Short Trade on UNI (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 21.32 UNI at 6.763$ per unit. Take profit: 5.8253 (13.87 %) & Stop Loss: 7.1384 (5.55 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 17:41:31
hyperliquid
UNI
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 17:41
→ 05:40
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 6.7632$
Qty 21.3239 UNI
Size 144.2181$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 5.8253 (+13.87%)
TP $ 20$
SL 7.1384 (-5.55%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+0.33%
/ +0.47$
MAE -1.83%
MFE +7.74%
1.4R
expires
30 Oct 05:41
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 233233)
#40 / 73
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 17:00
score du 29/10/2026 17:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7293
Quality Score
0.518
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#40 / 73
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
67 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.55 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#40 / 73
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
67 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.55 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.03×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.33×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.52×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
33.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 17:30
29/10 17:30
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 29/10 16:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7278
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
7.2%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→-0.001
Δ 1h
→-0.021
Δ 4h
▼-0.783
Δ 12h
▼-0.200
Δ 24h
▼-0.841
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 91.7% |
| 1h | 61.7% |
| 4h | 5.0% |
| 24h | 8.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 90.0% | +0.38% |
| 4h | 8.3% | -6.55% |
| 24h | 13.3% | -8.33% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
1.7%
Down ≥1σ
88.3%
Expansion
90.0%
Tail ↑
+1.15
Tail ↓
+0.76
Dispersion :
0.261
Universe :
60
(+1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+1 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.59
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 17:31
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3466
Score SMA
0.2883
Rank
#32
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5231
Rank Norm SMA
0.2662
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3769 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 2.36% · r3d: 4.70% · ema21_slope: -0.4841% · dist_ema21: -1.504% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4904 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 1.83% · rs_3d: 3.19% · beta_24h: 2.838 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2076 | rvol_20: 0.84× · zscore_50: -0.706 · trend: -53.84% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4628 | ADX: 28.9 (trend) · Chop: 72.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.416% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.5182
Score SMA
0.5321
Rank
#40
/ 73
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7293
Rank Norm SMA
0.5848
Calculé le
29/10/2026 17:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2694 | r1h: -7.839% · r4h: -10.480% · r1d: -8.90% · r3d: -6.63% · ema21_slope: 0.0463% · dist_ema21: -7.407% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1323 | rs_1h: -5.381% · rs_4h: -7.502% · rs_1d: -5.84% · rs_3d: -5.36% · beta_24h: 2.533 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 6.52× · zscore_50: 5.855 · trend: 228.47% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6955 | ADX: 23.5 (weak) · Chop: 14.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.320% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.5426
Score SMA
0.4902
Rank
#18
/ 74
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8554
Rank Norm SMA
0.5699
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4459 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.125% · r1d: -1.13% · r3d: 1.38% · ema21_slope: 0.1127% · dist_ema21: 0.626% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4758 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.994% · rs_1d: -0.19% · rs_3d: 0.34% · beta_24h: 1.865 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5799 | rvol_20: 1.62× · zscore_50: 0.695 · trend: 66.21% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4928 | ADX: 14.2 (weak) · Chop: 53.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.953% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.548%
(0.3752)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +7.736% | 1.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +7.736% | 1.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +7.736% | 1.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +7.736% | 1.4R | -1.832% | 0.3R | 4.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +7.736% | 1.4R | -1.832% | 0.3R | 4.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +7.736% | 1.4R | -5.681% | 1.0R | 1.4× | 288 |
| 36h | +7.736% | 1.4R | -6.864% | 1.2R | 1.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +7.736% | 1.4R | -6.864% | 1.2R | 1.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +7.736% | 1.4R | -9.559% | 1.7R | 0.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 18 min
MAE in 1613 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.24
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | — | — | 0.65 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.23 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.61 | bear_high | -0.86% | +0.12 | 29/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
44%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.81 | bear_medium_confirmed | -2.22% | -0.56 | 29/10 16:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
46%
|
choppy 49% | late | — | — | 0.86 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.49% | -0.62 | 29/10 17:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444652
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.682 | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid 35b -0.2ATR | — | — | 0.84 | 66% | ↓ -0.28 | above_value | +1.93 | — | #211852 | 0.65 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.23 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:21
|
|
4h
#452192
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.675 | expansion | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early 4b 0.2ATR | — | near 0.3ATR | 1.62 | 65% | ↑ +0.59 | above_value | +1.71 | — | #215003 | 0.61 | bear_high | -0.86% | +0.12 |
29/10 12:00
upd 29/10 16:15
|
|
1h
anchor #452626
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.676 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
44%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late 4b -3.3ATR | near 0.0ATR | — | 6.52 | 100% | ↑ +0.58 | below_value | -2.41 | inside | #215225 | 0.81 | bear_medium_confirmed | -2.22% | -0.56 |
29/10 16:00
upd 29/10 17:10
|
|
15m
#452776
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | 0.350 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
46%
|
choppy 49% | late 2b -2.8ATR | — | — | 2.21 | 98% | ↑ +0.88 | below_value | -2.41 | — | #215225 | 0.86 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.49% | -0.62 |
29/10 17:15
upd 29/10 17:31
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 35b | — | 6.879×ATR | p69 | -0.234×ATR | p12 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.195×ATR | p0 | +0.215×ATR | p20 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 5.985×ATR | p94 | -3.333×ATR | p99 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 2.136×ATR | p32 | -2.843×ATR | p95 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.6681
- reason: down_bo width=1.88×ATR dur=54b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(-0.10)
- stop_price: 7.13836513
- tp_price: 5.82528716
- atr:
- score: 0.76814123481848
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-10-30T09:41:23.361610
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.76814123481848
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.2108
- obi_top10 : 0.014
- micro_price : 6.70916293
- spread_pct : 0.029811
- mid_price : 6.71
- bid_wall_price : 6.66
- bid_wall_size : 49940.2
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 6.76
- ask_wall_size : 65506
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.17
- obi_top5_std : 0.0935
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7051
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
7.2735
- balance_zone_bottom:
6.97115
- balance_zone_mid:
7.122325
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793116800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793307600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.885
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
54
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7681
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793304000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
6.97115
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8889
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.2964
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
10
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
7
- regime : bear_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 0.16040134 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
54
inside_close_ratio
0.8889
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.2964
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:41 | 6.76320000 | 0% |
| 2 | 17:51 | 6.76320000 | 0% |
| 3 | 18:03 | 6.76320000 | 0% |
| 4 | 23:40 | 6.69940000 | -0.943% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7051ms
Confidence avant OB :
77%
→
67%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.211
avg 0.170
± 0.094
OBI Top 10
0.014
Microstructure
Mid Price
6.7100
Micro Price
6.7092
Spread
0.0298%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
6.6600
Size
49,940.20
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
6.7600
Size
65,506.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.7632 | 7.1384 | 5.8253 | 2.5 | 6.7276 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 6.7632
- Stop Loss: 7.1384
- Take Profit: 5.8253
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 7.1384 - 6.7632 = 0.3752
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.7632 - 5.8253 = 0.9379
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.9379 / 0.3752 = 2.4997
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 144.2181 | 100 | 21.3239 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.3752
Taille de position = 8 / 0.3752 = 21.32
Taille de position USD = 21.32 x 6.7632 = 144.19
Donc, tu peux acheter 21.32 avec un stoploss a 7.1384
Avec un position size USD de 144.19$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 21.32 x 0.3752 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 21.32 x 0.9379 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position 21.32
- Taille de position USD 144.19
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4997
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 13.87 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.55 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.47 $ | 0.33 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.832 % | 33.02 % | 10 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.7632 | 7.1384 | 5.8253 | 2.5 | 6.7276 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 6.7632
- Stop Loss: 7.1384
- Take Profit: 5.8253
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 7.1384 - 6.7632 = 0.3752
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.7632 - 5.8253 = 0.9379
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.9379 / 0.3752 = 2.4997
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.548%
(0.3752)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +7.736% | 1.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +7.736% | 1.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +7.736% | 1.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +7.736% | 1.4R | -1.832% | 0.3R | 4.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +7.736% | 1.4R | -1.832% | 0.3R | 4.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +7.736% | 1.4R | -5.681% | 1.0R | 1.4× | 288 |
| 36h | +7.736% | 1.4R | -6.864% | 1.2R | 1.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +7.736% | 1.4R | -6.864% | 1.2R | 1.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +7.736% | 1.4R | -9.559% | 1.7R | 0.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 18 min
MAE in 1613 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.