30 Oct 2026 at 02:15:17 hyperliquid

Short Trade on CHIP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 2418.19 CHIP at 0.0422$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04115 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04552 (7.84 %)

CHIP SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Oct 2026 02:15 → 08:10 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.04221$

Qty 2418.1896 CHIP

Size 102.0645$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.04115 (+2.51%)

TP $ 2.56$

SL 0.04552 (-7.84%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.32

Status loss PnL -5.14% / -5.24$ MAE -5.77% MFE +0.91% 0.1R expires 30 Oct 08:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 234366)
#95 / 95
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 02:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0345

Quality Score
0.369
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#95 / 95
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#95 / 95
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.01×ATR
4h near 0.22×ATR
1d near -0.14×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
expanding
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
4.61
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
5.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 02:03
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

28/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

29/10 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

30/10 00:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7312
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.90

transition

+1

Micro bear

0.55

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 67.5%
Macro alt_rotation
Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.087
Δ 4h
▲+0.523
Δ 12h
▼-0.099
Δ 24h
▲+0.142

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 26.3%
1h 88.8%
4h 93.8%
24h 15.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 18.8% -0.17%
4h 82.5% +4.61%
24h 28.8% -3.65%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
26.3%
Down ≥1σ
2.5%
Expansion
28.8%
Tail ↑
+0.34
Tail ↓
+0.62
Dispersion : 0.247
Universe : 80 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 30/10 02:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3306
Score SMA
0.4647
Rank
#30 / 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6588
Rank Norm SMA
0.7765
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3486 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -12.40% · r3d: -15.60% · ema21_slope: -0.2217% · dist_ema21: -9.689%
Force Relative 25% 0.3184 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -8.25% · rs_3d: -12.90% · beta_24h: 3.321
Volume 20% 0.3961 rvol_20: 0.89× · zscore_50: 0.200 · trend: 39.66%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4482 ADX: 16.7 (weak) · Chop: 61.8 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 16.768% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.3688
Score SMA
0.5526
Rank
#95 / 95
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0345
Rank Norm SMA
0.5566
Calculé le
30/10/2026 02:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1961 r1h: -0.645% · r4h: 2.125% · r1d: -11.85% · r3d: -19.70% · ema21_slope: -0.7341% · dist_ema21: -6.599%
Force Relative 25% 0.2076 rs_1h: -1.025% · rs_4h: -0.134% · rs_1d: -9.75% · rs_3d: -17.91% · beta_24h: 2.562
Volume 20% 0.1609 rvol_20: 0.18× · zscore_50: -0.587 · trend: -58.19%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7662 ADX: 31.9 (trend) · Chop: 19.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.9076 ATR%: 3.277% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.3154
Score SMA
0.5127
Rank
#91 / 93
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0221
Rank Norm SMA
0.5272
Calculé le
30/10/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2825 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.345% · r1d: -9.69% · r3d: -16.19% · ema21_slope: -0.2281% · dist_ema21: -11.495%
Force Relative 25% 0.2783 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.670% · rs_1d: -7.64% · rs_3d: -14.19% · beta_24h: 2.729
Volume 20% 0.2710 rvol_20: 0.57× · zscore_50: -0.225 · trend: 6.32%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7123 ADX: 25.5 (trend) · Chop: 29.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.818% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -7.842% (0.0033)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.218% 0.0R -1.374% 0.2R 0.2× 12
2h +0.218% 0.0R -1.374% 0.2R 0.2× 24
4h +0.905% 0.1R -1.711% 0.2R 0.5× 48
6h ★ +0.905% 0.1R -5.769% 0.7R 0.2× 72
8h +0.905% 0.1R -5.826% 0.7R 0.2× 96
12h +0.905% 0.1R -6.750% 0.9R 0.1× 144
24h +0.905% 0.1R -6.750% 0.9R 0.1× 288
48h +0.905% 0.1R -6.750% 0.9R 0.1× 576
72h +0.905% 0.1R -6.750% 0.9R 0.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 149 min MAE in 534 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 4 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.24
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bear_high
41%
noisy_chop 45% early near -0.1ATR — — range_high +0.21% -0.85 28/10 20:00
4h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong balanced expansion_after_compression bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 45% late near 0.2ATR — 0.50 bear_high_confirmed -3.91% -0.95 29/10 20:00
1h ↓ down range range strong explosive volatile_reversal bear_high
46%
noisy_chop 52% late near 0.0ATR — 0.53 bear_high_confirmed -2.50% -0.71 30/10 00:00
15m ↓ down range range strong fading compression bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 40% early — — 0.51 bear_medium -0.97% -0.02 30/10 01:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#454288
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.697 volatile_reversal bear_high
41%
noisy_chop 45% early 11b -0.7ATR near -0.1ATR — 0.89 79% ↓ -0.22 below_value -6.39 — #215788 — range_high +0.21% -0.85
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:36
4h
#456197
↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong balanced 0.481 expansion_after_compression bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 45% late 3b -1.9ATR near 0.2ATR — 0.57 69% ↓ -0.46 below_value -5.64 — #216615 0.50 bear_high_confirmed -3.91% -0.95
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 00:28
1h anchor
#456586
↓ down range range strong explosive 0.276 volatile_reversal bear_high
46%
noisy_chop 52% late 4b -1.8ATR near 0.0ATR — 0.18 30% ↑ +0.47 below_value -6.20 — #216897 0.53 bear_high_confirmed -2.50% -0.71
30/10 00:00
upd 30/10 01:14
15m
#456992
↓ down range range strong fading 0.708 compression bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 40% early 8b -0.6ATR — — 0.50 18% ↓ -0.24 below_value -6.50 — #217085 0.51 bear_medium -0.97% -0.02
30/10 01:45
upd 30/10 02:13
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 11b — 0.602×ATR p0 -0.682×ATR p37
4h ↓ down late 3b — 3.335×ATR p44 -1.933×ATR p84
1h ↑ up late 4b — 1.478×ATR p2 -1.831×ATR p83
15m ↓ down early 8b — 1.704×ATR p21 -0.646×ATR p30

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.04551526
  2. tp_price: 0.04115183
  3. atr: 0.00132331
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-30T12:15:17+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 87
  2. total: 95
  3. score: 0.226
  4. delta_2h: -0.0345
  5. extension_atr: -1.94
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0332
  9. confidence: 0.915

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 02:15 0.04220700 -0.007%
2 04:15 0.04224800 +0.09%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04221 0.04552 0.04115 0.32 0.03793
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04221
  • Stop Loss: 0.04552
  • Take Profit: 0.04115

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04552 - 0.04221 = 0.00331

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04221 - 0.04115 = 0.00106

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00106 / 0.00331 = 0.3202

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
102.0645 100 2418.1896 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00331

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00331 = 2416.92

Taille de position USD = 2416.92 x 0.04221 = 102.02

Donc, tu peux acheter 2416.92 avec un stoploss a 0.04552

Avec un position size USD de 102.02$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2416.92 x 0.00331 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2416.92 x 0.00106 = 2.56

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.56$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 2416.92
  • Taille de position USD 102.02
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.56
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3202

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.51 % 2.56 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
7.84 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-5.24 $ -5.14
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-5.3637 % 68.4 % 17
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04221 0.04552 0.04115 0.32 0.03793
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04221
  • Stop Loss: 0.04552
  • Take Profit: 0.04115

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04552 - 0.04221 = 0.00331

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04221 - 0.04115 = 0.00106

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00106 / 0.00331 = 0.3202

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -7.842% (0.0033)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.218% 0.0R -1.374% 0.2R 0.2× 12
2h +0.218% 0.0R -1.374% 0.2R 0.2× 24
4h +0.905% 0.1R -1.711% 0.2R 0.5× 48
6h ★ +0.905% 0.1R -5.769% 0.7R 0.2× 72
8h +0.905% 0.1R -5.826% 0.7R 0.2× 96
12h +0.905% 0.1R -6.750% 0.9R 0.1× 144
24h +0.905% 0.1R -6.750% 0.9R 0.1× 288
48h +0.905% 0.1R -6.750% 0.9R 0.1× 576
72h +0.905% 0.1R -6.750% 0.9R 0.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 149 min MAE in 534 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 4 days ago

Commentaires

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