Short Trade on PONS (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 437.43 PONS at 0.239$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2334 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2577 (7.64 %)
30 Oct 2026 at 07:15:11
hyperliquid
PONS
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
30 Oct 2026 07:15
→ 13:10
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.2394$
Qty 437.4305 PONS
Size 104.734$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2334 (+2.51%)
TP $ 2.62$
SL 0.2577 (-7.64%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.33
Status
win
PnL
+1.11%
/ +1.16$
MAE -3.80%
MFE +2.28%
0.3R
expires
30 Oct 13:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 234946)
#91 / 97
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 07:00
score du 30/10/2026 07:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2261
Quality Score
0.403
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#91 / 97
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.64 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#91 / 97
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.64 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.59×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
recovering
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.40
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
14.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 07:02
30/10 07:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 28/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 30/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/10 05:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7332
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.90 |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
45.2%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.051
Δ 4h
▼-0.257
Δ 12h
▲+0.382
Δ 24h
▼-0.160
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 57.0% |
| 1h | 79.8% |
| 4h | 34.2% |
| 24h | 13.9% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 65.8% | +0.04% |
| 4h | 77.2% | -0.40% |
| 24h | 29.1% | -4.93% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.30
Tail ↓
+0.29
Dispersion :
0.185
Universe :
79
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
30/10 07:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.1880
Score SMA
0.2436
Rank
#82
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0471
Rank Norm SMA
0.1991
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.0807 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -21.06% · r3d: -6.79% · ema21_slope: -1.9358% · dist_ema21: -23.657% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1949 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -16.91% · rs_3d: -4.09% · beta_24h: 3.689 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2366 | rvol_20: 1.00× · zscore_50: -0.661 · trend: -60.76% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4517 | ADX: 25.0 (weak) · Chop: 69.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 21.897% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.4029
Score SMA
0.5414
Rank
#91
/ 97
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2261
Rank Norm SMA
0.5080
Calculé le
30/10/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2884 | r1h: 0.712% · r4h: 0.091% · r1d: -13.14% · r3d: -1.88% · ema21_slope: -0.6388% · dist_ema21: -1.360% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4264 | rs_1h: 0.516% · rs_4h: 1.113% · rs_1d: -10.07% · rs_3d: 0.81% · beta_24h: 2.304 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2619 | rvol_20: 0.72× · zscore_50: -0.023 · trend: -29.06% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6674 | ADX: 29.0 (trend) · Chop: 47.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9356 | ATR%: 3.193% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4081
Score SMA
0.4494
Rank
#81
/ 96
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1822
Rank Norm SMA
0.3794
Calculé le
30/10/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4602 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.321% · r1d: -12.69% · r3d: -4.99% · ema21_slope: 0.1412% · dist_ema21: -8.780% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3594 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.399% · rs_1d: -10.57% · rs_3d: -2.93% · beta_24h: 3.278 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3713 | rvol_20: 0.73× · zscore_50: 0.166 · trend: 42.14% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7065 | ADX: 24.8 (weak) · Chop: 28.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.649% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.644%
(0.0183)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.277% | 0.3R | -0.606% | 0.1R | 3.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.277% | 0.3R | -0.606% | 0.1R | 3.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.277% | 0.3R | -3.797% | 0.5R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.277% | 0.3R | -3.797% | 0.5R | 0.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.290% | 0.6R | -3.797% | 0.5R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.290% | 0.6R | -3.797% | 0.5R | 1.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.930% | 0.9R | -3.797% | 0.5R | 1.8× | 288 |
| 48h | +6.930% | 0.9R | -3.797% | 0.5R | 1.8× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.930% | 0.9R | -3.797% | 0.5R | 1.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1074 min
MAE in 239 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.58
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 47% | — | — | — | — | range_high | +0.21% | -1.00 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
48%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.41 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.90% | -0.10 | 30/10 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 50% | mid | — | — | 0.63 | bear_high | -2.97% | -0.73 | 30/10 05:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.70 | bear_low | -1.34% | +0.42 | 30/10 06:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#454297
|
↔ | — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 47% | — | — | — | 1.00 | 27% | ↓ -0.42 | below_value | -7.37 | inside | #215791 | — | range_high | +0.21% | -1.00 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:37
|
|
4h
#458231
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.448 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
48%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid 12b -1.2ATR | — | — | 0.73 | 47% | ↑ +0.59 | above_value | -0.42 | — | #217472 | 0.41 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.90% | -0.10 |
30/10 00:00
upd 30/10 04:30
|
|
1h
anchor #459173
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.283 | normal | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 50% | mid 9b -0.6ATR | — | — | 0.40 | 62% | ↓ -0.38 | above_value | +0.14 | — | #217956 | 0.63 | bear_high | -2.97% | -0.73 |
30/10 05:00
upd 30/10 06:21
|
|
15m
#459539
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.523 | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 6b 1.3ATR | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.55 | 26% | ↔ +0.07 | above_value | +0.37 | — | #218152 | 0.70 | bear_low | -1.34% | +0.42 |
30/10 06:45
upd 30/10 07:12
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 12b | — | 4.719×ATR | p71 | -1.218×ATR | p66 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 2.875×ATR | p67 | -0.585×ATR | p36 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 2.094×ATR | p17 | +1.289×ATR | p65 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.25771862
- tp_price: 0.23344425
- atr: 0.00731545
- expires_at: 2026-10-30T17:15:11+00:00
Details
- rank: 90
- total: 97
- score: 0.2407
- delta_2h: -0.0625
- extension_atr: -0.65
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2196
- confidence: 0.927
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2394 | 0.2577 | 0.2334 | 0.33 | 0.223 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2394
- Stop Loss: 0.2577
- Take Profit: 0.2334
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2577 - 0.2394 = 0.0183
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2394 - 0.2334 = 0.006
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.006 / 0.0183 = 0.3279
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 104.734 | 100 | 437.4305 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0183
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0183 = 437.16
Taille de position USD = 437.16 x 0.2394 = 104.66
Donc, tu peux acheter 437.16 avec un stoploss a 0.2577
Avec un position size USD de 104.66$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 437.16 x 0.0183 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 437.16 x 0.006 = 2.62
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.62$
Résumé
- Taille de position 437.16
- Taille de position USD 104.66
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.62
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3279
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 2.62 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.64 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.16 $ | 1.11 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.797 % | 49.67 % | 16 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2394 | 0.2577 | 0.2334 | 0.33 | 0.223 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2394
- Stop Loss: 0.2577
- Take Profit: 0.2334
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2577 - 0.2394 = 0.0183
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2394 - 0.2334 = 0.006
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.006 / 0.0183 = 0.3279
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.644%
(0.0183)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.277% | 0.3R | -0.606% | 0.1R | 3.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.277% | 0.3R | -0.606% | 0.1R | 3.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.277% | 0.3R | -3.797% | 0.5R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.277% | 0.3R | -3.797% | 0.5R | 0.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.290% | 0.6R | -3.797% | 0.5R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.290% | 0.6R | -3.797% | 0.5R | 1.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.930% | 0.9R | -3.797% | 0.5R | 1.8× | 288 |
| 48h | +6.930% | 0.9R | -3.797% | 0.5R | 1.8× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.930% | 0.9R | -3.797% | 0.5R | 1.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1074 min
MAE in 239 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.