Short Trade on AERO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 225.2 AERO at 0.62$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6045 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6556 (5.74 %)
30 Oct 2026 at 02:15:16
hyperliquid
AERO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
30 Oct 2026 02:15
→ 08:10
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.62$
Qty 225.205 AERO
Size 139.6361$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.6045 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.49$
SL 0.6556 (-5.74%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 0.44
Status
loss
PnL
-0.23%
/ -0.32$
MAE -2.20%
MFE +0.47%
0.1R
expires
30 Oct 08:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 234360)
#88 / 95
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 02:00
score du 30/10/2026 02:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3817
Quality Score
0.420
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#88 / 95
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#88 / 95
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 3.63×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.56×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
expanding
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
4.61
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
8.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 02:03
30/10 02:03
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 28/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 29/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 30/10 00:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7312
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.90 |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
67.5%
Macro
alt_rotation
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.087
Δ 4h
▲+0.523
Δ 12h
▼-0.099
Δ 24h
▲+0.142
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 26.3% |
| 1h | 88.8% |
| 4h | 93.8% |
| 24h | 15.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 18.8% | -0.17% |
| 4h | 82.5% | +4.61% |
| 24h | 28.8% | -3.65% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
26.3%
Down ≥1σ
2.5%
Expansion
28.8%
Tail ↑
+0.34
Tail ↓
+0.62
Dispersion :
0.247
Universe :
80
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
30/10 02:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2863
Score SMA
0.3173
Rank
#46
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4706
Rank Norm SMA
0.4243
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1986 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -10.62% · r3d: -7.98% · ema21_slope: -0.8822% · dist_ema21: -17.746% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2036 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -6.47% · rs_3d: -5.28% · beta_24h: 1.529 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3745 | rvol_20: 1.17× · zscore_50: 0.265 · trend: -12.50% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6727 | ADX: 22.9 (weak) · Chop: 40.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 11.015% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.4198
Score SMA
0.4821
Rank
#88
/ 95
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3817
Rank Norm SMA
0.3086
Calculé le
30/10/2026 02:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1418 | r1h: -1.042% · r4h: -2.056% · r1d: -12.03% · r3d: -10.94% · ema21_slope: -0.5363% · dist_ema21: -7.445% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1505 | rs_1h: -1.422% · rs_4h: -4.316% · rs_1d: -9.93% · rs_3d: -9.15% · beta_24h: 1.237 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5024 | rvol_20: 1.14× · zscore_50: 0.823 · trend: 58.58% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7885 | ADX: 34.6 (trend) · Chop: 14.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.245% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.4551
Score SMA
0.4033
Rank
#69
/ 93
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2765
Rank Norm SMA
0.1831
Calculé le
30/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1561 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.437% · r1d: -7.72% · r3d: -8.24% · ema21_slope: -0.2029% · dist_ema21: -9.593% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2267 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.762% · rs_1d: -5.67% · rs_3d: -6.24% · beta_24h: 1.962 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9126 | rvol_20: 3.10× · zscore_50: 1.689 · trend: 110.99% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6817 | ADX: 21.8 (weak) · Chop: 36.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6684 | ATR%: 3.995% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.742%
(0.0356)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.469% | 0.1R | -2.195% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.469% | 0.1R | -2.195% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.469% | 0.1R | -2.195% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.469% | 0.1R | -2.195% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.974% | 0.2R | -2.195% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.974% | 0.2R | -3.126% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.113% | 0.4R | -3.171% | 0.6R | 0.7× | 288 |
| 48h | +2.113% | 0.4R | -5.394% | 0.9R | 0.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.113% | 0.4R | -5.394% | 0.9R | 0.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 779 min
MAE in 1159 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 4 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.38
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.64 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.96 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.57 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.91% | -0.63 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
45%
|
noisy_chop 55% | late | — | — | 0.59 | bear_high_confirmed | -2.50% | -0.70 | 30/10 00:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.70 | bear_medium | -0.97% | -0.55 | 30/10 01:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#454269
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.571 | normal | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late 18b -1.9ATR | — | — | 1.17 | 90% | ↓ -0.30 | below_value | -6.09 | — | #215783 | 0.64 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.96 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:35
|
|
4h
#456187
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.755 | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late 3b -2.8ATR | — | — | 3.10 | 97% | ↑ +0.79 | below_value | -6.61 | inside | #216610 | 0.57 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.91% | -0.63 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 00:27
|
|
1h
anchor #456581
|
↓ down | range | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.687 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
45%
|
noisy_chop 55% | late 3b -2.9ATR | — | — | 1.10 | 89% | ↑ +0.87 | below_value | -7.04 | — | #216892 | 0.59 | bear_high_confirmed | -2.50% | -0.70 |
30/10 00:00
upd 30/10 01:14
|
|
15m
#456982
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.636 | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late 8b -2.9ATR | — | — | 1.41 | 91% | ↔ +0.12 | below_value | -7.90 | — | #217080 | 0.70 | bear_medium | -0.97% | -0.55 |
30/10 01:45
upd 30/10 02:13
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 18b | — | 5.382×ATR | p70 | -1.91×ATR | p86 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 3.915×ATR | p63 | -2.823×ATR | p95 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 1.739×ATR | p22 | -2.913×ATR | p92 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 8b | — | 3.618×ATR | p62 | -2.85×ATR | p86 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.65556319
- tp_price: 0.604539
- atr: 0.01420928
- expires_at: 2026-10-30T12:15:16+00:00
Details
- rank: 89
- total: 95
- score: 0.2122
- delta_2h: -0.0481
- extension_atr: -1.46
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3831
- confidence: 0.936
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.62 | 0.6556 | 0.6045 | 0.44 | 0.6189 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.62
- Stop Loss: 0.6556
- Take Profit: 0.6045
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6556 - 0.62 = 0.0356
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.62 - 0.6045 = 0.0155
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0155 / 0.0356 = 0.4354
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 139.6361 | 100 | 225.205 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0356
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0356 = 224.72
Taille de position USD = 224.72 x 0.62 = 139.33
Donc, tu peux acheter 224.72 avec un stoploss a 0.6556
Avec un position size USD de 139.33$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 224.72 x 0.0356 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 224.72 x 0.0155 = 3.48
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.48$
Résumé
- Taille de position 224.72
- Taille de position USD 139.33
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.48
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4354
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.49 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.74 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.32 $ | -0.23 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.1952 % | 38.23 % | 16 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.62 | 0.6556 | 0.6045 | 0.44 | 0.6189 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.62
- Stop Loss: 0.6556
- Take Profit: 0.6045
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6556 - 0.62 = 0.0356
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.62 - 0.6045 = 0.0155
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0155 / 0.0356 = 0.4354
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.742%
(0.0356)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.469% | 0.1R | -2.195% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.469% | 0.1R | -2.195% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.469% | 0.1R | -2.195% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.469% | 0.1R | -2.195% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.974% | 0.2R | -2.195% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.974% | 0.2R | -3.126% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.113% | 0.4R | -3.171% | 0.6R | 0.7× | 288 |
| 48h | +2.113% | 0.4R | -5.394% | 0.9R | 0.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.113% | 0.4R | -5.394% | 0.9R | 0.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 779 min
MAE in 1159 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 4 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.