rank Norm SMA
0.5983
Calculé le
29/10/2026 09:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3102 r1h: 0.066% · r4h: 0.428% · r1d: -7.53% · r3d: -8.81% · ema21_slope: -0.3858% · dist_ema21: -2.046%
Force Relative 25% 0.3632 rs_1h: 0.202% · rs_4h: 0.429% · rs_1d: -6.69% · rs_3d: -8.47% · beta_24h: 1.269
Volume 20% 0.2327 rvol_20: 0.87× · zscore_50: -0.388 · trend: -50.28%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7601 ADX: 41.0 (trend) · Chop: 48.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.815% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.4346
Score SMA
0.5389
Rank
#56 / 68
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2396
Rank Norm SMA
0.6736
Calculé le
29/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5298 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.438% · r1d: -7.84% · r3d: -8.26% · ema21_slope: 0.1022% · dist_ema21: -4.715%
Force Relative 25% 0.3672 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.039% · rs_1d: -6.42% · rs_3d: -7.96% · beta_24h: 2.597
Volume 20% 0.1768 rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -0.574 · trend: -38.74%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6346 ADX: 21.3 (weak) · Chop: 43.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.5334 ATR%: 4.400% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.426% (0.0292)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.272% 0.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +1.272% 0.3R -0.838% 0.2R 1.5× 24
4h +1.634% 0.4R -2.001% 0.5R 0.8× 48
6h ★ +3.660% 0.8R -2.001% 0.5R 1.8× 72
8h +10.975% 2.5R -2.001% 0.5R 5.5× 96
12h +16.717% 3.8R -2.001% 0.5R 8.4× 144
24h +16.717% 3.8R -2.001% 0.5R 8.4× 288
48h +16.717% 3.8R -2.001% 0.5R 8.4× 576
72h +16.717% 3.8R -2.001% 0.5R 8.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 674 min MAE in 169 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.55
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate balanced normal bull_high
69%
noisy_chop 38% early near 0.0ATR — 0.44 bull_high +4.55% +0.84 27/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate balanced compression bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 42% mid near 0.0ATR — 0.36 bear_high -1.69% -0.57 29/10 04:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 42% mid — — 0.54 range_medium -0.71% -0.50 29/10 08:00
15m ↔ neutral range range strong balanced compression bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 41% early — near 0.3ATR 0.29 range_low -0.48% +0.02 29/10 08:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#444714
↑ up range range moderate balanced 0.653 normal bull_high
69%
noisy_chop 38% early 10b 0.2ATR near 0.0ATR — 0.59 77% ↓ -0.39 above_value -2.25 — #211868 0.44 bull_high +4.55% +0.84
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:24
4h
#449170
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate balanced 0.496 compression bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 42% mid 8b -1.1ATR near 0.0ATR — 0.41 17% ↑ +0.21 value -4.35 — #213750 0.36 bear_high -1.69% -0.57
29/10 04:00
upd 29/10 08:15
1h anchor
#449555
↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.388 compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 42% mid 8b -1.2ATR — — 0.87 51% ↓ -0.36 value -4.55 — #213957 0.54 range_medium -0.71% -0.50
29/10 08:00
upd 29/10 09:10
15m
#449484
↔ neutral range range strong balanced 0.615 compression bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 41% early 3b 0.2ATR — near 0.3ATR 1.51 62% ↔ -0.10 value -4.35 — #213750 0.29 range_low -0.48% +0.02
29/10 08:45
upd 29/10 09:02
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 10b — 1.576×ATR p5 +0.241×ATR p19
4h ↓ down mid 8b — 3.986×ATR p63 -1.068×ATR p59
1h ↑ up mid 8b — 1.608×ATR p11 -1.194×ATR p61
15m ↑ up early 3b — 1.601×ATR p4 +0.164×ATR p7

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.6889944
  2. tp_price: 0.64331475
  3. atr: 0.01167376
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-29T19:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 68
  2. total: 69
  3. score: 0.2737
  4. delta_2h: -0.1272
  5. extension_atr: -0.76
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1097
  9. confidence: 0.985

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.6598 0.689 0.6433 0.57 0.4036
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.6598
  • Stop Loss: 0.689
  • Take Profit: 0.6433

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.689 - 0.6598 = 0.0292

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.6598 - 0.6433 = 0.0165

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0165 / 0.0292 = 0.5651

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
180.8665 100 274.119 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0292

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0292 = 273.97

Taille de position USD = 273.97 x 0.6598 = 180.77

Donc, tu peux acheter 273.97 avec un stoploss a 0.689

Avec un position size USD de 180.77$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 273.97 x 0.0292 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 273.97 x 0.0165 = 4.52

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.52$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 273.97
  • Taille de position USD 180.77
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.52
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5651

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 4.52 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.43 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
4.52 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.0006 % 45.21 % 11
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.6598 0.689 0.6433 0.57 0.4036
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.6598
  • Stop Loss: 0.689
  • Take Profit: 0.6433

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.689 - 0.6598 = 0.0292

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.6598 - 0.6433 = 0.0165

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0165 / 0.0292 = 0.5651

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.426% (0.0292)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.272% 0.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +1.272% 0.3R -0.838% 0.2R 1.5× 24
4h +1.634% 0.4R -2.001% 0.5R 0.8× 48
6h ★ +3.660% 0.8R -2.001% 0.5R 1.8× 72
8h +10.975% 2.5R -2.001% 0.5R 5.5× 96
12h +16.717% 3.8R -2.001% 0.5R 8.4× 144
24h +16.717% 3.8R -2.001% 0.5R 8.4× 288
48h +16.717% 3.8R -2.001% 0.5R 8.4× 576
72h +16.717% 3.8R -2.001% 0.5R 8.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 674 min MAE in 169 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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