Short Trade on AERO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 241.55 AERO at 0.625$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6096 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6583 (5.29 %)
30 Oct 2026 at 07:15:11
hyperliquid
AERO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
30 Oct 2026 07:15
→ 13:10
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.6252$
Qty 241.5522 AERO
Size 151.0257$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.6096 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.77$
SL 0.6583 (-5.29%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.47
Status
win
PnL
+0.06%
/ +0.092$
MAE -2.27%
MFE +1.80%
0.3R
expires
30 Oct 13:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 234937)
#89 / 97
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 07:00
score du 30/10/2026 07:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3615
Quality Score
0.412
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#89 / 97
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.29 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#89 / 97
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.29 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.29×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 3.61×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.56×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
recovering
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.40
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
9.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 07:02
30/10 07:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 28/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 30/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/10 05:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7332
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.90 |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
45.2%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.051
Δ 4h
▼-0.257
Δ 12h
▲+0.382
Δ 24h
▼-0.160
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 57.0% |
| 1h | 79.8% |
| 4h | 34.2% |
| 24h | 13.9% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 65.8% | +0.04% |
| 4h | 77.2% | -0.40% |
| 24h | 29.1% | -4.93% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.30
Tail ↓
+0.29
Dispersion :
0.185
Universe :
79
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
30/10 07:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2863
Score SMA
0.3173
Rank
#46
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4706
Rank Norm SMA
0.4243
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1986 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -10.62% · r3d: -7.98% · ema21_slope: -0.8822% · dist_ema21: -17.746% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2036 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -6.47% · rs_3d: -5.28% · beta_24h: 1.529 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3745 | rvol_20: 1.17× · zscore_50: 0.265 · trend: -12.50% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6727 | ADX: 22.9 (weak) · Chop: 40.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 11.015% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.4117
Score SMA
0.4837
Rank
#89
/ 97
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3615
Rank Norm SMA
0.3204
Calculé le
30/10/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2541 | r1h: -0.091% · r4h: 0.436% · r1d: -8.33% · r3d: -6.98% · ema21_slope: -0.4881% · dist_ema21: -1.366% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4170 | rs_1h: -0.286% · rs_4h: 1.458% · rs_1d: -5.26% · rs_3d: -4.29% · beta_24h: 1.242 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2091 | rvol_20: 0.27× · zscore_50: -0.498 · trend: -18.24% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7429 | ADX: 30.5 (trend) · Chop: 39.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.213% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4412
Score SMA
0.4039
Rank
#67
/ 96
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2831
Rank Norm SMA
0.1879
Calculé le
30/10/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2309 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.484% · r1d: -8.27% · r3d: -8.02% · ema21_slope: -0.2736% · dist_ema21: -8.393% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2738 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.562% · rs_1d: -6.16% · rs_3d: -5.95% · beta_24h: 1.981 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6905 | rvol_20: 1.98× · zscore_50: 0.885 · trend: 96.07% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6874 | ADX: 22.5 (weak) · Chop: 34.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6226 | ATR%: 4.132% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.294%
(0.0331)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.096% | 0.2R | -0.139% | 0.0R | 7.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.531% | 0.3R | -0.139% | 0.0R | 11.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.798% | 0.3R | -2.199% | 0.4R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.798% | 0.3R | -2.268% | 0.4R | 0.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.927% | 0.6R | -2.268% | 0.4R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.927% | 0.6R | -2.268% | 0.4R | 1.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.927% | 0.6R | -2.313% | 0.4R | 1.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +2.927% | 0.6R | -4.517% | 0.9R | 0.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.927% | 0.6R | -4.517% | 0.9R | 0.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 479 min
MAE in 859 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.65
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.64 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.96 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.57 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.90% | -0.59 | 30/10 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 53% | early | — | — | 0.56 | bear_high | -2.97% | -0.50 | 30/10 05:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | explosive | compression | bear_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.59 | bear_low | -1.34% | +0.55 | 30/10 06:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#454269
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.571 | normal | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late 18b -1.9ATR | — | — | 1.17 | 90% | ↓ -0.30 | below_value | -6.09 | — | #215783 | 0.64 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.96 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:35
|
|
4h
#458210
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.754 | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 4b -2.3ATR | — | — | 1.98 | 87% | ↑ +0.78 | below_value | -5.50 | — | #217463 | 0.57 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.90% | -0.59 |
30/10 00:00
upd 30/10 04:29
|
|
1h
anchor #459155
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.497 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 53% | early 4b -0.5ATR | — | — | 0.36 | 60% | ↑ +0.31 | below_value | -4.78 | inside | #217947 | 0.56 | bear_high | -2.97% | -0.50 |
30/10 05:00
upd 30/10 06:20
|
|
15m
#459521
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | explosive | 0.754 | compression | bear_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early 15b 1.0ATR | — | — | 0.18 | 19% | ↓ -0.62 | below_value | -5.33 | — | #218143 | 0.59 | bear_low | -1.34% | +0.55 |
30/10 06:45
upd 30/10 07:11
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 18b | — | 5.382×ATR | p70 | -1.91×ATR | p86 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 3.649×ATR | p60 | -2.259×ATR | p87 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 2.348×ATR | p43 | -0.515×ATR | p22 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 15b | — | 1.779×ATR | p12 | +0.963×ATR | p42 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.65834913
- tp_price: 0.60959925
- atr: 0.01324765
- expires_at: 2026-10-30T17:15:11+00:00
Details
- rank: 91
- total: 97
- score: 0.2223
- delta_2h: -0.1018
- extension_atr: -0.73
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3615
- confidence: 0.938
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6252 | 0.6583 | 0.6096 | 0.47 | 0.6423 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6252
- Stop Loss: 0.6583
- Take Profit: 0.6096
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6583 - 0.6252 = 0.0331
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6252 - 0.6096 = 0.0156
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0156 / 0.0331 = 0.4713
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 151.0257 | 100 | 241.5522 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0331
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0331 = 241.69
Taille de position USD = 241.69 x 0.6252 = 151.1
Donc, tu peux acheter 241.69 avec un stoploss a 0.6583
Avec un position size USD de 151.1$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 241.69 x 0.0331 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 241.69 x 0.0156 = 3.77
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.77$
Résumé
- Taille de position 241.69
- Taille de position USD 151.1
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.77
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4713
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.77 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.29 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.092 $ | 0.06 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.2681 % | 42.84 % | 17 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6252 | 0.6583 | 0.6096 | 0.47 | 0.6423 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6252
- Stop Loss: 0.6583
- Take Profit: 0.6096
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6583 - 0.6252 = 0.0331
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6252 - 0.6096 = 0.0156
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0156 / 0.0331 = 0.4713
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.294%
(0.0331)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.096% | 0.2R | -0.139% | 0.0R | 7.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.531% | 0.3R | -0.139% | 0.0R | 11.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.798% | 0.3R | -2.199% | 0.4R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.798% | 0.3R | -2.268% | 0.4R | 0.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.927% | 0.6R | -2.268% | 0.4R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.927% | 0.6R | -2.268% | 0.4R | 1.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.927% | 0.6R | -2.313% | 0.4R | 1.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +2.927% | 0.6R | -4.517% | 0.9R | 0.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.927% | 0.6R | -4.517% | 0.9R | 0.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 479 min
MAE in 859 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.