30 Oct 2026 at 06:15:11 hyperliquid

Short Trade on GRASS (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 209.44 GRASS at 0.59$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5751 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6281 (6.48 %)

GRASS SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Oct 2026 06:15 → 12:10 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.5899$

Qty 209.4388 GRASS

Size 123.5437$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.5751 (+2.51%)

TP $ 3.1$

SL 0.6281 (-6.48%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.39

Status loss PnL -2.74% / -3.38$ MAE -4.22% MFE +1.76% 0.3R expires 30 Oct 12:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 234812)
#94 / 97
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 06:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1806

Quality Score
0.376
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#94 / 97
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.48 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#94 / 97
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.48 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.65×ATR
4h near -1.35×ATR
1d clear 0.71×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.62
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
7.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 06:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

28/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

30/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

30/10 04:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7328
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.90

transition

+1

Micro bear

0.55

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 40.1%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h mixed Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→+0.042
Δ 4h
▼-0.274
Δ 12h
▲+0.318
Δ 24h
▲+0.224

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 32.9%
1h 25.3%
4h 38.0%
24h 11.4%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 32.9% -0.03%
4h 68.4% -0.62%
24h 29.1% -4.49%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.43
Tail ↓
+0.21
Dispersion : 0.190
Universe : 79 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 30/10 06:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3519
Score SMA
0.5244
Rank
#23 / 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7412
Rank Norm SMA
0.8831
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5004 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -14.59% · r3d: -14.19% · ema21_slope: 0.3276% · dist_ema21: -11.215%
Force Relative 25% 0.1893 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -10.44% · rs_3d: -11.49% · beta_24h: 3.321
Volume 20% 0.3758 rvol_20: 1.13× · zscore_50: 0.147 · trend: -1.60%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5287 ADX: 28.4 (trend) · Chop: 63.9 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 14.626% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 06:00
Score brut
0.3756
Score SMA
0.5475
Rank
#94 / 97
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1806
Rank Norm SMA
0.5583
Calculé le
30/10/2026 06:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2432 r1h: 0.765% · r4h: -0.320% · r1d: -9.98% · r3d: -13.47% · ema21_slope: -0.6110% · dist_ema21: -2.107%
Force Relative 25% 0.3910 rs_1h: 1.204% · rs_4h: 0.785% · rs_1d: -6.82% · rs_3d: -10.83% · beta_24h: 2.100
Volume 20% 0.1683 rvol_20: 0.09× · zscore_50: -0.476 · trend: -68.46%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9099 ADX: 49.2 (trend) · Chop: 34.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.740% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.3259
Score SMA
0.5287
Rank
#93 / 96
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0484
Rank Norm SMA
0.6273
Calculé le
30/10/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2563 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.042% · r1d: -10.94% · r3d: -15.68% · ema21_slope: -0.5384% · dist_ema21: -11.462%
Force Relative 25% 0.2572 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.120% · rs_1d: -8.83% · rs_3d: -13.62% · beta_24h: 2.381
Volume 20% 0.2933 rvol_20: 0.31× · zscore_50: -0.516 · trend: 45.78%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7087 ADX: 25.0 (trend) · Chop: 24.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.1979 ATR%: 5.406% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.476% (0.0382)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -4.224% 0.7R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -4.224% 0.7R 0.0× 24
4h +1.400% 0.2R -4.224% 0.7R 0.3× 48
6h ★ +1.763% 0.3R -4.224% 0.7R 0.4× 72
8h +1.763% 0.3R -4.224% 0.7R 0.4× 96
12h +1.763% 0.3R -4.224% 0.7R 0.4× 144
24h +3.124% 0.5R -4.224% 0.7R 0.7× 288
48h +3.124% 0.5R -4.224% 0.7R 0.7× 576
72h +3.124% 0.5R -4.224% 0.7R 0.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 1424 min MAE in 9 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.28
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 40% early — — 0.44 range_high +0.21% -0.47 28/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind expansion bear_high_confirmed
51%
noisy_chop 44% late near -1.3ATR — 0.40 bear_high_confirmed -3.90% -0.86 30/10 00:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading volatile_reversal bear_high
45%
noisy_chop 44% early — — 0.58 bear_high -2.60% -0.70 30/10 04:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 44% mid — — 0.60 bear_low -1.67% +0.39 30/10 05:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#454144
↔ neutral range range moderate balanced 0.605 expansion_after_compression bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 40% early 11b -1.0ATR — — 1.13 93% ↓ -0.28 below_value -7.67 — #215757 0.44 range_high +0.21% -0.47
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:27
4h
#458137
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.530 expansion bear_high_confirmed
51%
noisy_chop 44% late 13b -2.6ATR near -1.3ATR — 0.31 19% ↑ +0.28 below_value -7.59 — #217435 0.40 bear_high_confirmed -3.90% -0.86
30/10 00:00
upd 30/10 04:25
1h anchor
#458585
↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading 0.574 volatile_reversal bear_high
45%
noisy_chop 44% early 8b -0.9ATR — — 0.12 22% ↓ -0.54 below_value -7.55 — #217723 0.58 bear_high -2.60% -0.70
30/10 04:00
upd 30/10 05:13
15m
#458984
↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.582 compression bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 44% mid 4b 1.6ATR — — 1.46 58% ↓ -0.74 below_value -7.55 — #217723 0.60 bear_low -1.67% +0.39
30/10 05:45
upd 30/10 06:04
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 11b — 0.372×ATR p5 -0.95×ATR p54
4h ↓ down late 13b — 6.023×ATR p88 -2.569×ATR p94
1h ↑ up early 8b — 2.269×ATR p42 -0.924×ATR p47
15m ↓ down mid 4b — 0×ATR p0 +1.553×ATR p65

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.62807732
  2. tp_price: 0.575133
  3. atr: 0.01527893
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-30T16:15:11+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 96
  2. total: 97
  3. score: 0.1523
  4. delta_2h: -0.0364
  5. extension_atr: -0.75
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1663
  9. confidence: 0.99

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.5899 0.6281 0.5751 0.39 0.5092
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.5899
  • Stop Loss: 0.6281
  • Take Profit: 0.5751

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.6281 - 0.5899 = 0.0382

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.5899 - 0.5751 = 0.0148

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0148 / 0.0382 = 0.3874

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
123.5437 100 209.4388 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0382

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0382 = 209.42

Taille de position USD = 209.42 x 0.5899 = 123.54

Donc, tu peux acheter 209.42 avec un stoploss a 0.6281

Avec un position size USD de 123.54$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 209.42 x 0.0382 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 209.42 x 0.0148 = 3.1

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.1$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 209.42
  • Taille de position USD 123.54
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.1
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3874

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.51 % 3.1 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.48 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-3.38 $ -2.74
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.2244 % 65.23 % 13
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.5899 0.6281 0.5751 0.39 0.5092
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.5899
  • Stop Loss: 0.6281
  • Take Profit: 0.5751

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.6281 - 0.5899 = 0.0382

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.5899 - 0.5751 = 0.0148

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0148 / 0.0382 = 0.3874

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.476% (0.0382)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -4.224% 0.7R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -4.224% 0.7R 0.0× 24
4h +1.400% 0.2R -4.224% 0.7R 0.3× 48
6h ★ +1.763% 0.3R -4.224% 0.7R 0.4× 72
8h +1.763% 0.3R -4.224% 0.7R 0.4× 96
12h +1.763% 0.3R -4.224% 0.7R 0.4× 144
24h +3.124% 0.5R -4.224% 0.7R 0.7× 288
48h +3.124% 0.5R -4.224% 0.7R 0.7× 576
72h +3.124% 0.5R -4.224% 0.7R 0.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 1424 min MAE in 9 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 days ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.