29 Oct 2026 at 18:15:10 hyperliquid

Short Trade on ZK (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 11694.2 ZK at 0.0107$ per unit. Take profit: 0.01043 (2.43 %) & Stop Loss: 0.01138 (6.45 %)

ZK SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Oct 2026 18:15 → 20:05 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.01069$

Qty 11694.1968 ZK

Size 125.0577$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.01043 (+2.43%)

TP $ 3.04$

SL 0.01138 (-6.45%)

SL $ 8.07$

RR 0.38

Status win PnL +2.43% / +3.04$ MAE -2.16% MFE +7.33% 1.1R expires 30 Oct 00:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 233333)
#53 / 85
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 18:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2010

Quality Score
0.556
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#53 / 85
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.45 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#53 / 85
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.45 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h near 0.03×ATR
1d near 0.49×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-4.71
OK
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 18:01
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

27/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

29/10 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

29/10 17:00

Score : +3 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7280
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

compression

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.55

transition

+1

Micro bear

0.90

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.73
Transition risk : 0.27
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 8.3%
Macro alt_capitulation
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→-0.003
Δ 1h
→+0.015
Δ 4h
▼-0.690
Δ 12h
▼-0.094
Δ 24h
▼-0.768

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 23.4%
1h 96.9%
4h 7.8%
24h 9.4%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 31.3% -0.13%
4h 7.8% -4.71%
24h 15.6% -6.26%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
3.1%
Down ≥1σ
82.8%
Expansion
85.9%
Tail ↑
+0.76
Tail ↓
+0.58
Dispersion : 0.242
Universe : 64 (+2 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+2 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.59
Snapshot évalué : 29/10 18:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 18:00
Score brut
0.5557
Score SMA
0.4850
Rank
#53 / 85
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2010
Rank Norm SMA
0.3325
Calculé le
29/10/2026 18:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1778 r1h: -0.975% · r4h: -6.795% · r1d: -12.15% · r3d: -11.72% · ema21_slope: -0.1457% · dist_ema21: -6.626%
Force Relative 25% 0.1523 rs_1h: -1.216% · rs_4h: -4.517% · rs_1d: -9.29% · rs_3d: -10.41% · beta_24h: 1.826
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 7.63× · zscore_50: 6.009 · trend: 346.00%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6634 ADX: 19.6 (weak) · Chop: 17.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.613% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.4830
Score SMA
0.4398
Rank
#66 / 72
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0945
Rank Norm SMA
0.3411
Calculé le
29/10/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4340 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 3.127% · r1d: 2.18% · r3d: -4.86% · ema21_slope: -0.2682% · dist_ema21: -0.515%
Force Relative 25% 0.4084 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.133% · rs_1d: 0.68% · rs_3d: -6.52% · beta_24h: 2.210
Volume 20% 0.3920 rvol_20: 1.32× · zscore_50: 0.088 · trend: -8.38%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5015 ADX: 22.5 (weak) · Chop: 61.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.9705 ATR%: 3.089% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.455% (0.0007)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.282% 0.2R -2.161% 0.3R 0.6× 12
2h +4.977% 0.8R -2.161% 0.3R 2.3× 24
4h +7.334% 1.1R -2.161% 0.3R 3.4× 48
6h ★ +7.334% 1.1R -2.161% 0.3R 3.4× 72
8h +7.334% 1.1R -2.161% 0.3R 3.4× 96
12h +7.334% 1.1R -2.161% 0.3R 3.4× 144
24h +7.334% 1.1R -2.161% 0.3R 3.4× 288
48h +7.334% 1.1R -2.161% 0.3R 3.4× 576
72h +7.334% 1.1R -2.161% 0.3R 3.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 124 min MAE in 19 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.65
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate fading expansion range_high
43%
noisy_chop 37% mid near 0.5ATR — 0.56 bull_high +4.55% +0.54 27/10 20:00
4h ↓ down range bearish_transition strong explosive expansion bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 43% mid near 0.0ATR — 0.48 bear_high -0.86% -0.55 29/10 12:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate balanced volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
45%
noisy_chop 47% late — — 0.59 bear_medium_confirmed -1.95% -0.63 29/10 17:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
52%
noisy_chop 53% late near -0.6ATR — 0.74 bear_medium_confirmed -1.80% -0.55 29/10 17:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#449267
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate fading 0.547 expansion range_high
43%
noisy_chop 37% mid 12b -0.9ATR near 0.5ATR — 0.19 72% ↓ -0.90 below_value -3.30 — #213749 0.56 bull_high +4.55% +0.54
27/10 20:00
upd 29/10 08:22
4h
#452253
↓ down range bearish_transition strong explosive 0.407 expansion bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 43% mid 5b -1.4ATR near 0.0ATR — 1.36 55% ↑ +0.48 below_value -3.59 — #215024 0.48 bear_high -0.86% -0.55
29/10 12:00
upd 29/10 16:18
1h anchor
#453075
↓ down range range moderate balanced 0.456 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
45%
noisy_chop 47% late 5b -2.6ATR — — 7.63 100% ↑ +0.35 below_value -5.02 — #215408 0.59 bear_medium_confirmed -1.95% -0.63
29/10 17:00
upd 29/10 18:13
15m
#452989
↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive 0.258 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
52%
noisy_chop 53% late 1b -2.5ATR near -0.6ATR — 0.18 79% ↑ +0.95 — — — — 0.74 bear_medium_confirmed -1.80% -0.55
29/10 17:45
upd 29/10 18:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 12b — 5.114×ATR p65 -0.948×ATR p46
4h ↓ down mid 5b — 2.047×ATR p3 -1.371×ATR p65
1h ↓ down late 5b — 4.458×ATR p87 -2.627×ATR p92
15m ↓ down late 1b — 1.673×ATR p6 -2.47×ATR p87

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.0113781
  2. tp_price: 0.01042665
  3. atr: 0.00027364
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-30T04:15:10+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 83
  2. total: 85
  3. score: 0.2538
  4. delta_2h: -0.3318
  5. extension_atr: -2.73
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2219
  9. confidence: 0.976

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.01069 0.01138 0.01043 0.38 0.008961
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.01069
  • Stop Loss: 0.01138
  • Take Profit: 0.01043

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.01138 - 0.01069 = 0.00069

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.01069 - 0.01043 = 0.00026

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00026 / 0.00069 = 0.3768

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
125.0577 100 11694.1968 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00069

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00069 = 11594.2

Taille de position USD = 11594.2 x 0.01069 = 123.94

Donc, tu peux acheter 11594.2 avec un stoploss a 0.01138

Avec un position size USD de 123.94$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 11594.2 x 0.00069 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 11594.2 x 0.00026 = 3.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 11594.2
  • Taille de position USD 123.94
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3768

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.43 % 3.04 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.45 % 8.07 $
PNL PNL %
3.04 $ 2.43
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.1609 % 33.48 % 6
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.01069 0.01138 0.01043 0.38 0.008961
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.01069
  • Stop Loss: 0.01138
  • Take Profit: 0.01043

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.01138 - 0.01069 = 0.00069

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.01069 - 0.01043 = 0.00026

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00026 / 0.00069 = 0.3768

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.455% (0.0007)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.282% 0.2R -2.161% 0.3R 0.6× 12
2h +4.977% 0.8R -2.161% 0.3R 2.3× 24
4h +7.334% 1.1R -2.161% 0.3R 3.4× 48
6h ★ +7.334% 1.1R -2.161% 0.3R 3.4× 72
8h +7.334% 1.1R -2.161% 0.3R 3.4× 96
12h +7.334% 1.1R -2.161% 0.3R 3.4× 144
24h +7.334% 1.1R -2.161% 0.3R 3.4× 288
48h +7.334% 1.1R -2.161% 0.3R 3.4× 576
72h +7.334% 1.1R -2.161% 0.3R 3.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 124 min MAE in 19 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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