Short Trade on PENDLE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 83.84 PENDLE at 1.713$ per unit. Take profit: 1.6702 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.8084 (5.57 %)
30 Oct 2026 at 04:15:09
hyperliquid
PENDLE
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
30 Oct 2026 04:15
→ 10:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 1.713$
Qty 83.8444 PENDLE
Size 143.6254$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 1.6702 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.59$
SL 1.8084 (-5.57%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.45
Status
win
PnL
+1.35%
/ +1.94$
MAE -0.32%
MFE +1.85%
0.3R
expires
30 Oct 10:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 234499)
#88 / 95
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 04:00
score du 30/10/2026 04:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1842
Quality Score
0.415
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#88 / 95
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.57 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#88 / 95
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.57 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.93×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.77×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
contracting
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
1.07
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
5.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 04:00
30/10 04:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 28/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 29/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/10 02:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7320
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
55.7%
Macro
alt_rotation
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
contracting
Δ 15m
→-0.001
Δ 1h
▼-0.151
Δ 4h
▲+0.128
Δ 12h
▲+0.313
Δ 24h
▲+0.264
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 49.4% |
| 1h | 20.3% |
| 4h | 76.0% |
| 24h | 17.7% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 55.7% | -0.01% |
| 4h | 73.4% | +1.07% |
| 24h | 38.0% | -2.78% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
1.3%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
1.3%
Tail ↑
+0.22
Tail ↓
+0.36
Dispersion :
0.171
Universe :
79
(-1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-1 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
30/10 04:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2607
Score SMA
0.2989
Rank
#58
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3294
Rank Norm SMA
0.2126
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.0670 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -12.33% · r3d: -10.40% · ema21_slope: -0.5737% · dist_ema21: -15.087% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1940 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -8.19% · rs_3d: -7.70% · beta_24h: 2.387 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5678 | rvol_20: 2.29× · zscore_50: 0.538 · trend: -15.56% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5233 | ADX: 22.2 (weak) · Chop: 58.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.812% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4154
Score SMA
0.5209
Rank
#88
/ 95
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1842
Rank Norm SMA
0.4618
Calculé le
30/10/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1893 | r1h: -1.111% · r4h: 0.245% · r1d: -9.58% · r3d: -11.61% · ema21_slope: -0.6568% · dist_ema21: -4.441% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3124 | rs_1h: -0.512% · rs_4h: 0.323% · rs_1d: -7.47% · rs_3d: -9.55% · beta_24h: 2.347 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2341 | rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -0.085 · trend: -20.20% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8049 | ADX: 36.6 (trend) · Chop: 19.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.368% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.3863
Score SMA
0.5082
Rank
#86
/ 95
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1832
Rank Norm SMA
0.5474
Calculé le
30/10/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2239 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.245% · r1d: -9.58% · r3d: -11.61% · ema21_slope: -0.3187% · dist_ema21: -9.996% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2514 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.323% · rs_1d: -7.47% · rs_3d: -9.55% · beta_24h: 2.620 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4551 | rvol_20: 0.80× · zscore_50: 0.101 · trend: 174.96% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6785 | ADX: 21.4 (weak) · Chop: 21.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6510 | ATR%: 4.047% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.569%
(0.0954)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.162% | 0.2R | -0.315% | 0.1R | 3.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.162% | 0.2R | -0.315% | 0.1R | 3.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.623% | 0.3R | -0.315% | 0.1R | 5.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.851% | 0.3R | -0.315% | 0.1R | 5.9× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.851% | 0.3R | -2.796% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.851% | 0.3R | -4.915% | 0.9R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.851% | 0.3R | -10.409% | 1.9R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.851% | 0.3R | -11.635% | 2.1R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.851% | 0.3R | -11.635% | 2.1R | 0.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 314 min
MAE in 984 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 4 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.35
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.64 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.88 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
42%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.61 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.91% | -0.80 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 51% | mid | — | — | 0.78 | bear_high | -1.94% | -0.72 | 30/10 02:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 48% | early | — | — | 0.82 | bear_medium | -1.29% | +0.09 | 30/10 03:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#454056
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.538 | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late 38b -2.2ATR | near -0.8ATR | — | 2.29 | 80% | ↓ -0.19 | below_value | -6.31 | — | #215737 | 0.64 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.88 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:23
|
|
4h
#456037
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.600 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
42%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late 2b -2.9ATR | — | — | 4.48 | 99% | ↑ +0.87 | below_value | -6.02 | inside | #216559 | 0.61 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.91% | -0.80 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 00:20
|
|
1h
anchor #457509
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.282 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 51% | mid 5b -1.3ATR | — | — | 0.13 | 64% | ↑ +0.45 | below_value | -6.12 | — | #217219 | 0.78 | bear_high | -1.94% | -0.72 |
30/10 02:00
upd 30/10 03:12
|
|
15m
#457900
|
↓ down | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.452 | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 48% | early 10b -0.7ATR | — | — | 0.95 | 69% | ↔ -0.06 | below_value | -6.12 | — | #217219 | 0.82 | bear_medium | -1.29% | +0.09 |
30/10 03:45
upd 30/10 04:02
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 38b | — | 6.827×ATR | p94 | -2.231×ATR | p90 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 4.384×ATR | p75 | -2.934×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 2.748×ATR | p66 | -1.299×ATR | p66 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 10b | — | 1.672×ATR | p0 | -0.717×ATR | p33 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 1.80841488
- tp_price: 1.670175
- atr: 0.03816595
- expires_at: 2026-10-30T14:15:09+00:00
Details
- rank: 91
- total: 95
- score: 0.2183
- delta_2h: -0.0209
- extension_atr: -1.9
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1803
- confidence: 0.957
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:15 | 1.71300000 | 0% |
| 2 | 05:15 | 1.71260000 | -0.023% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.713 | 1.8084 | 1.6702 | 0.45 | 1.6825 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.713
- Stop Loss: 1.8084
- Take Profit: 1.6702
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.8084 - 1.713 = 0.0954
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.713 - 1.6702 = 0.0428
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0428 / 0.0954 = 0.4486
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 143.6254 | 100 | 83.8444 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0954
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0954 = 83.86
Taille de position USD = 83.86 x 1.713 = 143.65
Donc, tu peux acheter 83.86 avec un stoploss a 1.8084
Avec un position size USD de 143.65$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 83.86 x 0.0954 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 83.86 x 0.0428 = 3.59
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.59$
Résumé
- Taille de position 83.86
- Taille de position USD 143.65
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.59
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4486
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.59 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.57 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.94 $ | 1.35 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3152 % | 5.66 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.713 | 1.8084 | 1.6702 | 0.45 | 1.6825 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.713
- Stop Loss: 1.8084
- Take Profit: 1.6702
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.8084 - 1.713 = 0.0954
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.713 - 1.6702 = 0.0428
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0428 / 0.0954 = 0.4486
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.569%
(0.0954)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.162% | 0.2R | -0.315% | 0.1R | 3.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.162% | 0.2R | -0.315% | 0.1R | 3.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.623% | 0.3R | -0.315% | 0.1R | 5.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.851% | 0.3R | -0.315% | 0.1R | 5.9× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.851% | 0.3R | -2.796% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.851% | 0.3R | -4.915% | 0.9R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.851% | 0.3R | -10.409% | 1.9R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.851% | 0.3R | -11.635% | 2.1R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.851% | 0.3R | -11.635% | 2.1R | 0.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 314 min
MAE in 984 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 4 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.