Short Trade on CHIP (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2418.19 CHIP at 0.0422$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04115 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04552 (7.84 %)
Short Trade on CHIP (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2418.19 CHIP at 0.0422$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04115 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04552 (7.84 %)
Position
Entry 0.04221$
Qty 2418.1896 CHIP
Size 102.0645$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.04115 (+2.51%)
TP $ 2.56$
SL 0.04552 (-7.84%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.32
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0345
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.01×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.22×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.14×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 28/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/10 00:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.90 |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 26.3% |
| 1h | 88.8% |
| 4h | 93.8% |
| 24h | 15.0% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 18.8% | -0.17% |
| 4h | 82.5% | +4.61% |
| 24h | 28.8% | -3.65% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3486 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -12.40% · r3d: -15.60% · ema21_slope: -0.2217% · dist_ema21: -9.689% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3184 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -8.25% · rs_3d: -12.90% · beta_24h: 3.321 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3961 | rvol_20: 0.89× · zscore_50: 0.200 · trend: 39.66% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4482 | ADX: 16.7 (weak) · Chop: 61.8 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 16.768% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1961 | r1h: -0.645% · r4h: 2.125% · r1d: -11.85% · r3d: -19.70% · ema21_slope: -0.7341% · dist_ema21: -6.599% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2076 | rs_1h: -1.025% · rs_4h: -0.134% · rs_1d: -9.75% · rs_3d: -17.91% · beta_24h: 2.562 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1609 | rvol_20: 0.18× · zscore_50: -0.587 · trend: -58.19% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7662 | ADX: 31.9 (trend) · Chop: 19.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9076 | ATR%: 3.277% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2825 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.345% · r1d: -9.69% · r3d: -16.19% · ema21_slope: -0.2281% · dist_ema21: -11.495% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2783 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.670% · rs_1d: -7.64% · rs_3d: -14.19% · beta_24h: 2.729 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2710 | rvol_20: 0.57× · zscore_50: -0.225 · trend: 6.32% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7123 | ADX: 25.5 (trend) · Chop: 29.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.818% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.218% | 0.0R | -1.374% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.218% | 0.0R | -1.374% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.905% | 0.1R | -1.711% | 0.2R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.905% | 0.1R | -5.769% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.905% | 0.1R | -5.826% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.905% | 0.1R | -6.750% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.905% | 0.1R | -6.750% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.905% | 0.1R | -6.750% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.905% | 0.1R | -6.750% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 864 |
computed 4 days ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
41%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | near -0.1ATR | — | — | range_high | +0.21% | -0.85 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.50 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.91% | -0.95 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
46%
|
noisy_chop 52% | late | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.53 | bear_high_confirmed | -2.50% | -0.71 | 30/10 00:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.51 | bear_medium | -0.97% | -0.02 | 30/10 01:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#454288
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.697 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
41%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early 11b -0.7ATR | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.89 | 79% | ↓ -0.22 | below_value | -6.39 | — | #215788 | — | range_high | +0.21% | -0.85 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:36
|
|
4h
#456197
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.481 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late 3b -1.9ATR | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.57 | 69% | ↓ -0.46 | below_value | -5.64 | — | #216615 | 0.50 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.91% | -0.95 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 00:28
|
|
1h
anchor #456586
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.276 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
46%
|
noisy_chop 52% | late 4b -1.8ATR | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.18 | 30% | ↑ +0.47 | below_value | -6.20 | — | #216897 | 0.53 | bear_high_confirmed | -2.50% | -0.71 |
30/10 00:00
upd 30/10 01:14
|
|
15m
#456992
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | 0.708 | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early 8b -0.6ATR | — | — | 0.50 | 18% | ↓ -0.24 | below_value | -6.50 | — | #217085 | 0.51 | bear_medium | -0.97% | -0.02 |
30/10 01:45
upd 30/10 02:13
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 11b | — | 0.602×ATR | p0 | -0.682×ATR | p37 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 3.335×ATR | p44 | -1.933×ATR | p84 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 1.478×ATR | p2 | -1.831×ATR | p83 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 1.704×ATR | p21 | -0.646×ATR | p30 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:15 | 0.04220700 | -0.007% |
| 2 | 04:15 | 0.04224800 | +0.09% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04221 | 0.04552 | 0.04115 | 0.32 | 0.03793 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04552 - 0.04221 = 0.00331
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04221 - 0.04115 = 0.00106
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00106 / 0.00331 = 0.3202
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 102.0645 | 100 | 2418.1896 | 1.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00331 = 2416.92
Taille de position USD = 2416.92 x 0.04221 = 102.02
Donc, tu peux acheter 2416.92 avec un stoploss a 0.04552
Avec un position size USD de 102.02$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2416.92 x 0.00331 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2416.92 x 0.00106 = 2.56
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.56$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 2.56 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.84 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -5.24 $ | -5.14 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -5.3637 % | 68.4 % | 17 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04221 | 0.04552 | 0.04115 | 0.32 | 0.03793 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04552 - 0.04221 = 0.00331
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04221 - 0.04115 = 0.00106
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00106 / 0.00331 = 0.3202
Array
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)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.218% | 0.0R | -1.374% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.218% | 0.0R | -1.374% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.905% | 0.1R | -1.711% | 0.2R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.905% | 0.1R | -5.769% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.905% | 0.1R | -5.826% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.905% | 0.1R | -6.750% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.905% | 0.1R | -6.750% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.905% | 0.1R | -6.750% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.905% | 0.1R | -6.750% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 864 |
computed 4 days ago
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