29 Oct 2026 at 18:43:39 hyperliquid

Short Trade on INJ (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 16.69 INJ at 7.483$ per unit. Take profit: 6.2849 (16.01 %) & Stop Loss: 7.9625 (6.41 %)

INJ SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 29 Oct 2026 18:43 → 06:40 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 7.4832$

Qty 16.6906 INJ

Size 124.8991$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 6.2849 (+16.01%)

TP $ 20$

SL 7.9625 (-6.41%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status win PnL +4.39% / +5.49$ MAE -0.00% MFE +7.24% 1.1R expires 30 Oct 06:43 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 233296)
#38 / 85
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 18:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5985

Quality Score
0.547
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#38 / 85
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.41 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#38 / 85
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.41 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.14×ATR
4h near 0.34×ATR
1d clear 1.97×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
7.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 18:30
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

27/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : range_high (0)

29/10 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

29/10 17:00

Score : -2 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7282
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

compression

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.55

transition

+1

Micro bear

0.90

transition

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.73
Transition risk : 0.27
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 6.2%
Macro alt_capitulation
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→-0.011
Δ 4h
▼-0.426
Δ 12h
▼-0.522
Δ 24h
▼-0.709

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 70.8%
1h 9.2%
4h 4.6%
24h 6.2%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 70.8% +0.21%
4h 7.7% -6.38%
24h 12.3% -7.87%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
3.1%
Down ≥1σ
90.8%
Expansion
93.9%
Tail ↑
+0.83
Tail ↓
+0.68
Dispersion : 0.330
Universe : 65 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.59
Snapshot évalué : 29/10 18:31 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4319
Score SMA
0.4078
Rank
#13 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8154
Rank Norm SMA
0.7218
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6087 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 2.30% · r3d: 3.57% · ema21_slope: 0.2212% · dist_ema21: 1.921%
Force Relative 25% 0.5770 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 1.77% · rs_3d: 2.05% · beta_24h: 3.065
Volume 20% 0.1578 rvol_20: 0.26× · zscore_50: -0.855 · trend: -38.89%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4900 ADX: 17.6 (weak) · Chop: 57.5 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.718% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 18:00
Score brut
0.5471
Score SMA
0.5168
Rank
#38 / 85
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5985
Rank Norm SMA
0.4792
Calculé le
29/10/2026 18:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3353 r1h: -0.219% · r4h: -6.489% · r1d: -7.94% · r3d: -6.71% · ema21_slope: 0.0531% · dist_ema21: -4.767%
Force Relative 25% 0.2845 rs_1h: -0.460% · rs_4h: -4.211% · rs_1d: -5.09% · rs_3d: -5.40% · beta_24h: 2.069
Volume 20% 0.8488 rvol_20: 2.48× · zscore_50: 1.978 · trend: 195.92%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7044 ADX: 24.5 (weak) · Chop: 30.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.448% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.4516
Score SMA
0.4419
Rank
#47 / 74
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4455
Rank Norm SMA
0.3586
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4395 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.387% · r1d: -1.32% · r3d: -0.72% · ema21_slope: 0.0051% · dist_ema21: 0.483%
Force Relative 25% 0.4536 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.256% · rs_1d: -0.39% · rs_3d: -1.76% · beta_24h: 2.716
Volume 20% 0.2949 rvol_20: 0.92× · zscore_50: -0.271 · trend: -15.42%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4373 ADX: 12.7 (weak) · Chop: 59.1 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.8177 ATR%: 3.547% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -6.405% (0.4793)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.428% 0.4R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +7.238% 1.1R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +7.238% 1.1R -0.000% 0.0R — 48
8h +7.238% 1.1R -0.000% 0.0R — 96
12h ★ +7.238% 1.1R -0.000% 0.0R — 144
24h +8.355% 1.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 288
36h +8.355% 1.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 432
48h +8.355% 1.3R -0.854% 0.1R 9.8× 576
72h +8.355% 1.3R -0.854% 0.1R 9.8× 864
⏱ MFE in 1206 min MAE in min

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.45
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading normal bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 32% early — — 0.57 bull_high +4.55% +0.96 27/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range strong balanced expansion range_high
38%
noisy_chop 39% early near 0.3ATR — 0.51 bear_high -0.86% +0.17 29/10 12:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
48%
noisy_chop 39% late near -0.1ATR — 0.60 bear_medium_confirmed -1.95% -0.23 29/10 17:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong grind volatile_reversal bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 45% mid near -0.1ATR — 0.73 bear_medium_confirmed -1.75% -0.49 29/10 18:15
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#444608
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading 0.475 normal bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 32% early 7b 0.2ATR — — 0.26 52% ↓ -0.37 above_value +1.40 — #211841 0.57 bull_high +4.55% +0.96
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:18
4h
#452170
↔ neutral range range strong balanced 0.631 expansion range_high
38%
noisy_chop 39% early 5b 0.1ATR near 0.3ATR — 0.92 40% ↔ -0.13 above_value -0.05 — #214992 0.51 bear_high -0.86% +0.17
29/10 12:00
upd 29/10 16:14
1h anchor
#453039
↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive 0.260 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
48%
noisy_chop 39% late 1b -1.9ATR near -0.1ATR — 2.48 98% ↑ +0.57 below_value -2.59 inside #215372 0.60 bear_medium_confirmed -1.95% -0.23
29/10 17:00
upd 29/10 18:12
15m
#453211
↓ down transition bearish_transition strong grind 0.354 volatile_reversal bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 45% mid 3b -2.0ATR near -0.1ATR — 0.26 73% ↑ +0.73 below_value -2.59 — #215372 0.73 bear_medium_confirmed -1.75% -0.49
29/10 18:15
upd 29/10 18:30
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 7b — 1.799×ATR p0 +0.205×ATR p13
4h ↓ down early 5b — 0.874×ATR p0 +0.133×ATR p10
1h ↑ up late 1b — 1.053×ATR p0 -1.905×ATR p87
15m ↓ down mid 3b — 1.743×ATR p9 -1.999×ATR p77

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.8183
  3. reason: down_bo width=2.78×ATR dur=61b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 7.96251165
  5. tp_price: 6.28492087
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.8183143813503
  8. exit_rules:
  9. expires_at: 2026-10-30T10:43:31.314233
  10. max_bars: 12
  11. max_bars_tf: 1h
  12. confidence_pre_ob: 0.8183143813503
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.0096
  14. obi_top10 : -0.0474
  15. micro_price : 7.4571
  16. spread_pct : 0.01341
  17. mid_price : 7.4575
  18. bid_wall_price : 7.36
  19. bid_wall_size : 19357.02
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 7.52
  22. ask_wall_size : 19603.24
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.0892
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0508
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 6844
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.01
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    8.19575
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    7.6931
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    7.944425
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1793095200
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1793311200
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.7791
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    61
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: stretched
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.8183
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1793304000
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    7.6931
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.8361
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    2
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    1.1605
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    10
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    8
  59. regime : bear_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.18086651
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
61
inside_close_ratio
0.8361
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
1.1605

Signaux confirmants (3)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 18:43 7.48320000 0%
2 18:52 7.48320000 0%
3 19:03 7.48320000 0%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6844ms Confidence avant OB : 82% → 82%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.010
avg 0.089 ± 0.051
OBI Top 10 -0.047

Microstructure

Mid Price
7.4575
Micro Price
7.4571
Spread
0.0134%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
7.3600
Size
19,357.02

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
7.5200
Size
19,603.24

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
7.4832 7.9625 6.2849 2.5 8.1429
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 7.4832
  • Stop Loss: 7.9625
  • Take Profit: 6.2849

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 7.9625 - 7.4832 = 0.4793

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 7.4832 - 6.2849 = 1.1983

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.1983 / 0.4793 = 2.5001

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
124.8991 100 16.6906 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.4793

Taille de position = 8 / 0.4793 = 16.69

Taille de position USD = 16.69 x 7.4832 = 124.89

Donc, tu peux acheter 16.69 avec un stoploss a 7.9625

Avec un position size USD de 124.89$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 16.69 x 0.4793 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 16.69 x 1.1983 = 20

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 16.69
  • Taille de position USD 124.89
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5001

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
16.01 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.41 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
5.49 $ 4.39
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
7.4832 7.9625 6.2849 2.5 8.1429
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 7.4832
  • Stop Loss: 7.9625
  • Take Profit: 6.2849

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 7.9625 - 7.4832 = 0.4793

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 7.4832 - 6.2849 = 1.1983

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.1983 / 0.4793 = 2.5001

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -6.405% (0.4793)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.428% 0.4R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +7.238% 1.1R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +7.238% 1.1R -0.000% 0.0R — 48
8h +7.238% 1.1R -0.000% 0.0R — 96
12h ★ +7.238% 1.1R -0.000% 0.0R — 144
24h +8.355% 1.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 288
36h +8.355% 1.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 432
48h +8.355% 1.3R -0.854% 0.1R 9.8× 576
72h +8.355% 1.3R -0.854% 0.1R 9.8× 864
⏱ MFE in 1206 min MAE in min

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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