29 Oct 2026 at 21:11:14 hyperliquid

Long Trade on XMR (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 0.26 XMR at 634.61$ per unit. Take profit: 710.5276 (11.96 %) & Stop Loss: 604.243 (4.79 %)

XMR LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 29 Oct 2026 21:11 → 00:35 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 634.61$

Qty 0.2634 XMR

Size 167.1839$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 710.5276 (+11.96%)

TP $ 20$

SL 604.243 (-4.79%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -4.79% / -8$ MAE -7.93% MFE +0.27% 0.1R expires 30 Oct 09:11

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 233805)
#4 / 90
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 21:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9400

Quality Score
0.696
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#4 / 90
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#4 / 90
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 2.43×ATR
4h near -0.47×ATR
1d clear 2.88×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
112.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 21:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

28/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

29/10 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

29/10 19:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7292
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_bound
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical bear

0.55

transition

-1

Micro bear

0.90

transition

MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) -1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 11.3%
Macro alt_capitulation
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→-0.002
Δ 1h
→+0.043
Δ 4h
→+0.045
Δ 12h
▼-0.568
Δ 24h
▼-0.269

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 81.8%
1h 6.5%
4h 5.2%
24h 5.2%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 85.7% +0.29%
4h 22.1% -3.77%
24h 14.3% -11.87%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
3.9%
Down ≥1σ
42.9%
Expansion
46.8%
Tail ↑
+0.53
Tail ↓
+0.59
Dispersion : 0.303
Universe : 77 (+1 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+1 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.80
Snapshot évalué : 29/10 21:01 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6778
Score SMA
0.5849
Rank
#5 / 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9529
Rank Norm SMA
0.9408
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7325 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.27% · r3d: 1.24% · ema21_slope: 0.5213% · dist_ema21: 3.701%
Force Relative 25% 0.7111 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 5.42% · rs_3d: 3.94% · beta_24h: 0.624
Volume 20% 0.9234 rvol_20: 2.65× · zscore_50: 3.458 · trend: 84.89%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6275 ADX: 27.3 (trend) · Chop: 50.6 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0152 ATR%: 5.955% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 21:00
Score brut
0.6963
Score SMA
0.5294
Rank
#4 / 90
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9400
Rank Norm SMA
0.5620
Calculé le
29/10/2026 21:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6442 r1h: 2.751% · r4h: -0.192% · r1d: 4.09% · r3d: 2.36% · ema21_slope: 0.1299% · dist_ema21: 2.711%
Force Relative 25% 0.8246 rs_1h: 3.684% · rs_4h: 1.850% · rs_1d: 8.84% · rs_3d: 6.06% · beta_24h: -0.477
Volume 20% 0.4781 rvol_20: 0.85× · zscore_50: 0.323 · trend: 106.15%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8540 ADX: 42.5 (trend) · Chop: 24.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.190% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7405
Score SMA
0.5196
Rank
#3 / 90
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9408
Rank Norm SMA
0.6758
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5615 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.881% · r1d: 1.27% · r3d: 1.24% · ema21_slope: 0.0190% · dist_ema21: 1.017%
Force Relative 25% 0.7257 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 4.433% · rs_1d: 5.42% · rs_3d: 3.94% · beta_24h: 0.122
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 6.45× · zscore_50: 5.577 · trend: 202.83%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6040 ADX: 12.5 (weak) · Chop: 32.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.679% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -4.785% (30.3670)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.271% 0.1R -3.744% 0.8R 0.1× 12
2h +0.271% 0.1R -4.226% 0.9R 0.1× 24
4h +0.271% 0.1R -6.223% 1.3R 0.0× 48
8h +0.271% 0.1R -7.931% 1.7R 0.0× 96
12h ★ +0.271% 0.1R -7.931% 1.7R 0.0× 144
24h +0.271% 0.1R -9.502% 2.0R 0.0× 288
36h +0.271% 0.1R -9.502% 2.0R 0.0× 432
48h +0.271% 0.1R -9.502% 2.0R 0.0× 576
72h +0.271% 0.1R -9.502% 2.0R 0.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 3 min MAE in 793 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.08
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong balanced volatile_reversal bull_high
59%
noisy_chop 34% early — — 0.49 range_high +0.21% +0.97 28/10 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate fading expansion_after_compression bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 38% early near 0.4ATR near -0.5ATR 0.31 bear_high_confirmed -4.29% +0.50 29/10 16:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high
57%
noisy_chop 38% early — — 0.19 bear_high_confirmed -3.18% +0.53 29/10 19:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate fading volatile_reversal bull_high
52%
noisy_chop 43% mid — — 0.00 bear_medium_confirmed -3.46% +0.67 29/10 20:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#454279
↑ up transition bullish_transition strong balanced 0.585 volatile_reversal bull_high
59%
noisy_chop 34% early 5b 0.5ATR — — 2.65 100% ↑ +0.66 above_value +1.17 — #215785 0.49 range_high +0.21% +0.97
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:35
4h
#454239
↑ up range range moderate fading 0.558 expansion_after_compression bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 38% early 5b 0.4ATR near 0.4ATR near -0.5ATR 6.45 100% ↑ +0.27 above_value +1.17 — #215785 0.31 bear_high_confirmed -4.29% +0.50
29/10 16:00
upd 29/10 20:33
1h anchor
#454235
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced 0.673 volatile_reversal bull_high
57%
noisy_chop 38% early 2b 0.1ATR — — 1.05 94% ↑ +0.96 above_value +1.17 — #215785 0.19 bear_high_confirmed -3.18% +0.53
29/10 19:00
upd 29/10 20:33
15m
#454522
↔ neutral range range moderate fading 0.409 volatile_reversal bull_high
52%
noisy_chop 43% mid 2b 1.2ATR — — 0.31 88% ↓ -0.47 above_value +2.12 — #216054 0.00 bear_medium_confirmed -3.46% +0.67
29/10 20:45
upd 29/10 21:10
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 5b — 1.193×ATR p0 +0.536×ATR p35
4h ↑ up early 5b — 1.394×ATR p0 +0.368×ATR p34
1h ↓ down early 2b — 2.9×ATR p46 +0.097×ATR p5
15m ↑ up mid 2b — 2.459×ATR p36 +1.167×ATR p69

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.8387
  3. reason: up_bo width=1.26×ATR dur=44b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)|ob:obi_strong(+0.08)
  4. stop_price: 604.24295415
  5. tp_price: 710.52761463
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.68873805318916
  8. exit_rules:
  9. expires_at: 2026-10-30T13:11:06.294105
  10. max_bars: 12
  11. max_bars_tf: 1h
  12. confidence_pre_ob: 0.68873805318916
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.5258
  14. obi_top10 : 0.2774
  15. micro_price : 635.27297297
  16. spread_pct : 0.056691
  17. mid_price : 635.2
  18. bid_wall_price :
  19. bid_wall_size :
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 643
  22. ask_wall_size : 144.77
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.5086
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0205
  27. pressure_side : bid
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 7156
  30. aggregation_tick : 1
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    614.185
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    597.025
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    605.605
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1793167200
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1793322000
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    1.2599
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    44
  43. balance_zone_quality: loose
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.6887
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1793318400
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    614.185
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.6818
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    1
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    1.4996
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    8
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    21
  59. regime : bull_high
  60. atr_entry : 13.62045852
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
44
inside_close_ratio
0.6818
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.4996

Signaux confirmants (7)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 21:11 634.61000000 0%
2 21:20 634.61000000 0%
3 21:29 634.61000000 0%
4 21:39 627.36000000 -1.142%
5 21:47 627.36000000 -1.142%
6 21:56 627.36000000 -1.142%
7 22:09 627.36000000 -1.142%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

↑ bid ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7156ms Confidence avant OB : 69% → 84%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.526
avg 0.509 ± 0.021
OBI Top 10 0.277

Microstructure

Mid Price
635.2000
Micro Price
635.2730
Spread
0.0567%

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
643.0000
Size
144.77

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
634.61 604.243 710.5276 2.5 591.62
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 634.61
  • Stop Loss: 604.243
  • Take Profit: 710.5276

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 604.243 - 634.61 = -30.367

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 634.61 - 710.5276 = -75.9176

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -75.9176 / -30.367 = 2.5

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
167.1839 100 0.2634 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -30.367

Taille de position = 8 / -30.367 = -0.26

Taille de position USD = -0.26 x 634.61 = -165

Donc, tu peux acheter -0.26 avec un stoploss a 604.243

Avec un position size USD de -165$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -0.26 x -30.367 = 7.9

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.9$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -0.26 x -75.9176 = 19.74

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.74$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -0.26
  • Taille de position USD -165
  • Perte potentielle 7.9
  • Gain potentiel 19.74
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
11.96 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.79 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -4.79
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.907 % 102.55 % 1
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
634.61 604.243 710.5276 2.5 591.62
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 634.61
  • Stop Loss: 604.243
  • Take Profit: 710.5276

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 604.243 - 634.61 = -30.367

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 634.61 - 710.5276 = -75.9176

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -75.9176 / -30.367 = 2.5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 710.5276
            [entry_price] => 634.61
            [stop_loss] => 601.2063
            [rr_ratio] => 2.27
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-30 05:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 710.5276
            [entry_price] => 634.61
            [stop_loss] => 598.1696
            [rr_ratio] => 2.08
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-30 05:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 710.5276
            [entry_price] => 634.61
            [stop_loss] => 595.1329
            [rr_ratio] => 1.92
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-30 05:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 710.5276
            [entry_price] => 634.61
            [stop_loss] => 589.0595
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-30 07:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -4.785% (30.3670)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.271% 0.1R -3.744% 0.8R 0.1× 12
2h +0.271% 0.1R -4.226% 0.9R 0.1× 24
4h +0.271% 0.1R -6.223% 1.3R 0.0× 48
8h +0.271% 0.1R -7.931% 1.7R 0.0× 96
12h ★ +0.271% 0.1R -7.931% 1.7R 0.0× 144
24h +0.271% 0.1R -9.502% 2.0R 0.0× 288
36h +0.271% 0.1R -9.502% 2.0R 0.0× 432
48h +0.271% 0.1R -9.502% 2.0R 0.0× 576
72h +0.271% 0.1R -9.502% 2.0R 0.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 3 min MAE in 793 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.