Short Trade on JUP (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 566.6 JUP at 0.251$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2451 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2655 (5.61 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 19:15:08
hyperliquid
JUP
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 19:15
→ 20:15
· 59 minutes
Position
Entry 0.2514$
Qty 566.6019 JUP
Size 142.4437$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2451 (+2.51%)
TP $ 3.57$
SL 0.2655 (-5.61%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.45
Status
win
PnL
+2.51%
/ +3.57$
MAE -2.23%
MFE +6.26%
1.1R
expires
30 Oct 01:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 233408)
#79 / 85
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 19:00
score du 29/10/2026 19:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3230
Quality Score
0.418
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#79 / 85
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.61 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#79 / 85
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.61 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.00×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.77×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.26×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-5.46
OK
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
4.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 19:01
29/10 19:01
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 29/10 18:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7284
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
transition
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
7.0%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→+0.004
Δ 1h
→-0.014
Δ 4h
▼-0.176
Δ 12h
▼-0.541
Δ 24h
▼-0.703
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 16.4% |
| 1h | 59.7% |
| 4h | 4.5% |
| 24h | 7.5% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 19.4% | -0.23% |
| 4h | 9.0% | -5.46% |
| 24h | 11.9% | -7.36% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
3.0%
Down ≥1σ
88.1%
Expansion
91.0%
Tail ↑
+0.91
Tail ↓
+0.51
Dispersion :
0.340
Universe :
67
(+1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+1 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.59
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 19:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2971
Score SMA
0.3410
Rank
#53
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2000
Rank Norm SMA
0.4103
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3180 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.61% · r3d: -0.24% · ema21_slope: -0.5147% · dist_ema21: -6.867% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3745 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.08% · rs_3d: -1.75% · beta_24h: 1.711 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1927 | rvol_20: 0.72× · zscore_50: -0.648 · trend: -56.73% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4636 | ADX: 20.3 (weak) · Chop: 63.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.514% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.4179
Score SMA
0.4954
Rank
#79
/ 85
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3230
Rank Norm SMA
0.3754
Calculé le
29/10/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1810 | r1h: -1.746% · r4h: -7.392% · r1d: -11.01% · r3d: -8.54% · ema21_slope: -0.1353% · dist_ema21: -6.363% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1576 | rs_1h: -1.724% · rs_4h: -5.117% · rs_1d: -8.24% · rs_3d: -7.33% · beta_24h: 2.325 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6086 | rvol_20: 1.56× · zscore_50: 0.593 · trend: 147.30% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6835 | ADX: 22.0 (weak) · Chop: 20.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.353% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.4168
Score SMA
0.4618
Rank
#57
/ 74
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3066
Rank Norm SMA
0.4243
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2857 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.381% · r1d: -5.76% · r3d: -1.92% · ema21_slope: -0.1273% · dist_ema21: -2.352% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2962 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.249% · rs_1d: -4.83% · rs_3d: -2.96% · beta_24h: 2.494 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3659 | rvol_20: 1.08× · zscore_50: 0.012 · trend: 4.35% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5976 | ADX: 23.4 (weak) · Chop: 50.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9426 | ATR%: 3.172% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.609%
(0.0141)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +4.224% | 0.8R | -0.804% | 0.1R | 5.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +6.257% | 1.1R | -0.804% | 0.1R | 7.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +6.257% | 1.1R | -0.804% | 0.1R | 7.8× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +6.257% | 1.1R | -2.228% | 0.4R | 2.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +6.257% | 1.1R | -3.007% | 0.5R | 2.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.257% | 1.1R | -3.007% | 0.5R | 2.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.257% | 1.1R | -3.107% | 0.6R | 2.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +6.257% | 1.1R | -4.216% | 0.8R | 1.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.257% | 1.1R | -5.072% | 0.9R | 1.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 64 min
MAE in 1404 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.28
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | — | 0.58 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.93 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near -1.8ATR | — | 0.58 | bear_high | -0.86% | -0.31 | 29/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.79 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.93% | -0.48 | 29/10 18:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.86 | bear_medium | -1.68% | -0.57 | 29/10 18:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444698
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.576 | compression | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid 20b -1.0ATR | — | — | 0.72 | 55% | ↓ -0.62 | above_value | +0.88 | — | #211863 | 0.58 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.93 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:23
|
|
4h
#452229
|
↓ down | range | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.394 | expansion | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early 3b -0.7ATR | near -1.8ATR | — | 1.08 | 36% | ↑ +0.25 | below_value | -1.59 | — | #215016 | 0.58 | bear_high | -0.86% | -0.31 |
29/10 12:00
upd 29/10 16:17
|
|
1h
anchor #453503
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.628 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late 1b -2.7ATR | near 0.0ATR | — | 1.56 | 91% | ↑ +0.81 | below_value | -4.50 | inside | #215570 | 0.79 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.93% | -0.48 |
29/10 18:00
upd 29/10 19:11
|
|
15m
#453416
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.368 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late 6b -2.1ATR | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.25 | 76% | ↑ +0.81 | below_value | -3.76 | — | #215398 | 0.86 | bear_medium | -1.68% | -0.57 |
29/10 18:45
upd 29/10 19:02
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 20b | — | 4.4×ATR | p58 | -0.967×ATR | p60 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 0.805×ATR | p0 | -0.749×ATR | p38 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 1.67×ATR | p6 | -2.73×ATR | p95 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 6b | — | 2.744×ATR | p39 | -2.124×ATR | p80 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.26551926
- tp_price: 0.245115
- atr: 0.00564771
- expires_at: 2026-10-30T05:15:08+00:00
Details
- rank: 82
- total: 85
- score: 0.181
- delta_2h: -0.0147
- extension_atr: -2.92
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3246
- confidence: 0.964
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2514 | 0.2655 | 0.2451 | 0.45 | 0.2525 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2514
- Stop Loss: 0.2655
- Take Profit: 0.2451
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2655 - 0.2514 = 0.0141
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2514 - 0.2451 = 0.0063
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0063 / 0.0141 = 0.4468
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 142.4437 | 100 | 566.6019 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0141
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0141 = 567.38
Taille de position USD = 567.38 x 0.2514 = 142.64
Donc, tu peux acheter 567.38 avec un stoploss a 0.2655
Avec un position size USD de 142.64$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 567.38 x 0.0141 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 567.38 x 0.0063 = 3.57
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.57$
Résumé
- Taille de position 567.38
- Taille de position USD 142.64
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.57
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4468
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 3.57 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.61 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.57 $ | 2.51 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8035 % | 14.33 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2514 | 0.2655 | 0.2451 | 0.45 | 0.2525 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2514
- Stop Loss: 0.2655
- Take Profit: 0.2451
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2655 - 0.2514 = 0.0141
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2514 - 0.2451 = 0.0063
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0063 / 0.0141 = 0.4468
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.609%
(0.0141)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +4.224% | 0.8R | -0.804% | 0.1R | 5.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +6.257% | 1.1R | -0.804% | 0.1R | 7.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +6.257% | 1.1R | -0.804% | 0.1R | 7.8× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +6.257% | 1.1R | -2.228% | 0.4R | 2.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +6.257% | 1.1R | -3.007% | 0.5R | 2.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.257% | 1.1R | -3.007% | 0.5R | 2.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.257% | 1.1R | -3.107% | 0.6R | 2.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +6.257% | 1.1R | -4.216% | 0.8R | 1.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.257% | 1.1R | -5.072% | 0.9R | 1.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 64 min
MAE in 1404 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.