29 Oct 2026 at 19:15:07 hyperliquid

Long Trade on HYPE (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 1.55 HYPE at 90.831$ per unit. Take profit: 93.1018 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 85.6545 (5.7 %)

HYPE LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Oct 2026 19:15 → 01:05 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 90.831$

Qty 1.5454 HYPE

Size 140.374$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 93.1018 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.51$

SL 85.6545 (-5.7%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.44

Status win PnL +2.50% / +3.51$ MAE -2.57% MFE +2.75% 0.5R expires 30 Oct 01:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 233424)
#3 / 85
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 19:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9941

Quality Score
0.715
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#3 / 85
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.70 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#3 / 85
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.70 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 2.26×ATR
4h near 0.17×ATR
1d clear 4.25×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
NO
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
-5.46
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.50B $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 19:01
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

27/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

29/10 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

29/10 18:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7284
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

compression

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical bear

0.55

transition

-1

Micro bear

0.90

transition

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.73
Transition risk : 0.27
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 7.0%
Macro alt_capitulation
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→+0.004
Δ 1h
→-0.014
Δ 4h
▼-0.176
Δ 12h
▼-0.541
Δ 24h
▼-0.703

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 16.4%
1h 59.7%
4h 4.5%
24h 7.5%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 19.4% -0.23%
4h 9.0% -5.46%
24h 11.9% -7.36%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
3.0%
Down ≥1σ
88.1%
Expansion
91.0%
Tail ↑
+0.91
Tail ↓
+0.51
Dispersion : 0.340
Universe : 67 (+1 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+1 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.59
Snapshot évalué : 29/10 19:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3907
Score SMA
0.3673
Rank
#20 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7077
Rank Norm SMA
0.6028
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3656 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.79% · r3d: 5.69% · ema21_slope: -0.3885% · dist_ema21: -0.337%
Force Relative 25% 0.5162 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.32% · rs_3d: 4.18% · beta_24h: 1.404
Volume 20% 0.2712 rvol_20: 0.93× · zscore_50: -0.649 · trend: -16.01%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4047 ADX: 23.2 (weak) · Chop: 73.9 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.3702 ATR%: 4.889% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.7148
Score SMA
0.5630
Rank
#3 / 85
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9941
Rank Norm SMA
0.6522
Calculé le
29/10/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7080 r1h: -1.431% · r4h: -3.305% · r1d: 13.12% · r3d: 17.46% · ema21_slope: 0.8894% · dist_ema21: 3.018%
Force Relative 25% 0.6698 rs_1h: -1.409% · rs_4h: -1.030% · rs_1d: 15.89% · rs_3d: 18.68% · beta_24h: 0.950
Volume 20% 0.4677 rvol_20: 0.76× · zscore_50: 0.395 · trend: 113.46%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8679 ADX: 44.1 (trend) · Chop: 8.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.373% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.8946
Score SMA
0.5466
Rank
#1 / 74
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9930
Rank Norm SMA
0.7178
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8636 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.017% · r1d: 15.18% · r3d: 19.73% · ema21_slope: 0.4856% · dist_ema21: 13.938%
Force Relative 25% 0.8982 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.115% · rs_1d: 16.11% · rs_3d: 18.69% · beta_24h: 2.347
Volume 20% 0.9971 rvol_20: 3.42× · zscore_50: 2.957 · trend: 254.07%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7439 ADX: 29.3 (trend) · Chop: 8.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.795% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.699% (5.1765)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.739% 0.1R -2.133% 0.4R 0.4× 12
2h +1.121% 0.2R -2.570% 0.5R 0.4× 24
4h +1.121% 0.2R -2.570% 0.5R 0.4× 48
6h ★ +2.755% 0.5R -2.570% 0.5R 1.1× 72
8h +3.312% 0.6R -2.570% 0.5R 1.3× 96
12h +3.312% 0.6R -2.570% 0.5R 1.3× 144
24h +3.613% 0.6R -2.570% 0.5R 1.4× 288
48h +3.613% 0.6R -5.059% 0.9R 0.7× 576
72h +3.613% 0.6R -5.059% 0.9R 0.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 964 min MAE in 64 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.06
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 35% mid near -1.0ATR — 0.48 bull_high +4.55% -0.37 27/10 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
56%
choppy 44% late — near 0.2ATR 0.62 bear_high -0.86% +0.96 29/10 12:00
1h ↑ up range range strong fading volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
59%
noisy_chop 49% early near 0.0ATR — 0.53 bear_medium_confirmed -1.93% +0.93 29/10 18:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 40% early near -0.5ATR — 0.43 bear_medium -1.68% -0.09 29/10 18:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#444719
↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.553 compression bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 35% mid 35b -0.1ATR near -1.0ATR — 0.93 45% ↔ +0.10 above_value +3.87 — #211870 0.48 bull_high +4.55% -0.37
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:24
4h
#452268
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.593 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
56%
choppy 44% late 4b 4.1ATR — near 0.2ATR 3.42 100% ↑ +0.61 above_value +8.87 — #215029 0.62 bear_high -0.86% +0.96
29/10 12:00
upd 29/10 16:19
1h anchor
#453519
↑ up range range strong fading 0.375 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
59%
noisy_chop 49% early 1b 0.9ATR near 0.0ATR — 0.76 95% ↑ +0.97 above_value +6.34 — #215586 0.53 bear_medium_confirmed -1.93% +0.93
29/10 18:00
upd 29/10 19:12
15m
#453432
↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.664 expansion_after_compression bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 40% early 5b -0.8ATR near -0.5ATR — 0.56 82% ↑ +0.50 above_value +6.88 — #215414 0.43 bear_medium -1.68% -0.09
29/10 18:45
upd 29/10 19:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 35b — 4.427×ATR p57 -0.074×ATR p5
4h ↑ up late 4b — 6.04×ATR p94 +4.143×ATR p100
1h ↓ down early 1b — 1.783×ATR p18 +0.901×ATR p54
15m ↓ down early 5b — 2.588×ATR p41 -0.827×ATR p45

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 85.65448469
  2. tp_price: 93.101775
  3. atr: 2.07060613
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-30T05:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 2
  2. total: 85
  3. score: 0.7479
  4. delta_2h: 0.0401
  5. extension_atr: 0.8
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9955
  9. confidence: 0.988

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
90.831 85.6545 93.1018 0.44 74.871
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 90.831
  • Stop Loss: 85.6545
  • Take Profit: 93.1018

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 85.6545 - 90.831 = -5.1765

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 90.831 - 93.1018 = -2.2708

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.2708 / -5.1765 = 0.4387

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
140.374 100 1.5454 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -5.1765

Taille de position = 8 / -5.1765 = -1.55

Taille de position USD = -1.55 x 90.831 = -140.79

Donc, tu peux acheter -1.55 avec un stoploss a 85.6545

Avec un position size USD de -140.79$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -1.55 x -5.1765 = 8.02

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.02$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -1.55 x -2.2708 = 3.52

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.52$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -1.55
  • Taille de position USD -140.79
  • Perte potentielle 8.02
  • Gain potentiel 3.52
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4387

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 3.51 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.7 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
3.51 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.5696 % 45.09 % 24
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
90.831 85.6545 93.1018 0.44 74.871
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 90.831
  • Stop Loss: 85.6545
  • Take Profit: 93.1018

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 85.6545 - 90.831 = -5.1765

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 90.831 - 93.1018 = -2.2708

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.2708 / -5.1765 = 0.4387

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.699% (5.1765)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.739% 0.1R -2.133% 0.4R 0.4× 12
2h +1.121% 0.2R -2.570% 0.5R 0.4× 24
4h +1.121% 0.2R -2.570% 0.5R 0.4× 48
6h ★ +2.755% 0.5R -2.570% 0.5R 1.1× 72
8h +3.312% 0.6R -2.570% 0.5R 1.3× 96
12h +3.312% 0.6R -2.570% 0.5R 1.3× 144
24h +3.613% 0.6R -2.570% 0.5R 1.4× 288
48h +3.613% 0.6R -5.059% 0.9R 0.7× 576
72h +3.613% 0.6R -5.059% 0.9R 0.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 964 min MAE in 64 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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