Long Trade on PUMP

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29 Oct 2026 at 12:39:50 hyperliquid

Long Trade on PUMP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 29007.58 PUMP at 0.00455$ per unit. Take profit: 0.005241 (15.14 %) & Stop Loss: 0.004276 (6.06 %)

PUMP LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 29 Oct 2026 12:39 → 16:30 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 0.004552$

Qty 29007.5782 PUMP

Size 132.0425$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.005241 (+15.14%)

TP $ 19.99$

SL 0.004276 (-6.06%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -6.06% / -8.01$ MAE -17.36% MFE +1.25% 0.2R expires 30 Oct 00:39

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 232755)

#23 / 72

OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 12:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7792

Quality Score

0.710

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#23 / 72

OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

79 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-1

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.06 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#23 / 72

OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

79 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.06 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.28×ATR
4h	clear	1.95×ATR
1d	clear	3.88×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	late	BLOCKED
4h	↑ up	early	OK
1d	↓ down	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

89.3M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 12:32

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 29/10 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 29/10 11:00 Score : +2 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

27/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2)

29/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

29/10 11:00

Score : +2 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7258

Voir snapshot →

range compression range_breakdown_risk

Strategic	range 0.25	compression 0
Operational	bear 0.55	expansion -1
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	bull 0.90	expansion

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 0.73

Transition risk : 0.27

Score contribution (this trade) -1

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 87.3%

Macro alt_rotation

Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading

Legacy leadership : alts

Breadth state stable

Δ 15m

→+0.000

Δ 1h

→+0.040

Δ 4h

▲+0.255

Δ 12h

▲+0.800

Δ 24h

▲+0.484

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	16.0%
1h	68.0%
4h	94.0%
24h	86.0%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	22.0%	-0.22%
4h	72.0%	+2.95%
24h	72.0%	+3.25%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

62.0%

Down ≥1σ

0.0%

Expansion

62.0%

Tail ↑

+0.82

Tail ↓

+0.96

Dispersion : 0.233

Universe : 50 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M

+0 added · -0 removed

Regime confidence : 0.59

Snapshot évalué : 29/10 12:31 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.3418

Score SMA

0.3287

Rank

#34 / 66

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.4923

Rank Norm SMA

0.4428

Calculé le

28/10/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3617	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 4.03% · r3d: 7.26% · ema21_slope: -0.6445% · dist_ema21: -2.857%
Force Relative	25%	0.5170	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.50% · rs_3d: 5.74% · beta_24h: 2.667
Volume	20%	0.2022	rvol_20: 0.69× · zscore_50: -0.598 · trend: -41.51%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4243	ADX: 18.5 (weak) · Chop: 66.6 (range)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 11.281% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/10/2026 12:00

Score brut

0.7096

Score SMA

0.4995

Rank

#23 / 72

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.7792

Rank Norm SMA

0.4028

Calculé le

29/10/2026 12:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7556	r1h: 2.143% · r4h: 4.019% · r1d: 7.63% · r3d: 4.62% · ema21_slope: 0.0072% · dist_ema21: 3.837%
Force Relative	25%	0.7028	rs_1h: 1.423% · rs_4h: 2.025% · rs_1d: 6.13% · rs_3d: 2.96% · beta_24h: 2.521
Volume	20%	0.5887	rvol_20: 1.60× · zscore_50: 1.233 · trend: 48.11%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5966	ADX: 18.3 (weak) · Chop: 45.2 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.031% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/10/2026 12:00

Score brut

0.6152

Score SMA

0.4165

Rank

#26 / 72

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.6150

Rank Norm SMA

0.2309

Calculé le

29/10/2026 12:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6809	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 4.019% · r1d: 7.63% · r3d: 4.62% · ema21_slope: 0.1121% · dist_ema21: 4.412%
Force Relative	25%	0.6227	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.025% · rs_1d: 6.13% · rs_3d: 2.96% · beta_24h: 3.493
Volume	20%	0.5468	rvol_20: 1.79× · zscore_50: 0.928 · trend: 9.47%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5044	ADX: 13.2 (weak) · Chop: 51.2 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.7022	ATR%: 3.894% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -6.063% (0.0003)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.252%	0.2R	-1.296%	0.2R	1.0×	12
2h	+1.252%	0.2R	-3.471%	0.6R	0.4×	24
4h	+1.252%	0.2R	-7.579%	1.3R	0.2×	48
8h	+1.252%	0.2R	-17.355%	2.9R	0.1×	96
12h ★	+1.252%	0.2R	-17.355%	2.9R	0.1×	144
24h	+1.252%	0.2R	-17.355%	2.9R	0.1×	288
36h	+1.252%	0.2R	-17.355%	2.9R	0.1×	432
48h	+1.252%	0.2R	-17.355%	2.9R	0.1×	576
72h	+1.252%	0.2R	-17.355%	2.9R	0.1×	864

⏱ MFE in 15 min MAE in 460 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.4

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bull_high	49%	noisy_chop 38%	mid	—	—	0.50	bull_high	+4.55%	-0.96	27/10 20:00
4h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	expansion	bear_high	65%	noisy_chop 41%	early	—	—	0.50	range_high	+0.26%	+0.55	29/10 08:00
1h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	expansion	bull_high_confirmed	61%	noisy_chop 38%	late	—	near -0.3ATR	0.68	bull_medium_confirmed	+1.37%	-0.06	29/10 11:00
15m	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	explosive	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	64%	noisy_chop 43%	late	—	—	0.68	bull_low_confirmed	+1.04%	+0.40	29/10 12:15
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #444741	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.640	compression	bull_high	49%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 24b -0.3ATR	—	—	0.69	74%	↓ -0.28	value	+3.06	—	#211880	0.50	bull_high	+4.55%	-0.96	27/10 20:00 upd 28/10 20:26
4h #450699	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.806	expansion	bear_high	65%	noisy_chop 41%	early 3b 1.1ATR	—	—	1.79	54%	↑ +0.24	value	+2.58	—	#214382	0.50	range_high	+0.26%	+0.55	29/10 08:00 upd 29/10 12:19
1h anchor #450698	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.661	expansion	bull_high_confirmed	61%	noisy_chop 38%	late 12b 1.8ATR	—	near -0.3ATR	1.60	88%	↓ -0.18	value	+2.58	—	#214382	0.68	bull_medium_confirmed	+1.37%	-0.06	29/10 11:00 upd 29/10 12:19
15m #450837	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	explosive	0.682	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	64%	noisy_chop 43%	late 11b 2.6ATR	—	—	1.45	91%	↑ +0.75	value	+2.58	—	#214382	0.68	bull_low_confirmed	+1.04%	+0.40	29/10 12:15 upd 29/10 12:33
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	mid	24b	—	4.448×ATR	p71	-0.289×ATR	p21
4h	↑ up	early	3b	—	2.064×ATR	p3	+1.087×ATR	p57
1h	↑ up	late	12b	—	3.957×ATR	p76	+1.801×ATR	p87
15m	↑ up	late	11b	—	4.492×ATR	p86	+2.646×ATR	p91

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

long_trend: 1
confidence: 0.7908
reason: up_bo width=2.74×ATR dur=86b phase=fresh
stop_price: 0.00427621
tp_price: 0.00524148
atr:
score: 0.79083867197875
exit_rules:
expires_at: 2026-10-30T04:39:42.277028
max_bars: 12
max_bars_tf: 1h
confidence_pre_ob: 0.79083867197875

Details

1H:
15m:
5m:
btc_indicators
market_structures
market_structure_v2
trend_analyzer_1h
orderbook_context
obi_top5 : -0.0036
obi_top10 : 0.0098
micro_price : 0.00457756
spread_pct : 0.021848
mid_price : 0.0045775
bid_wall_price : 0.00457
bid_wall_size : 95220909.6
bid_wall_dist_atr :
ask_wall_price : 0.00459
ask_wall_size : 90296341
ask_wall_dist_atr :
snapshots_count : 5
obi_top5_mean : 0.0132
obi_top5_std : 0.0112
pressure_side : neutral
collection_mode : ws_rolling
collection_ms : 6880
aggregation_tick : 1.0E-5
error :
strategy_details
strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
strategy_details
balance_zone_top:
```
0.0044165
```
balance_zone_bottom:
```
0.004155
```
balance_zone_mid:
```
0.00428575
```
balance_zone_start_time:
```
1792983600
```
balance_zone_end_time:
```
1793289600
```
balance_zone_width_atr:
```
2.7405
```
balance_zone_duration_bars:
```
86
```
balance_zone_quality: tight
balance_zone_maturity: stretched
balance_zone_confidence:
```
0.7908
```
balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
balance_zone_breakout_time:
```
1793282400
```
balance_zone_breakout_price:
```
0.0044165
```
strategy_details
balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
```
0.8372
```
balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
```
2
```
balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
```
1.42
```
balance_metrics_has_retested:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_retest_count:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_touch_upper:
```
5
```
balance_metrics_touch_lower:
```
18
```
regime : bull_high
atr_entry : 9.542E-5

Signal Details

duration_bars

inside_close_ratio

0.8372

bars_since_breakout

distance_to_edge_atr

1.42

Signaux confirmants (4)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	12:39	0.00455200	0%
2	12:48	0.00455200	0%
3	12:57	0.00455200	0%
4	13:08	0.00455200	0%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6880ms Confidence avant OB : 79% → 79%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.004

avg 0.013 ± 0.011

OBI Top 10 0.010

Microstructure

Mid Price

0.0046

Micro Price

0.0046

Spread

0.0218%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price

0.0046

Size

95,220,909.60

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price

0.0046

Size

90,296,341.00

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.004552	0.004276	0.005241	2.5	0.003326

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.004552
Stop Loss: 0.004276
Take Profit: 0.005241

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.004276 - 0.004552 = -0.000276
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.004552 - 0.005241 = -0.000689
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000689 / -0.000276 = 2.4964

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
132.0425	100	29007.5782	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.000276

Taille de position = 8 / -0.000276 = -28985.51

Taille de position USD = -28985.51 x 0.004552 = -131.94

Donc, tu peux acheter -28985.51 avec un stoploss a 0.004276

Avec un position size USD de -131.94$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -28985.51 x -0.000276 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -28985.51 x -0.000689 = 19.97

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.97$

Résumé

Taille de position -28985.51
Taille de position USD -131.94
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 19.97
Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4964

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
15.14 %	19.99 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
6.06 %	8.01 $

PNL	PNL %
-8.01 $	-6.06

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-6.4148 %	105.8 %	3

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.004552	0.004276	0.005241	2.5	0.003326

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.004552
Stop Loss: 0.004276
Take Profit: 0.005241

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.004276 - 0.004552 = -0.000276
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.004552 - 0.005241 = -0.000689
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000689 / -0.000276 = 2.4964

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.005241
            [entry_price] => 0.004552
            [stop_loss] => 0.0042484
            [rr_ratio] => 2.27
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 20:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.005241
            [entry_price] => 0.004552
            [stop_loss] => 0.0042208
            [rr_ratio] => 2.08
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 20:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.005241
            [entry_price] => 0.004552
            [stop_loss] => 0.0041932
            [rr_ratio] => 1.92
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 20:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.005241
            [entry_price] => 0.004552
            [stop_loss] => 0.004138
            [rr_ratio] => 1.66
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 20:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -6.063% (0.0003)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.252%	0.2R	-1.296%	0.2R	1.0×	12
2h	+1.252%	0.2R	-3.471%	0.6R	0.4×	24
4h	+1.252%	0.2R	-7.579%	1.3R	0.2×	48
8h	+1.252%	0.2R	-17.355%	2.9R	0.1×	96
12h ★	+1.252%	0.2R	-17.355%	2.9R	0.1×	144
24h	+1.252%	0.2R	-17.355%	2.9R	0.1×	288
36h	+1.252%	0.2R	-17.355%	2.9R	0.1×	432
48h	+1.252%	0.2R	-17.355%	2.9R	0.1×	576
72h	+1.252%	0.2R	-17.355%	2.9R	0.1×	864

⏱ MFE in 15 min MAE in 460 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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