29 Oct 2026 at 16:15:09 hyperliquid

Short Trade on USELESS (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 627.49 USELESS at 0.153$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1488 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1654 (8.39 %)

USELESS SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Oct 2026 16:15 → 16:30 · 14 minutes

Position

Entry 0.1526$

Qty 627.4899 USELESS

Size 95.7612$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1488 (+2.49%)

TP $ 2.38$

SL 0.1654 (-8.39%)

SL $ 8.03$

RR 0.3

Status win PnL +2.49% / +2.38$ MAE -0.39% MFE +23.15% 2.8R expires 29 Oct 22:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 233137)
#72 / 73
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 16:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5039

Quality Score
0.364
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#72 / 73
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.39 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#72 / 73
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.39 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.03×ATR
4h clear 0.54×ATR
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-2.43
OK
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 16:03
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

27/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

29/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/10 14:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7272
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

compression

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.73
Transition risk : 0.27
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 24.4%
Macro alt_capitulation
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→+0.005
Δ 1h
→-0.002
Δ 4h
▼-0.670
Δ 12h
→-0.050
Δ 24h
▼-0.550

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 25.0%
1h 59.6%
4h 3.9%
24h 19.2%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 23.1% -0.05%
4h 17.3% -2.43%
24h 25.0% -2.22%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
34.6%
Expansion
34.6%
Tail ↑
+0.49
Tail ↓
+0.49
Dispersion : 0.231
Universe : 52 (-1 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -1 removed
Regime confidence : 0.59
Snapshot évalué : 29/10 16:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2496
Score SMA
0.3060
Rank
#63 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0462
Rank Norm SMA
0.3169
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3001 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.07% · r3d: -4.61% · ema21_slope: -1.1569% · dist_ema21: -7.881%
Force Relative 25% 0.3124 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.46% · rs_3d: -6.12% · beta_24h: 3.294
Volume 20% 0.1415 rvol_20: 0.52× · zscore_50: -0.931 · trend: -56.90%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.3548 ADX: 17.8 (weak) · Chop: 74.5 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 15.308% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.3637
Score SMA
0.5514
Rank
#72 / 73
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5039
Rank Norm SMA
0.5491
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2349 r1h: -0.916% · r4h: -7.832% · r1d: -11.94% · r3d: 0.12% · ema21_slope: -0.1012% · dist_ema21: -2.320%
Force Relative 25% 0.2055 rs_1h: -0.885% · rs_4h: -6.700% · rs_1d: -11.01% · rs_3d: -0.92% · beta_24h: 4.116
Volume 20% 0.3086 rvol_20: 0.47× · zscore_50: -0.576 · trend: 60.23%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6089 ADX: 18.7 (weak) · Chop: 44.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.8798 ATR%: 3.361% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.3777
Score SMA
0.4572
Rank
#64 / 73
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2379
Rank Norm SMA
0.4046
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3413 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -7.832% · r1d: -11.94% · r3d: 0.12% · ema21_slope: 0.0337% · dist_ema21: -3.974%
Force Relative 25% 0.2569 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -6.700% · rs_1d: -11.01% · rs_3d: -0.92% · beta_24h: 5.722
Volume 20% 0.6976 rvol_20: 2.39× · zscore_50: 1.414 · trend: 26.09%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5049 ADX: 12.5 (weak) · Chop: 50.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.555% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -8.388% (0.0128)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +11.724% 1.4R -0.393% 0.1R 29.8× 12
2h +11.724% 1.4R -0.393% 0.1R 29.8× 24
4h +19.718% 2.4R -0.393% 0.1R 50.2× 48
6h ★ +23.152% 2.8R -0.393% 0.1R 58.9× 72
8h +23.152% 2.8R -0.393% 0.1R 58.9× 96
12h +23.152% 2.8R -0.393% 0.1R 58.9× 144
24h +23.152% 2.8R -0.393% 0.1R 58.9× 288
48h +23.152% 2.8R -0.393% 0.1R 58.9× 576
72h +23.152% 2.8R -0.393% 0.1R 58.9× 864
⏱ MFE in 244 min MAE in 4 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 7.1
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ — — — — — — bear_high
39%
noisy_chop 38% early — — — bull_high +4.55% -0.77 27/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced expansion bear_high
64%
noisy_chop 41% early — — 0.57 range_high +0.26% +0.51 29/10 08:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 45% early near 0.0ATR — 0.64 range_medium +0.23% -0.69 29/10 14:00
15m ↓ down range range strong grind compression bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 40% early near -0.1ATR — 0.65 range_low +0.20% -0.18 29/10 15:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#444769
↔ — — — — — — bear_high
39%
noisy_chop 38% early 35b -0.3ATR — — 0.84 12% ↓ -0.18 above_value +2.20 — #211894 — bull_high +4.55% -0.77
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:27
4h
#450742
↔ neutral range range moderate balanced 0.613 expansion bear_high
64%
noisy_chop 41% early 1b 0.6ATR — — 1.73 59% ↑ +0.17 above_value +0.81 — #214396 0.57 range_high +0.26% +0.51
29/10 08:00
upd 29/10 12:21
1h anchor
#451833
↔ neutral range range moderate balanced 0.578 expansion_after_compression bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 45% early 2b -0.5ATR near 0.0ATR — 2.89 97% ↑ +0.65 above_value -0.92 — #214904 0.64 range_medium +0.23% -0.69
29/10 14:00
upd 29/10 15:12
15m
#452145
↓ down range range strong grind 0.451 compression bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 40% early 7b -1.3ATR near -0.1ATR — 0.34 60% ↓ -0.64 above_value -0.92 — #214904 0.65 range_low +0.20% -0.18
29/10 15:45
upd 29/10 16:05
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 35b — 7.511×ATR — -0.259×ATR p5
4h ↑ up early 1b — 2.056×ATR p3 +0.648×ATR p39
1h ↓ down early 2b — 2.393×ATR p43 -0.475×ATR p22
15m ↓ down early 7b — 2.401×ATR p42 -1.303×ATR p55

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.16535921
  2. tp_price: 0.14879475
  3. atr: 0.00509968
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-30T02:15:09+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 71
  2. total: 73
  3. score: 0.2439
  4. delta_2h: -0.1912
  5. extension_atr: -0.81
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.5057
  9. confidence: 0.972

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1526 0.1654 0.1488 0.3 0.1245
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1526
  • Stop Loss: 0.1654
  • Take Profit: 0.1488

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1654 - 0.1526 = 0.0128

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1526 - 0.1488 = 0.0038

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0038 / 0.0128 = 0.2969

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
95.7612 95.7612 627.4899 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0128

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0128 = 625

Taille de position USD = 625 x 0.1526 = 95.38

Donc, tu peux acheter 625 avec un stoploss a 0.1654

Avec un position size USD de 95.38$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 625 x 0.0128 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 625 x 0.0038 = 2.38

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.38$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 625
  • Taille de position USD 95.38
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.38
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2969

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.49 % 2.38 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
8.39 % 8.03 $
PNL PNL %
2.38 $ 2.49
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3932 % 4.69 % 1
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1526 0.1654 0.1488 0.3 0.1245
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1526
  • Stop Loss: 0.1654
  • Take Profit: 0.1488

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1654 - 0.1526 = 0.0128

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1526 - 0.1488 = 0.0038

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0038 / 0.0128 = 0.2969

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.127
            [stop_loss] => 0.1654
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-30 00:00:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1206
            [stop_loss] => 0.1654
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-30 00:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -8.388% (0.0128)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +11.724% 1.4R -0.393% 0.1R 29.8× 12
2h +11.724% 1.4R -0.393% 0.1R 29.8× 24
4h +19.718% 2.4R -0.393% 0.1R 50.2× 48
6h ★ +23.152% 2.8R -0.393% 0.1R 58.9× 72
8h +23.152% 2.8R -0.393% 0.1R 58.9× 96
12h +23.152% 2.8R -0.393% 0.1R 58.9× 144
24h +23.152% 2.8R -0.393% 0.1R 58.9× 288
48h +23.152% 2.8R -0.393% 0.1R 58.9× 576
72h +23.152% 2.8R -0.393% 0.1R 58.9× 864
⏱ MFE in 244 min MAE in 4 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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