29 Oct 2026 at 12:40:24 hyperliquid

Long Trade on ZEC (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 0.13 ZEC at 1351.7$ per unit. Take profit: 1503.0611 (11.2 %) & Stop Loss: 1291.1556 (4.48 %)

ZEC LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 29 Oct 2026 12:40 → 16:05 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 1351.7$

Qty 0.1321 ZEC

Size 178.606$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 1503.0611 (+11.2%)

TP $ 20$

SL 1291.1556 (-4.48%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -4.48% / -8$ MAE -12.62% MFE +0.43% 0.1R expires 30 Oct 00:40

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 232758)
#5 / 72
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 12:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6715

Quality Score
0.842
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#5 / 72
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
51 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.48 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#5 / 72
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
51 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.48 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -1.56×ATR
4h clear 0.74×ATR
1d clear 1.04×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
485.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 12:32
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

27/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

29/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

29/10 11:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7258
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

compression

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro bull

0.90

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.73
Transition risk : 0.27
Score contribution (this trade) -1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 87.3%
Macro alt_rotation
Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→+0.040
Δ 4h
▲+0.255
Δ 12h
▲+0.800
Δ 24h
▲+0.484

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 16.0%
1h 68.0%
4h 94.0%
24h 86.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 22.0% -0.22%
4h 72.0% +2.95%
24h 72.0% +3.25%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
62.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
62.0%
Tail ↑
+0.82
Tail ↓
+0.96
Dispersion : 0.233
Universe : 50 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.59
Snapshot évalué : 29/10 12:31 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3799
Score SMA
0.4016
Rank
#23 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6615
Rank Norm SMA
0.6912
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5603 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.97% · r3d: 5.72% · ema21_slope: 0.0015% · dist_ema21: 3.267%
Force Relative 25% 0.4638 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.50% · rs_3d: 4.21% · beta_24h: 3.136
Volume 20% 0.1451 rvol_20: 0.50× · zscore_50: -1.292 · trend: -26.64%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4457 ADX: 16.9 (weak) · Chop: 62.3 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.559% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.8423
Score SMA
0.5443
Rank
#5 / 72
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6715
Rank Norm SMA
0.6387
Calculé le
29/10/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7531 r1h: 4.525% · r4h: 6.693% · r1d: 6.43% · r3d: 8.85% · ema21_slope: -0.0277% · dist_ema21: 6.102%
Force Relative 25% 0.8444 rs_1h: 3.806% · rs_4h: 4.699% · rs_1d: 4.93% · rs_3d: 7.19% · beta_24h: 2.290
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 4.01× · zscore_50: 4.429 · trend: 122.12%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7016 ADX: 24.2 (weak) · Chop: 26.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.694% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.7688
Score SMA
0.5372
Rank
#4 / 72
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9192
Rank Norm SMA
0.7639
Calculé le
29/10/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8465 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 6.693% · r1d: 6.43% · r3d: 8.85% · ema21_slope: 0.3092% · dist_ema21: 6.746%
Force Relative 25% 0.7817 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 4.699% · rs_1d: 4.93% · rs_3d: 7.19% · beta_24h: 2.786
Volume 20% 0.7307 rvol_20: 2.34× · zscore_50: 1.944 · trend: 29.57%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5259 ADX: 16.9 (weak) · Chop: 52.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.9440 ATR%: 3.168% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -4.479% (60.5444)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.429% 0.1R -1.302% 0.3R 0.3× 12
2h +0.429% 0.1R -3.233% 0.7R 0.1× 24
4h +0.429% 0.1R -8.574% 1.9R 0.1× 48
8h +0.429% 0.1R -12.621% 2.8R 0.0× 96
12h ★ +0.429% 0.1R -12.621% 2.8R 0.0× 143
24h +0.429% 0.1R -12.621% 2.8R 0.0× 288
36h +0.429% 0.1R -12.621% 2.8R 0.0× 432
48h +0.429% 0.1R -12.621% 2.8R 0.0× 576
72h +0.429% 0.1R -12.621% 2.8R 0.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 39 min MAE in 459 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.16
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate fading compression bull_high
68%
noisy_chop 37% early — — 0.58 bull_high +4.55% +0.78 27/10 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate fading expansion bull_high_confirmed
64%
noisy_chop 44% late — — 0.62 range_high +0.26% +0.77 29/10 08:00
1h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition strong balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
51%
noisy_chop 45% late — near -1.6ATR 0.75 bull_medium_confirmed +1.37% +0.40 29/10 11:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
59%
noisy_chop 47% late — — 0.76 bull_low_confirmed +1.04% +0.50 29/10 12:15
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#444747
↑ up range range moderate fading 0.597 compression bull_high
68%
noisy_chop 37% early 10b 0.6ATR — — 0.85 64% ↑ +0.30 above_value +4.99 — #211883 0.58 bull_high +4.55% +0.78
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:26
4h
#450711
↑ up range range moderate fading 0.487 expansion bull_high_confirmed
64%
noisy_chop 44% late 3b 2.0ATR — — 2.34 93% ↔ +0.09 above_value +5.48 — #214386 0.62 range_high +0.26% +0.77
29/10 08:00
upd 29/10 12:19
1h anchor
#450710
↔ neutral transition bearish_transition strong balanced 0.545 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
51%
noisy_chop 45% late 12b 3.6ATR — near -1.6ATR 4.01 99% ↔ +0.01 above_value +5.48 inside #214386 0.75 bull_medium_confirmed +1.37% +0.40
29/10 11:00
upd 29/10 12:19
15m
#450841
↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive 0.842 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
59%
noisy_chop 47% late 1b 2.2ATR — — 2.05 98% ↑ +0.93 above_value +5.48 — #214386 0.76 bull_low_confirmed +1.04% +0.50
29/10 12:15
upd 29/10 12:33
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 10b — 2.395×ATR p0 +0.6×ATR p29
4h ↑ up late 3b — 2.975×ATR p33 +2.01×ATR p90
1h ↑ up late 12b — 5.565×ATR p90 +3.615×ATR p99
15m ↓ down late 1b — 2.471×ATR p28 +2.206×ATR p86

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.5115
  3. reason: up_bo width=2.32×ATR dur=60b phase=fresh|ob:ask_pressure(-0.10)
  4. stop_price: 1291.15556753
  5. tp_price: 1503.06108117
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.61151750483858
  8. exit_rules:
  9. expires_at: 2026-10-30T04:40:16.892515
  10. max_bars: 12
  11. max_bars_tf: 1h
  12. confidence_pre_ob: 0.61151750483858
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.0085
  14. obi_top10 : 0.0085
  15. micro_price : 1355.25207349
  16. spread_pct : 0.000738
  17. mid_price : 1355.255
  18. bid_wall_price : 1350
  19. bid_wall_size : 1296.5422
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price :
  22. ask_wall_size :
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : -0.2073
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.1555
  27. pressure_side : ask
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 7062
  30. aggregation_tick : 10
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    1323.2
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    1264.2
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    1293.7
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1793077200
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1793289600
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.3188
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    60
  43. balance_zone_quality: loose
  44. balance_zone_maturity: stretched
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.6115
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1793286000
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    1323.2
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.7
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    1
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    1.1201
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    8
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    8
  59. regime : bull_high_confirmed
  60. atr_entry : 25.44432469
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
60
inside_close_ratio
0.7
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.1201

Signaux confirmants (10)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 12:40 1351.70000000 0%
2 12:48 1351.70000000 0%
3 12:57 1351.70000000 0%
4 13:08 1344.50000000 -0.533%
5 13:18 1344.50000000 -0.533%
6 13:26 1344.50000000 -0.533%
7 13:37 1349.00000000 -0.2%
8 13:46 1349.00000000 -0.2%
9 13:57 1349.00000000 -0.2%
10 14:10 1349.00000000 -0.2%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

↓ ask ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7062ms Confidence avant OB : 61% → 51%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.009
avg -0.207 ± 0.156
OBI Top 10 0.009

Microstructure

Mid Price
1,355.2550
Micro Price
1,355.2521
Spread
0.0007%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
1,350.0000
Size
1,296.54

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1351.7 1291.1556 1503.0611 2.5 902.62
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1351.7
  • Stop Loss: 1291.1556
  • Take Profit: 1503.0611

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1291.1556 - 1351.7 = -60.5444

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1351.7 - 1503.0611 = -151.3611

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -151.3611 / -60.5444 = 2.5

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
178.606 100 0.1321 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -60.5444

Taille de position = 8 / -60.5444 = -0.13

Taille de position USD = -0.13 x 1351.7 = -175.72

Donc, tu peux acheter -0.13 avec un stoploss a 1291.1556

Avec un position size USD de -175.72$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -0.13 x -60.5444 = 7.87

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.87$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -0.13 x -151.3611 = 19.68

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.68$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -0.13
  • Taille de position USD -175.72
  • Perte potentielle 7.87
  • Gain potentiel 19.68
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
11.2 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.48 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -4.48
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.7348 % 105.71 % 7
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1351.7 1291.1556 1503.0611 2.5 902.62
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1351.7
  • Stop Loss: 1291.1556
  • Take Profit: 1503.0611

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1291.1556 - 1351.7 = -60.5444

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1351.7 - 1503.0611 = -151.3611

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -151.3611 / -60.5444 = 2.5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1503.0611
            [entry_price] => 1351.7
            [stop_loss] => 1285.10116
            [rr_ratio] => 2.27
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 20:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1503.0611
            [entry_price] => 1351.7
            [stop_loss] => 1279.04672
            [rr_ratio] => 2.08
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 20:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1503.0611
            [entry_price] => 1351.7
            [stop_loss] => 1272.99228
            [rr_ratio] => 1.92
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 20:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1503.0611
            [entry_price] => 1351.7
            [stop_loss] => 1260.8834
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 20:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -4.479% (60.5444)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.429% 0.1R -1.302% 0.3R 0.3× 12
2h +0.429% 0.1R -3.233% 0.7R 0.1× 24
4h +0.429% 0.1R -8.574% 1.9R 0.1× 48
8h +0.429% 0.1R -12.621% 2.8R 0.0× 96
12h ★ +0.429% 0.1R -12.621% 2.8R 0.0× 143
24h +0.429% 0.1R -12.621% 2.8R 0.0× 288
36h +0.429% 0.1R -12.621% 2.8R 0.0× 432
48h +0.429% 0.1R -12.621% 2.8R 0.0× 576
72h +0.429% 0.1R -12.621% 2.8R 0.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 39 min MAE in 459 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.