Short Trade on CAKE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 112.3 CAKE at 1.843$ per unit. Take profit: 1.797 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.9143 (3.86 %)
30 Oct 2026 at 06:15:11
hyperliquid
CAKE
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
30 Oct 2026 06:15
→ 12:00
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 1.8431$
Qty 112.3011 CAKE
Size 206.9822$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 1.797 (+2.5%)
TP $ 5.18$
SL 1.9143 (-3.86%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.65
Status
loss
PnL
-1.52%
/ -3.14$
MAE -2.65%
MFE +0.10%
0.0R
expires
30 Oct 12:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 234799)
#90 / 97
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 06:00
score du 30/10/2026 06:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1112
Quality Score
0.392
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#90 / 97
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#90 / 97
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.12×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.62
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 06:01
30/10 06:01
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 28/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 30/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/10 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7328
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.90 |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
40.1%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→+0.042
Δ 4h
▼-0.274
Δ 12h
▲+0.318
Δ 24h
▲+0.224
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 32.9% |
| 1h | 25.3% |
| 4h | 38.0% |
| 24h | 11.4% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 32.9% | -0.03% |
| 4h | 68.4% | -0.62% |
| 24h | 29.1% | -4.49% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.43
Tail ↓
+0.21
Dispersion :
0.190
Universe :
79
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
30/10 06:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 06:00
Score brut
0.3918
Score SMA
0.5282
Rank
#90
/ 97
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1112
Rank Norm SMA
0.5017
Calculé le
30/10/2026 06:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1627 | r1h: -0.383% · r4h: -2.137% · r1d: -9.72% · r3d: -12.34% · ema21_slope: -0.4785% · dist_ema21: -4.335% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3179 | rs_1h: 0.055% · rs_4h: -1.031% · rs_1d: -6.57% · rs_3d: -9.70% · beta_24h: 1.293 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2149 | rvol_20: 0.10× · zscore_50: -0.322 · trend: -22.75% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8763 | ADX: 45.2 (trend) · Chop: 20.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.638% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4298
Score SMA
0.5816
Rank
#73
/ 96
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2841
Rank Norm SMA
0.6272
Calculé le
30/10/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2276 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.141% · r1d: -8.63% · r3d: -11.93% · ema21_slope: -0.2514% · dist_ema21: -8.396% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2542 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.063% · rs_1d: -6.52% · rs_3d: -9.87% · beta_24h: 1.503 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4679 | rvol_20: 0.89× · zscore_50: 0.091 · trend: 129.81% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6960 | ADX: 23.5 (weak) · Chop: 24.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.869% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.863%
(0.0712)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.103% | 0.0R | -1.031% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.103% | 0.0R | -1.709% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.103% | 0.0R | -1.888% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.103% | 0.0R | -2.653% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.103% | 0.0R | -3.125% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.103% | 0.0R | -3.125% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.103% | 0.0R | -5.534% | 1.4R | 0.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.103% | 0.0R | -7.433% | 1.9R | 0.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.103% | 0.0R | -7.433% | 1.9R | 0.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 14 min
MAE in 884 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 3 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.07
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.70 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.68 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
43%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.61 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.90% | -0.78 | 30/10 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | weak | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
43%
|
noisy_chop 54% | late | — | — | 0.74 | bear_high | -2.60% | -0.64 | 30/10 04:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | pullback | bear_trend | moderate | grind | compression | bear_medium |
60%
|
ranging_calm 56% | late | — | — | 0.79 | bear_low | -1.67% | -0.18 | 30/10 05:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#457121
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.543 | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late 33b -2.6ATR | near -0.1ATR | — | 1.98 | 87% | ↓ -0.19 | below_value | -5.73 | — | #217041 | 0.70 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.68 |
28/10 20:00
upd 30/10 02:22
|
|
4h
#458100
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.493 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
43%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late 3b -3.0ATR | — | — | 0.89 | 71% | ↑ +0.57 | below_value | -6.71 | inside | #217423 | 0.61 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.90% | -0.78 |
30/10 00:00
upd 30/10 04:23
|
|
1h
anchor #458573
|
↓ down | range | range | weak | fading | 0.766 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
43%
|
noisy_chop 54% | late 3b -2.0ATR | — | — | 0.94 | 97% | ↔ +0.08 | below_value | -7.23 | inside | #217711 | 0.74 | bear_high | -2.60% | -0.64 |
30/10 04:00
upd 30/10 05:13
|
|
15m
#458971
|
↓ down | pullback | bear_trend | moderate | grind | 0.491 | compression | bear_medium |
60%
|
ranging_calm 56% | late 19b -2.6ATR | — | — | 0.46 | 66% | ↑ +0.40 | below_value | -7.23 | — | #217711 | 0.79 | bear_low | -1.67% | -0.18 |
30/10 05:45
upd 30/10 06:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 33b | — | 8.397×ATR | p95 | -2.555×ATR | p95 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 4.814×ATR | p82 | -2.973×ATR | p98 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 1.627×ATR | p10 | -1.988×ATR | p82 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 19b | — | 5.696×ATR | p83 | -2.601×ATR | p87 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8431 | 1.9143 | 1.797 | 0.65 | 1.908 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.8431
- Stop Loss: 1.9143
- Take Profit: 1.797
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.9143 - 1.8431 = 0.0712
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.8431 - 1.797 = 0.0461
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0461 / 0.0712 = 0.6475
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 206.9822 | 100 | 112.3011 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0712
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0712 = 112.36
Taille de position USD = 112.36 x 1.8431 = 207.09
Donc, tu peux acheter 112.36 avec un stoploss a 1.9143
Avec un position size USD de 207.09$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 112.36 x 0.0712 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 112.36 x 0.0461 = 5.18
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.18$
Résumé
- Taille de position 112.36
- Taille de position USD 207.09
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.18
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6475
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 5.18 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.86 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.14 $ | -1.52 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.409 % | 62.36 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8431 | 1.9143 | 1.797 | 0.65 | 1.908 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.8431
- Stop Loss: 1.9143
- Take Profit: 1.797
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.9143 - 1.8431 = 0.0712
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.8431 - 1.797 = 0.0461
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0461 / 0.0712 = 0.6475
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.863%
(0.0712)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.103% | 0.0R | -1.031% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.103% | 0.0R | -1.709% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.103% | 0.0R | -1.888% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.103% | 0.0R | -2.653% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.103% | 0.0R | -3.125% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.103% | 0.0R | -3.125% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.103% | 0.0R | -5.534% | 1.4R | 0.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.103% | 0.0R | -7.433% | 1.9R | 0.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.103% | 0.0R | -7.433% | 1.9R | 0.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 14 min
MAE in 884 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 3 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.