Short Trade on SUI (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 169.47 SUI at 0.877$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7593 (13.45 %) & Stop Loss: 0.9245 (5.38 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 18:14:27
hyperliquid
SUI
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 18:14
→ 06:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.8773$
Qty 169.4656 SUI
Size 148.6739$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.7593 (+13.45%)
TP $ 20$
SL 0.9245 (-5.38%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-0.89%
/ -1.33$
MAE -3.08%
MFE +5.67%
1.1R
expires
30 Oct 06:14
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 233297)
#12 / 85
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 18:00
score du 29/10/2026 18:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7243
Quality Score
0.656
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#12 / 85
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.38 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#12 / 85
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.38 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.47×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.31×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.84×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
21.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 18:00
29/10 18:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 29/10 17:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7280
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
8.3%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→-0.003
Δ 1h
→+0.015
Δ 4h
▼-0.690
Δ 12h
▼-0.094
Δ 24h
▼-0.768
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 23.4% |
| 1h | 96.9% |
| 4h | 7.8% |
| 24h | 9.4% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 31.3% | -0.13% |
| 4h | 7.8% | -4.71% |
| 24h | 15.6% | -6.26% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
3.1%
Down ≥1σ
82.8%
Expansion
85.9%
Tail ↑
+0.76
Tail ↓
+0.58
Dispersion :
0.242
Universe :
64
(+2 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+2 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.59
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 18:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2992
Score SMA
0.3073
Rank
#51
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2308
Rank Norm SMA
0.3472
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3278 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.08% · r3d: 2.52% · ema21_slope: -0.5575% · dist_ema21: -4.959% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4141 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.55% · rs_3d: 1.01% · beta_24h: 2.157 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1626 | rvol_20: 0.54× · zscore_50: -0.895 · trend: -38.30% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4318 | ADX: 22.7 (weak) · Chop: 70.0 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.647% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 18:00
Score brut
0.6559
Score SMA
0.5211
Rank
#12
/ 85
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7243
Rank Norm SMA
0.5293
Calculé le
29/10/2026 18:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3654 | r1h: 0.925% · r4h: -5.753% · r1d: -7.23% · r3d: -3.13% · ema21_slope: -0.0071% · dist_ema21: -4.209% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3863 | rs_1h: 0.684% · rs_4h: -3.475% · rs_1d: -4.37% · rs_3d: -1.82% · beta_24h: 2.137 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 3.72× · zscore_50: 3.092 · trend: 213.29% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6896 | ADX: 22.8 (weak) · Chop: 19.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.967% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.5087
Score SMA
0.4712
Rank
#31
/ 74
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5058
Rank Norm SMA
0.4689
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3987 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.562% · r1d: -2.25% · r3d: 2.17% · ema21_slope: 0.0234% · dist_ema21: -0.076% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4392 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.430% · rs_1d: -1.32% · rs_3d: 1.13% · beta_24h: 2.002 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4908 | rvol_20: 1.60× · zscore_50: 0.643 · trend: 4.53% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5406 | ADX: 19.8 (weak) · Chop: 53.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.510% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.380%
(0.0472)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.719% | 0.1R | -1.404% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.534% | 0.3R | -1.404% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +5.666% | 1.1R | -1.404% | 0.3R | 4.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.666% | 1.1R | -3.077% | 0.6R | 1.8× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +5.666% | 1.1R | -3.077% | 0.6R | 1.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.666% | 1.1R | -3.562% | 0.7R | 1.6× | 288 |
| 36h | +5.666% | 1.1R | -4.159% | 0.8R | 1.4× | 432 |
| 48h | +5.666% | 1.1R | -4.159% | 0.8R | 1.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +5.666% | 1.1R | -4.159% | 0.8R | 1.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 125 min
MAE in 1595 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.03
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.77 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.73 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.65 | bear_high | -0.86% | +0.06 | 29/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.86 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.95% | -0.21 | 29/10 17:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.88 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.80% | -0.41 | 29/10 17:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444612
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.669 | compression | bull_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 31b -0.9ATR | — | — | 0.54 | 35% | ↓ -0.29 | value | +2.50 | — | #211842 | 0.77 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.73 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:18
|
|
4h
#452172
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.504 | expansion | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early 4b 0.0ATR | near -0.3ATR | — | 1.60 | 61% | ↓ -0.17 | above_value | +0.92 | — | #214993 | 0.65 | bear_high | -0.86% | +0.06 |
29/10 12:00
upd 29/10 16:14
|
|
1h
anchor #453040
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.382 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late 1b -2.2ATR | near 0.5ATR | — | 3.72 | 98% | ↑ +0.83 | below_value | -2.06 | inside | #215373 | 0.86 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.95% | -0.21 |
29/10 17:00
upd 29/10 18:12
|
|
15m
#452954
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.252 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late 2b -2.2ATR | — | — | 0.38 | 83% | ↑ +0.56 | below_value | -2.67 | — | #215215 | 0.88 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.80% | -0.41 |
29/10 17:45
upd 29/10 18:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 31b | — | 5.599×ATR | p67 | -0.902×ATR | p51 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.365×ATR | p0 | -0.03×ATR | p1 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 1b | — | 1.383×ATR | p3 | -2.167×ATR | p92 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 1.532×ATR | p0 | -2.157×ATR | p83 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8184
- reason: down_bo width=2.81×ATR dur=44b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.92451721
- tp_price: 0.75929198
- atr:
- score: 0.81840372289432
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-10-30T10:14:19.023555
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.81840372289432
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1088
- obi_top10 : 0.2217
- micro_price : 0.88349661
- spread_pct : 0.01132
- mid_price : 0.88345
- bid_wall_price : 0.87
- bid_wall_size : 532607.7
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.891
- ask_wall_size : 319772.34
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0143
- obi_top5_std : 0.0944
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7066
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.946235
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.89947
- balance_zone_mid:
0.9228525
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793156400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793311200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.8092
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
44
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8184
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793304000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.89947
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8182
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
2
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.3312
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
12
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
4
- regime : bear_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 0.01664709 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
44
inside_close_ratio
0.8182
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
1.3312
Signaux confirmants (9)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:14 | 0.87731000 | +0.001% |
| 2 | 18:24 | 0.87731000 | +0.001% |
| 3 | 18:34 | 0.87731000 | +0.001% |
| 4 | 18:43 | 0.88527000 | +0.908% |
| 5 | 18:53 | 0.88527000 | +0.908% |
| 6 | 19:03 | 0.88527000 | +0.908% |
| 7 | 19:40 | 0.87967000 | +0.27% |
| 8 | 19:49 | 0.87967000 | +0.27% |
| 9 | 19:58 | 0.87967000 | +0.27% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7066ms
Confidence avant OB :
82%
→
82%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.109
avg 0.014
± 0.094
OBI Top 10
0.222
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.8835
Micro Price
0.8835
Spread
0.0113%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.8700
Size
532,607.70
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.8910
Size
319,772.34
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8773 | 0.9245 | 0.7593 | 2.5 | 0.8116 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.8773
- Stop Loss: 0.9245
- Take Profit: 0.7593
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.9245 - 0.8773 = 0.0472
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8773 - 0.7593 = 0.118
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.118 / 0.0472 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 148.6739 | 100 | 169.4656 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0472
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0472 = 169.49
Taille de position USD = 169.49 x 0.8773 = 148.69
Donc, tu peux acheter 169.49 avec un stoploss a 0.9245
Avec un position size USD de 148.69$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 169.49 x 0.0472 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 169.49 x 0.118 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position 169.49
- Taille de position USD 148.69
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 13.45 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.38 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.33 $ | -0.89 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.0765 % | 57.18 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8773 | 0.9245 | 0.7593 | 2.5 | 0.8116 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.8773
- Stop Loss: 0.9245
- Take Profit: 0.7593
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.9245 - 0.8773 = 0.0472
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8773 - 0.7593 = 0.118
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.118 / 0.0472 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.380%
(0.0472)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.719% | 0.1R | -1.404% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.534% | 0.3R | -1.404% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +5.666% | 1.1R | -1.404% | 0.3R | 4.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.666% | 1.1R | -3.077% | 0.6R | 1.8× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +5.666% | 1.1R | -3.077% | 0.6R | 1.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.666% | 1.1R | -3.562% | 0.7R | 1.6× | 288 |
| 36h | +5.666% | 1.1R | -4.159% | 0.8R | 1.4× | 432 |
| 48h | +5.666% | 1.1R | -4.159% | 0.8R | 1.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +5.666% | 1.1R | -4.159% | 0.8R | 1.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 125 min
MAE in 1595 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.