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Short Trade on ZK

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30 Oct 2026 at 15:15:08 hyperliquid

Short Trade on ZK (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 16296.93 ZK at 0.0101$ per unit. Take profit: 0.009822 (2.46 %) & Stop Loss: 0.01056 (4.87 %)

ZK SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Oct 2026 15:15 → 19:45 · 4 hours

Position

Entry 0.01007$

Qty 16296.9301 ZK

Size 164.1753$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.009822 (+2.46%)

TP $ 4.04$

SL 0.01056 (-4.87%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.51

Status loss PnL -4.87% / -7.99$ MAE -5.51% MFE +0.21% 0.0R expires 30 Oct 21:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 235864)
#89 / 94
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 15:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0906

Quality Score
0.318
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#89 / 94
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#89 / 94
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear 2.92×ATR
1d near -0.61×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-1.08
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 15:01
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

28/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

30/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

30/10 14:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7364
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.90

transition

+1

Micro bear

0.55

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 19.3%
Macro btc_defensive
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.241
Δ 4h
→-0.012
Δ 12h
▼-0.515
Δ 24h
▼-0.052

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 39.5%
1h 1.3%
4h 13.2%
24h 7.9%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 35.5% -0.04%
4h 29.0% -1.08%
24h 36.8% -6.12%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.39
Tail ↓
+0.43
Dispersion : 0.135
Universe : 76 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 30/10 15:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2731
Score SMA
0.5293
Rank
#51 / 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4118
Rank Norm SMA
0.7532
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2078 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -12.33% · r3d: -14.00% · ema21_slope: -0.8184% · dist_ema21: -19.367%
Force Relative 25% 0.1847 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -8.18% · rs_3d: -11.30% · beta_24h: 3.600
Volume 20% 0.3109 rvol_20: 0.83× · zscore_50: 0.338 · trend: -23.63%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6824 ADX: 21.9 (weak) · Chop: 36.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 12.930% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.3182
Score SMA
0.4581
Rank
#89 / 94
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0906
Rank Norm SMA
0.2457
Calculé le
30/10/2026 15:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1422 r1h: -0.650% · r4h: -2.106% · r1d: -11.88% · r3d: -16.77% · ema21_slope: -0.2725% · dist_ema21: -3.362%
Force Relative 25% 0.2920 rs_1h: 0.032% · rs_4h: -1.319% · rs_1d: -6.66% · rs_3d: -11.84% · beta_24h: 1.557
Volume 20% 0.1595 rvol_20: 0.11× · zscore_50: -0.617 · trend: -49.56%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6002 ADX: 42.4 (trend) · Chop: 69.5 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.049% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.3039
Score SMA
0.4046
Rank
#92 / 96
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1252
Rank Norm SMA
0.2415
Calculé le
30/10/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1220 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.197% · r1d: -14.24% · r3d: -16.35% · ema21_slope: -0.5922% · dist_ema21: -9.670%
Force Relative 25% 0.1413 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.511% · rs_1d: -9.15% · rs_3d: -12.67% · beta_24h: 1.951
Volume 20% 0.2871 rvol_20: 0.35× · zscore_50: -0.382 · trend: 34.42%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7690 ADX: 32.3 (trend) · Chop: 31.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.5924 ATR%: 4.223% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.866% (0.0005)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.209% 0.0R -1.976% 0.4R 0.1× 12
2h +0.209% 0.0R -2.383% 0.5R 0.1× 24
4h +0.209% 0.0R -4.300% 0.9R 0.1× 48
6h ★ +0.209% 0.0R -5.511% 1.1R 0.0× 72
8h +0.209% 0.0R -5.511% 1.1R 0.0× 96
12h +0.209% 0.0R -5.511% 1.1R 0.0× 144
24h +0.209% 0.0R -7.944% 1.6R 0.0× 288
48h +0.209% 0.0R -7.944% 1.6R 0.0× 576
72h +0.209% 0.0R -7.944% 1.6R 0.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 4 min MAE in 1174 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 18 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.1
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate fading normal bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 39% late near -0.6ATR — 0.57 range_high +0.21% -0.98 28/10 20:00
4h ↓ down range range strong fading expansion bear_high_confirmed
50%
noisy_chop 47% late — — 0.50 bear_high_confirmed -4.41% -0.90 30/10 08:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 44% late — — 0.59 bear_high -3.72% -0.27 30/10 14:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive normal bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 41% early near 0.0ATR — 0.69 bear_medium_confirmed -1.88% -0.21 30/10 14:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#454130
 ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate fading 0.553 normal bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 39% late 13b -2.1ATR near -0.6ATR — 0.83 97% ↓ -0.87 below_value -5.80 — #215754 0.57 range_high +0.21% -0.98
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:27
4h
#462241
 ↓ down range range strong fading 0.742 expansion bear_high_confirmed
50%
noisy_chop 47% late 10b -2.3ATR — — 0.35 33% ↑ +0.86 below_value -8.78 — #219181 0.50 bear_high_confirmed -4.41% -0.90
30/10 08:00
upd 30/10 12:24
1h anchor
#463668
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.639 compression bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 44% late 8b -2.2ATR — — 0.11 26% ↓ -0.91 value -0.42 — #219849 0.59 bear_high -3.72% -0.27
30/10 14:00
upd 30/10 15:13
15m
#463572
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive 0.369 normal bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 41% early 7b -1.4ATR near 0.0ATR — 0.60 53% ↔ +0.01 above_value -0.10 — #219659 0.69 bear_medium_confirmed -1.88% -0.21
30/10 14:45
upd 30/10 15:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 13b — 6.072×ATR p75 -2.055×ATR p89
4h ↓ down late 10b — 4.707×ATR p76 -2.258×ATR p86
1h ↓ down late 8b — 2.09×ATR p39 -2.15×ATR p83
15m ↓ down early 7b — 1.97×ATR p18 -1.364×ATR p53

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.01056489
  2. tp_price: 0.00982215
  3. atr: 0.00019636
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-31T01:15:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 95
  2. total: 95
  3. score: 0.1212
  4. delta_2h: 0
  5. extension_atr: -1.58
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0879
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.01007 0.01056 0.009822 0.51 0.01029
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.01007
  • Stop Loss: 0.01056
  • Take Profit: 0.009822

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.01056 - 0.01007 = 0.00049

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.01007 - 0.009822 = 0.000248

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000248 / 0.00049 = 0.5061

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
164.1753 100 16296.9301 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00049

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00049 = 16326.53

Taille de position USD = 16326.53 x 0.01007 = 164.41

Donc, tu peux acheter 16326.53 avec un stoploss a 0.01056

Avec un position size USD de 164.41$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 16326.53 x 0.00049 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 16326.53 x 0.000248 = 4.05

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.05$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 16326.53
  • Taille de position USD 164.41
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.05
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5061

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.46 % 4.04 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.87 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
-7.99 $ -4.87
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.8759 % 100.21 % 3
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.01007 0.01056 0.009822 0.51 0.01029
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.01007
  • Stop Loss: 0.01056
  • Take Profit: 0.009822

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.01056 - 0.01007 = 0.00049

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.01007 - 0.009822 = 0.000248

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000248 / 0.00049 = 0.5061

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.009822
            [entry_price] => 0.01007
            [stop_loss] => 0.010609
            [rr_ratio] => 0.46
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-30 23:50:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.866% (0.0005)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.209% 0.0R -1.976% 0.4R 0.1× 12
2h +0.209% 0.0R -2.383% 0.5R 0.1× 24
4h +0.209% 0.0R -4.300% 0.9R 0.1× 48
6h ★ +0.209% 0.0R -5.511% 1.1R 0.0× 72
8h +0.209% 0.0R -5.511% 1.1R 0.0× 96
12h +0.209% 0.0R -5.511% 1.1R 0.0× 144
24h +0.209% 0.0R -7.944% 1.6R 0.0× 288
48h +0.209% 0.0R -7.944% 1.6R 0.0× 576
72h +0.209% 0.0R -7.944% 1.6R 0.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 4 min MAE in 1174 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 18 hours ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.