Long Trade on RUNE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 205.77 RUNE at 0.662$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6787 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6233 (5.87 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 23:15:16
hyperliquid
RUNE
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 23:15
→ 23:50
· 34 minutes
Position
Entry 0.6622$
Qty 205.7711 RUNE
Size 136.2534$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.6787 (+2.49%)
TP $ 3.4$
SL 0.6233 (-5.87%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.42
Status
win
PnL
+2.49%
/ +3.4$
MAE -1.37%
MFE +9.73%
1.7R
expires
30 Oct 05:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 233929)
#1 / 91
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 23:00
score du 29/10/2026 23:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7463
Quality Score
0.726
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#1 / 91
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#1 / 91
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.27×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.15×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.96×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
recovering
OK
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
NO
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
-1.69
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 23:00
29/10 23:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 28/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 29/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 29/10 22:00 Score : +2 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7300
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.90 |
transition
-1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
transition
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
29.4%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.143
Δ 4h
▲+0.225
Δ 12h
▼-0.546
Δ 24h
▲+0.228
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 26.0% |
| 1h | 93.5% |
| 4h | 15.6% |
| 24h | 9.1% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 40.3% | -0.10% |
| 4h | 64.9% | -1.69% |
| 24h | 19.5% | -6.50% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
11.7%
Expansion
11.7%
Tail ↑
+0.51
Tail ↓
+0.72
Dispersion :
0.301
Universe :
77
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.80
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 23:01
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4670
Score SMA
0.6334
Rank
#13
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8588
Rank Norm SMA
0.8540
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3284 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.68% · r3d: -1.13% · ema21_slope: -0.3267% · dist_ema21: -4.322% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5165 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.47% · rs_3d: 1.57% · beta_24h: 1.427 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8264 | rvol_20: 4.48× · zscore_50: 1.579 · trend: 40.88% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4940 | ADX: 17.2 (weak) · Chop: 56.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.359% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.7255
Score SMA
0.5370
Rank
#1
/ 91
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7463
Rank Norm SMA
0.5627
Calculé le
29/10/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7059 | r1h: 3.002% · r4h: 2.587% · r1d: 7.90% · r3d: 5.32% · ema21_slope: 0.1373% · dist_ema21: 5.491% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8827 | rs_1h: 2.210% · rs_4h: 4.621% · rs_1d: 11.08% · rs_3d: 8.32% · beta_24h: 1.638 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4660 | rvol_20: 0.80× · zscore_50: 0.281 · trend: 148.18% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6659 | ADX: 19.9 (weak) · Chop: 10.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.443% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6837
Score SMA
0.6025
Rank
#5
/ 90
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7503
Rank Norm SMA
0.7805
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4307 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.764% · r1d: -0.68% · r3d: -1.13% · ema21_slope: -0.0989% · dist_ema21: -0.311% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6514 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 4.315% · rs_1d: 3.47% · rs_3d: 1.57% · beta_24h: 0.528 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 15.49× · zscore_50: 5.133 · trend: 411.77% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6107 | ADX: 13.3 (weak) · Chop: 30.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.334% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.874%
(0.0389)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.727% | 0.5R | -1.371% | 0.2R | 2.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +9.731% | 1.7R | -1.371% | 0.2R | 7.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +9.731% | 1.7R | -1.371% | 0.2R | 7.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +9.731% | 1.7R | -1.371% | 0.2R | 7.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +9.731% | 1.7R | -1.371% | 0.2R | 7.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +9.731% | 1.7R | -2.750% | 0.5R | 3.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +9.731% | 1.7R | -5.492% | 0.9R | 1.8× | 288 |
| 48h | +10.648% | 1.8R | -9.475% | 1.6R | 1.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.648% | 1.8R | -24.931% | 4.2R | 0.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 114 min
MAE in 739 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 6 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.66
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | — | 0.69 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.58 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.61 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.29% | +0.10 | 29/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.55 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.63% | +0.81 | 29/10 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.64 | bear_medium | -2.73% | +0.53 | 29/10 22:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#454026
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.685 | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid 32b -0.8ATR | — | — | 4.48 | 97% | ↑ +0.31 | above_value | -0.75 | — | #215730 | 0.69 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.58 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:22
|
|
4h
#453994
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.528 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early 4b -0.1ATR | — | near -0.2ATR | 15.49 | 100% | ↑ +0.64 | above_value | -0.75 | — | #215730 | 0.61 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.29% | +0.10 |
29/10 16:00
upd 29/10 20:20
|
|
1h
anchor #455488
|
↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.707 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late 2b 1.7ATR | — | — | 0.80 | 93% | ↑ +0.99 | above_value | +1.64 | — | #216364 | 0.55 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.63% | +0.81 |
29/10 22:00
upd 29/10 23:11
|
|
15m
#455394
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.572 | expansion | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid 1b 1.6ATR | — | — | 0.42 | 90% | ↓ -0.44 | above_value | +0.63 | — | #216179 | 0.64 | bear_medium | -2.73% | +0.53 |
29/10 22:45
upd 29/10 23:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 32b | — | 5.78×ATR | p58 | -0.779×ATR | p41 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.136×ATR | p0 | -0.144×ATR | p11 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 3.795×ATR | p68 | +1.748×ATR | p85 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 1.162×ATR | p3 | +1.625×ATR | p69 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6622 | 0.6233 | 0.6787 | 0.42 | 0.5865 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6622
- Stop Loss: 0.6233
- Take Profit: 0.6787
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6233 - 0.6622 = -0.0389
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6622 - 0.6787 = -0.0165
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0165 / -0.0389 = 0.4242
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 136.2534 | 100 | 205.7711 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0389
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0389 = -205.66
Taille de position USD = -205.66 x 0.6622 = -136.19
Donc, tu peux acheter -205.66 avec un stoploss a 0.6233
Avec un position size USD de -136.19$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -205.66 x -0.0389 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -205.66 x -0.0165 = 3.39
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.39$
Résumé
- Taille de position -205.66
- Taille de position USD -136.19
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.39
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4242
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 3.4 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.87 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.4 $ | 2.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.3712 % | 23.34 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6622 | 0.6233 | 0.6787 | 0.42 | 0.5865 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6622
- Stop Loss: 0.6233
- Take Profit: 0.6787
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6233 - 0.6622 = -0.0389
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6622 - 0.6787 = -0.0165
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0165 / -0.0389 = 0.4242
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.874%
(0.0389)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.727% | 0.5R | -1.371% | 0.2R | 2.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +9.731% | 1.7R | -1.371% | 0.2R | 7.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +9.731% | 1.7R | -1.371% | 0.2R | 7.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +9.731% | 1.7R | -1.371% | 0.2R | 7.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +9.731% | 1.7R | -1.371% | 0.2R | 7.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +9.731% | 1.7R | -2.750% | 0.5R | 3.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +9.731% | 1.7R | -5.492% | 0.9R | 1.8× | 288 |
| 48h | +10.648% | 1.8R | -9.475% | 1.6R | 1.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.648% | 1.8R | -24.931% | 4.2R | 0.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 114 min
MAE in 739 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 6 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.