29 Oct 2026 at 20:15:20 hyperliquid

Short Trade on DASH (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 3.36 DASH at 47.247$ per unit. Take profit: 46.0658 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 49.6259 (5.04 %)

DASH SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Oct 2026 20:15 → 20:20 · 4 minutes

Position

Entry 47.247$

Qty 3.3629 DASH

Size 158.8878$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 46.0658 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.97$

SL 49.6259 (-5.04%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.5

Status win PnL +2.50% / +3.97$ MAE -3.38% MFE +4.01% 0.8R expires 30 Oct 02:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 233536)
#80 / 86
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3013

Quality Score
0.403
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#80 / 86
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.04 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#80 / 86
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.04 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.00×ATR
4h near -0.49×ATR
1d clear 1.42×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-6.57
OK
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 20:03
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

27/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

29/10 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

29/10 18:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7288
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_bound
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical bear

0.55

transition

+1

Micro bear

0.90

transition

MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 6.9%
Macro alt_capitulation
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→+0.012
Δ 1h
→-0.000
Δ 4h
▼-0.174
Δ 12h
▼-0.590
Δ 24h
▼-0.327

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 25.0%
1h 23.6%
4h 4.2%
24h 6.9%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 26.4% -0.16%
4h 8.3% -6.57%
24h 12.5% -8.86%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.8%
Down ≥1σ
88.9%
Expansion
91.7%
Tail ↑
+0.81
Tail ↓
+0.72
Dispersion : 0.413
Universe : 72 (+2 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+2 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.80
Snapshot évalué : 29/10 20:01 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3740
Score SMA
0.4064
Rank
#25 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6308
Rank Norm SMA
0.6251
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4807 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.91% · r3d: 3.12% · ema21_slope: -0.0371% · dist_ema21: 1.100%
Force Relative 25% 0.4433 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.44% · rs_3d: 1.61% · beta_24h: 1.202
Volume 20% 0.2701 rvol_20: 0.94× · zscore_50: -0.564 · trend: -21.76%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4332 ADX: 16.5 (weak) · Chop: 63.5 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.884% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4025
Score SMA
0.5576
Rank
#80 / 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3013
Rank Norm SMA
0.6064
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1396 r1h: -1.165% · r4h: -6.418% · r1d: -11.61% · r3d: -11.14% · ema21_slope: -0.2578% · dist_ema21: -5.610%
Force Relative 25% 0.2838 rs_1h: 0.172% · rs_4h: -2.867% · rs_1d: -7.46% · rs_3d: -8.44% · beta_24h: 1.483
Volume 20% 0.2831 rvol_20: 0.43× · zscore_50: -0.352 · trend: 29.92%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8349 ADX: 40.2 (trend) · Chop: 24.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.039% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4763
Score SMA
0.5977
Rank
#49 / 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4936
Rank Norm SMA
0.8226
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2103 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -6.418% · r1d: -11.61% · r3d: -11.14% · ema21_slope: -0.1795% · dist_ema21: -8.794%
Force Relative 25% 0.2377 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.867% · rs_1d: -7.46% · rs_3d: -8.44% · beta_24h: 1.547
Volume 20% 0.8176 rvol_20: 2.38× · zscore_50: 2.312 · trend: 72.15%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6490 ADX: 17.9 (weak) · Chop: 33.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.8329 ATR%: 3.501% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.035% (2.3789)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +4.013% 0.8R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +4.013% 0.8R -0.231% 0.1R 17.4× 24
4h +4.013% 0.8R -1.784% 0.4R 2.3× 48
6h ★ +4.013% 0.8R -3.384% 0.7R 1.2× 72
8h +4.013% 0.8R -3.848% 0.8R 1.0× 96
12h +4.013% 0.8R -6.616% 1.3R 0.6× 144
24h +4.013% 0.8R -6.616% 1.3R 0.6× 288
48h +4.013% 0.8R -6.616% 1.3R 0.6× 576
72h +4.013% 0.8R -6.616% 1.3R 0.6× 864
⏱ MFE in 4 min MAE in 669 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.74
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate fading compression bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 28% early — — 0.53 bull_high +4.55% +0.58 27/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate balanced normal bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 40% mid near -0.5ATR — 0.56 bear_high -0.86% -0.36 29/10 12:00
1h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong explosive expansion_after_compression bear_high_confirmed
55%
noisy_chop 43% late near 0.0ATR — 0.60 bear_medium_confirmed -1.93% -0.56 29/10 18:00
15m ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong grind expansion bear_high
63%
noisy_chop 46% mid near -1.3ATR — 0.67 bear_medium -2.36% -0.32 29/10 19:30
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#444763
↔ neutral range range moderate fading 0.558 compression bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 28% early 13b 0.3ATR — — 1.30 66% ↑ +0.64 above_value +0.95 — #211891 0.53 bull_high +4.55% +0.58
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:27
4h
#452335
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate balanced 0.583 normal bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 40% mid 15b -1.3ATR near -0.5ATR — 1.52 89% ↑ +0.23 below_value -3.21 — #215051 0.56 bear_high -0.86% -0.36
29/10 12:00
upd 29/10 16:22
1h anchor
#453545
↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong explosive 0.267 expansion_after_compression bear_high_confirmed
55%
noisy_chop 43% late 2b -2.5ATR near 0.0ATR — 0.77 70% ↑ +0.52 below_value -5.45 inside #215612 0.60 bear_medium_confirmed -1.93% -0.56
29/10 18:00
upd 29/10 19:13
15m
#453811
↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong grind 0.488 expansion bear_high
63%
noisy_chop 46% mid 9b -2.0ATR near -1.3ATR — 0.20 60% ↔ +0.04 below_value -5.45 — #215612 0.67 bear_medium -2.36% -0.32
29/10 19:30
upd 29/10 19:49
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 13b — 2.177×ATR p0 +0.289×ATR p21
4h ↓ down mid 15b — 3.428×ATR p41 -1.34×ATR p75
1h ↑ up late 2b — 1.198×ATR p0 -2.512×ATR p94
15m ↓ down mid 9b — 2.288×ATR p42 -1.965×ATR p72

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 49.62588695
  2. tp_price: 46.065825
  3. atr: 0.95155478
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-30T06:15:20+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 78
  2. total: 86
  3. score: 0.1522
  4. delta_2h: -0.078
  5. extension_atr: -2.87
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3003
  9. confidence: 0.906

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
47.247 49.6259 46.0658 0.5 47.425
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 47.247
  • Stop Loss: 49.6259
  • Take Profit: 46.0658

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 49.6259 - 47.247 = 2.3789

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 47.247 - 46.0658 = 1.1812

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.1812 / 2.3789 = 0.4965

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
158.8878 100 3.3629 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 2.3789

Taille de position = 8 / 2.3789 = 3.36

Taille de position USD = 3.36 x 47.247 = 158.75

Donc, tu peux acheter 3.36 avec un stoploss a 49.6259

Avec un position size USD de 158.75$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 3.36 x 2.3789 = 7.99

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 3.36 x 1.1812 = 3.97

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.97$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 3.36
  • Taille de position USD 158.75
  • Perte potentielle 7.99
  • Gain potentiel 3.97
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4965

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 3.97 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.04 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
3.97 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
47.247 49.6259 46.0658 0.5 47.425
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 47.247
  • Stop Loss: 49.6259
  • Take Profit: 46.0658

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 49.6259 - 47.247 = 2.3789

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 47.247 - 46.0658 = 1.1812

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.1812 / 2.3789 = 0.4965

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.035% (2.3789)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +4.013% 0.8R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +4.013% 0.8R -0.231% 0.1R 17.4× 24
4h +4.013% 0.8R -1.784% 0.4R 2.3× 48
6h ★ +4.013% 0.8R -3.384% 0.7R 1.2× 72
8h +4.013% 0.8R -3.848% 0.8R 1.0× 96
12h +4.013% 0.8R -6.616% 1.3R 0.6× 144
24h +4.013% 0.8R -6.616% 1.3R 0.6× 288
48h +4.013% 0.8R -6.616% 1.3R 0.6× 576
72h +4.013% 0.8R -6.616% 1.3R 0.6× 864
⏱ MFE in 4 min MAE in 669 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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