Long Trade on XMR (PavLongMomentum4h)
With 0.23 XMR at 637.73$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 602.9944 (5.45 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 17:26:08
hyperliquid
XMR
LONG
PavLongMomentum4h
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 17:26
→ 19:50
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 637.73$
Qty 0.2303 XMR
Size 146.8766$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 146.88$
SL 602.9944 (-5.45%)
SL $ 8$
RR
Status
loss
PnL
-5.45%
/ -8$
MAE -5.76%
MFE +0.87%
0.2R
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 233278)
#3 / 73
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 17:00
score du 29/10/2026 17:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6318
Quality Score
0.671
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#3 / 73
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.45 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#3 / 73
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.45 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.23×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.19×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.72×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie PavLongMomentum4h. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie PavLongMomentum4h. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
88.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 17:17
29/10 17:17
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 29/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 29/10 16:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7277
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
7.3%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→+0.005
Δ 1h
→-0.018
Δ 4h
▼-0.779
Δ 12h
▼-0.199
Δ 24h
▼-0.840
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 81.4% |
| 1h | 62.7% |
| 4h | 5.1% |
| 24h | 8.5% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 81.4% | +0.23% |
| 4h | 8.5% | -6.51% |
| 24h | 13.6% | -8.27% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
1.7%
Down ≥1σ
88.1%
Expansion
89.8%
Tail ↑
+1.11
Tail ↓
+0.77
Dispersion :
0.261
Universe :
59
(+5 vs prev)
noisy
· ≥ $2.0M
+5 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.59
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 17:16
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5036
Score SMA
0.5847
Rank
#7
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9077
Rank Norm SMA
0.9476
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6654 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.34% · r3d: 1.00% · ema21_slope: 0.5805% · dist_ema21: 2.992% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5265 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.88% · rs_3d: -0.51% · beta_24h: 0.912 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2817 | rvol_20: 0.56× · zscore_50: -0.331 · trend: 20.13% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6647 | ADX: 26.1 (trend) · Chop: 44.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.1632 | ATR%: 5.510% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.6709
Score SMA
0.5246
Rank
#3
/ 73
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6318
Rank Norm SMA
0.5599
Calculé le
29/10/2026 17:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6382 | r1h: 3.856% · r4h: 1.158% · r1d: 4.16% · r3d: 4.95% · ema21_slope: 0.0932% · dist_ema21: 3.564% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8532 | rs_1h: 6.315% · rs_4h: 4.135% · rs_1d: 7.22% · rs_3d: 6.22% · beta_24h: -0.532 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 7.25× · zscore_50: 5.707 · trend: 296.11% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7668 | ADX: 32.0 (trend) · Chop: 10.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.764% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.6407
Score SMA
0.5170
Rank
#8
/ 74
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4873
Rank Norm SMA
0.6760
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5257 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.480% · r1d: -0.13% · r3d: 0.65% · ema21_slope: 0.0236% · dist_ema21: 0.236% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5168 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.652% · rs_1d: 0.81% · rs_3d: -0.39% · beta_24h: 0.449 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9633 | rvol_20: 4.36× · zscore_50: 4.032 · trend: 72.50% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4074 | ADX: 10.0 (weak) · Chop: 60.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.127% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: PavLongMomentum4h (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -5.447%
(34.7356)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.122% | 0.0R | -4.253% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.122% | 0.0R | -4.419% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.873% | 0.2R | -5.760% | 1.1R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.873% | 0.2R | -6.904% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.873% | 0.2R | -8.381% | 1.5R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.873% | 0.2R | -9.945% | 1.8R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.873% | 0.2R | -9.945% | 1.8R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.873% | 0.2R | -9.945% | 1.8R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 223 min
MAE in 1018 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 0.14
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.50 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.80 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near 0.1ATR | near -0.2ATR | 0.33 | bear_high | -0.86% | +0.12 | 29/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.18 | bear_medium_confirmed | -2.22% | +0.60 | 29/10 16:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | near 0.0ATR | -0.06 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.65% | +0.70 | 29/10 17:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444761
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.618 | expansion | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early 6b 0.4ATR | — | — | 0.71 | 85% | ↑ +0.62 | above_value | +0.81 | — | #211890 | 0.50 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.80 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:27
|
|
4h
#452332
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.556 | normal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early 4b 0.1ATR | near 0.1ATR | near -0.2ATR | 4.36 | 100% | ↓ -0.16 | above_value | +0.93 | — | #215050 | 0.33 | bear_high | -0.86% | +0.12 |
29/10 12:00
upd 29/10 16:22
|
|
1h
anchor #452670
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.654 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late 4b 2.0ATR | — | — | 7.25 | 100% | ↑ +0.79 | above_value | +1.95 | — | #215269 | 0.18 | bear_medium_confirmed | -2.22% | +0.60 |
29/10 16:00
upd 29/10 17:12
|
|
15m
#452743
|
↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.713 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late 1b 2.8ATR | — | near 0.0ATR | 3.09 | 100% | ↔ +0.03 | above_value | +1.95 | — | #215269 | -0.06 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.65% | +0.70 |
29/10 17:00
upd 29/10 17:18
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.898×ATR | p0 | +0.439×ATR | p28 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.358×ATR | p0 | +0.109×ATR | p9 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | +1.954×ATR | p86 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 2.291×ATR | p36 | +2.796×ATR | p97 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
PavLongMomentum4h - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 1
- reason: breakout|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)|ob:obi_strong(+0.08)
- stop_price: 602.99444444
- tp_price:
- atr:
- score: 1
- exit_rules: [{"type":"trailing_ma","params":{"period":9,"timeframe":"4h","on":"Close"}},{"type":"time_expiry","params":{"max_bars":20,"timeframe":"4h"}}]
- confidence_pre_ob: 1
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.5395
- obi_top10 : 0.6196
- micro_price : 634.87507042
- spread_pct : 0.047272
- mid_price : 634.78
- bid_wall_price : 632
- bid_wall_size : 103.658
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 637
- ask_wall_size : 27.076
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.5521
- obi_top5_std : 0.013
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6812
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : pav_long_momentum
- timeframe : 4h
- breakout_period : 42
- ma_exit_period : 9
- breakout_high : 619.62
- breakout_high_time : 2026-10-28T04:00:00
- ma_exit_at_entry : 602.99444444
- entry_price : 637.73 ¸
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:26 | 637.73000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 17:57 | 637.73000000 | 0% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6812ms
Confidence avant OB :
100%
→
100%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.540
avg 0.552
± 0.013
OBI Top 10
0.620
Microstructure
Mid Price
634.7800
Micro Price
634.8751
Spread
0.0473%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
632.0000
Size
103.66
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
637.0000
Size
27.08
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 637.73 | 602.9944 | 577.78 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 637.73
- Stop Loss: 602.9944
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 602.9944 - 637.73 = -34.7356
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 637.73 - = 637.73
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 637.73 / -34.7356 = -18.3596
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 146.8766 | 100 | 0.2303 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -34.7356
Taille de position = 8 / -34.7356 = -0.23
Taille de position USD = -0.23 x 637.73 = -146.68
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.23 avec un stoploss a 602.9944
Avec un position size USD de -146.68$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.23 x -34.7356 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.23 x 637.73 = -146.68
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -146.68$
Résumé
- Taille de position -0.23
- Taille de position USD -146.68
- Perte potentielle 7.99
- Gain potentiel -146.68
- Risk-Reward Ratio -18.3596
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 146.88 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.45 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -5.45 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -5.6027 % | 102.86 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 637.73 | 602.9944 | 577.78 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 637.73
- Stop Loss: 602.9944
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 602.9944 - 637.73 = -34.7356
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 637.73 - = 637.73
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 637.73 / -34.7356 = -18.3596
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] =>
[entry_price] => 637.73
[stop_loss] => 599.52084
[rr_ratio] => 16.69
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-10-29 21:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] =>
[entry_price] => 637.73
[stop_loss] => 596.04728
[rr_ratio] => 15.3
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-29 21:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] =>
[entry_price] => 637.73
[stop_loss] => 592.57372
[rr_ratio] => 14.12
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-10-29 21:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] =>
[entry_price] => 637.73
[stop_loss] => 585.6266
[rr_ratio] => 12.24
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-29 21:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: PavLongMomentum4h (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -5.447%
(34.7356)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.122% | 0.0R | -4.253% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.122% | 0.0R | -4.419% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.873% | 0.2R | -5.760% | 1.1R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.873% | 0.2R | -6.904% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.873% | 0.2R | -8.381% | 1.5R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.873% | 0.2R | -9.945% | 1.8R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.873% | 0.2R | -9.945% | 1.8R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.873% | 0.2R | -9.945% | 1.8R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 223 min
MAE in 1018 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.