Short Trade on MEGA (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2906.36 MEGA at 0.0451$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04402 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0479 (6.09 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 19:15:09
hyperliquid
MEGA
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 19:15
→ 20:20
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.04515$
Qty 2906.3642 MEGA
Size 131.2223$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.04402 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.28$
SL 0.0479 (-6.09%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.41
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +3.28$
MAE -5.28%
MFE +2.81%
0.5R
expires
30 Oct 01:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 233443)
#81 / 85
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 19:00
score du 29/10/2026 19:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5612
Quality Score
0.412
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#81 / 85
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.09 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#81 / 85
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.09 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.41×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 0.86×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | — | — | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-5.46
OK
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 19:02
29/10 19:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 29/10 18:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7284
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
transition
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
7.0%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→+0.004
Δ 1h
→-0.014
Δ 4h
▼-0.176
Δ 12h
▼-0.541
Δ 24h
▼-0.703
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 16.4% |
| 1h | 59.7% |
| 4h | 4.5% |
| 24h | 7.5% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 19.4% | -0.23% |
| 4h | 9.0% | -5.46% |
| 24h | 11.9% | -7.36% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
3.0%
Down ≥1σ
88.1%
Expansion
91.0%
Tail ↑
+0.91
Tail ↓
+0.51
Dispersion :
0.340
Universe :
67
(+1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+1 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.59
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 19:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6092
Score SMA
0.6007
Rank
#3
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9692
Rank Norm SMA
0.7901
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8655 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 2.26% · r3d: 10.80% · ema21_slope: 0.2646% · dist_ema21: 10.209% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7729 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 1.73% · rs_3d: 9.29% · beta_24h: 1.903 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3645 | rvol_20: 1.14× · zscore_50: -0.018 · trend: -2.84% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5564 | ADX: 33.6 (trend) · Chop: 65.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.141% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.4124
Score SMA
0.5725
Rank
#81
/ 85
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5612
Rank Norm SMA
0.6003
Calculé le
29/10/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3000 | r1h: 4.146% · r4h: -3.075% · r1d: -10.33% · r3d: -2.70% · ema21_slope: -0.3082% · dist_ema21: -3.928% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5015 | rs_1h: 4.168% · rs_4h: -0.801% · rs_1d: -7.56% · rs_3d: -1.48% · beta_24h: 1.982 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9595 | rvol_20: 3.93× · zscore_50: 2.393 · trend: 142.69% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7537 | ADX: 30.4 (trend) · Chop: 27.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.528% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.5518
Score SMA
0.5858
Rank
#11
/ 68
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8754
Rank Norm SMA
0.6992
Calculé le
29/10/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6492 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.938% · r1d: -5.25% · r3d: 3.06% · ema21_slope: 0.4458% · dist_ema21: -0.596% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5441 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.540% · rs_1d: -3.82% · rs_3d: 3.36% · beta_24h: 2.070 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1968 | rvol_20: 0.35× · zscore_50: -0.819 · trend: -11.50% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6824 | ADX: 30.3 (trend) · Chop: 46.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7925 | ATR%: 3.623% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.091%
(0.0028)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.742% | 0.1R | -2.516% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.811% | 0.5R | -2.516% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.811% | 0.5R | -2.516% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.811% | 0.5R | -5.278% | 0.9R | 0.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.811% | 0.5R | -5.513% | 0.9R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.811% | 0.5R | -5.513% | 0.9R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.811% | 0.5R | -5.513% | 0.9R | 0.5× | 288 |
| 48h | +3.174% | 0.5R | -5.513% | 0.9R | 0.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +5.065% | 0.8R | -5.513% | 0.9R | 0.9× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 64 min
MAE in 424 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.28
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.40 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.97 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.44 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.93% | -0.63 | 29/10 18:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 47% | early | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.50 | bear_medium | -1.68% | -0.18 | 29/10 18:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444753
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.626 | compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid 20b 1.1ATR | — | near -0.1ATR | 1.31 | 63% | ↔ +0.11 | above_value | +5.66 | — | #211886 | 0.40 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.97 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:26
|
| 4h | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
1h
anchor #453539
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.495 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late 7b -1.7ATR | near 0.4ATR | — | 3.93 | 99% | ↑ +0.69 | above_value | -0.92 | — | #215606 | 0.44 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.93% | -0.63 |
29/10 18:00
upd 29/10 19:13
|
|
15m
#453452
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.531 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 47% | early 2b -0.1ATR | — | near -0.9ATR | 1.84 | 96% | ↑ +0.77 | value | -1.53 | — | #215434 | 0.50 | bear_medium | -1.68% | -0.18 |
29/10 18:45
upd 29/10 19:04
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 20b | — | 2.749×ATR | p6 | +1.141×ATR | p65 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 3.246×ATR | p67 | -1.653×ATR | p83 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 2.813×ATR | p34 | -0.132×ATR | p13 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.04790258
- tp_price: 0.04402125
- atr: 0.00110103
- expires_at: 2026-10-30T05:15:09+00:00
Details
- rank: 79
- total: 85
- score: 0.1904
- delta_2h: -0.3326
- extension_atr: -1.59
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.4554
- confidence: 0.929
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04515 | 0.0479 | 0.04402 | 0.41 | 0.05042 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04515
- Stop Loss: 0.0479
- Take Profit: 0.04402
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0479 - 0.04515 = 0.00275
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04515 - 0.04402 = 0.00113
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00113 / 0.00275 = 0.4109
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 131.2223 | 100 | 2906.3642 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00275
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00275 = 2909.09
Taille de position USD = 2909.09 x 0.04515 = 131.35
Donc, tu peux acheter 2909.09 avec un stoploss a 0.0479
Avec un position size USD de 131.35$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2909.09 x 0.00275 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2909.09 x 0.00113 = 3.29
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.29$
Résumé
- Taille de position 2909.09
- Taille de position USD 131.35
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.29
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4109
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.28 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.09 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.28 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5161 % | 41.31 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04515 | 0.0479 | 0.04402 | 0.41 | 0.05042 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04515
- Stop Loss: 0.0479
- Take Profit: 0.04402
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0479 - 0.04515 = 0.00275
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04515 - 0.04402 = 0.00113
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00113 / 0.00275 = 0.4109
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.091%
(0.0028)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.742% | 0.1R | -2.516% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.811% | 0.5R | -2.516% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.811% | 0.5R | -2.516% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.811% | 0.5R | -5.278% | 0.9R | 0.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.811% | 0.5R | -5.513% | 0.9R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.811% | 0.5R | -5.513% | 0.9R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.811% | 0.5R | -5.513% | 0.9R | 0.5× | 288 |
| 48h | +3.174% | 0.5R | -5.513% | 0.9R | 0.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +5.065% | 0.8R | -5.513% | 0.9R | 0.9× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 64 min
MAE in 424 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.