Short Trade on STRK (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 2529.96 STRK at 0.0436$ per unit. Take profit: 0.03571 (18.13 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04678 (7.24 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 17:43:21
hyperliquid
STRK
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 17:43
→ 05:40
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.04362$
Qty 2529.9563 STRK
Size 110.3567$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.03571 (+18.13%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 0.04678 (-7.24%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-2.59%
/ -2.86$
MAE -4.40%
MFE +8.44%
1.2R
expires
30 Oct 05:43
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 233248)
#55 / 73
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 17:00
score du 29/10/2026 17:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3445
Quality Score
0.485
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#55 / 73
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.24 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#55 / 73
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.24 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 2.37×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.37×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
9.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 17:31
29/10 17:31
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 29/10 16:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7278
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
7.2%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→-0.001
Δ 1h
→-0.021
Δ 4h
▼-0.783
Δ 12h
▼-0.200
Δ 24h
▼-0.841
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 91.7% |
| 1h | 61.7% |
| 4h | 5.0% |
| 24h | 8.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 90.0% | +0.38% |
| 4h | 8.3% | -6.55% |
| 24h | 13.3% | -8.33% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
1.7%
Down ≥1σ
88.3%
Expansion
90.0%
Tail ↑
+1.15
Tail ↓
+0.76
Dispersion :
0.261
Universe :
60
(+1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+1 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.59
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 17:31
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4033
Score SMA
0.3604
Rank
#18
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7385
Rank Norm SMA
0.5788
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4407 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.71% · r3d: 2.89% · ema21_slope: -1.5623% · dist_ema21: -16.365% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4960 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 1.18% · rs_3d: 1.37% · beta_24h: 5.066 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1695 | rvol_20: 0.11× · zscore_50: -0.458 · trend: -68.43% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7543 | ADX: 33.1 (trend) · Chop: 40.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 18.197% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.4847
Score SMA
0.4574
Rank
#55
/ 73
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3445
Rank Norm SMA
0.2373
Calculé le
29/10/2026 17:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2233 | r1h: -7.445% · r4h: -9.724% · r1d: -10.78% · r3d: -9.07% · ema21_slope: -0.0304% · dist_ema21: -7.826% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.0884 | rs_1h: -4.986% · rs_4h: -6.747% · rs_1d: -7.73% · rs_3d: -7.81% · beta_24h: 2.189 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 9.98× · zscore_50: 6.637 · trend: 305.84% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6376 | ADX: 16.5 (weak) · Chop: 23.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.604% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.3462
Score SMA
0.3184
Rank
#71
/ 74
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0276
Rank Norm SMA
0.0286
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2643 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.855% · r1d: -3.41% · r3d: -0.84% · ema21_slope: -0.0838% · dist_ema21: -1.653% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3292 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.723% · rs_1d: -2.47% · rs_3d: -1.88% · beta_24h: 1.498 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2925 | rvol_20: 1.21× · zscore_50: -0.386 · trend: -47.03% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3516 | ADX: 15.7 (weak) · Chop: 72.7 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7336 | ATR%: 3.799% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -7.244%
(0.0032)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +5.502% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +5.502% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +8.437% | 1.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +8.437% | 1.2R | -1.490% | 0.2R | 5.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +8.437% | 1.2R | -4.402% | 0.6R | 1.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.437% | 1.2R | -4.402% | 0.6R | 1.9× | 288 |
| 36h | +8.437% | 1.2R | -4.402% | 0.6R | 1.9× | 432 |
| 48h | +8.437% | 1.2R | -5.663% | 0.8R | 1.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.437% | 1.2R | -5.663% | 0.8R | 1.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 156 min
MAE in 561 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.46
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | bull_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.48 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.93 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | — | — | 0.32 | bear_high | -0.86% | +0.21 | 29/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
41%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.44 | bear_medium_confirmed | -2.22% | -0.58 | 29/10 16:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
47%
|
choppy 49% | late | — | — | 0.67 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.49% | -0.54 | 29/10 17:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444706
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.797 | normal | bull_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 17b -1.2ATR | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.11 | 85% | ↓ -0.96 | above_value | +0.61 | — | #211865 | 0.48 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.93 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:24
|
|
4h
#452235
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.651 | expansion | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early 5b -0.5ATR | — | — | 1.21 | 38% | ↔ +0.13 | above_value | -0.71 | — | #215018 | 0.32 | bear_high | -0.86% | +0.21 |
29/10 12:00
upd 29/10 16:17
|
|
1h
anchor #452639
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.460 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
41%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late 5b -3.3ATR | — | — | 9.98 | 100% | ↑ +0.63 | below_value | -3.71 | inside | #215238 | 0.44 | bear_medium_confirmed | -2.22% | -0.58 |
29/10 16:00
upd 29/10 17:10
|
|
15m
#452794
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | 0.570 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
47%
|
choppy 49% | late 5b -2.8ATR | — | — | 2.75 | 98% | ↑ +0.92 | below_value | -3.71 | — | #215238 | 0.67 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.49% | -0.54 |
29/10 17:15
upd 29/10 17:32
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 17b | — | 9.342×ATR | p95 | -1.168×ATR | p55 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.415×ATR | p0 | -0.457×ATR | p27 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 4.94×ATR | p93 | -3.301×ATR | p100 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -2.815×ATR | p96 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.812
- reason: down_bo width=2.55×ATR dur=36b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.04678211
- tp_price: 0.03571473
- atr:
- score: 0.81202672978878
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-10-30T09:43:13.638278
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.81202672978878
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0398
- obi_top10 : -0.0002
- micro_price : 0.0430275
- spread_pct : 0.039517
- mid_price : 0.0430275
- bid_wall_price : 0.0428
- bid_wall_size : 1337763.3
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0548
- obi_top5_std : 0.0086
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6868
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.0481
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.04524
- balance_zone_mid:
0.04667
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793181600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793307600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.5512
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
36
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.812
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793304000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.04524
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.9444
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.4451
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
4
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bear_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 0.00112106 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
36
inside_close_ratio
0.9444
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.4451
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:43 | 0.04362000 | 0% |
| 2 | 17:53 | 0.04362000 | 0% |
| 3 | 18:06 | 0.04362000 | 0% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6868ms
Confidence avant OB :
81%
→
81%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.040
avg -0.055
± 0.009
OBI Top 10
0.000
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0430
Micro Price
0.0430
Spread
0.0395%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0428
Size
1,337,763.30
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04362 | 0.04678 | 0.03571 | 2.5 | 0.03765 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04362
- Stop Loss: 0.04678
- Take Profit: 0.03571
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04678 - 0.04362 = 0.00316
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04362 - 0.03571 = 0.00791
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00791 / 0.00316 = 2.5032
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 110.3567 | 100 | 2529.9563 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00316
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00316 = 2531.65
Taille de position USD = 2531.65 x 0.04362 = 110.43
Donc, tu peux acheter 2531.65 avec un stoploss a 0.04678
Avec un position size USD de 110.43$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2531.65 x 0.00316 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2531.65 x 0.00791 = 20.03
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.03$
Résumé
- Taille de position 2531.65
- Taille de position USD 110.43
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.03
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5032
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 18.13 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.24 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.86 $ | -2.59 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.4017 % | 60.76 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04362 | 0.04678 | 0.03571 | 2.5 | 0.03765 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04362
- Stop Loss: 0.04678
- Take Profit: 0.03571
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04678 - 0.04362 = 0.00316
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04362 - 0.03571 = 0.00791
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00791 / 0.00316 = 2.5032
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -7.244%
(0.0032)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +5.502% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +5.502% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +8.437% | 1.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +8.437% | 1.2R | -1.490% | 0.2R | 5.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +8.437% | 1.2R | -4.402% | 0.6R | 1.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.437% | 1.2R | -4.402% | 0.6R | 1.9× | 288 |
| 36h | +8.437% | 1.2R | -4.402% | 0.6R | 1.9× | 432 |
| 48h | +8.437% | 1.2R | -5.663% | 0.8R | 1.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.437% | 1.2R | -5.663% | 0.8R | 1.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 156 min
MAE in 561 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.