Long Trade on XMR (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 0.26 XMR at 634.61$ per unit. Take profit: 710.5276 (11.96 %) & Stop Loss: 604.243 (4.79 %)
Long Trade on XMR (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 0.26 XMR at 634.61$ per unit. Take profit: 710.5276 (11.96 %) & Stop Loss: 604.243 (4.79 %)
Position
Entry 634.61$
Qty 0.2634 XMR
Size 167.1839$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 710.5276 (+11.96%)
TP $ 20$
SL 604.243 (-4.79%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9400
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.43×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.47×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.88×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 28/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 29/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 29/10 19:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
transition
-1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
transition
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 81.8% |
| 1h | 6.5% |
| 4h | 5.2% |
| 24h | 5.2% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 85.7% | +0.29% |
| 4h | 22.1% | -3.77% |
| 24h | 14.3% | -11.87% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7325 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.27% · r3d: 1.24% · ema21_slope: 0.5213% · dist_ema21: 3.701% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7111 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 5.42% · rs_3d: 3.94% · beta_24h: 0.624 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9234 | rvol_20: 2.65× · zscore_50: 3.458 · trend: 84.89% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6275 | ADX: 27.3 (trend) · Chop: 50.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0152 | ATR%: 5.955% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6442 | r1h: 2.751% · r4h: -0.192% · r1d: 4.09% · r3d: 2.36% · ema21_slope: 0.1299% · dist_ema21: 2.711% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8246 | rs_1h: 3.684% · rs_4h: 1.850% · rs_1d: 8.84% · rs_3d: 6.06% · beta_24h: -0.477 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4781 | rvol_20: 0.85× · zscore_50: 0.323 · trend: 106.15% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8540 | ADX: 42.5 (trend) · Chop: 24.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.190% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5615 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.881% · r1d: 1.27% · r3d: 1.24% · ema21_slope: 0.0190% · dist_ema21: 1.017% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7257 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 4.433% · rs_1d: 5.42% · rs_3d: 3.94% · beta_24h: 0.122 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 6.45× · zscore_50: 5.577 · trend: 202.83% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6040 | ADX: 12.5 (weak) · Chop: 32.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.679% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.271% | 0.1R | -3.744% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.271% | 0.1R | -4.226% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.271% | 0.1R | -6.223% | 1.3R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.271% | 0.1R | -7.931% | 1.7R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.271% | 0.1R | -7.931% | 1.7R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.271% | 0.1R | -9.502% | 2.0R | 0.0× | 288 |
| 36h | +0.271% | 0.1R | -9.502% | 2.0R | 0.0× | 432 |
| 48h | +0.271% | 0.1R | -9.502% | 2.0R | 0.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.271% | 0.1R | -9.502% | 2.0R | 0.0× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.49 | range_high | +0.21% | +0.97 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near 0.4ATR | near -0.5ATR | 0.31 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.29% | +0.50 | 29/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.19 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.18% | +0.53 | 29/10 19:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.00 | bear_medium_confirmed | -3.46% | +0.67 | 29/10 20:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#454279
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.585 | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early 5b 0.5ATR | — | — | 2.65 | 100% | ↑ +0.66 | above_value | +1.17 | — | #215785 | 0.49 | range_high | +0.21% | +0.97 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:35
|
|
4h
#454239
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.558 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 5b 0.4ATR | near 0.4ATR | near -0.5ATR | 6.45 | 100% | ↑ +0.27 | above_value | +1.17 | — | #215785 | 0.31 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.29% | +0.50 |
29/10 16:00
upd 29/10 20:33
|
|
1h
anchor #454235
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.673 | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 2b 0.1ATR | — | — | 1.05 | 94% | ↑ +0.96 | above_value | +1.17 | — | #215785 | 0.19 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.18% | +0.53 |
29/10 19:00
upd 29/10 20:33
|
|
15m
#454522
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.409 | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid 2b 1.2ATR | — | — | 0.31 | 88% | ↓ -0.47 | above_value | +2.12 | — | #216054 | 0.00 | bear_medium_confirmed | -3.46% | +0.67 |
29/10 20:45
upd 29/10 21:10
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.193×ATR | p0 | +0.536×ATR | p35 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.394×ATR | p0 | +0.368×ATR | p34 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 2.9×ATR | p46 | +0.097×ATR | p5 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 2.459×ATR | p36 | +1.167×ATR | p69 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
614.185
597.025
605.605
1793167200
1793322000
1.2599
44
0.6887
1793318400
614.185
0.6818
1
1.4996
0
8
21
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (7)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:11 | 634.61000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 21:20 | 634.61000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 21:29 | 634.61000000 | 0% |
| 4 | 21:39 | 627.36000000 | -1.142% |
| 5 | 21:47 | 627.36000000 | -1.142% |
| 6 | 21:56 | 627.36000000 | -1.142% |
| 7 | 22:09 | 627.36000000 | -1.142% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 634.61 | 604.243 | 710.5276 | 2.5 | 591.62 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 604.243 - 634.61 = -30.367
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 634.61 - 710.5276 = -75.9176
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -75.9176 / -30.367 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 167.1839 | 100 | 0.2634 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -30.367 = -0.26
Taille de position USD = -0.26 x 634.61 = -165
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.26 avec un stoploss a 604.243
Avec un position size USD de -165$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.26 x -30.367 = 7.9
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.9$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.26 x -75.9176 = 19.74
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.74$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 11.96 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.79 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -4.79 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.907 % | 102.55 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 634.61 | 604.243 | 710.5276 | 2.5 | 591.62 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 604.243 - 634.61 = -30.367
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 634.61 - 710.5276 = -75.9176
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -75.9176 / -30.367 = 2.5
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 710.5276
[entry_price] => 634.61
[stop_loss] => 601.2063
[rr_ratio] => 2.27
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-10-30 05:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
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[take_profit] => 710.5276
[entry_price] => 634.61
[stop_loss] => 598.1696
[rr_ratio] => 2.08
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-30 05:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 710.5276
[entry_price] => 634.61
[stop_loss] => 595.1329
[rr_ratio] => 1.92
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-10-30 05:10:00+00
[result] => loss
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[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 710.5276
[entry_price] => 634.61
[stop_loss] => 589.0595
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-30 07:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.271% | 0.1R | -3.744% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.271% | 0.1R | -4.226% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.271% | 0.1R | -6.223% | 1.3R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.271% | 0.1R | -7.931% | 1.7R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.271% | 0.1R | -7.931% | 1.7R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.271% | 0.1R | -9.502% | 2.0R | 0.0× | 288 |
| 36h | +0.271% | 0.1R | -9.502% | 2.0R | 0.0× | 432 |
| 48h | +0.271% | 0.1R | -9.502% | 2.0R | 0.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.271% | 0.1R | -9.502% | 2.0R | 0.0× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
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