Long Trade on LIT

Previous Trade Next Trade

29 Oct 2026 at 13:09:50 hyperliquid

Long Trade on LIT (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 34.64 LIT at 3.225$ per unit. Take profit: 3.8019 (17.91 %) & Stop Loss: 2.9936 (7.16 %)

LIT LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 29 Oct 2026 13:09 → 16:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 3.2245$

Qty 34.6408 LIT

Size 111.6991$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 3.8019 (+17.91%)

TP $ 20$

SL 2.9936 (-7.16%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -7.16% / -8$ MAE -20.42% MFE +0.92% 0.1R expires 30 Oct 01:09

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 232911)

#8 / 72

seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 13:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8612

Quality Score

0.756

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#8 / 72

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

68 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-1

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-2

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-3

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

7.16 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#8 / 72

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

68 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-3

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

7.16 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.56×ATR
4h	near	-0.65×ATR
1d	clear	2.48×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	OK
4h	↑ up	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

58.1M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 13:02

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 29/10 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 29/10 11:00 Score : -2 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

27/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : range_high (0)

29/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

29/10 11:00

Score : -2 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7260

Voir snapshot →

range compression range_breakdown_risk

Strategic	range 0.25	compression 0
Operational	bear 0.55	expansion -1
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	bull 0.90	expansion

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 0.73

Transition risk : 0.27

Score contribution (this trade) -1

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 83.0%

Macro alt_rotation

Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading

Legacy leadership : alts

Breadth state contracting

Δ 15m

→-0.003

Δ 1h

▼-0.083

Δ 4h

▲+0.149

Δ 12h

▲+0.737

Δ 24h

▲+0.536

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	43.1%
1h	13.7%
4h	92.2%
24h	82.4%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	49.0%	-0.02%
4h	68.6%	+1.96%
24h	68.6%	+2.00%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

23.5%

Down ≥1σ

0.0%

Expansion

23.5%

Tail ↑

+1.05

Tail ↓

+0.51

Dispersion : 0.160

Universe : 51 (+1 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M

+1 added · -0 removed

Regime confidence : 0.59

Snapshot évalué : 29/10 13:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.1512

Score SMA

0.2627

Rank

#66 / 66

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0000

Rank Norm SMA

0.1920

Calculé le

28/10/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.0652	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.75% · r3d: -7.36% · ema21_slope: -0.6839% · dist_ema21: -11.818%
Force Relative	25%	0.1308	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.28% · rs_3d: -8.88% · beta_24h: 2.599
Volume	20%	0.1244	rvol_20: 0.37× · zscore_50: -1.135 · trend: -52.21%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4939	ADX: 16.8 (weak) · Chop: 56.2 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 11.309% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/10/2026 13:00

Score brut

0.7556

Score SMA

0.4811

Rank

#8 / 72

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.8612

Rank Norm SMA

0.3128

Calculé le

29/10/2026 13:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6793	r1h: -0.414% · r4h: 1.225% · r1d: 10.14% · r3d: 4.85% · ema21_slope: 0.2522% · dist_ema21: 7.650%
Force Relative	25%	0.6483	rs_1h: 0.189% · rs_4h: -0.292% · rs_1d: 9.35% · rs_3d: 3.56% · beta_24h: 1.995
Volume	20%	0.8326	rvol_20: 2.33× · zscore_50: 2.087 · trend: 176.71%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7590	ADX: 31.1 (trend) · Chop: 18.7 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 3.000% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/10/2026 12:00

Score brut

0.7022

Score SMA

0.4210

Rank

#7 / 72

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.6667

Rank Norm SMA

0.2758

Calculé le

29/10/2026 12:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.5849	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 10.707% · r1d: 10.83% · r3d: 4.43% · ema21_slope: -0.2257% · dist_ema21: 7.381%
Force Relative	25%	0.7028	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 8.713% · rs_1d: 9.33% · rs_3d: 2.77% · beta_24h: 3.633
Volume	20%	1.0000	rvol_20: 6.26× · zscore_50: 3.495 · trend: 169.31%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6082	ADX: 15.4 (weak) · Chop: 40.7 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.5976	ATR%: 4.207% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -7.161% (0.2309)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.713%	0.1R	-1.374%	0.2R	0.5×	12
2h	+0.924%	0.1R	-2.007%	0.3R	0.5×	24
4h	+0.924%	0.1R	-16.344%	2.3R	0.1×	48
8h	+0.924%	0.1R	-20.419%	2.9R	0.1×	96
12h ★	+0.924%	0.1R	-20.419%	2.9R	0.1×	144
24h	+0.924%	0.1R	-20.419%	2.9R	0.1×	288
36h	+0.924%	0.1R	-20.419%	2.9R	0.1×	432
48h	+0.924%	0.1R	-20.419%	2.9R	0.1×	576
72h	+3.201%	0.5R	-20.419%	2.9R	0.2×	864

⏱ MFE in 90 min MAE in 430 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.44

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	compression	bear_high	54%	noisy_chop 40%	mid	near -1.6ATR	—	0.42	bull_high	+4.55%	-0.96	27/10 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	volatile_reversal	range_high	34%	noisy_chop 38%	late	—	near -0.6ATR	0.47	range_high	+0.26%	+0.38	29/10 08:00
1h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	55%	noisy_chop 47%	late	—	near -0.6ATR	0.50	bull_medium_confirmed	+1.37%	+0.58	29/10 11:00
15m	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	59%	noisy_chop 43%	early	—	—	0.46	bull_low_confirmed	+0.80%	+0.68	29/10 12:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #444759	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	0.505	compression	bear_high	54%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 7b -1.3ATR	near -1.6ATR	—	0.60	33%	↔ -0.06	value	-2.70	—	#211889	0.42	bull_high	+4.55%	-0.96	27/10 20:00 upd 28/10 20:27
4h #450727	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.519	volatile_reversal	range_high	34%	noisy_chop 38%	late 3b 1.7ATR	—	near -0.6ATR	6.26	99%	↑ +0.57	value	+1.08	—	#214391	0.47	range_high	+0.26%	+0.38	29/10 08:00 upd 29/10 12:20
1h anchor #450726	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.551	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	55%	noisy_chop 47%	late 2b 2.7ATR	—	near -0.6ATR	2.65	98%	↑ +0.83	value	+1.08	—	#214391	0.50	bull_medium_confirmed	+1.37%	+0.58	29/10 11:00 upd 29/10 12:20
15m #450994	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.620	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	59%	noisy_chop 43%	early 3b 1.1ATR	—	—	0.64	88%	↔ -0.02	value	+1.08	—	#214391	0.46	bull_low_confirmed	+0.80%	+0.68	29/10 12:45 upd 29/10 13:03
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	mid	7b	—	3.141×ATR	p30	-1.257×ATR	p68
4h	↑ up	late	3b	—	3.72×ATR	p48	+1.665×ATR	p83
1h	↓ down	late	2b	—	0×ATR	p0	+2.725×ATR	p96
15m	↓ down	early	3b	—	1.491×ATR	p0	+1.072×ATR	p57

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

long_trend: 1
confidence: 0.6763
reason: up_bo width=1.80×ATR dur=49b phase=fresh|ob:ask_pressure(-0.10)
stop_price: 2.99355818
tp_price: 3.80185454
atr:
score: 0.77633017587149
exit_rules:
expires_at: 2026-10-30T05:09:42.446953
max_bars: 12
max_bars_tf: 1h
confidence_pre_ob: 0.77633017587149

Details

1H:
15m:
5m:
btc_indicators
market_structures
market_structure_v2
trend_analyzer_1h
orderbook_context
obi_top5 : -0.2144
obi_top10 : 0.0015
micro_price : 3.23384615
spread_pct : 0.061881
mid_price : 3.233
bid_wall_price : 3.18
bid_wall_size : 15894
bid_wall_dist_atr :
ask_wall_price :
ask_wall_size :
ask_wall_dist_atr :
snapshots_count : 5
obi_top5_mean : -0.1733
obi_top5_std : 0.0231
pressure_side : ask
collection_mode : ws_rolling
collection_ms : 6854
aggregation_tick : 0.01
error :
strategy_details
strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
strategy_details
balance_zone_top:
```
3.0883
```
balance_zone_bottom:
```
2.91775
```
balance_zone_mid:
```
3.003025
```
balance_zone_start_time:
```
1793120400
```
balance_zone_end_time:
```
1793293200
```
balance_zone_width_atr:
```
1.8016
```
balance_zone_duration_bars:
```
49
```
balance_zone_quality: tight
balance_zone_maturity: established
balance_zone_confidence:
```
0.7763
```
balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
balance_zone_breakout_time:
```
1793282400
```
balance_zone_breakout_price:
```
3.0883
```
strategy_details
balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
```
0.6531
```
balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
```
3
```
balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
```
1.4387
```
balance_metrics_has_retested:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_retest_count:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_touch_upper:
```
10
```
balance_metrics_touch_lower:
```
8
```
regime : bull_high_confirmed
atr_entry : 0.09466816

Signal Details

duration_bars

inside_close_ratio

0.6531

bars_since_breakout

distance_to_edge_atr

1.4387

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

↓ ask ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6854ms Confidence avant OB : 78% → 68%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.214

avg -0.173 ± 0.023

OBI Top 10 0.002

Microstructure

Mid Price

3.2330

Micro Price

3.2338

Spread

0.0619%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price

3.1800

Size

15,894.00

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
3.2245	2.9936	3.8019	2.5	3.0636

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 3.2245
Stop Loss: 2.9936
Take Profit: 3.8019

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 2.9936 - 3.2245 = -0.2309
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 3.2245 - 3.8019 = -0.5774
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.5774 / -0.2309 = 2.5006

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
111.6991	100	34.6408	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.2309

Taille de position = 8 / -0.2309 = -34.65

Taille de position USD = -34.65 x 3.2245 = -111.73

Donc, tu peux acheter -34.65 avec un stoploss a 2.9936

Avec un position size USD de -111.73$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -34.65 x -0.2309 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -34.65 x -0.5774 = 20.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.01$

Résumé

Taille de position -34.65
Taille de position USD -111.73
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 20.01
Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5006

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
17.91 %	20 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
7.16 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-8 $	-7.16

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-7.6353 %	106.63 %	13

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
3.2245	2.9936	3.8019	2.5	3.0636

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 3.2245
Stop Loss: 2.9936
Take Profit: 3.8019

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 2.9936 - 3.2245 = -0.2309
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 3.2245 - 3.8019 = -0.5774
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.5774 / -0.2309 = 2.5006

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.8019
            [entry_price] => 3.2245
            [stop_loss] => 2.97051
            [rr_ratio] => 2.27
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 20:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.8019
            [entry_price] => 3.2245
            [stop_loss] => 2.94742
            [rr_ratio] => 2.08
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 20:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.8019
            [entry_price] => 3.2245
            [stop_loss] => 2.92433
            [rr_ratio] => 1.92
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 20:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.8019
            [entry_price] => 3.2245
            [stop_loss] => 2.87815
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 20:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -7.161% (0.2309)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.713%	0.1R	-1.374%	0.2R	0.5×	12
2h	+0.924%	0.1R	-2.007%	0.3R	0.5×	24
4h	+0.924%	0.1R	-16.344%	2.3R	0.1×	48
8h	+0.924%	0.1R	-20.419%	2.9R	0.1×	96
12h ★	+0.924%	0.1R	-20.419%	2.9R	0.1×	144
24h	+0.924%	0.1R	-20.419%	2.9R	0.1×	288
36h	+0.924%	0.1R	-20.419%	2.9R	0.1×	432
48h	+0.924%	0.1R	-20.419%	2.9R	0.1×	576
72h	+3.201%	0.5R	-20.419%	2.9R	0.2×	864

⏱ MFE in 90 min MAE in 430 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.