30 Oct 2026 at 15:15:08 hyperliquid

Short Trade on JTO (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 447.4 JTO at 0.361$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3525 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3794 (4.95 %)

JTO SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Oct 2026 15:15 → 18:30 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 0.3615$

Qty 447.3998 JTO

Size 161.735$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.3525 (+2.49%)

TP $ 4.03$

SL 0.3794 (-4.95%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.5

Status loss PnL -4.95% / -8.01$ MAE -6.26% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 30 Oct 21:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 235853)
#88 / 94
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 15:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0802

Quality Score
0.322
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#88 / 94
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#88 / 94
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.56×ATR
4h clear —
1d clear 1.73×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-1.08
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 15:01
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

28/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

30/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

30/10 14:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7364
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.90

transition

+1

Micro bear

0.55

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 19.3%
Macro btc_defensive
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.241
Δ 4h
→-0.012
Δ 12h
▼-0.515
Δ 24h
▼-0.052

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 39.5%
1h 1.3%
4h 13.2%
24h 7.9%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 35.5% -0.04%
4h 29.0% -1.08%
24h 36.8% -6.12%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.39
Tail ↓
+0.43
Dispersion : 0.135
Universe : 76 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 30/10 15:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.1767
Score SMA
0.2967
Rank
#84 / 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0235
Rank Norm SMA
0.1456
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0321 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -13.09% · r3d: -13.76% · ema21_slope: -0.8348% · dist_ema21: -18.353%
Force Relative 25% 0.1003 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -8.95% · rs_3d: -11.06% · beta_24h: 2.434
Volume 20% 0.3432 rvol_20: 1.52× · zscore_50: -0.309 · trend: -52.27%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4893 ADX: 21.2 (weak) · Chop: 61.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 10.743% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.3220
Score SMA
0.4866
Rank
#88 / 94
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0802
Rank Norm SMA
0.3882
Calculé le
30/10/2026 15:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1528 r1h: -1.616% · r4h: -2.421% · r1d: -12.10% · r3d: -16.65% · ema21_slope: -0.2467% · dist_ema21: -3.437%
Force Relative 25% 0.2435 rs_1h: -0.935% · rs_4h: -1.634% · rs_1d: -6.87% · rs_3d: -11.72% · beta_24h: 2.497
Volume 20% 0.1979 rvol_20: 0.59× · zscore_50: -0.246 · trend: -65.59%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5045 ADX: 29.9 (trend) · Chop: 68.4 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.082% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.3256
Score SMA
0.4423
Rank
#88 / 96
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0838
Rank Norm SMA
0.3375
Calculé le
30/10/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1697 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.038% · r1d: -13.13% · r3d: -14.24% · ema21_slope: -0.5319% · dist_ema21: -7.968%
Force Relative 25% 0.2109 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.352% · rs_1d: -8.04% · rs_3d: -10.56% · beta_24h: 2.464
Volume 20% 0.2782 rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -0.357 · trend: 26.52%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7303 ADX: 27.6 (trend) · Chop: 27.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.5682 ATR%: 4.295% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.952% (0.0179)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -2.775% 0.6R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -3.231% 0.7R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -5.671% 1.2R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -6.260% 1.3R 0.0× 72
8h +0.000% 0.0R -6.260% 1.3R 0.0× 96
12h +0.000% 0.0R -6.260% 1.3R 0.0× 144
24h +0.000% 0.0R -6.260% 1.3R 0.0× 288
48h +0.000% 0.0R -6.260% 1.3R 0.0× 576
72h +2.968% 0.6R -6.260% 1.3R 0.5× 864

computed 20 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 47% late — — 0.41 range_high +0.21% -0.99 28/10 20:00
4h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bear_high_confirmed
55%
noisy_chop 43% late — — 0.55 bear_high_confirmed -4.41% -0.84 30/10 08:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 38% late — — 0.77 bear_high -3.72% -0.18 30/10 14:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong grind normal bear_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 44% late — — 0.82 bear_medium_confirmed -1.88% -0.17 30/10 14:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#454091
↓ down range range moderate grind 0.503 compression bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 47% late 32b -2.6ATR — — 1.52 42% ↓ -0.49 below_value -5.86 inside #215745 0.41 range_high +0.21% -0.99
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:25
4h
#462208
↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind 0.513 expansion_after_compression bear_high_confirmed
55%
noisy_chop 43% late 5b -1.7ATR — — 0.41 17% ↑ +0.73 below_value -7.56 inside #219170 0.55 bear_high_confirmed -4.41% -0.84
30/10 08:00
upd 30/10 12:23
1h anchor
#463657
↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.519 compression bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 38% late 3b -2.2ATR — — 0.59 75% ↓ -0.87 below_value -9.31 — #219838 0.77 bear_high -3.72% -0.18
30/10 14:00
upd 30/10 15:13
15m
#463561
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong grind 0.569 normal bear_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 44% late 14b -2.5ATR — — 6.39 86% ↓ -0.19 below_value -8.52 — #219648 0.82 bear_medium_confirmed -1.88% -0.17
30/10 14:45
upd 30/10 15:02
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 32b — 6.765×ATR p89 -2.564×ATR p98
4h ↓ down late 5b — 3.784×ATR p43 -1.687×ATR p83
1h ↓ down late 3b — 2.407×ATR p53 -2.177×ATR p86
15m ↓ down late 14b — 6.481×ATR p87 -2.524×ATR p80

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.3793811
  2. tp_price: 0.3524625
  3. atr: 0.00715244
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-31T01:15:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 93
  2. total: 95
  3. score: 0.1528
  4. delta_2h: -0.0564
  5. extension_atr: -1.57
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0829
  9. confidence: 0.979

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3615 0.3794 0.3525 0.5 0.3396
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3615
  • Stop Loss: 0.3794
  • Take Profit: 0.3525

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3794 - 0.3615 = 0.0179

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3615 - 0.3525 = 0.009

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.009 / 0.0179 = 0.5028

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
161.735 100 447.3998 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0179

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0179 = 446.93

Taille de position USD = 446.93 x 0.3615 = 161.57

Donc, tu peux acheter 446.93 avec un stoploss a 0.3794

Avec un position size USD de 161.57$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 446.93 x 0.0179 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 446.93 x 0.009 = 4.02

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.02$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 446.93
  • Taille de position USD 161.57
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.02
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5028

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.49 % 4.03 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.95 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-8.01 $ -4.95
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-5.0512 % 102.01 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3615 0.3794 0.3525 0.5 0.3396
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3615
  • Stop Loss: 0.3794
  • Take Profit: 0.3525

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3794 - 0.3615 = 0.0179

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3615 - 0.3525 = 0.009

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.009 / 0.0179 = 0.5028

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3525
            [entry_price] => 0.3615
            [stop_loss] => 0.38119
            [rr_ratio] => 0.46
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-30 23:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3525
            [entry_price] => 0.3615
            [stop_loss] => 0.38298
            [rr_ratio] => 0.42
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-30 23:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.952% (0.0179)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -2.775% 0.6R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -3.231% 0.7R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -5.671% 1.2R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -6.260% 1.3R 0.0× 72
8h +0.000% 0.0R -6.260% 1.3R 0.0× 96
12h +0.000% 0.0R -6.260% 1.3R 0.0× 144
24h +0.000% 0.0R -6.260% 1.3R 0.0× 288
48h +0.000% 0.0R -6.260% 1.3R 0.0× 576
72h +2.968% 0.6R -6.260% 1.3R 0.5× 864

computed 20 hours ago

Commentaires

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