29 Oct 2026 at 16:15:08 hyperliquid

Short Trade on SYRUP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 970.28 SYRUP at 0.158$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1539 (2.47 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1661 (5.26 %)

SYRUP SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Oct 2026 16:15 → 16:40 · 24 minutes

Position

Entry 0.1578$

Qty 970.2838 SYRUP

Size 153.1496$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1539 (+2.47%)

TP $ 3.78$

SL 0.1661 (-5.26%)

SL $ 8.05$

RR 0.47

Status win PnL +2.47% / +3.79$ MAE -0.99% MFE +8.01% 1.5R expires 29 Oct 22:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 233119)
#66 / 73
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 16:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3681

Quality Score
0.405
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#66 / 73
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.26 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#66 / 73
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.26 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 2.77×ATR
4h clear —
1d clear 0.80×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h — — OK
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-2.43
OK
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 16:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

27/10 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/10 14:00

Score : +4 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7272
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

compression

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.73
Transition risk : 0.27
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 24.4%
Macro alt_capitulation
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→+0.005
Δ 1h
→-0.002
Δ 4h
▼-0.670
Δ 12h
→-0.050
Δ 24h
▼-0.550

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 25.0%
1h 59.6%
4h 3.9%
24h 19.2%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 23.1% -0.05%
4h 17.3% -2.43%
24h 25.0% -2.22%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
34.6%
Expansion
34.6%
Tail ↑
+0.49
Tail ↓
+0.49
Dispersion : 0.231
Universe : 52 (-1 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -1 removed
Regime confidence : 0.59
Snapshot évalué : 29/10 16:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.4053
Score SMA
0.4844
Rank
#66 / 73
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3681
Rank Norm SMA
0.3820
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2196 r1h: -0.669% · r4h: -2.857% · r1d: -7.54% · r3d: -8.05% · ema21_slope: -0.1714% · dist_ema21: -1.430%
Force Relative 25% 0.2791 rs_1h: -0.638% · rs_4h: -1.726% · rs_1d: -6.61% · rs_3d: -9.09% · beta_24h: 2.246
Volume 20% 0.2709 rvol_20: 0.23× · zscore_50: -0.401 · trend: 23.24%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7429 ADX: 29.2 (trend) · Chop: 32.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.082% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.4415
Score SMA
0.4479
Rank
#46 / 73
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2347
Rank Norm SMA
0.3750
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1677 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.857% · r1d: -7.54% · r3d: -8.05% · ema21_slope: -0.3638% · dist_ema21: -5.163%
Force Relative 25% 0.2081 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.726% · rs_1d: -6.61% · rs_3d: -9.09% · beta_24h: 2.108
Volume 20% 0.7367 rvol_20: 2.23× · zscore_50: 1.629 · trend: 63.26%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7361 ADX: 28.3 (trend) · Chop: 32.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.7020 ATR%: 3.894% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.260% (0.0083)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +4.753% 0.9R -0.989% 0.2R 4.8× 12
2h +4.943% 0.9R -0.989% 0.2R 5.0× 24
4h +6.781% 1.3R -0.989% 0.2R 6.9× 48
6h ★ +8.010% 1.5R -0.989% 0.2R 8.1× 72
8h +11.736% 2.2R -0.989% 0.2R 11.9× 96
12h +11.736% 2.2R -0.989% 0.2R 11.9× 144
24h +11.736% 2.2R -0.989% 0.2R 11.9× 288
48h +11.736% 2.2R -2.985% 0.6R 3.9× 576
72h +11.736% 2.2R -4.126% 0.8R 2.8× 864
⏱ MFE in 419 min MAE in 4 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.61
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate fading compression bear_high
48%
noisy_chop 46% late — — 0.64 bull_high +4.55% -1.00 27/10 20:00
4h —
1h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind expansion bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 40% early — — 0.62 range_medium +0.23% -0.31 29/10 14:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate balanced compression bear_high
63%
noisy_chop 44% early — — 0.49 range_low +0.20% -0.05 29/10 15:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#451516
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate fading 0.424 compression bear_high
48%
noisy_chop 46% late 15b -2.2ATR — — 0.51 56% ↓ -0.62 value -3.33 — #214743 0.64 bull_high +4.55% -1.00
27/10 20:00
upd 29/10 14:20
4h Pas de snapshot
1h anchor
#451818
↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind 0.400 expansion bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 40% early 2b -0.4ATR — — 0.41 62% ↑ +0.65 below_value -3.90 — #214889 0.62 range_medium +0.23% -0.31
29/10 14:00
upd 29/10 15:11
15m
#452130
↓ down range range moderate balanced 0.403 compression bear_high
63%
noisy_chop 44% early 5b -0.7ATR — — 0.01 1% ↓ -0.78 below_value -3.90 — #214889 0.49 range_low +0.20% -0.05
29/10 15:45
upd 29/10 16:04
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 15b — 6.693×ATR p83 -2.212×ATR p92
1h ↓ down early 2b — 2.035×ATR p29 -0.359×ATR p21
15m ↑ up early 5b — 1.168×ATR p4 -0.68×ATR p37

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.16608501
  2. tp_price: 0.153894
  3. atr: 0.003298
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-30T02:15:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 72
  2. total: 73
  3. score: 0.2348
  4. delta_2h: -0.1056
  5. extension_atr: -1.32
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3717
  9. confidence: 0.986

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1578 0.1661 0.1539 0.47 0.1267
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1578
  • Stop Loss: 0.1661
  • Take Profit: 0.1539

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1661 - 0.1578 = 0.0083

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1578 - 0.1539 = 0.0039

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0039 / 0.0083 = 0.4699

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
153.1496 100 970.2838 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0083

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0083 = 963.86

Taille de position USD = 963.86 x 0.1578 = 152.1

Donc, tu peux acheter 963.86 avec un stoploss a 0.1661

Avec un position size USD de 152.1$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 963.86 x 0.0083 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 963.86 x 0.0039 = 3.76

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.76$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 963.86
  • Taille de position USD 152.1
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.76
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4699

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.47 % 3.78 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.26 % 8.05 $
PNL PNL %
3.79 $ 2.47
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.9886 % 18.8 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1578 0.1661 0.1539 0.47 0.1267
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1578
  • Stop Loss: 0.1661
  • Take Profit: 0.1539

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1661 - 0.1578 = 0.0083

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1578 - 0.1539 = 0.0039

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0039 / 0.0083 = 0.4699

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.260% (0.0083)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +4.753% 0.9R -0.989% 0.2R 4.8× 12
2h +4.943% 0.9R -0.989% 0.2R 5.0× 24
4h +6.781% 1.3R -0.989% 0.2R 6.9× 48
6h ★ +8.010% 1.5R -0.989% 0.2R 8.1× 72
8h +11.736% 2.2R -0.989% 0.2R 11.9× 96
12h +11.736% 2.2R -0.989% 0.2R 11.9× 144
24h +11.736% 2.2R -0.989% 0.2R 11.9× 288
48h +11.736% 2.2R -2.985% 0.6R 3.9× 576
72h +11.736% 2.2R -4.126% 0.8R 2.8× 864
⏱ MFE in 419 min MAE in 4 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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