29 Oct 2026 at 13:10:07 hyperliquid

Long Trade on XMR (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 0.57 XMR at 615.85$ per unit. Take profit: 650.7358 (5.66 %) & Stop Loss: 601.8957 (2.27 %)

XMR LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 29 Oct 2026 13:10 → 13:15 · 4 minutes

Position

Entry 615.85$

Qty 0.5733 XMR

Size 353.0658$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)

Risk Setup

TP 650.7358 (+5.66%)

TP $ 20$

SL 601.8957 (-2.27%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -2.27% / -8$ MAE -3.27% MFE +7.11% 3.1R expires 30 Oct 01:09

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 232912)
#42 / 72
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 13:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.4668

Quality Score
0.572
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#42 / 72
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.27 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#42 / 72
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.27 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.00×ATR
4h near -0.71×ATR
1d clear 0.72×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
33.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 13:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

27/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

29/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : range_high (0)

29/10 11:00

Score : +5 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7260
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

compression

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro bull

0.90

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.73
Transition risk : 0.27
Score contribution (this trade) -1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 83.0%
Macro alt_rotation
Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state contracting
Δ 15m
→-0.003
Δ 1h
▼-0.083
Δ 4h
▲+0.149
Δ 12h
▲+0.737
Δ 24h
▲+0.536

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 43.1%
1h 13.7%
4h 92.2%
24h 82.4%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 49.0% -0.02%
4h 68.6% +1.96%
24h 68.6% +2.00%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
23.5%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
23.5%
Tail ↑
+1.05
Tail ↓
+0.51
Dispersion : 0.160
Universe : 51 (+1 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+1 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.59
Snapshot évalué : 29/10 13:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5036
Score SMA
0.5847
Rank
#7 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9077
Rank Norm SMA
0.9476
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6654 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.34% · r3d: 1.00% · ema21_slope: 0.5805% · dist_ema21: 2.992%
Force Relative 25% 0.5265 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.88% · rs_3d: -0.51% · beta_24h: 0.912
Volume 20% 0.2817 rvol_20: 0.56× · zscore_50: -0.331 · trend: 20.13%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6647 ADX: 26.1 (trend) · Chop: 44.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.1632 ATR%: 5.510% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.5720
Score SMA
0.5207
Rank
#42 / 72
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4668
Rank Norm SMA
0.5535
Calculé le
29/10/2026 13:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6516 r1h: 2.175% · r4h: 2.874% · r1d: 2.28% · r3d: 3.99% · ema21_slope: 0.0375% · dist_ema21: 2.840%
Force Relative 25% 0.6850 rs_1h: 2.778% · rs_4h: 1.357% · rs_1d: 1.48% · rs_3d: 2.70% · beta_24h: 0.451
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 6.31× · zscore_50: 5.471 · trend: 159.55%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6805 ADX: 21.7 (weak) · Chop: 34.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.059% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.4813
Score SMA
0.5162
Rank
#67 / 72
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2964
Rank Norm SMA
0.6770
Calculé le
29/10/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5749 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.759% · r1d: 0.04% · r3d: 2.06% · ema21_slope: 0.0271% · dist_ema21: 0.744%
Force Relative 25% 0.4499 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.235% · rs_1d: -1.46% · rs_3d: 0.40% · beta_24h: 0.471
Volume 20% 0.1776 rvol_20: 0.61× · zscore_50: -0.867 · trend: -36.56%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4057 ADX: 9.7 (weak) · Chop: 59.8 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.044% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.266% (13.9543)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -2.574% 1.1R 0.0× 11
2h +0.000% 0.0R -2.574% 1.1R 0.0× 24
4h +7.109% 3.1R -2.842% 1.3R 2.5× 48
8h +7.109% 3.1R -2.842% 1.3R 2.5× 96
12h ★ +7.109% 3.1R -3.274% 1.4R 2.2× 143
24h +7.109% 3.1R -6.745% 3.0R 1.1× 288
36h +7.109% 3.1R -6.745% 3.0R 1.1× 432
48h +7.109% 3.1R -6.745% 3.0R 1.1× 576
72h +7.109% 3.1R -6.745% 3.0R 1.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 219 min MAE in 1274 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -80
ML Pullback Score: 2.26
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind expansion bull_high
67%
noisy_chop 36% early — — 0.50 bull_high +4.55% +0.80 27/10 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate balanced normal bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 43% early near 0.4ATR near -0.7ATR 0.33 range_high +0.26% +0.09 29/10 08:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced compression range_high
38%
noisy_chop 36% mid — — 0.33 bull_medium_confirmed +1.37% +0.02 29/10 11:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive expansion_after_compression bull_medium_confirmed
63%
noisy_chop 47% late — near 0.0ATR 0.26 bull_low_confirmed +0.80% +0.15 29/10 12:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#444761
↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind 0.618 expansion bull_high
67%
noisy_chop 36% early 6b 0.4ATR — — 0.71 85% ↑ +0.62 above_value +0.81 — #211890 0.50 bull_high +4.55% +0.80
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:27
4h
#450730
↑ up range range moderate balanced 0.636 normal bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 43% early 8b 0.4ATR near 0.4ATR near -0.7ATR 0.61 60% ↓ -0.47 above_value +1.42 — #214392 0.33 range_high +0.26% +0.09
29/10 08:00
upd 29/10 12:20
1h anchor
#450729
↔ neutral range range moderate balanced 0.607 compression range_high
38%
noisy_chop 36% mid 12b 1.1ATR — — 1.59 64% ↔ +0.08 above_value +1.42 — #214392 0.33 bull_medium_confirmed +1.37% +0.02
29/10 11:00
upd 29/10 12:20
15m
#450995
↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive 0.695 expansion_after_compression bull_medium_confirmed
63%
noisy_chop 47% late 3b 3.5ATR — near 0.0ATR 11.35 100% ↑ +0.94 above_value +1.42 — #214392 0.26 bull_low_confirmed +0.80% +0.15
29/10 12:45
upd 29/10 13:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 6b — 1.898×ATR p0 +0.439×ATR p28
4h ↓ down early 8b — 1.244×ATR p0 +0.371×ATR p33
1h ↑ up mid 12b — 3.579×ATR p67 +1.07×ATR p64
15m ↑ up late 3b — 4.568×ATR p81 +3.502×ATR p100

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.91
  3. reason: up_bo width=2.64×ATR dur=63b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)
  4. stop_price: 601.89566217
  5. tp_price: 650.73584456
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.84000592867515
  8. exit_rules:
  9. expires_at: 2026-10-30T05:09:59.585336
  10. max_bars: 12
  11. max_bars_tf: 1h
  12. confidence_pre_ob: 0.84000592867515
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.2138
  14. obi_top10 : 0.0675
  15. micro_price : 615.89130435
  16. spread_pct : 0.048717
  17. mid_price : 615.95
  18. bid_wall_price : 612
  19. bid_wall_size : 378.12
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price :
  22. ask_wall_size :
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.2041
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.025
  27. pressure_side : bid
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 7364
  30. aggregation_tick : 1
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    610.79
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    594.255
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    602.5225
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1793070000
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1793293200
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.6378
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    63
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: stretched
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.84
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1793289600
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    610.79
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.746
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    1
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.8072
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    7
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    13
  59. regime : bull_high
  60. atr_entry : 6.26837825
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
63
inside_close_ratio
0.746
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.8072

Signaux confirmants (3)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 13:10 615.85000000 0%
2 13:19 615.85000000 0%
3 13:28 615.85000000 0%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

↑ bid ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7364ms Confidence avant OB : 84% → 91%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.214
avg 0.204 ± 0.025
OBI Top 10 0.068

Microstructure

Mid Price
615.9500
Micro Price
615.8913
Spread
0.0487%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
612.0000
Size
378.12

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
615.85 601.8957 650.7358 2.5 522.66
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 615.85
  • Stop Loss: 601.8957
  • Take Profit: 650.7358

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 601.8957 - 615.85 = -13.9543

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 615.85 - 650.7358 = -34.8858

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -34.8858 / -13.9543 = 2.5

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
353.0658 100 0.5733 4.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -13.9543

Taille de position = 8 / -13.9543 = -0.57

Taille de position USD = -0.57 x 615.85 = -351.03

Donc, tu peux acheter -0.57 avec un stoploss a 601.8957

Avec un position size USD de -351.03$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -0.57 x -13.9543 = 7.95

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.95$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -0.57 x -34.8858 = 19.88

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.88$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -0.57
  • Taille de position USD -351.03
  • Perte potentielle 7.95
  • Gain potentiel 19.88
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
5.66 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.27 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -2.27
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.5737 % 113.58 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
615.85 601.8957 650.7358 2.5 522.66
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 615.85
  • Stop Loss: 601.8957
  • Take Profit: 650.7358

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 601.8957 - 615.85 = -13.9543

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 615.85 - 650.7358 = -34.8858

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -34.8858 / -13.9543 = 2.5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 650.7358
            [entry_price] => 615.85
            [stop_loss] => 600.50027
            [rr_ratio] => 2.27
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 17:15:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 650.7358
            [entry_price] => 615.85
            [stop_loss] => 599.10484
            [rr_ratio] => 2.08
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 20:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 650.7358
            [entry_price] => 615.85
            [stop_loss] => 597.70941
            [rr_ratio] => 1.92
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 20:50:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 650.7358
            [entry_price] => 615.85
            [stop_loss] => 594.91855
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 20:50:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.266% (13.9543)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -2.574% 1.1R 0.0× 11
2h +0.000% 0.0R -2.574% 1.1R 0.0× 24
4h +7.109% 3.1R -2.842% 1.3R 2.5× 48
8h +7.109% 3.1R -2.842% 1.3R 2.5× 96
12h ★ +7.109% 3.1R -3.274% 1.4R 2.2× 143
24h +7.109% 3.1R -6.745% 3.0R 1.1× 288
36h +7.109% 3.1R -6.745% 3.0R 1.1× 432
48h +7.109% 3.1R -6.745% 3.0R 1.1× 576
72h +7.109% 3.1R -6.745% 3.0R 1.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 219 min MAE in 1274 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.