Short Trade on SKR (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 12708.3 SKR at 0.0138$ per unit. Take profit: 0.01224 (11.43 %) & Stop Loss: 0.01445 (4.56 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 17:47:35
hyperliquid
SKR
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 17:47
→ 05:45
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.01382$
Qty 12708.2969 SKR
Size 175.5778$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.01224 (+11.43%)
TP $ 20.08$
SL 0.01445 (-4.56%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2.51
Status
win
PnL
+4.58%
/ +8.04$
MAE -0.00%
MFE +9.12%
2.0R
expires
30 Oct 05:47
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 233280)
#26 / 73
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 17:00
score du 29/10/2026 17:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5492
Quality Score
0.539
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#26 / 73
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.56 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#26 / 73
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.56 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.05×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.30×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.72×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
3.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 17:47
29/10 17:47
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 29/10 16:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7279
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
8.6%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→+0.014
Δ 1h
→+0.027
Δ 4h
▼-0.688
Δ 12h
▼-0.091
Δ 24h
▼-0.762
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 40.3% |
| 1h | 96.8% |
| 4h | 8.1% |
| 24h | 9.7% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 38.7% | -0.03% |
| 4h | 8.1% | -4.71% |
| 24h | 16.1% | -6.26% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
3.2%
Down ≥1σ
82.3%
Expansion
85.5%
Tail ↑
+0.76
Tail ↓
+0.57
Dispersion :
0.240
Universe :
62
(+2 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+2 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.59
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 17:46
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3273
Score SMA
0.3657
Rank
#39
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4154
Rank Norm SMA
0.5633
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2356 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.58% · r3d: 1.13% · ema21_slope: -0.6967% · dist_ema21: -6.433% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3797 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.05% · rs_3d: -0.38% · beta_24h: 1.504 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5838 | rvol_20: 1.68× · zscore_50: 1.185 · trend: 36.63% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.2997 | ADX: 12.7 (weak) · Chop: 76.0 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.573% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.5387
Score SMA
0.5311
Rank
#26
/ 73
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5492
Rank Norm SMA
0.5368
Calculé le
29/10/2026 17:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2839 | r1h: -5.035% · r4h: -7.680% · r1d: -7.10% · r3d: -2.54% · ema21_slope: -0.0031% · dist_ema21: -4.877% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2335 | rs_1h: -2.577% · rs_4h: -4.703% · rs_1d: -4.04% · rs_3d: -1.28% · beta_24h: 1.810 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9820 | rvol_20: 3.11× · zscore_50: 3.993 · trend: 86.50% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6581 | ADX: 19.0 (weak) · Chop: 27.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.766% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.5293
Score SMA
0.5070
Rank
#23
/ 74
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5535
Rank Norm SMA
0.6134
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4229 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.246% · r1d: -2.86% · r3d: 2.80% · ema21_slope: 0.0568% · dist_ema21: -0.307% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4599 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.114% · rs_1d: -1.92% · rs_3d: 1.76% · beta_24h: 1.855 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5865 | rvol_20: 1.47× · zscore_50: 1.553 · trend: 45.81% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4678 | ADX: 11.9 (weak) · Chop: 54.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.680% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.559%
(0.0006)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.562% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +4.320% | 1.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +9.125% | 2.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +9.125% | 2.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +9.125% | 2.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +9.125% | 2.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 288 |
| 36h | +9.125% | 2.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 432 |
| 48h | +9.125% | 2.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 576 |
| 72h | +9.957% | 2.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 162 min
MAE in min
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 0.8
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | — | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.82 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near 0.3ATR | near -0.1ATR | 0.41 | bear_high | -0.86% | +0.06 | 29/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
49%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | near -1.1ATR | — | 0.58 | bear_medium_confirmed | -2.22% | -0.47 | 29/10 16:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 52% | late | — | — | 0.70 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.49% | -0.29 | 29/10 17:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444765
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.610 | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late 36b -0.7ATR | — | — | 2.28 | 96% | ↑ +0.83 | above_value | +2.32 | — | #211892 | — | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.82 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:27
|
|
4h
#452338
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.543 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 3b -0.1ATR | near 0.3ATR | near -0.1ATR | 1.47 | 98% | ↔ +0.11 | above_value | +1.02 | — | #215052 | 0.41 | bear_high | -0.86% | +0.06 |
29/10 12:00
upd 29/10 16:22
|
|
1h
anchor #452672
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.548 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
49%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late 4b -2.9ATR | near -1.1ATR | — | 3.11 | 100% | ↑ +0.26 | above_value | -0.69 | inside | #215271 | 0.58 | bear_medium_confirmed | -2.22% | -0.47 |
29/10 16:00
upd 29/10 17:12
|
|
15m
#452833
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.369 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 52% | late 2b -2.5ATR | — | — | 0.48 | 61% | ↑ +0.39 | above_value | -0.69 | — | #215271 | 0.70 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.49% | -0.29 |
29/10 17:15
upd 29/10 17:34
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 36b | — | 9.479×ATR | p87 | -0.692×ATR | p42 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 0.964×ATR | p0 | -0.115×ATR | p7 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 4.902×ATR | p88 | -2.947×ATR | p99 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 1.931×ATR | p23 | -2.523×ATR | p91 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7354
- reason: down_bo width=2.28×ATR dur=49b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(-0.10)
- stop_price: 0.01444551
- tp_price: 0.01224222
- atr:
- score: 0.83542
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-10-30T09:47:27.182940
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.83542
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1763
- obi_top10 : 0.2898
- micro_price : 0.01362458
- spread_pct : 0.139501
- mid_price : 0.0136295
- bid_wall_price : 0.0135
- bid_wall_size : 2018151
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.0138
- ask_wall_size : 1281449
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1762
- obi_top5_std : 0.0001
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6868
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.014703
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.0141385
- balance_zone_mid:
0.01442075
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793134800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793307600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.2797
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
49
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8354
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793304000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.0141385
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8367
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.3024
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
7
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
12
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00024762 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
49
inside_close_ratio
0.8367
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.3024
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:47 | 0.01381600 | -0.029% |
| 2 | 17:57 | 0.01381600 | -0.029% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6868ms
Confidence avant OB :
84%
→
74%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.176
avg 0.176
± 0.000
OBI Top 10
0.290
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0136
Micro Price
0.0136
Spread
0.1395%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0135
Size
2,018,151.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0138
Size
1,281,449.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01382 | 0.01445 | 0.01224 | 2.51 | 0.01131 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.01382
- Stop Loss: 0.01445
- Take Profit: 0.01224
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.01445 - 0.01382 = 0.00063
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.01382 - 0.01224 = 0.00158
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00158 / 0.00063 = 2.5079
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 175.5778 | 100 | 12708.2969 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00063
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00063 = 12698.41
Taille de position USD = 12698.41 x 0.01382 = 175.49
Donc, tu peux acheter 12698.41 avec un stoploss a 0.01445
Avec un position size USD de 175.49$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 12698.41 x 0.00063 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 12698.41 x 0.00158 = 20.06
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.06$
Résumé
- Taille de position 12698.41
- Taille de position USD 175.49
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.06
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5079
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 11.43 % | 20.08 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.56 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 8.04 $ | 4.58 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01382 | 0.01445 | 0.01224 | 2.51 | 0.01131 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.01382
- Stop Loss: 0.01445
- Take Profit: 0.01224
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.01445 - 0.01382 = 0.00063
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.01382 - 0.01224 = 0.00158
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00158 / 0.00063 = 2.5079
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01256
[stop_loss] => 0.01445
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-30 00:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.559%
(0.0006)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.562% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +4.320% | 1.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +9.125% | 2.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +9.125% | 2.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +9.125% | 2.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +9.125% | 2.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 288 |
| 36h | +9.125% | 2.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 432 |
| 48h | +9.125% | 2.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 576 |
| 72h | +9.957% | 2.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 162 min
MAE in min
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.