Short Trade on LTC (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 3.58 LTC at 55.761$ per unit. Take profit: 50.1754 (10.02 %) & Stop Loss: 57.9952 (4.01 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 23:47:36
hyperliquid
LTC
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 23:47
→ 11:45
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 55.761$
Qty 3.5807 LTC
Size 199.6615$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 50.1754 (+10.02%)
TP $ 20$
SL 57.9952 (-4.01%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+0.56%
/ +1.11$
MAE -1.26%
MFE +1.68%
0.4R
expires
30 Oct 11:47
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 233911)
#14 / 93
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 23:00
score du 29/10/2026 23:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7318
Quality Score
0.565
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#14 / 93
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.01 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#14 / 93
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.01 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.50×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.48×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.63×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
6.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 23:45
29/10 23:45
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 28/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 29/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 29/10 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7303
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.90 |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
transition
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
42.9%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
recovering
Δ 15m
▲+0.091
Δ 1h
▲+0.134
Δ 4h
▲+0.371
Δ 12h
▼-0.485
Δ 24h
▲+0.357
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 77.9% |
| 1h | 94.8% |
| 4h | 55.8% |
| 24h | 14.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 79.2% | +0.21% |
| 4h | 59.7% | +0.48% |
| 24h | 23.4% | -4.88% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.6%
Down ≥1σ
5.2%
Expansion
7.8%
Tail ↑
+0.48
Tail ↓
+0.69
Dispersion :
0.323
Universe :
77
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.80
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 23:46
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3160
Score SMA
0.3474
Rank
#36
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5882
Rank Norm SMA
0.5596
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1818 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -7.29% · r3d: -3.23% · ema21_slope: -0.4541% · dist_ema21: -7.691% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3953 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.14% · rs_3d: -0.53% · beta_24h: 1.632 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2567 | rvol_20: 1.07× · zscore_50: -0.513 · trend: -56.08% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5758 | ADX: 31.8 (trend) · Chop: 61.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.2488 | ATR%: 5.254% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.5648
Score SMA
0.5336
Rank
#14
/ 93
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7318
Rank Norm SMA
0.5878
Calculé le
29/10/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3807 | r1h: 1.575% · r4h: -0.575% · r1d: -4.86% · r3d: -2.19% · ema21_slope: -0.2100% · dist_ema21: -2.328% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5487 | rs_1h: 0.783% · rs_4h: 1.459% · rs_1d: -1.68% · rs_3d: 0.81% · beta_24h: 1.640 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5068 | rvol_20: 1.06× · zscore_50: 0.260 · trend: 137.80% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7472 | ADX: 29.7 (trend) · Chop: 22.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.848% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5733
Score SMA
0.4985
Rank
#23
/ 90
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6778
Rank Norm SMA
0.5789
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2807 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -5.317% · r1d: -7.29% · r3d: -3.23% · ema21_slope: 0.0759% · dist_ema21: -4.377% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4045 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.766% · rs_1d: -3.14% · rs_3d: -0.53% · beta_24h: 1.297 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9300 | rvol_20: 3.64× · zscore_50: 2.857 · trend: 54.66% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6799 | ADX: 21.6 (weak) · Chop: 33.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.345% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.007%
(2.2342)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.014% | 0.0R | -0.913% | 0.2R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.014% | 0.0R | -1.218% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.032% | 0.0R | -1.257% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.112% | 0.3R | -1.257% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.682% | 0.4R | -1.257% | 0.3R | 1.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.082% | 0.5R | -1.257% | 0.3R | 1.7× | 288 |
| 36h | +2.220% | 0.6R | -1.257% | 0.3R | 1.8× | 432 |
| 48h | +2.220% | 0.6R | -1.257% | 0.3R | 1.8× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.220% | 0.6R | -1.257% | 0.3R | 1.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1732 min
MAE in 162 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 6 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.53
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.76 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.70 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.61 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.29% | -0.05 | 29/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.74 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.63% | -0.04 | 29/10 22:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.76 | bear_medium | -1.72% | +0.16 | 29/10 23:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#453956
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.666 | normal | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late 33b -1.7ATR | — | — | 1.07 | 69% | ↓ -0.24 | below_value | -1.62 | — | #215713 | 0.76 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.70 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:18
|
|
4h
#453918
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.511 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late 6b -1.9ATR | — | — | 3.64 | 82% | ↑ +0.68 | below_value | -1.62 | inside | #215713 | 0.61 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.29% | -0.05 |
29/10 16:00
upd 29/10 20:15
|
|
1h
anchor #455470
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.537 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early 2b -1.1ATR | — | — | 1.06 | 88% | ↑ +0.90 | below_value | -1.41 | inside | #216346 | 0.74 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.63% | -0.04 |
29/10 22:00
upd 29/10 23:10
|
|
15m
#455756
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.615 | compression | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late 13b 1.2ATR | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.13 | 43% | ↓ -0.26 | below_value | -1.41 | — | #216346 | 0.76 | bear_medium | -1.72% | +0.16 |
29/10 23:30
upd 29/10 23:45
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 33b | — | 7.049×ATR | p86 | -1.741×ATR | p84 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 6b | — | 3.775×ATR | p54 | -1.869×ATR | p83 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 2.302×ATR | p33 | -1.128×ATR | p59 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 13b | — | 6.036×ATR | p95 | +1.212×ATR | p51 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7976
- reason: down_bo width=2.02×ATR dur=35b phase=extending
- stop_price: 57.99522142
- tp_price: 50.17544646
- atr:
- score: 0.79762023369937
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-10-30T15:47:28.052882
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.79762023369937
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1186
- obi_top10 : 0.0114
- micro_price : 56.06962366
- spread_pct : 0.035682
- mid_price : 56.06
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 56.2
- ask_wall_size : 10966.84
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0558
- obi_top5_std : 0.0671
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6978
- aggregation_tick : 0.1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
58.9
- balance_zone_bottom:
56.8915
- balance_zone_mid:
57.89575
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793206800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793329200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.0192
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
35
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7976
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793304000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
56.8915
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
7
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.1365
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
4
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
4
- regime : bear_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 0.99471415 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
35
inside_close_ratio
0.6
bars_since_breakout
7
distance_to_edge_atr
1.1365
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:47 | 55.76100000 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:56 | 55.76100000 | 0% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6978ms
Confidence avant OB :
80%
→
80%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.119
avg 0.056
± 0.067
OBI Top 10
0.011
Microstructure
Mid Price
56.0600
Micro Price
56.0696
Spread
0.0357%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
56.2000
Size
10,966.84
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55.761 | 57.9952 | 50.1754 | 2.5 | 52.031 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 55.761
- Stop Loss: 57.9952
- Take Profit: 50.1754
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 57.9952 - 55.761 = 2.2342
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 55.761 - 50.1754 = 5.5856
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 5.5856 / 2.2342 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 199.6615 | 100 | 3.5807 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 2.2342
Taille de position = 8 / 2.2342 = 3.58
Taille de position USD = 3.58 x 55.761 = 199.62
Donc, tu peux acheter 3.58 avec un stoploss a 57.9952
Avec un position size USD de 199.62$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 3.58 x 2.2342 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 3.58 x 5.5856 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position 3.58
- Taille de position USD 199.62
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 10.02 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.01 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.11 $ | 0.56 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.2572 % | 31.38 % | 15 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55.761 | 57.9952 | 50.1754 | 2.5 | 52.031 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 55.761
- Stop Loss: 57.9952
- Take Profit: 50.1754
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 57.9952 - 55.761 = 2.2342
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 55.761 - 50.1754 = 5.5856
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 5.5856 / 2.2342 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.007%
(2.2342)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.014% | 0.0R | -0.913% | 0.2R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.014% | 0.0R | -1.218% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.032% | 0.0R | -1.257% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.112% | 0.3R | -1.257% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.682% | 0.4R | -1.257% | 0.3R | 1.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.082% | 0.5R | -1.257% | 0.3R | 1.7× | 288 |
| 36h | +2.220% | 0.6R | -1.257% | 0.3R | 1.8× | 432 |
| 48h | +2.220% | 0.6R | -1.257% | 0.3R | 1.8× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.220% | 0.6R | -1.257% | 0.3R | 1.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1732 min
MAE in 162 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 6 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.