Long Trade on XMR (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 0.3 XMR at 629.34$ per unit. Take profit: 695.1106 (10.45 %) & Stop Loss: 603.0317 (4.18 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 17:17:27
hyperliquid
XMR
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 17:17
→ 19:50
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 629.34$
Qty 0.3041 XMR
Size 191.3742$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 695.1106 (+10.45%)
TP $ 20$
SL 603.0317 (-4.18%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-4.18%
/ -8$
MAE -7.16%
MFE +2.22%
0.5R
expires
30 Oct 05:17
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 233278)
#3 / 73
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 17:00
score du 29/10/2026 17:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6318
Quality Score
0.671
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#3 / 73
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.18 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#3 / 73
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.18 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.23×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.19×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.72×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
76.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 17:02
29/10 17:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 29/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 29/10 16:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7277
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
7.3%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→+0.005
Δ 1h
→-0.018
Δ 4h
▼-0.779
Δ 12h
▼-0.199
Δ 24h
▼-0.840
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 81.4% |
| 1h | 62.7% |
| 4h | 5.1% |
| 24h | 8.5% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 81.4% | +0.23% |
| 4h | 8.5% | -6.51% |
| 24h | 13.6% | -8.27% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
1.7%
Down ≥1σ
88.1%
Expansion
89.8%
Tail ↑
+1.11
Tail ↓
+0.77
Dispersion :
0.261
Universe :
59
(+5 vs prev)
noisy
· ≥ $2.0M
+5 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.59
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 17:16
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5036
Score SMA
0.5847
Rank
#7
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9077
Rank Norm SMA
0.9476
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6654 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.34% · r3d: 1.00% · ema21_slope: 0.5805% · dist_ema21: 2.992% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5265 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.88% · rs_3d: -0.51% · beta_24h: 0.912 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2817 | rvol_20: 0.56× · zscore_50: -0.331 · trend: 20.13% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6647 | ADX: 26.1 (trend) · Chop: 44.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.1632 | ATR%: 5.510% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.6709
Score SMA
0.5246
Rank
#3
/ 73
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6318
Rank Norm SMA
0.5599
Calculé le
29/10/2026 17:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6382 | r1h: 3.856% · r4h: 1.158% · r1d: 4.16% · r3d: 4.95% · ema21_slope: 0.0932% · dist_ema21: 3.564% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8532 | rs_1h: 6.315% · rs_4h: 4.135% · rs_1d: 7.22% · rs_3d: 6.22% · beta_24h: -0.532 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 7.25× · zscore_50: 5.707 · trend: 296.11% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7668 | ADX: 32.0 (trend) · Chop: 10.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.764% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.6407
Score SMA
0.5170
Rank
#8
/ 74
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4873
Rank Norm SMA
0.6760
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5257 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.480% · r1d: -0.13% · r3d: 0.65% · ema21_slope: 0.0236% · dist_ema21: 0.236% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5168 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.652% · rs_1d: 0.81% · rs_3d: -0.39% · beta_24h: 0.449 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9633 | rvol_20: 4.36× · zscore_50: 4.032 · trend: 72.50% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4074 | ADX: 10.0 (weak) · Chop: 60.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.127% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.180%
(26.3083)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.543% | 0.4R | -2.976% | 0.7R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.543% | 0.4R | -3.067% | 0.7R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.218% | 0.5R | -4.503% | 1.1R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.218% | 0.5R | -5.447% | 1.3R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.218% | 0.5R | -7.160% | 1.7R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.218% | 0.5R | -8.744% | 2.1R | 0.3× | 288 |
| 36h | +2.218% | 0.5R | -8.744% | 2.1R | 0.3× | 432 |
| 48h | +2.218% | 0.5R | -8.744% | 2.1R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.218% | 0.5R | -8.744% | 2.1R | 0.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 232 min
MAE in 1027 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.78
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.50 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.80 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near 0.1ATR | near -0.2ATR | 0.33 | bear_high | -0.86% | +0.12 | 29/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.18 | bear_medium_confirmed | -2.22% | +0.60 | 29/10 16:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | -0.11 | bear_medium_confirmed | -2.17% | +0.66 | 29/10 16:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444761
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.618 | expansion | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early 6b 0.4ATR | — | — | 0.71 | 85% | ↑ +0.62 | above_value | +0.81 | — | #211890 | 0.50 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.80 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:27
|
|
4h
#452332
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.556 | normal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early 4b 0.1ATR | near 0.1ATR | near -0.2ATR | 4.36 | 100% | ↓ -0.16 | above_value | +0.93 | — | #215050 | 0.33 | bear_high | -0.86% | +0.12 |
29/10 12:00
upd 29/10 16:22
|
|
1h
anchor #452670
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.654 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late 4b 2.0ATR | — | — | 7.25 | 100% | ↑ +0.79 | above_value | +1.95 | — | #215269 | 0.18 | bear_medium_confirmed | -2.22% | +0.60 |
29/10 16:00
upd 29/10 17:12
|
|
15m
#452596
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.498 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late 3b 2.9ATR | — | — | 7.16 | 100% | ↔ -0.15 | above_value | +0.93 | — | #215050 | -0.11 | bear_medium_confirmed | -2.17% | +0.66 |
29/10 16:45
upd 29/10 17:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.898×ATR | p0 | +0.439×ATR | p28 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.358×ATR | p0 | +0.109×ATR | p9 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | +1.954×ATR | p86 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 3.89×ATR | p69 | +2.947×ATR | p98 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8388
- reason: up_bo width=1.20×ATR dur=49b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)|ob:obi_strong(+0.08)
- stop_price: 603.03174698
- tp_price: 695.11063256
- atr:
- score: 0.68878671862767
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-10-30T09:17:19.540482
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.68878671862767
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.5337
- obi_top10 : 0.6264
- micro_price : 635.90896552
- spread_pct : 0.0755
- mid_price : 636
- bid_wall_price : 633
- bid_wall_size : 103.59
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 639
- ask_wall_size : 32.204
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.5455
- obi_top5_std : 0.0184
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7048
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
611.43
- balance_zone_bottom:
597.025
- balance_zone_mid:
604.2275
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793134800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793307600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.2047
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
49
- balance_zone_quality: loose
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.6888
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793304000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
611.43
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7143
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.4978
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
11
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
20
- regime : bull_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 11.95753024 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
49
inside_close_ratio
0.7143
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.4978
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:17 | 629.34000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 17:25 | 629.34000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 17:36 | 629.34000000 | 0% |
| 4 | 17:47 | 621.03000000 | -1.32% |
| 5 | 17:57 | 621.03000000 | -1.32% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7048ms
Confidence avant OB :
69%
→
84%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.534
avg 0.546
± 0.018
OBI Top 10
0.626
Microstructure
Mid Price
636.0000
Micro Price
635.9090
Spread
0.0755%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
633.0000
Size
103.59
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
639.0000
Size
32.20
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 629.34 | 603.0317 | 695.1106 | 2.5 | 578.13 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 629.34
- Stop Loss: 603.0317
- Take Profit: 695.1106
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 603.0317 - 629.34 = -26.3083
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 629.34 - 695.1106 = -65.7706
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -65.7706 / -26.3083 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 191.3742 | 100 | 0.3041 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -26.3083
Taille de position = 8 / -26.3083 = -0.3
Taille de position USD = -0.3 x 629.34 = -188.8
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.3 avec un stoploss a 603.0317
Avec un position size USD de -188.8$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.3 x -26.3083 = 7.89
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.89$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.3 x -65.7706 = 19.73
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.73$
Résumé
- Taille de position -0.3
- Taille de position USD -188.8
- Perte potentielle 7.89
- Gain potentiel 19.73
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 10.45 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.18 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -4.18 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.3442 % | 103.92 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 629.34 | 603.0317 | 695.1106 | 2.5 | 578.13 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 629.34
- Stop Loss: 603.0317
- Take Profit: 695.1106
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 603.0317 - 629.34 = -26.3083
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 629.34 - 695.1106 = -65.7706
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -65.7706 / -26.3083 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.180%
(26.3083)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.543% | 0.4R | -2.976% | 0.7R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.543% | 0.4R | -3.067% | 0.7R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.218% | 0.5R | -4.503% | 1.1R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.218% | 0.5R | -5.447% | 1.3R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.218% | 0.5R | -7.160% | 1.7R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.218% | 0.5R | -8.744% | 2.1R | 0.3× | 288 |
| 36h | +2.218% | 0.5R | -8.744% | 2.1R | 0.3× | 432 |
| 48h | +2.218% | 0.5R | -8.744% | 2.1R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.218% | 0.5R | -8.744% | 2.1R | 0.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 232 min
MAE in 1027 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.