Short Trade on PYTH (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1720.44 PYTH at 0.0633$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06175 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.06798 (7.34 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 20:15:19
hyperliquid
PYTH
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 20:15
→ 20:20
· 4 minutes
Position
Entry 0.06333$
Qty 1720.4449 PYTH
Size 108.9558$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.06175 (+2.49%)
TP $ 2.72$
SL 0.06798 (-7.34%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.34
Status
win
PnL
+2.49%
/ +2.72$
MAE -0.00%
MFE +7.43%
1.0R
expires
30 Oct 02:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 233493)
#84 / 86
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 20:00
score du 29/10/2026 20:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0601
Quality Score
0.342
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#84 / 86
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.34 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#84 / 86
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.34 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.82×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.08×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-6.57
OK
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
4.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 20:01
29/10 20:01
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/10 18:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7288
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
transition
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
6.9%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→+0.012
Δ 1h
→-0.000
Δ 4h
▼-0.174
Δ 12h
▼-0.590
Δ 24h
▼-0.327
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 25.0% |
| 1h | 23.6% |
| 4h | 4.2% |
| 24h | 6.9% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 26.4% | -0.16% |
| 4h | 8.3% | -6.57% |
| 24h | 12.5% | -8.86% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.8%
Down ≥1σ
88.9%
Expansion
91.7%
Tail ↑
+0.81
Tail ↓
+0.72
Dispersion :
0.413
Universe :
72
(+2 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+2 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.80
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 20:01
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3695
Score SMA
0.4704
Rank
#26
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6154
Rank Norm SMA
0.7673
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3962 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.93% · r3d: -1.77% · ema21_slope: -0.3319% · dist_ema21: -2.699% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4293 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.40% · rs_3d: -3.28% · beta_24h: -0.168 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2006 | rvol_20: 0.47× · zscore_50: -0.246 · trend: -37.25% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6879 | ADX: 29.0 (trend) · Chop: 44.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.322% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3421
Score SMA
0.5255
Rank
#84
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0601
Rank Norm SMA
0.4642
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.0974 | r1h: -2.485% · r4h: -9.006% · r1d: -14.66% · r3d: -16.41% · ema21_slope: -0.2866% · dist_ema21: -8.506% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.0993 | rs_1h: -1.148% · rs_4h: -5.455% · rs_1d: -10.52% · rs_3d: -13.71% · beta_24h: 2.116 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4186 | rvol_20: 1.17× · zscore_50: 0.359 · trend: 16.15% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7113 | ADX: 25.4 (trend) · Chop: 18.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9571 | ATR%: 3.129% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3160
Score SMA
0.4413
Rank
#85
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0536
Rank Norm SMA
0.3415
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1111 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -9.006% · r1d: -14.66% · r3d: -16.41% · ema21_slope: -0.2263% · dist_ema21: -11.689% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.0937 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -5.455% · rs_1d: -10.52% · rs_3d: -13.71% · beta_24h: 2.523 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7114 | rvol_20: 2.07× · zscore_50: 0.990 · trend: 95.94% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6318 | ADX: 15.8 (weak) · Chop: 32.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.3872 | ATR%: 4.838% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.343%
(0.0047)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +7.428% | 1.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +7.428% | 1.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +7.428% | 1.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +7.428% | 1.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 72 |
| 8h | +7.428% | 1.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +7.428% | 1.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +7.428% | 1.0R | -3.689% | 0.5R | 2.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +7.428% | 1.0R | -6.231% | 0.9R | 1.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +7.428% | 1.0R | -7.245% | 1.0R | 1.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 24 min
MAE in 1374 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.4
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near -1.1ATR | — | 0.57 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.73 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | pullback | bear_trend | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.54 | bear_high | -0.86% | -0.76 | 29/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.63 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.93% | -0.66 | 29/10 18:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 50% | mid | — | — | 0.50 | bear_medium_confirmed | -2.82% | -0.48 | 29/10 19:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444694
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.702 | normal | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid 13b -0.3ATR | near -1.1ATR | — | 0.47 | 83% | ↓ -0.55 | above_value | -0.67 | — | #211862 | 0.57 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.73 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:23
|
|
4h
#452223
|
↓ down | pullback | bear_trend | strong | explosive | 0.412 | expansion | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid 5b -1.1ATR | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.66 | 53% | ↑ +0.49 | below_value | -1.67 | — | #215014 | 0.54 | bear_high | -0.86% | -0.76 |
29/10 12:00
upd 29/10 16:17
|
|
1h
anchor #453501
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.213 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late 9b -2.0ATR | — | — | 0.42 | 83% | ↑ +0.83 | below_value | -3.74 | inside | #215568 | 0.63 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.93% | -0.66 |
29/10 18:00
upd 29/10 19:11
|
|
15m
#453857
|
↓ down | range | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.755 | normal | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 50% | mid 5b -2.1ATR | — | — | 0.86 | 88% | ↑ +0.73 | below_value | -3.74 | — | #215568 | 0.50 | bear_medium_confirmed | -2.82% | -0.48 |
29/10 19:45
upd 29/10 20:02
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 13b | — | 3.974×ATR | p50 | -0.268×ATR | p15 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.011×ATR | p0 | -1.126×ATR | p64 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 6.034×ATR | p98 | -2.045×ATR | p85 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.089×ATR | p25 | -2.147×ATR | p76 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.06797996
- tp_price: 0.06174675
- atr: 0.00185998
- expires_at: 2026-10-30T06:15:19+00:00
Details
- rank: 82
- total: 86
- score: 0.1186
- delta_2h: -0.0643
- extension_atr: -2.56
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0616
- confidence: 0.953
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06333 | 0.06798 | 0.06175 | 0.34 | 0.06237 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.06333
- Stop Loss: 0.06798
- Take Profit: 0.06175
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.06798 - 0.06333 = 0.00465
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06333 - 0.06175 = 0.00158
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00158 / 0.00465 = 0.3398
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 108.9558 | 100 | 1720.4449 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00465
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00465 = 1720.43
Taille de position USD = 1720.43 x 0.06333 = 108.95
Donc, tu peux acheter 1720.43 avec un stoploss a 0.06798
Avec un position size USD de 108.95$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1720.43 x 0.00465 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1720.43 x 0.00158 = 2.72
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.72$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1720.43
- Taille de position USD 108.95
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.72
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3398
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 2.72 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.34 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.72 $ | 2.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06333 | 0.06798 | 0.06175 | 0.34 | 0.06237 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.06333
- Stop Loss: 0.06798
- Take Profit: 0.06175
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.06798 - 0.06333 = 0.00465
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06333 - 0.06175 = 0.00158
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00158 / 0.00465 = 0.3398
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.343%
(0.0047)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +7.428% | 1.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +7.428% | 1.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +7.428% | 1.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +7.428% | 1.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 72 |
| 8h | +7.428% | 1.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +7.428% | 1.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +7.428% | 1.0R | -3.689% | 0.5R | 2.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +7.428% | 1.0R | -6.231% | 0.9R | 1.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +7.428% | 1.0R | -7.245% | 1.0R | 1.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 24 min
MAE in 1374 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.