Short Trade on XPL (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 2475.17 XPL at 0.0731$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06499 (11.06 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07631 (4.43 %)
Short Trade on XPL (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 2475.17 XPL at 0.0731$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06499 (11.06 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07631 (4.43 %)
Position
Entry 0.07307$
Qty 2475.1709 XPL
Size 180.8682$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.06499 (+11.06%)
TP $ 20$
SL 0.07631 (-4.43%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 2.49
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5519
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.67×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.96×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.47×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 29/10 17:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
transition
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 70.8% |
| 1h | 9.2% |
| 4h | 4.6% |
| 24h | 6.2% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 70.8% | +0.21% |
| 4h | 7.7% | -6.38% |
| 24h | 12.3% | -7.87% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3145 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 4.24% · r3d: 4.27% · ema21_slope: -0.7713% · dist_ema21: -3.736% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4694 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.70% · rs_3d: 2.75% · beta_24h: 2.289 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2549 | rvol_20: 1.05× · zscore_50: -0.497 · trend: -54.74% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4023 | ADX: 16.0 (weak) · Chop: 66.7 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.437% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4001 | r1h: 1.869% · r4h: -7.554% · r1d: -8.70% · r3d: -2.13% · ema21_slope: -0.0279% · dist_ema21: -6.102% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3779 | rs_1h: 1.628% · rs_4h: -5.276% · rs_1d: -5.85% · rs_3d: -0.82% · beta_24h: 3.048 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9230 | rvol_20: 3.08× · zscore_50: 1.846 · trend: 286.72% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7286 | ADX: 27.4 (trend) · Chop: 16.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.812% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4690 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.763% · r1d: -1.74% · r3d: 5.33% · ema21_slope: 0.2226% · dist_ema21: 1.644% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5028 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.631% · rs_1d: -0.81% · rs_3d: 4.29% · beta_24h: 1.593 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4297 | rvol_20: 1.19× · zscore_50: 0.356 · trend: 22.26% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5702 | ADX: 18.8 (weak) · Chop: 48.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9557 | ATR%: 3.133% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.081% | 0.2R | -1.471% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +4.058% | 0.9R | -1.779% | 0.4R | 2.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.058% | 0.9R | -5.508% | 1.2R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.058% | 0.9R | -6.139% | 1.4R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +4.058% | 0.9R | -6.139% | 1.4R | 0.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.058% | 0.9R | -12.264% | 2.8R | 0.3× | 288 |
| 36h | +4.058% | 0.9R | -12.821% | 2.9R | 0.3× | 432 |
| 48h | +4.058% | 0.9R | -13.799% | 3.1R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.983% | 1.1R | -18.285% | 4.1R | 0.3× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.54 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.67 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.58 | bear_high | -0.86% | +0.41 | 29/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
47%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.77 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.95% | -0.38 | 29/10 17:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
48%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.73 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.75% | -0.37 | 29/10 18:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444743
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.400 | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late 33b -0.5ATR | near -0.5ATR | — | 1.05 | 55% | ↓ -0.25 | value | +2.45 | — | #211881 | 0.54 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.67 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:26
|
|
4h
#452305
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | explosive | 0.765 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 4b 0.5ATR | — | — | 1.19 | 52% | ↑ +0.54 | value | +1.78 | — | #215041 | 0.58 | bear_high | -0.86% | +0.41 |
29/10 12:00
upd 29/10 16:21
|
|
1h
anchor #453094
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.625 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
47%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late 1b -2.2ATR | — | — | 3.08 | 99% | ↑ +0.56 | value | -1.24 | — | #215427 | 0.77 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.95% | -0.38 |
29/10 17:00
upd 29/10 18:14
|
|
15m
#453266
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.375 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
48%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early 9b -0.9ATR | — | — | 1.52 | 98% | ↑ +0.95 | value | -1.24 | — | #215427 | 0.73 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.75% | -0.37 |
29/10 18:15
upd 29/10 18:33
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 33b | — | 7.542×ATR | p96 | -0.493×ATR | p30 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.282×ATR | p0 | +0.495×ATR | p30 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 1b | — | 1.735×ATR | p17 | -2.249×ATR | p89 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -0.869×ATR | p44 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.078017
0.074185
0.076101
1793199600
1793311200
1.8775
32
0.7519
1793304000
0.074185
0.8125
2
0.5448
0
10
4
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (15)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:39 | 0.07307300 | +0.004% |
| 2 | 18:49 | 0.07307300 | +0.004% |
| 3 | 18:58 | 0.07307300 | +0.004% |
| 4 | 19:10 | 0.07317600 | +0.145% |
| 5 | 19:18 | 0.07317600 | +0.145% |
| 6 | 19:27 | 0.07317600 | +0.145% |
| 7 | 19:37 | 0.07317600 | +0.145% |
| 8 | 19:45 | 0.07252100 | -0.751% |
| 9 | 19:54 | 0.07252100 | -0.751% |
| 10 | 20:05 | 0.07252100 | -0.751% |
| 11 | 20:18 | 0.07283000 | -0.328% |
| 12 | 20:28 | 0.07283000 | -0.328% |
| 13 | 20:39 | 0.07407700 | +1.378% |
| 14 | 20:49 | 0.07407700 | +1.378% |
| 15 | 20:58 | 0.07407700 | +1.378% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07307 | 0.07631 | 0.06499 | 2.49 | 0.05146 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07631 - 0.07307 = 0.00324
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07307 - 0.06499 = 0.00808
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00808 / 0.00324 = 2.4938
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 180.8682 | 100 | 2475.1709 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00324 = 2469.14
Taille de position USD = 2469.14 x 0.07307 = 180.42
Donc, tu peux acheter 2469.14 avec un stoploss a 0.07631
Avec un position size USD de 180.42$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2469.14 x 0.00324 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2469.14 x 0.00808 = 19.95
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.95$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 11.06 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.43 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.02 $ | -4.43 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.779 % | 107.78 % | 15 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07307 | 0.07631 | 0.06499 | 2.49 | 0.05146 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07631 - 0.07307 = 0.00324
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07307 - 0.06499 = 0.00808
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00808 / 0.00324 = 2.4938
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.06499
[entry_price] => 0.07307
[stop_loss] => 0.076634
[rr_ratio] => 2.27
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-10-30 02:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.06499
[entry_price] => 0.07307
[stop_loss] => 0.076958
[rr_ratio] => 2.08
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-30 02:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.06499
[entry_price] => 0.07307
[stop_loss] => 0.077282
[rr_ratio] => 1.92
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-10-30 03:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.081% | 0.2R | -1.471% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +4.058% | 0.9R | -1.779% | 0.4R | 2.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.058% | 0.9R | -5.508% | 1.2R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.058% | 0.9R | -6.139% | 1.4R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +4.058% | 0.9R | -6.139% | 1.4R | 0.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.058% | 0.9R | -12.264% | 2.8R | 0.3× | 288 |
| 36h | +4.058% | 0.9R | -12.821% | 2.9R | 0.3× | 432 |
| 48h | +4.058% | 0.9R | -13.799% | 3.1R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.983% | 1.1R | -18.285% | 4.1R | 0.3× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
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