Short Trade on PYTH (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1691.17 PYTH at 0.0672$ per unit. Take profit: 0.05541 (17.58 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07196 (7.04 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 16:35:41
hyperliquid
PYTH
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 16:35
→ 04:30
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.06723$
Qty 1691.1746 PYTH
Size 113.7027$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.05541 (+17.58%)
TP $ 19.99$
SL 0.07196 (-7.04%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+9.05%
/ +10.28$
MAE -0.00%
MFE +12.80%
1.8R
expires
30 Oct 04:35
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 233096)
#70 / 73
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 16:00
score du 29/10/2026 16:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3362
Quality Score
0.388
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#70 / 73
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.04 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#70 / 73
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.04 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.30×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.82×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.08×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
4.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 16:31
29/10 16:31
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/10 15:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7274
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
9.3%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.002
Δ 1h
▼-0.083
Δ 4h
▼-0.780
Δ 12h
▼-0.133
Δ 24h
▼-0.788
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 48.0% |
| 1h | 6.0% |
| 4h | 4.0% |
| 24h | 18.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 48.0% | -0.02% |
| 4h | 8.0% | -3.98% |
| 24h | 22.0% | -3.65% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
68.0%
Expansion
68.0%
Tail ↑
+0.65
Tail ↓
+0.49
Dispersion :
0.292
Universe :
50
(-1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-1 removed
Regime confidence :
0.59
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 16:31
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3695
Score SMA
0.4704
Rank
#26
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6154
Rank Norm SMA
0.7673
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3962 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.93% · r3d: -1.77% · ema21_slope: -0.3319% · dist_ema21: -2.699% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4293 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.40% · rs_3d: -3.28% · beta_24h: -0.168 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2006 | rvol_20: 0.47× · zscore_50: -0.246 · trend: -37.25% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6879 | ADX: 29.0 (trend) · Chop: 44.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.322% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.3876
Score SMA
0.5266
Rank
#70
/ 73
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3362
Rank Norm SMA
0.4651
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2969 | r1h: 0.582% · r4h: -5.695% · r1d: -5.65% · r3d: -6.61% · ema21_slope: -0.0843% · dist_ema21: -2.586% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3078 | rs_1h: 0.613% · rs_4h: -4.563% · rs_1d: -4.71% · rs_3d: -7.65% · beta_24h: 1.715 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2516 | rvol_20: 0.09× · zscore_50: -0.318 · trend: 4.61% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6815 | ADX: 21.8 (weak) · Chop: 31.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.404% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.3535
Score SMA
0.4407
Rank
#69
/ 73
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4634
Rank Norm SMA
0.3417
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2652 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -5.695% · r1d: -5.65% · r3d: -6.61% · ema21_slope: -0.1336% · dist_ema21: -4.070% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2470 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -4.563% · rs_1d: -4.71% · rs_3d: -7.65% · beta_24h: 2.504 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4163 | rvol_20: 0.66× · zscore_50: -0.131 · trend: 110.90% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5383 | ADX: 15.7 (weak) · Chop: 49.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6608 | ATR%: 4.018% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -7.036%
(0.0047)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +5.276% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +6.075% | 0.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +12.515% | 1.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +12.798% | 1.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +12.798% | 1.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 143 |
| 24h | +12.798% | 1.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 288 |
| 36h | +12.798% | 1.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 432 |
| 48h | +12.798% | 1.8R | -0.068% | 0.0R | 187.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +12.798% | 1.8R | -1.023% | 0.2R | 12.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 244 min
MAE in min
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.73
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near -1.1ATR | — | 0.57 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.73 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | pullback | bear_trend | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.54 | bear_high | -0.86% | -0.76 | 29/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.58 | range_medium | +0.20% | -0.52 | 29/10 15:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 53% | late | — | — | 0.36 | range_low | -0.34% | -0.41 | 29/10 16:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444694
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.702 | normal | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid 13b -0.3ATR | near -1.1ATR | — | 0.47 | 83% | ↓ -0.55 | above_value | -0.67 | — | #211862 | 0.57 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.73 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:23
|
|
4h
#452223
|
↓ down | pullback | bear_trend | strong | explosive | 0.412 | expansion | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid 5b -1.1ATR | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.66 | 53% | ↑ +0.49 | below_value | -1.67 | — | #215014 | 0.54 | bear_high | -0.86% | -0.76 |
29/10 12:00
upd 29/10 16:17
|
|
1h
anchor #452222
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.209 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late 6b -1.0ATR | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.09 | 31% | ↑ +0.44 | below_value | -1.67 | inside | #215014 | 0.58 | range_medium | +0.20% | -0.52 |
29/10 15:00
upd 29/10 16:16
|
|
15m
#452410
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.423 | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 53% | late 17b -1.8ATR | — | — | 1.48 | 87% | ↔ -0.10 | below_value | -1.67 | — | #215014 | 0.36 | range_low | -0.34% | -0.41 |
29/10 16:15
upd 29/10 16:31
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 13b | — | 3.974×ATR | p50 | -0.268×ATR | p15 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.011×ATR | p0 | -1.126×ATR | p64 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 6b | — | 4.391×ATR | p87 | -0.99×ATR | p51 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 17b | — | 6.265×ATR | p91 | -1.788×ATR | p71 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7863
- reason: down_bo width=2.58×ATR dur=62b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.07196344
- tp_price: 0.05540691
- atr:
- score: 0.78633420552276
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-10-30T08:35:33.604563
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.78633420552276
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.218
- obi_top10 : -0.001
- micro_price : 0.06682498
- spread_pct : 0.029931
- mid_price : 0.06683
- bid_wall_price : 0.0662
- bid_wall_size : 1058358.8
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.0674
- ask_wall_size : 882246.2
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0211
- obi_top5_std : 0.1829
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7163
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.073981
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.069607
- balance_zone_mid:
0.071794
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793084400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793304000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.5815
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
62
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7863
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793296800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.069607
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.9194
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
2
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.4011
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
10
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
8
- regime : bear_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 0.00169437 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
62
inside_close_ratio
0.9194
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
1.4011
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:35 | 0.06723300 | +0.004% |
| 2 | 16:44 | 0.06723300 | +0.004% |
| 3 | 16:53 | 0.06723300 | +0.004% |
| 4 | 17:03 | 0.06723300 | +0.004% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7163ms
Confidence avant OB :
79%
→
79%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.218
avg -0.021
± 0.183
OBI Top 10
-0.001
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0668
Micro Price
0.0668
Spread
0.0299%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0662
Size
1,058,358.80
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0674
Size
882,246.20
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06723 | 0.07196 | 0.05541 | 2.5 | 0.06363 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.06723
- Stop Loss: 0.07196
- Take Profit: 0.05541
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07196 - 0.06723 = 0.00473
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06723 - 0.05541 = 0.01182
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.01182 / 0.00473 = 2.4989
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 113.7027 | 100 | 1691.1746 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00473
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00473 = 1691.33
Taille de position USD = 1691.33 x 0.06723 = 113.71
Donc, tu peux acheter 1691.33 avec un stoploss a 0.07196
Avec un position size USD de 113.71$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1691.33 x 0.00473 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1691.33 x 0.01182 = 19.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1691.33
- Taille de position USD 113.71
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.99
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4989
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 17.58 % | 19.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.04 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 10.28 $ | 9.05 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06723 | 0.07196 | 0.05541 | 2.5 | 0.06363 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.06723
- Stop Loss: 0.07196
- Take Profit: 0.05541
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07196 - 0.06723 = 0.00473
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06723 - 0.05541 = 0.01182
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.01182 / 0.00473 = 2.4989
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -7.036%
(0.0047)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +5.276% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +6.075% | 0.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +12.515% | 1.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +12.798% | 1.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +12.798% | 1.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 143 |
| 24h | +12.798% | 1.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 288 |
| 36h | +12.798% | 1.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 432 |
| 48h | +12.798% | 1.8R | -0.068% | 0.0R | 187.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +12.798% | 1.8R | -1.023% | 0.2R | 12.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 244 min
MAE in min
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.