29 Oct 2026 at 20:15:19 hyperliquid

Short Trade on SYRUP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 832.55 SYRUP at 0.15$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1461 (2.47 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1594 (6.41 %)

SYRUP SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Oct 2026 20:15 → 20:20 · 4 minutes

Position

Entry 0.1498$

Qty 832.5468 SYRUP

Size 124.7155$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1461 (+2.47%)

TP $ 3.08$

SL 0.1594 (-6.41%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.39

Status win PnL +2.47% / +3.08$ MAE -1.44% MFE +7.02% 1.1R expires 30 Oct 02:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 233521)
#45 / 86
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.4118

Quality Score
0.472
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#45 / 86
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.41 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#45 / 86
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.41 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.07×ATR
4h clear 1.34×ATR
1d clear 0.80×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-6.57
OK
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 20:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

27/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

29/10 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

29/10 18:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7288
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_bound
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical bear

0.55

transition

+1

Micro bear

0.90

transition

MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 6.9%
Macro alt_capitulation
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→+0.012
Δ 1h
→-0.000
Δ 4h
▼-0.174
Δ 12h
▼-0.590
Δ 24h
▼-0.327

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 25.0%
1h 23.6%
4h 4.2%
24h 6.9%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 26.4% -0.16%
4h 8.3% -6.57%
24h 12.5% -8.86%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.8%
Down ≥1σ
88.9%
Expansion
91.7%
Tail ↑
+0.81
Tail ↓
+0.72
Dispersion : 0.413
Universe : 72 (+2 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+2 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.80
Snapshot évalué : 29/10 20:01 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4715
Score SMA
0.4797
Rank
#45 / 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4118
Rank Norm SMA
0.3695
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1171 r1h: -1.116% · r4h: -6.107% · r1d: -10.10% · r3d: -14.47% · ema21_slope: -0.2286% · dist_ema21: -5.486%
Force Relative 25% 0.2834 rs_1h: 0.221% · rs_4h: -2.556% · rs_1d: -5.95% · rs_3d: -11.77% · beta_24h: 1.834
Volume 20% 0.9424 rvol_20: 2.79× · zscore_50: 2.629 · trend: 197.42%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7727 ADX: 32.7 (trend) · Chop: 32.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.664% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4145
Score SMA
0.4428
Rank
#70 / 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2393
Rank Norm SMA
0.3593
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0288 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -6.107% · r1d: -10.10% · r3d: -14.47% · ema21_slope: -0.4366% · dist_ema21: -10.059%
Force Relative 25% 0.1681 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.556% · rs_1d: -5.95% · rs_3d: -11.77% · beta_24h: 1.906
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 6.19× · zscore_50: 5.590 · trend: 186.02%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7484 ADX: 29.8 (trend) · Chop: 33.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.5191 ATR%: 4.443% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.409% (0.0096)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +3.098% 0.5R -0.561% 0.1R 5.5× 12
2h +3.098% 0.5R -0.961% 0.2R 3.2× 24
4h +7.023% 1.1R -1.442% 0.2R 4.9× 48
6h ★ +7.023% 1.1R -1.442% 0.2R 4.9× 72
8h +7.023% 1.1R -4.232% 0.7R 1.7× 96
12h +7.023% 1.1R -4.232% 0.7R 1.7× 144
24h +7.023% 1.1R -4.780% 0.8R 1.5× 288
48h +7.023% 1.1R -8.485% 1.3R 0.8× 576
72h +7.023% 1.1R -9.686% 1.5R 0.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 179 min MAE in 1439 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.68
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate fading compression bear_high
48%
noisy_chop 46% late — — 0.64 bull_high +4.55% -1.00 27/10 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
46%
noisy_chop 37% mid — — 0.55 bear_high -0.86% -0.73 29/10 12:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate fading volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
46%
noisy_chop 42% late near 0.1ATR — 0.66 bear_medium_confirmed -1.93% -0.55 29/10 18:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading expansion_after_compression bear_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 47% mid near -0.5ATR — 0.59 bear_medium_confirmed -2.82% -0.35 29/10 19:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#451516
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate fading 0.424 compression bear_high
48%
noisy_chop 46% late 15b -2.2ATR — — 0.51 56% ↓ -0.62 value -3.33 — #214743 0.64 bull_high +4.55% -1.00
27/10 20:00
upd 29/10 14:20
4h
#452299
↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.424 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
46%
noisy_chop 37% mid 3b -1.4ATR — — 2.23 68% ↑ +0.51 below_value -4.10 inside #215039 0.55 bear_high -0.86% -0.73
29/10 12:00
upd 29/10 16:20
1h anchor
#453530
↓ down range range moderate fading 0.753 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
46%
noisy_chop 42% late 1b -1.9ATR near 0.1ATR — 1.91 98% ↑ +0.85 below_value -5.55 — #215597 0.66 bear_medium_confirmed -1.93% -0.55
29/10 18:00
upd 29/10 19:12
15m
#453886
↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading 0.721 expansion_after_compression bear_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 47% mid 7b -1.6ATR near -0.5ATR — 0.49 89% ↑ +0.83 below_value -5.55 — #215597 0.59 bear_medium_confirmed -2.82% -0.35
29/10 19:45
upd 29/10 20:04
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 15b — 6.693×ATR p83 -2.212×ATR p92
4h ↑ up mid 3b — 1.676×ATR p0 -1.369×ATR p65
1h ↓ down late 1b — 1.231×ATR p2 -1.934×ATR p87
15m ↑ up mid 7b — 0.065×ATR p0 -1.622×ATR p60

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.15940907
  2. tp_price: 0.146055
  3. atr: 0.00384363
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-30T06:15:19+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 83
  2. total: 86
  3. score: 0.1097
  4. delta_2h: -0.0717
  5. extension_atr: -2.21
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3836
  9. confidence: 0.965

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1498 0.1594 0.1461 0.39 0.1347
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1498
  • Stop Loss: 0.1594
  • Take Profit: 0.1461

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1594 - 0.1498 = 0.0096

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1498 - 0.1461 = 0.0037

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0037 / 0.0096 = 0.3854

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
124.7155 100 832.5468 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0096

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0096 = 833.33

Taille de position USD = 833.33 x 0.1498 = 124.83

Donc, tu peux acheter 833.33 avec un stoploss a 0.1594

Avec un position size USD de 124.83$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 833.33 x 0.0096 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 833.33 x 0.0037 = 3.08

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.08$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 833.33
  • Taille de position USD 124.83
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.08
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3854

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.47 % 3.08 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.41 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
3.08 $ 2.47
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1498 0.1594 0.1461 0.39 0.1347
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1498
  • Stop Loss: 0.1594
  • Take Profit: 0.1461

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1594 - 0.1498 = 0.0096

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1498 - 0.1461 = 0.0037

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0037 / 0.0096 = 0.3854

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.409% (0.0096)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +3.098% 0.5R -0.561% 0.1R 5.5× 12
2h +3.098% 0.5R -0.961% 0.2R 3.2× 24
4h +7.023% 1.1R -1.442% 0.2R 4.9× 48
6h ★ +7.023% 1.1R -1.442% 0.2R 4.9× 72
8h +7.023% 1.1R -4.232% 0.7R 1.7× 96
12h +7.023% 1.1R -4.232% 0.7R 1.7× 144
24h +7.023% 1.1R -4.780% 0.8R 1.5× 288
48h +7.023% 1.1R -8.485% 1.3R 0.8× 576
72h +7.023% 1.1R -9.686% 1.5R 0.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 179 min MAE in 1439 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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