30 Oct 2026 at 15:15:08 hyperliquid

Short Trade on AZTEC (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 9822.34 AZTEC at 0.0144$ per unit. Take profit: 0.01404 (2.43 %) & Stop Loss: 0.01521 (5.7 %)

AZTEC SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Oct 2026 15:15 → 21:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.01439$

Qty 9822.3385 AZTEC

Size 141.3926$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.01404 (+2.43%)

TP $ 3.44$

SL 0.01521 (-5.7%)

SL $ 8.05$

RR 0.43

Status loss PnL -1.01% / -1.42$ MAE -2.10% MFE +0.04% 0.0R expires 30 Oct 21:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 235900)
#91 / 94
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 15:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0276

Quality Score
0.307
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#91 / 94
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.70 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#91 / 94
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.70 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.26×ATR
4h near 0.18×ATR
1d clear 0.89×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↑ up late OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-1.08
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 15:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

28/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

30/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

30/10 13:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7364
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.90

transition

+1

Micro bear

0.55

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 19.3%
Macro btc_defensive
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.241
Δ 4h
→-0.012
Δ 12h
▼-0.515
Δ 24h
▼-0.052

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 39.5%
1h 1.3%
4h 13.2%
24h 7.9%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 35.5% -0.04%
4h 29.0% -1.08%
24h 36.8% -6.12%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.39
Tail ↓
+0.43
Dispersion : 0.135
Universe : 76 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 30/10 15:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.3073
Score SMA
0.5825
Rank
#91 / 94
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0276
Rank Norm SMA
0.6899
Calculé le
30/10/2026 15:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1298 r1h: -1.264% · r4h: -1.568% · r1d: -15.26% · r3d: -19.71% · ema21_slope: -0.3241% · dist_ema21: -3.715%
Force Relative 25% 0.2113 rs_1h: -0.582% · rs_4h: -0.781% · rs_1d: -10.04% · rs_3d: -14.78% · beta_24h: 2.490
Volume 20% 0.1683 rvol_20: 0.10× · zscore_50: -0.476 · trend: -73.96%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4777 ADX: 27.7 (trend) · Chop: 69.5 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.403% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.2968
Score SMA
0.6258
Rank
#93 / 96
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0522
Rank Norm SMA
0.7988
Calculé le
30/10/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1155 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.423% · r1d: -14.48% · r3d: -18.01% · ema21_slope: -0.4323% · dist_ema21: -9.694%
Force Relative 25% 0.1636 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.737% · rs_1d: -9.39% · rs_3d: -14.32% · beta_24h: 2.274
Volume 20% 0.3525 rvol_20: 0.48× · zscore_50: -0.173 · trend: 73.00%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6978 ADX: 23.7 (weak) · Chop: 26.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.4611 ATR%: 4.617% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.698% (0.0008)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.035% 0.0R -2.099% 0.4R 0.0× 12
2h +0.042% 0.0R -2.099% 0.4R 0.0× 24
4h +0.042% 0.0R -2.099% 0.4R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.042% 0.0R -2.099% 0.4R 0.0× 72
8h +0.222% 0.0R -2.099% 0.4R 0.1× 96
12h +1.223% 0.2R -3.023% 0.5R 0.4× 144
24h +1.223% 0.2R -5.115% 0.9R 0.2× 288
48h +1.223% 0.2R -8.172% 1.4R 0.2× 576
72h +1.223% 0.2R -8.172% 1.4R 0.2× 864
⏱ MFE in 564 min MAE in 1254 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 19 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.06
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate balanced expansion bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 34% mid — — — range_high +0.21% +0.64 28/10 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
48%
noisy_chop 43% late near 0.2ATR — 0.53 bear_high_confirmed -4.41% -0.70 30/10 08:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 40% mid — — 0.63 bear_high -3.13% -0.51 30/10 13:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 41% mid near -1.8ATR — 0.61 bear_medium_confirmed -1.88% -0.12 30/10 14:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#457171
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate balanced 0.504 expansion bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 34% mid 13b -1.3ATR — — 0.52 76% ↓ -0.81 — — — — — range_high +0.21% +0.64
28/10 20:00
upd 30/10 02:26
4h
#462337
↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive 0.269 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
48%
noisy_chop 43% late 3b -2.2ATR near 0.2ATR — 0.48 49% ↑ +0.31 below_value -4.96 — #219218 0.53 bear_high_confirmed -4.41% -0.70
30/10 08:00
upd 30/10 12:29
1h anchor
#463268
↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.500 compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 40% mid 10b -1.5ATR — — 0.08 30% ↓ -0.92 below_value -5.49 — #219696 0.63 bear_high -3.13% -0.51
30/10 13:00
upd 30/10 14:22
15m
#463619
↓ down range range moderate grind 0.488 compression bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 41% mid 14b -1.9ATR near -1.8ATR — 1.67 58% ↔ -0.03 below_value -6.08 — #219886 0.61 bear_medium_confirmed -1.88% -0.12
30/10 14:45
upd 30/10 15:11
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 13b — 3.992×ATR p44 -1.264×ATR p75
4h ↑ up late 3b — 1.456×ATR p0 -2.181×ATR p85
1h ↓ down mid 10b — 2.011×ATR p26 -1.503×ATR p75
15m ↓ down mid 14b — 4.443×ATR p78 -1.894×ATR p70

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.01520947
  2. tp_price: 0.01403512
  3. atr: 0.00032579
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-31T01:15:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 94
  2. total: 95
  3. score: 0.1503
  4. delta_2h: -0.0061
  5. extension_atr: -1.41
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0289
  9. confidence: 0.989

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.01439 0.01521 0.01404 0.43 0.01421
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.01439
  • Stop Loss: 0.01521
  • Take Profit: 0.01404

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.01521 - 0.01439 = 0.00082

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.01439 - 0.01404 = 0.00035

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00035 / 0.00082 = 0.4268

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
141.3926 100 9822.3385 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00082

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00082 = 9756.1

Taille de position USD = 9756.1 x 0.01439 = 140.39

Donc, tu peux acheter 9756.1 avec un stoploss a 0.01521

Avec un position size USD de 140.39$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 9756.1 x 0.00082 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 9756.1 x 0.00035 = 3.41

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.41$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 9756.1
  • Taille de position USD 140.39
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.41
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4268

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.43 % 3.44 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.7 % 8.05 $
PNL PNL %
-1.42 $ -1.01
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.0987 % 36.83 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.01439 0.01521 0.01404 0.43 0.01421
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.01439
  • Stop Loss: 0.01521
  • Take Profit: 0.01404

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.01521 - 0.01439 = 0.00082

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.01439 - 0.01404 = 0.00035

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00035 / 0.00082 = 0.4268

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.698% (0.0008)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.035% 0.0R -2.099% 0.4R 0.0× 12
2h +0.042% 0.0R -2.099% 0.4R 0.0× 24
4h +0.042% 0.0R -2.099% 0.4R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.042% 0.0R -2.099% 0.4R 0.0× 72
8h +0.222% 0.0R -2.099% 0.4R 0.1× 96
12h +1.223% 0.2R -3.023% 0.5R 0.4× 144
24h +1.223% 0.2R -5.115% 0.9R 0.2× 288
48h +1.223% 0.2R -8.172% 1.4R 0.2× 576
72h +1.223% 0.2R -8.172% 1.4R 0.2× 864
⏱ MFE in 564 min MAE in 1254 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 19 hours ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.