Short Trade on CAKE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 106.5 CAKE at 1.863$ per unit. Take profit: 1.8167 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.9384 (4.03 %)
30 Oct 2026 at 04:15:09
hyperliquid
CAKE
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
30 Oct 2026 04:15
→ 09:55
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 1.8633$
Qty 106.5042 CAKE
Size 198.4494$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 1.8167 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.96$
SL 1.9384 (-4.03%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.62
Status
win
PnL
+0.04%
/ +0.075$
MAE -0.78%
MFE +1.48%
0.4R
expires
30 Oct 10:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 234511)
#85 / 95
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 04:00
score du 30/10/2026 04:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1852
Quality Score
0.421
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#85 / 95
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.03 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#85 / 95
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.03 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.12×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
contracting
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
1.07
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 04:01
30/10 04:01
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 28/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 29/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/10 02:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7320
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
55.7%
Macro
alt_rotation
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
contracting
Δ 15m
→-0.001
Δ 1h
▼-0.151
Δ 4h
▲+0.128
Δ 12h
▲+0.313
Δ 24h
▲+0.264
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 49.4% |
| 1h | 20.3% |
| 4h | 76.0% |
| 24h | 17.7% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 55.7% | -0.01% |
| 4h | 73.4% | +1.07% |
| 24h | 38.0% | -2.78% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
1.3%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
1.3%
Tail ↑
+0.22
Tail ↓
+0.36
Dispersion :
0.171
Universe :
79
(-1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-1 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
30/10 04:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4213
Score SMA
0.5319
Rank
#85
/ 95
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1852
Rank Norm SMA
0.5117
Calculé le
30/10/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1585 | r1h: -1.439% · r4h: -1.141% · r1d: -8.63% · r3d: -11.93% · ema21_slope: -0.4839% · dist_ema21: -4.254% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2791 | rs_1h: -0.839% · rs_4h: -1.063% · rs_1d: -6.52% · rs_3d: -9.87% · beta_24h: 1.308 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2381 | rvol_20: 0.44× · zscore_50: -0.049 · trend: -18.96% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8531 | ADX: 42.4 (trend) · Chop: 19.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.711% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4430
Score SMA
0.5819
Rank
#66
/ 95
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2841
Rank Norm SMA
0.6288
Calculé le
30/10/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2276 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.141% · r1d: -8.63% · r3d: -11.93% · ema21_slope: -0.2514% · dist_ema21: -8.396% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2542 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.063% · rs_1d: -6.52% · rs_3d: -9.87% · beta_24h: 1.503 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4679 | rvol_20: 0.89× · zscore_50: 0.091 · trend: 129.81% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6960 | ADX: 23.5 (weak) · Chop: 24.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.869% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.031%
(0.0751)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.848% | 0.2R | -0.445% | 0.1R | 1.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.476% | 0.4R | -0.445% | 0.1R | 3.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.476% | 0.4R | -0.607% | 0.2R | 2.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.476% | 0.4R | -0.784% | 0.2R | 1.9× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.476% | 0.4R | -1.540% | 0.4R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.476% | 0.4R | -2.007% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.476% | 0.4R | -4.390% | 1.1R | 0.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.476% | 0.4R | -5.480% | 1.4R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.476% | 0.4R | -6.268% | 1.6R | 0.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 89 min
MAE in 1004 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 4 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.18
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.70 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.68 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
43%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.61 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.91% | -0.75 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
49%
|
noisy_chop 50% | mid | — | — | 0.74 | bear_high | -1.94% | -0.52 | 30/10 02:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.80 | bear_medium | -1.29% | -0.02 | 30/10 03:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#457121
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.543 | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late 33b -2.6ATR | near -0.1ATR | — | 1.98 | 87% | ↓ -0.19 | below_value | -5.73 | — | #217041 | 0.70 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.68 |
28/10 20:00
upd 30/10 02:22
|
|
4h
#456073
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.491 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
43%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 2b -3.0ATR | — | — | 2.35 | 91% | ↑ +0.56 | below_value | -5.37 | inside | #216571 | 0.61 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.91% | -0.75 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 00:22
|
|
1h
anchor #457521
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.741 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
49%
|
noisy_chop 50% | mid 5b -1.5ATR | — | — | 0.87 | 96% | ↑ +0.17 | below_value | -5.82 | — | #217231 | 0.74 | bear_high | -1.94% | -0.52 |
30/10 02:00
upd 30/10 03:13
|
|
15m
#457912
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.554 | compression | bear_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late 11b -2.4ATR | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.29 | 50% | ↑ +0.77 | below_value | -5.82 | — | #217231 | 0.80 | bear_medium | -1.29% | -0.02 |
30/10 03:45
upd 30/10 04:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 33b | — | 8.397×ATR | p95 | -2.555×ATR | p95 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 4.338×ATR | p66 | -2.963×ATR | p98 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 0.246×ATR | p0 | -1.483×ATR | p69 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 11b | — | 3.258×ATR | p50 | -2.422×ATR | p82 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 1.93841438
- tp_price: 1.8167175
- atr: 0.03004575
- expires_at: 2026-10-30T14:15:09+00:00
Details
- rank: 92
- total: 95
- score: 0.2154
- delta_2h: -0.0304
- extension_atr: -2.4
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1892
- confidence: 0.968
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:15 | 1.86330000 | 0% |
| 2 | 05:15 | 1.85160000 | -0.628% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8633 | 1.9384 | 1.8167 | 0.62 | 1.9278 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.8633
- Stop Loss: 1.9384
- Take Profit: 1.8167
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.9384 - 1.8633 = 0.0751
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.8633 - 1.8167 = 0.0466
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0466 / 0.0751 = 0.6205
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 198.4494 | 100 | 106.5042 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0751
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0751 = 106.52
Taille de position USD = 106.52 x 1.8633 = 198.48
Donc, tu peux acheter 106.52 avec un stoploss a 1.9384
Avec un position size USD de 198.48$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 106.52 x 0.0751 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 106.52 x 0.0466 = 4.96
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.96$
Résumé
- Taille de position 106.52
- Taille de position USD 198.48
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.96
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6205
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.96 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.03 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.075 $ | 0.04 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7836 % | 19.44 % | 12 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8633 | 1.9384 | 1.8167 | 0.62 | 1.9278 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.8633
- Stop Loss: 1.9384
- Take Profit: 1.8167
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.9384 - 1.8633 = 0.0751
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.8633 - 1.8167 = 0.0466
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0466 / 0.0751 = 0.6205
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.031%
(0.0751)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.848% | 0.2R | -0.445% | 0.1R | 1.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.476% | 0.4R | -0.445% | 0.1R | 3.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.476% | 0.4R | -0.607% | 0.2R | 2.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.476% | 0.4R | -0.784% | 0.2R | 1.9× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.476% | 0.4R | -1.540% | 0.4R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.476% | 0.4R | -2.007% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.476% | 0.4R | -4.390% | 1.1R | 0.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.476% | 0.4R | -5.480% | 1.4R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.476% | 0.4R | -6.268% | 1.6R | 0.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 89 min
MAE in 1004 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 4 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.