29 Oct 2026 at 09:15:08 hyperliquid

Short Trade on DASH (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 5.27 DASH at 50.385$ per unit. Take profit: 49.1254 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 51.904 (3.01 %)

DASH SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Oct 2026 09:15 → 12:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 50.385$

Qty 5.2667 DASH

Size 265.3635$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 49.1254 (+2.5%)

TP $ 6.63$

SL 51.904 (-3.01%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.83

Status loss PnL -3.01% / -8$ MAE -4.20% MFE +0.56% 0.2R expires 29 Oct 15:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 232563)
#66 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 09:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2763

Quality Score
0.428
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#66 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.01 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#66 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.01 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.40×ATR
4h near -0.72×ATR
1d clear 1.42×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.90
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 09:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

27/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

29/10 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/10 08:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7244
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

compression

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.73
Transition risk : 0.27
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 68.1%
Macro alt_rotation
Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→+0.021
Δ 4h
▲+0.436
Δ 12h
▲+0.299
Δ 24h
▲+0.425

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 68.8%
1h 47.9%
4h 81.3%
24h 29.2%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 64.6% +0.09%
4h 81.3% +0.90%
24h 52.1% -0.85%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
6.3%
Down ≥1σ
2.1%
Expansion
8.3%
Tail ↑
+0.34
Tail ↓
+0.53
Dispersion : 0.160
Universe : 48 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.59
Snapshot évalué : 29/10 09:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3740
Score SMA
0.4064
Rank
#25 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6308
Rank Norm SMA
0.6251
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4807 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.91% · r3d: 3.12% · ema21_slope: -0.0371% · dist_ema21: 1.100%
Force Relative 25% 0.4433 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.44% · rs_3d: 1.61% · beta_24h: 1.202
Volume 20% 0.2701 rvol_20: 0.94× · zscore_50: -0.564 · trend: -21.76%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4332 ADX: 16.5 (weak) · Chop: 63.5 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.884% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 09:00
Score brut
0.4275
Score SMA
0.5539
Rank
#66 / 68
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2763
Rank Norm SMA
0.6099
Calculé le
29/10/2026 09:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3109 r1h: -0.582% · r4h: -1.245% · r1d: -5.89% · r3d: -5.51% · ema21_slope: -0.3041% · dist_ema21: -3.076%
Force Relative 25% 0.3494 rs_1h: -0.446% · rs_4h: -1.244% · rs_1d: -5.05% · rs_3d: -5.17% · beta_24h: 1.319
Volume 20% 0.2489 rvol_20: 0.68× · zscore_50: -0.194 · trend: -25.79%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8097 ADX: 37.2 (trend) · Chop: 30.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.257% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.4954
Score SMA
0.5918
Rank
#36 / 68
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5674
Rank Norm SMA
0.8150
Calculé le
29/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4542 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.046% · r1d: -5.78% · r3d: -3.70% · ema21_slope: 0.0225% · dist_ema21: -4.467%
Force Relative 25% 0.4233 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.444% · rs_1d: -4.36% · rs_3d: -3.39% · beta_24h: 1.422
Volume 20% 0.3617 rvol_20: 0.99× · zscore_50: -0.149 · trend: 20.08%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5396 ADX: 16.9 (weak) · Chop: 50.7 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.784% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.015% (1.5190)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.556% 0.2R -0.675% 0.2R 0.8× 12
2h +0.556% 0.2R -1.602% 0.5R 0.4× 24
4h +0.556% 0.2R -3.866% 1.3R 0.1× 48
6h ★ +0.556% 0.2R -4.198% 1.4R 0.1× 72
8h +6.867% 2.3R -4.198% 1.4R 1.6× 96
12h +9.991% 3.3R -4.198% 1.4R 2.4× 144
24h +9.991% 3.3R -4.198% 1.4R 2.4× 288
48h +9.991% 3.3R -4.198% 1.4R 2.4× 576
72h +9.991% 3.3R -4.198% 1.4R 2.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 664 min MAE in 244 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.01
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate fading compression bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 28% early — — 0.53 bull_high +4.55% +0.58 27/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate balanced compression bear_high_confirmed
55%
noisy_chop 40% late near -0.7ATR — 0.55 bear_high -1.69% -0.06 29/10 04:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading expansion bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 44% late near 0.4ATR — 0.55 range_medium -0.71% -0.47 29/10 08:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind normal bear_medium
60%
noisy_chop 41% mid — — 0.44 range_low -0.48% -0.11 29/10 08:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#444763
↔ neutral range range moderate fading 0.558 compression bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 28% early 13b 0.3ATR — — 1.30 66% ↑ +0.64 above_value +0.95 — #211891 0.53 bull_high +4.55% +0.58
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:27
4h
#449242
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate balanced 0.478 compression bear_high_confirmed
55%
noisy_chop 40% late 13b -1.8ATR near -0.7ATR — 0.99 76% ↑ +0.47 below_value -4.35 — #213774 0.55 bear_high -1.69% -0.06
29/10 04:00
upd 29/10 08:20
1h anchor
#449579
↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading 0.725 expansion bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 44% late 7b -2.2ATR near 0.4ATR — 0.68 61% ↔ +0.01 below_value -5.11 — #213981 0.55 range_medium -0.71% -0.47
29/10 08:00
upd 29/10 09:11
15m
#449508
↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.508 normal bear_medium
60%
noisy_chop 41% mid 2b -1.7ATR — — 0.17 27% ↓ -0.31 below_value -4.35 — #213774 0.44 range_low -0.48% -0.11
29/10 08:45
upd 29/10 09:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 13b — 2.177×ATR p0 +0.289×ATR p21
4h ↓ down late 13b — 3.84×ATR p53 -1.777×ATR p87
1h ↓ down late 7b — 2.774×ATR p41 -2.224×ATR p92
15m ↑ up mid 2b — 0.481×ATR p0 -1.704×ATR p71

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 51.90397318
  2. tp_price: 49.125375
  3. atr: 0.60758927
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-29T19:15:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 67
  2. total: 69
  3. score: 0.2939
  4. delta_2h: -0.0454
  5. extension_atr: -2.01
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2763
  9. confidence: 0.971

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
50.385 51.904 49.1254 0.83 37.899
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 50.385
  • Stop Loss: 51.904
  • Take Profit: 49.1254

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 51.904 - 50.385 = 1.519

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 50.385 - 49.1254 = 1.2596

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.2596 / 1.519 = 0.8292

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
265.3635 100 5.2667 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.519

Taille de position = 8 / 1.519 = 5.27

Taille de position USD = 5.27 x 50.385 = 265.53

Donc, tu peux acheter 5.27 avec un stoploss a 51.904

Avec un position size USD de 265.53$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 5.27 x 1.519 = 8.01

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 5.27 x 1.2596 = 6.64

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.64$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 5.27
  • Taille de position USD 265.53
  • Perte potentielle 8.01
  • Gain potentiel 6.64
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8292

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 6.63 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.01 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -3.01
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.2807 % 108.82 % 10
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
50.385 51.904 49.1254 0.83 37.899
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 50.385
  • Stop Loss: 51.904
  • Take Profit: 49.1254

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 51.904 - 50.385 = 1.519

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 50.385 - 49.1254 = 1.2596

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.2596 / 1.519 = 0.8292

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 49.1254
            [entry_price] => 50.385
            [stop_loss] => 52.0559
            [rr_ratio] => 0.75
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 16:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 49.1254
            [entry_price] => 50.385
            [stop_loss] => 52.2078
            [rr_ratio] => 0.69
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 17:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 49.1254
            [entry_price] => 50.385
            [stop_loss] => 52.3597
            [rr_ratio] => 0.64
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 17:20:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.015% (1.5190)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.556% 0.2R -0.675% 0.2R 0.8× 12
2h +0.556% 0.2R -1.602% 0.5R 0.4× 24
4h +0.556% 0.2R -3.866% 1.3R 0.1× 48
6h ★ +0.556% 0.2R -4.198% 1.4R 0.1× 72
8h +6.867% 2.3R -4.198% 1.4R 1.6× 96
12h +9.991% 3.3R -4.198% 1.4R 2.4× 144
24h +9.991% 3.3R -4.198% 1.4R 2.4× 288
48h +9.991% 3.3R -4.198% 1.4R 2.4× 576
72h +9.991% 3.3R -4.198% 1.4R 2.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 664 min MAE in 244 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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