30 Oct 2026 at 01:15:08 hyperliquid

Short Trade on TIA (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 242.98 TIA at 0.455$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4437 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.488 (7.23 %)

TIA SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Oct 2026 01:15 → 07:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.4551$

Qty 242.9844 TIA

Size 110.5749$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.4437 (+2.5%)

TP $ 2.77$

SL 0.488 (-7.23%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.35

Status loss PnL -1.87% / -2.07$ MAE -3.42% MFE +0.20% 0.0R expires 30 Oct 07:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 234213)
#92 / 93
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 01:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0852

Quality Score
0.328
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#92 / 93
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.23 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#92 / 93
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.23 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.14×ATR
4h near 0.02×ATR
1d near 0.35×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
expanding
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
2.84
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
5.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 01:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

28/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

29/10 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

30/10 00:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7308
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.90

transition

+1

Micro bear

0.90

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 58.8%
Macro alt_rotation
Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.001
Δ 1h
▲+0.159
Δ 4h
▲+0.475
Δ 12h
▼-0.243
Δ 24h
▲+0.494

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 60.0%
1h 71.3%
4h 90.0%
24h 16.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 57.5% +0.04%
4h 70.0% +2.84%
24h 25.0% -4.55%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
3.8%
Down ≥1σ
1.3%
Expansion
5.0%
Tail ↑
+0.31
Tail ↓
+0.59
Dispersion : 0.284
Universe : 80 (+1 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+1 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 30/10 01:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3508
Score SMA
0.4138
Rank
#24 / 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7294
Rank Norm SMA
0.7512
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3341 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -11.49% · r3d: -10.32% · ema21_slope: -0.0730% · dist_ema21: -10.380%
Force Relative 25% 0.3681 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -7.34% · rs_3d: -7.62% · beta_24h: 1.911
Volume 20% 0.2657 rvol_20: 0.64× · zscore_50: 0.134 · trend: -24.48%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7030 ADX: 30.2 (trend) · Chop: 44.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 11.722% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 01:00
Score brut
0.3277
Score SMA
0.4827
Rank
#92 / 93
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0852
Rank Norm SMA
0.3260
Calculé le
30/10/2026 01:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0811 r1h: -1.419% · r4h: -2.157% · r1d: -13.54% · r3d: -13.45% · ema21_slope: -0.5843% · dist_ema21: -8.537%
Force Relative 25% 0.1461 rs_1h: -1.452% · rs_4h: -3.460% · rs_1d: -11.04% · rs_3d: -11.56% · beta_24h: 1.841
Volume 20% 0.2469 rvol_20: 0.39× · zscore_50: -0.164 · trend: -6.62%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7979 ADX: 35.7 (trend) · Chop: 15.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.9783 ATR%: 3.065% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.3507
Score SMA
0.3886
Rank
#89 / 93
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1510
Rank Norm SMA
0.1532
Calculé le
30/10/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1394 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -5.262% · r1d: -12.20% · r3d: -12.25% · ema21_slope: -0.1729% · dist_ema21: -12.073%
Force Relative 25% 0.0907 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -5.586% · rs_1d: -10.15% · rs_3d: -10.25% · beta_24h: 2.091
Volume 20% 0.8129 rvol_20: 2.51× · zscore_50: 1.584 · trend: 88.75%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6410 ADX: 16.9 (weak) · Chop: 25.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.2747 ATR%: 5.176% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -7.229% (0.0329)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.204% 0.0R -2.230% 0.3R 0.1× 12
2h +0.204% 0.0R -2.230% 0.3R 0.1× 24
4h +0.204% 0.0R -2.323% 0.3R 0.1× 48
6h ★ +0.204% 0.0R -3.421% 0.5R 0.1× 72
8h +0.204% 0.0R -3.421% 0.5R 0.1× 96
12h +1.815% 0.3R -3.421% 0.5R 0.5× 144
24h +1.815% 0.3R -5.181% 0.7R 0.4× 288
48h +1.815% 0.3R -7.983% 1.1R 0.2× 576
72h +1.815% 0.3R -7.983% 1.1R 0.2× 864
⏱ MFE in 534 min MAE in 1144 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 5 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.11
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate fading expansion bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 37% mid near 0.4ATR — 0.59 range_high +0.21% +0.73 28/10 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate fading volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
39%
noisy_chop 44% late near 0.0ATR — 0.51 bear_high_confirmed -3.91% -0.89 29/10 20:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bear_high
47%
noisy_chop 45% late near -0.1ATR — 0.44 bear_high_confirmed -2.50% -0.81 30/10 00:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 47% late near -0.4ATR — 0.72 bear_medium -1.41% -0.62 30/10 00:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#454043
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate fading 0.542 expansion bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 37% mid 12b -0.9ATR near 0.4ATR — 0.64 93% ↓ -0.72 below_value -3.39 — #215734 0.59 range_high +0.21% +0.73
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:23
4h
#456028
↓ down range range moderate fading 0.629 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
39%
noisy_chop 44% late 2b -2.6ATR near 0.0ATR — 2.51 81% ↑ +0.62 below_value -4.89 — #216556 0.51 bear_high_confirmed -3.91% -0.89
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 00:20
1h anchor
#456527
↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive 0.402 volatile_reversal bear_high
47%
noisy_chop 45% late 4b -2.6ATR near -0.1ATR — 0.39 70% ↑ +0.47 below_value -5.40 inside #216838 0.44 bear_high_confirmed -2.50% -0.81
30/10 00:00
upd 30/10 01:11
15m
#456431
↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.504 compression bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 47% late 16b -2.5ATR near -0.4ATR — 0.57 79% ↓ -0.89 below_value -4.89 — #216556 0.72 bear_medium -1.41% -0.62
30/10 00:45
upd 30/10 01:02
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 12b — 4.829×ATR p64 -0.936×ATR p54
4h ↓ down late 2b — 3.75×ATR p50 -2.601×ATR p93
1h ↑ up late 4b — 1.258×ATR p0 -2.566×ATR p97
15m ↓ down late 16b — 2.125×ATR p23 -2.533×ATR p85

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.48799392
  2. tp_price: 0.44369325
  3. atr: 0.01316957
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-30T11:15:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 92
  2. total: 93
  3. score: 0.0811
  4. delta_2h: -0.054
  5. extension_atr: -3
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0852
  9. confidence: 0.989

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.4551 0.488 0.4437 0.35 0.441
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.4551
  • Stop Loss: 0.488
  • Take Profit: 0.4437

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.488 - 0.4551 = 0.0329

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.4551 - 0.4437 = 0.0114

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0114 / 0.0329 = 0.3465

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
110.5749 100 242.9844 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0329

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0329 = 243.16

Taille de position USD = 243.16 x 0.4551 = 110.66

Donc, tu peux acheter 243.16 avec un stoploss a 0.488

Avec un position size USD de 110.66$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 243.16 x 0.0329 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 243.16 x 0.0114 = 2.77

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.77$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 243.16
  • Taille de position USD 110.66
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.77
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3465

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 2.77 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
7.23 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
-2.07 $ -1.87
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.4212 % 47.32 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.4551 0.488 0.4437 0.35 0.441
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.4551
  • Stop Loss: 0.488
  • Take Profit: 0.4437

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.488 - 0.4551 = 0.0329

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.4551 - 0.4437 = 0.0114

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0114 / 0.0329 = 0.3465

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -7.229% (0.0329)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.204% 0.0R -2.230% 0.3R 0.1× 12
2h +0.204% 0.0R -2.230% 0.3R 0.1× 24
4h +0.204% 0.0R -2.323% 0.3R 0.1× 48
6h ★ +0.204% 0.0R -3.421% 0.5R 0.1× 72
8h +0.204% 0.0R -3.421% 0.5R 0.1× 96
12h +1.815% 0.3R -3.421% 0.5R 0.5× 144
24h +1.815% 0.3R -5.181% 0.7R 0.4× 288
48h +1.815% 0.3R -7.983% 1.1R 0.2× 576
72h +1.815% 0.3R -7.983% 1.1R 0.2× 864
⏱ MFE in 534 min MAE in 1144 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 5 days ago

Commentaires

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