Short Trade on DASH (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 3.35 DASH at 47.799$ per unit. Take profit: 46.604 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 50.1852 (4.99 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 18:15:10
hyperliquid
DASH
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 18:15
→ 20:15
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 47.799$
Qty 3.3526 DASH
Size 160.2519$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 46.604 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.01$
SL 50.1852 (-4.99%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.5
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +4.01$
MAE -1.15%
MFE +5.12%
1.0R
expires
30 Oct 00:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 233364)
#78 / 85
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 18:00
score du 29/10/2026 18:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2956
Quality Score
0.487
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#78 / 85
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#78 / 85
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.83×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.49×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.42×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-4.71
OK
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 18:03
29/10 18:03
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 29/10 16:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7280
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
8.3%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→-0.003
Δ 1h
→+0.015
Δ 4h
▼-0.690
Δ 12h
▼-0.094
Δ 24h
▼-0.768
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 23.4% |
| 1h | 96.9% |
| 4h | 7.8% |
| 24h | 9.4% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 31.3% | -0.13% |
| 4h | 7.8% | -4.71% |
| 24h | 15.6% | -6.26% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
3.1%
Down ≥1σ
82.8%
Expansion
85.9%
Tail ↑
+0.76
Tail ↓
+0.58
Dispersion :
0.242
Universe :
64
(+2 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+2 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.59
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 18:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3740
Score SMA
0.4064
Rank
#25
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6308
Rank Norm SMA
0.6251
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4807 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.91% · r3d: 3.12% · ema21_slope: -0.0371% · dist_ema21: 1.100% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4433 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.44% · rs_3d: 1.61% · beta_24h: 1.202 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2701 | rvol_20: 0.94× · zscore_50: -0.564 · trend: -21.76% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4332 | ADX: 16.5 (weak) · Chop: 63.5 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.884% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 18:00
Score brut
0.4866
Score SMA
0.5577
Rank
#78
/ 85
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2956
Rank Norm SMA
0.6083
Calculé le
29/10/2026 18:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2302 | r1h: -0.133% · r4h: -6.287% · r1d: -10.36% · r3d: -9.12% · ema21_slope: -0.2178% · dist_ema21: -5.375% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2419 | rs_1h: -0.374% · rs_4h: -4.009% · rs_1d: -7.51% · rs_3d: -7.81% · beta_24h: 1.606 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5416 | rvol_20: 1.14× · zscore_50: 0.579 · trend: 109.19% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8031 | ADX: 36.4 (trend) · Chop: 22.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.014% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.5112
Score SMA
0.5964
Rank
#29
/ 74
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4350
Rank Norm SMA
0.8235
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4212 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.542% · r1d: -5.66% · r3d: -4.47% · ema21_slope: -0.0817% · dist_ema21: -3.388% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3917 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.410% · rs_1d: -4.72% · rs_3d: -5.51% · beta_24h: 1.329 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5230 | rvol_20: 1.52× · zscore_50: 0.772 · trend: 31.49% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5488 | ADX: 16.6 (weak) · Chop: 49.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.937% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.992%
(2.3862)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.245% | 0.1R | -1.155% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.352% | 0.7R | -1.155% | 0.2R | 2.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +5.121% | 1.0R | -1.155% | 0.2R | 4.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +5.121% | 1.0R | -1.155% | 0.2R | 4.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +5.121% | 1.0R | -2.190% | 0.4R | 2.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.121% | 1.0R | -2.649% | 0.5R | 1.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.121% | 1.0R | -5.385% | 1.1R | 1.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +5.121% | 1.0R | -5.385% | 1.1R | 1.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +5.121% | 1.0R | -5.385% | 1.1R | 1.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 124 min
MAE in 789 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.67
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 28% | early | — | — | 0.53 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.58 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.56 | bear_high | -0.86% | -0.36 | 29/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
41%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.60 | bear_medium_confirmed | -2.22% | -0.62 | 29/10 16:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
53%
|
choppy 49% | mid | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.67 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.80% | -0.46 | 29/10 17:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444763
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.558 | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 28% | early 13b 0.3ATR | — | — | 1.30 | 66% | ↑ +0.64 | above_value | +0.95 | — | #211891 | 0.53 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.58 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:27
|
|
4h
#452335
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.583 | normal | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 15b -1.3ATR | near -0.5ATR | — | 1.52 | 89% | ↑ +0.23 | below_value | -3.21 | — | #215051 | 0.56 | bear_high | -0.86% | -0.36 |
29/10 12:00
upd 29/10 16:22
|
|
1h
anchor #452671
|
↓ down | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.427 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
41%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late 3b -3.0ATR | — | — | 4.29 | 100% | ↑ +0.20 | below_value | -4.61 | inside | #215270 | 0.60 | bear_medium_confirmed | -2.22% | -0.62 |
29/10 16:00
upd 29/10 17:12
|
|
15m
#453025
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.393 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
53%
|
choppy 49% | mid 4b -2.2ATR | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.60 | 83% | ↑ +0.25 | below_value | -4.64 | — | #215440 | 0.67 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.80% | -0.46 |
29/10 17:45
upd 29/10 18:11
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 13b | — | 2.177×ATR | p0 | +0.289×ATR | p21 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 15b | — | 3.428×ATR | p41 | -1.34×ATR | p75 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 4.412×ATR | p78 | -3.043×ATR | p99 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 1.888×ATR | p29 | -2.212×ATR | p79 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 50.18519375
- tp_price: 46.604025
- atr: 0.9544775
- expires_at: 2026-10-30T04:15:10+00:00
Details
- rank: 78
- total: 85
- score: 0.2807
- delta_2h: -0.0579
- extension_atr: -2.87
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2912
- confidence: 0.917
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.799 | 50.1852 | 46.604 | 0.5 | 45.437 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 47.799
- Stop Loss: 50.1852
- Take Profit: 46.604
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 50.1852 - 47.799 = 2.3862
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 47.799 - 46.604 = 1.195
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.195 / 2.3862 = 0.5008
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 160.2519 | 100 | 3.3526 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 2.3862
Taille de position = 8 / 2.3862 = 3.35
Taille de position USD = 3.35 x 47.799 = 160.13
Donc, tu peux acheter 3.35 avec un stoploss a 50.1852
Avec un position size USD de 160.13$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 3.35 x 2.3862 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 3.35 x 1.195 = 4
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4$
Résumé
- Taille de position 3.35
- Taille de position USD 160.13
- Perte potentielle 7.99
- Gain potentiel 4
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5008
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.99 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 4.01 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.1548 % | 23.13 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.799 | 50.1852 | 46.604 | 0.5 | 45.437 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 47.799
- Stop Loss: 50.1852
- Take Profit: 46.604
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 50.1852 - 47.799 = 2.3862
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 47.799 - 46.604 = 1.195
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.195 / 2.3862 = 0.5008
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.992%
(2.3862)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.245% | 0.1R | -1.155% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.352% | 0.7R | -1.155% | 0.2R | 2.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +5.121% | 1.0R | -1.155% | 0.2R | 4.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +5.121% | 1.0R | -1.155% | 0.2R | 4.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +5.121% | 1.0R | -2.190% | 0.4R | 2.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.121% | 1.0R | -2.649% | 0.5R | 1.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.121% | 1.0R | -5.385% | 1.1R | 1.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +5.121% | 1.0R | -5.385% | 1.1R | 1.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +5.121% | 1.0R | -5.385% | 1.1R | 1.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 124 min
MAE in 789 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.